一例海豚误闯防鲨网窒息致死的典型案例分析

2009年2月1日,在珠海市三灶海滩上发现一头搁浅死亡的中华白海豚（ZH—SC-24）。该样本为青年雄性海豚,体格健壮。经过初步观察,在肺部发现一些白色结节,在上颚基部及颈部均有明显勒痕。肺部充满大量泡沫状血液,右心室内发现大块凝血。除此外尚未发现其它明显病变。综合病理解剖与搁浅现场调查结果,推测该海豚为误闯防鲨网窒息致死。     

封育年限对伊犁绢蒿荒漠土壤有机氮组分的影响

为探究荒漠土壤有机氮组分对封育年限的响应规律,研究了不同封育年限(封育时间为0、1、4和11a)对中度退化伊犁绢蒿(Seriphidium transiliense)荒漠草地土壤全氮(total nitrogen,TN)、轻组氮(light fraction organic nitrogen,LFON)、颗粒氮(particulate organic nitrogen,PON)、微生物量氮(soil microbial biomass nitrogen,SMBN)及其分配比例的影响。结果表明,与封育0a相比,其它封育年限5-10、10-20、30-50cm土层的TN含量均显著降低(P0.05),且0-50cm土层TN含量随封育年限延长呈"降-升"趋势;封育11a,0-5cm土层PON含量达到最高,而封育4a,5-10和20-30cm土层PON分配比例显著增加;0-20cm土层LFON含量增加显著,且0-5cm土层含量最高。0-50cm土层SMBN随封育年限增加呈"降-升"趋势,而封育4a,5-10和20-30cm土层SMBN分配比例显著高于封育0a和封育1a(P0.05);0-10cm土层LFON和0-50cm土层LFONR与封育年限呈显著正相关。总之,短期封育(1~11a)下,中度退化伊犁绢蒿荒漠土壤全氮含量仍未得到恢复,但促进了LFON、PON、SMBN及其分配比例的增加。     

基于最大疑似度概率统计的不确定性网上故障诊断

针对汽车发动机异响类故障是故障诊断的难点,应用"基于最大疑似度的概率统计"法对汽车发动机的异响类不确定性故障进行了推理诊断,并用更新知识库的方法实现了对电脑常见故障现象的故障诊断,推理结果与实际情况基本一致,证明"基于最大疑似度的概率统计"法应用于不确定性故障诊断科学有效.     

基于EM算法的图像融合质量评价

为提出一种量化评价经图像融合所产生的结果图像的质量评价方法,采用一种混合瑞利(Rayleigh)概率密度函数(pdfs)对图像边缘强度直方图建模,混合模型中各项的参数和权重通过EM算法迭代估算得到。在建立的混合瑞利概率密度函数模型中,最小参数混合项对应图像的弱边缘,最大参数混合项对应图像的强边缘。因此,取最小参数项的标准方差作为噪声的标准方差估计,实现噪声盲估计;取最大参数项的标准方差作为图像模糊度的定量评价指标。通过估算混合瑞利pdfs模型中的参数变化可以评价图像质量。与其它图像质量评价方法相比,这种方法的最大优点是不需要知道图像构造等细节信息,不需要图像变换,只要有原始图像即可对其进行评价。而且对较小噪声也能较精确地估计。研究表明这个技术很强健,并对要评估的图像依赖很小。     

土壤风蚀影响因子分布规律研究的最大熵方法

土壤风蚀是一个综合的自然地理过程,包括气候、植被、土壤、地形地貌等多种因子。作为随机变量的风蚀因子,其分布规律直接或间接地影响着风沙的运动规律,一方面导致土壤风蚀程度及方向的变化,另一方面变量之间的非线性相互作用的结果导致风沙流的混沌特性。为此把影响风沙运动规律的各因子作为研究对象,应用最大熵原理与遗传算法相结合的方法,建立了风蚀影响因子概率密度函数模型,采用Matlab语言编制了相应的计算程序,并以阴山北部农牧交错带为例对所建模型的合理性和可行性进行了验证。结果表明,风蚀影响因子的熵概率密度函数不仅合理可行而且具有较高的精度。     

黄河干流水文缺水分类模型研究

本文通过对黄河干流节点径流频率分析和超越机率分析,推求了节点水文缺水量。通过制定黄河干流水文缺水等级划分标准,用节点天然径流系列为样本,建立了节点水文缺水分类模型。应用分类模型,进一步得到了节点缺水状态转移概率矩阵。节点水文缺水分类模型和状态转移概率矩阵将会对黄河干流水资源合理配置提供决策依据。     

