Is risk consistent across tier‐based harvest control rule management systems? A comparison of four case‐studies

There can be substantial differences in data quality and quantity among fished species. Consequently, the quality and type of assessments can also vary substantially. However, all species, especially those that are targeted, need to be managed. Several jurisdictions have developed hierarchical tier systems that categorize stocks based on, for example, the data available for assessment purposes and/or the extent to which quantities on which management advice is based can be estimated. Four case‐studies (Australia's Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery, the USA west coast groundfishery, the USA Alaskan crab fishery and EU fisheries) are used to contrast the types of hierarchical tier systems available, and to assess the extent to which each system constrains risk to be equivalent among the tiers (termed risk equivalency). Only the Australian system explicitly aims to achieve risk equivalency. However, this intent has not been fully operationalized. Our review reveals that best practice is not to define tiers simply on data availability, but also on what the assessments based on those data are capable of estimating. In addition, clearly differentiating the quantification of uncertainty from how decision‐makers wish to address that uncertainty would simplify justification of buffers (the gap between the assessment‐produced target catch or effort and the final management decision that accounts for uncertainty and risk). Risk equivalency can be achieved using management strategy evaluation to select the values for control variables, which determine the buffer given the uncertainty associated with the assessment.     

Experimental determinations of factors affecting the sink rates of baited hooks to minimize seabird mortality in pelagic longline fisheries

• 1. An experiment was conducted in Australia's pelagic longline fishery to establish a scientific basis for the introduction of line weighting to reduce seabird mortality. The experiment examined the effects of different bait species (blue mackerel, yellow‐tail mackerel and squid), bait life status (dead or alive), weight of leaded swivels (60 g, 100 g and 160 g) and leader length (distance between leaded swivel and hooks: 2 m, 3 m and 4 m) on the sink rates of baited hooks from 0–6 m deep.
• 2. On average, live bait sank much more slowly than dead bait. The sink rates of individual live bait were highly variable: many were <2 m underwater 18 s after deployment, including some on the heaviest swivels, and some were <10 m deep after 120 s.
• 3. Within the dead bait group, all three swivel weights on 3 m and 4 m leaders sank at similar rates. Initial sink rates (e.g. 0–2 m) were 2–3 times slower than final rates (e.g. 4–6 m) for all combinations of swivel weight and leader length. The fastest initial and final sink rates were associated with heavy swivels placed close to hooks.
• 4. The results show that (a) compared with dead bait, live bait greatly increases the exposure of baited hooks to seabirds; (b) initial sink rates of dead bait are increased by placing leaded swivels close to hooks and final rates by increasing the weight of the swivels; (c) adding weight to long leaders makes little difference to sink rates; and (d) the small (incremental) changes to swivel weights and leader lengths typically preferred by industry will be difficult to detect at sea and unlikely to substantially reduce seabird mortality.
• 5. We suggest that experiments designed to reduce seabird mortality from that associated with 60 g swivels and ～3.5 m leaders (the preferred option by industry) should aim to expedite the initial sink rates as well as rates to deeper depths. This objective could be achieved by including branch lines with ≥120 g swivels ≤2 m in comparative assessments of the effectiveness of line weighting regimes in reducing seabird mortality. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

     

中国与文莱渔业合作的分析

通过介绍文莱的基本国情和渔业情况以及中国与文莱合作的互补性,从空间、时间、合作范围、合作方式等方面分析了中国与文莱进行渔业合作的可行性,并对开展中国企业与文莱渔业合作的具体措施提出了一些建议。     

Risks of decline and extinction of the endangered Amsterdam albatross and the projected impact of long-line fisheries

