基于TSA-BP神经网络的企业产品市场占有率预测模型

在分析了现有的各种市场占有率预测模型的基础上，把产品市场占有率的时间序列作为ＢＰ神经网络的输入与输出，建立了预测模型，并对１９９９年部分品牌彩电的市场占有率进行了实证分析，结果表明，所建模型具有很高的预测精度，是一种值得推广的预测方法。     

相依随机变量序列的完全收敛性

Hus和Robbin于1947年提出了完全收敛性的概念,完全收敛比几乎处处收敛条件更严格。本文通过构造收敛鞅,证明了相依随机变量序列的完全收敛性。作为推论,证明了负相依随机变量序列的完全收敛性。     

Molecular genetic structure and relationship of Chinese and Hungarian common carp (Cyprinus carpio L.) strains based on mitochondrial sequence

China and Hungary are major providers of the common carp (Cyprinus carpio L.) in East Asia and Europe respectively. However, the genetic variation and relationship of this species in the two countries have been poorly understood. In this study, mitochondrial COII‐tRNA^Lys and D‐loop sequences were analysed to investigate the genetic structure and relationships of the representative wild and domesticated common carps distributed in China and Hungary. The results indicated that the genetic diversities of the Chinese common carps are higher than those of Hungarian common carps, and the diversities of the wild common carps are higher than those of domesticated common carps in both the countries. Analysis of molecular variance and pairwise F_ST demonstrated a significant genetic divergence between the Chinese and the Hungarian common carps, and between the wild and the domesticated common carps. Bayesian phylogenetic analysis and statistical parsimony network showed an obvious genetic differentiation between the Chinese and the Hungarian common carps, between the wild and the domesticated common carps. However, a few specimens and haplotypes from the Chinese wild common carps appeared in the Hungarian common carps, demonstrating that there was no absolutely isolated and possible genetic linker between the Chinese and the Hungarian common carps.     

基于时间序列高校图书馆借阅流量分布统计分析

对2006～2009年青岛农业大学图书馆读者借阅流量进行了统计,分别建立了基于年、月、周、时段等时间序列的借阅量分布图,分析了以上时间序列借阅流量的分布规律。对高校图书馆馆藏资源类型合理搭配、提高纸质文献利用率和实现图书馆人力资源动态管理提出了建议,为提高图书馆管理与决策水平、提高工作效率与质量提供了依据。     

大豆种子抗劣变性的鉴定方法研究

以抗种子劣变性不同的５个栽培大豆和５个野生大豆品种为材料，比较了高温湿（相对湿度１００％，温度４０℃）条件下贮藏３天、７天、１０天和１４天及２０％的甲醇浸泡２小时等５种种子加速第化方法鉴定了种子抗劣变性的效果。结果表明，高温高湿老化７－１０天和２０％的甲醇浸泡２小时，可鉴定出大豆种子抗劣变性。     

晋扁系列扁桃新品种选育及开发应用前景

详细介绍了晋扁系列扁桃的选育过程、果实经济性状、品质性状、物候期、生物学特性及结果情况。晋扁系列扁桃种仁大,饱满、风味香甜、品质优,抗寒、耐旱,适宜内地山区发展,具有广阔的市场前景。     

海拉尔地区降水量的ARIMA乘积季节模型研究

1个地区降水量的变化受到诸多因素的影响,其既有长期趋势、季节效应,又具有随机扰动效应。在降水量的分析中,找出所有影响降水量的变化因素是十分困难的,因此可以利用降水量序列的自身变化来寻找序列中蕴含的发展规律。本文以海拉尔地区1957年1月~2007年8月逐月平均降水量数据为基础,应用SAS统计软件经过多次拟合优选,最终建立了适合海拉尔地区月平均降水量的AR IMA(p,d,q)×(P,D,Q)s乘积模型,并利用该模型对海拉尔地区2007年的降水量进行了预测。     

巨峰系葡萄品种演化及分类的研究

 通过对巨峰系葡萄品种引种和性状观察记载以及选育途径和亲子代资料的分析，研究了它们的演化过程和分类方法，绘制了巨峰系葡萄品种演化图。巨峰系葡萄品种选育的最主要途径为杂交育种、其次为芽变选种和实生选种。巨峰系葡萄品种可按其来源、成熟期、成熟时果皮的色泽和种子有无进行分类。     

Research on Forecasting Water Requirement of Well Irrigation Rice by Time Series Analysis Method

The paper builds up the forecasting model of air temperature according to the data(1994-1998)of Fu Jin area.At the same time,the writer inquires into the relation of water requirement of well irrigation rice(ET)and average air temperature(T).Furthermore,the rice irrigation water reuqirement(ET)of Fu Jin area has been forecast in 1999.Thus,we can apply the model in irrigation management.     

绿洲农区土壤资源数据库的建立——以河西走廊临泽样区为例

以河西走廊临泽样区为例 ,应用 Microsoft Access97建立基于 Windows平台的绿洲农区土壤资源 (土系 )数据库 ,为干旱地区 (特别是绿洲 )土壤资源的合理利用与管理、农业合理布局、农用土地土壤质量评价、田间养分管理中的应用问题等方面提供理论依据