黄河兰州段多环芳烃生态风险的初步评价

以黄河兰州段11个不同采样点3种多环芳烃的临测浓度及其对6～38种水生生物的LC50为基础资料,分别应用商值法、概率密度函数重叠面积和联合概率曲线3种风险浮价方法对黄河兰州段苯并(a)芘、荧蒽、芘的生态风险进行了评价.结果表明:黄河兰州段3种PAHs残留具有一定的生态风险.其中低暴露风险条件下(受威胁生物不超过1%),...     

试用概率点定级法划分林木种籽等级

分析了我国林木种籽等级划分中所使用的各种统计方法及其弊端,提出了单指标分级的分布函数概率点定级方法,并论证了此方法的意义、可行性以及结果的唯一性。报导了用此法制定甘肃主要树种等级标准的预期效果,还提出了有关等级划分的一些设想。     

A complication probability study for a definitive‐intent,moderately hypofractionated image‐guided intensity‐modulated radiotherapy protocol for anal sac adenocarcinoma in dogs

Previous trials showed the importance of administering radiation therapy (RT) with small doses per fraction in canine pelvic tumours to maintain acceptable toxicity levels. With increased accuracy/precision of RT, namely intensity‐modulated RT (IMRT), this approach might be challenged. Theoretical toxicity calculations for a new definitive‐intent moderately hypofractionated RT protocol for canine anal sac adenocarcinomas (ASAC) were performed, focussing on the risk of toxicity in pelvic organs at risk (OAR). Computed tomography datasets of 18 dogs with stage 3b ASAC were included. Re‐planning with margins for daily image‐guidance/IMRT was performed and a new protocol isoeffective to previously described definitive‐intent protocols was computed. Dose‐volume information were derived from individual plans and used for normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) computations. A 12 × 3.8 Gy protocol was computed for risk estimation. Tumour volumes ranged from 27.9 to 820.4 cm³ (mean 221.3 cm³ ± 188.9). For late rectal toxicity/bleeding ≥grade 2, median risk probability was 2.3% inter quartile range (IQR: 5.9; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2, 8.4) (rho = 0.436) and 3.4% (IQR: 0.96; 95%CI: 3.1, 4.0) (rho = 0.565), respectively. Median late toxicities in urinary bladder, kidneys and small bowel were <1%, except in one kidney. Myelopathy/myelonecrosis had a median risk probability of 4.1% (IQR: 23.5; 95%CI: 2.1, 25.2) (rho = 0.366) and 5.6% (IQR: 13.5; 95%CI: 3.1, 14.1) (rho = 0.363), respectively. However, graded risk showed a probability estimate for late spinal cord toxicity of ≥5% in 8/18 patients. The daily‐imaging IMRT 12 × 3.8 Gy protocol for canine ASAC seems tolerable for most cases, even in advanced disease. Theoretical dose computations serve as estimate, but are safe measures before implementing new protocols into clinical use.     

The effects of a competitive exclusion product and two probiotics on Salmonella colonization and nutrient digestibility in broiler chickens

Competitive exclusion (CE) cultures, given as a single dose on the day of hatch, together with good hygienic practices has been shown to be a novel approach to control Salmonella in poultry. The ability of the CE product Broilact and 2 probiotics, FloraMax-B11 and Colostrum, to prevent Salmonella colonization in newly hatched chickens was evaluated employing a slightly modified Mead-model chicken assay. In a parallel study the effect of the 3 treatments on the production of volatile fatty acids in the ceca were determined. In the Salmonella study 2 separate experiments were done. In the first experiment all 3 treatment materials were given as a single dose on d 1. In the second experiment, which consisted only of Broilact and FloraMax-B11, the latter was given in the drinking water during the 3 first d after hatch. In both experiments the chicks were challenged with Salmonella enterica serovar Infantis on d 2. The results of the present study show that Broilact was superior to the 2 other treatment materials in protecting the newly hatched chickens against Salmonella colonization. The parallel study showed only minor differences among the different treatments. Based on the results of the Salmonella challenge study, it was concluded that Broilact was the only treatment material that was established in the gut of the newly hatched chickens in such a way that the colonization of Salmonella was prohibited.