The Amsterdam albatross (Diomedea amsterdamensis) is one of the rarest bird species of world avifauna, consisting of a single population in the upland plateau of Amsterdam Island (SE Indian Ocean). All breeding birds of the population are today banded and a monitoring program involving mark-recapture procedures has been carried out continuously over the past 16 years. We present the first estimate of risk of decline for the Amsterdam albatross using a stochastic matrix population model, and evaluate the extent to which the measurement errors in demographic estimates may affect the baseline conservation assessment. We also estimate the potential effect that resumption of long-line fisheries in the vicinity of Amsterdam Island (one the alleged causes for its low numbers in the recent past) may have on the persistence of this population. Our results indicate that, in the absence of any impact of long-line fisheries, the Amsterdam albatross is unlikely to experience a decline larger than 20% of the current population abundance over the next 50 years. Our results point out the difficulty to assess with certainty the extinction risk of small populations despite the availability of long term data on their demography. They suggest that a very cautious approach should be taken for the preservation of small populations of long-lived species that cannot sustain any level of incidental by-catch. Any new long-line fishery resuming in the foraging range of the Amsterdam albatross, but especially close to Amsterdam Island, may rapidly put this species at risk of extinction.     

洪堡洋流系统内重要渔业资源对气候和海洋环境变化的响应研究进展

洪堡洋流系统支撑着世界上最大的中上层渔业,同时也是受到气候胁迫最为显著的海洋东边界流系统。本文概述了洪堡洋流系统的海况和渔业现状,围绕秘鲁鳀(Engraulis ringens)、智利竹■鱼(Trachurus murphyi)、远东拟沙丁鱼(Sardinops melanosticta)和茎柔鱼(Dosidicus gigas)4种代表性的重要经济渔业物种,总结气候和海洋环境对其生长繁殖、种群结构以及资源波动等影响。研究认为,以上4类中上层关键经济种类的物种丰度和分布均受到季节性、年际和年代际气候变化和洪堡洋流海洋条件的强烈影响,在未来气候变化的影响下,研究洪堡洋流生态系统需要依赖于高能力的综合生态系统模型,需考虑物理、生物和化学环境、营养结构等因素,全面地评估生态系统内各种群的变动规律,进而更加科学地开发和管理该系统的渔业资源。     

我国医学文献资源建设的主要矛盾及其对策

针对当前我国医学图书情报机构在文献信息资源建设方面的实际情况，论述了其当前存在的主要矛盾：入藏电子出版物与入藏印刷品的矛盾；利用因特网信息资源与建设本馆特色馆藏的矛盾；重复订购书刊与缺藏的矛盾；我国加入WTO后需要入藏外文原版书刊与购书经费紧缺的矛盾，并提出了解决这些矛盾的对策。

     

采用卷积神经网络构建西北太平洋柔鱼渔场预报模型

对远洋渔场资源和位置进行预报可以为远洋渔业生产及管理提供重要信息。该研究针对西北太平洋柔鱼渔场,利用海洋表面温度遥感信息和中国远洋渔船生产资料,基于深度学习原理,选取卷积神经网络构建西北太平洋柔鱼渔场预报模型。根据不同月份、不同通道构建了多种数据集,用于训练渔场预报模型。训练结果表明,4个通道组合的数据集的训练结果最优,渔汛早期（7-8月）、中期（9月）和后期（10-11月）测试样本的准确率分别为80.5%、81.5%和81.4%。以2015年的真实渔场数据对模型进行验证,模型的平均召回率为82.3%,平均精确率为66.6%,F1得分平均值为73.1%,预测的高产渔区与实际作业的高单位捕捞努力量渔获量区基本匹配。该研究构建的渔场预报模型可以获得较好的准确率,可为其他鱼种的渔场预报模型构建提供新的思路。     

生产要素对我国海洋渔业经济可持续发展的影响(英文)

根据资源的稀缺性理论,讨论了我国渔业生产要素对海洋渔业可持续发展的影响和生产要素的经济效率。研究表明,我国近海渔场和海洋渔业资源的减少,正成为制约我国海洋渔业可持续发展的主要因素。而近沿海海域对我国海洋养殖产业的经济增长将扮演越来越大的作用。在海洋渔业发展初期,渔业劳动力投入量对推动经济增长有较大的作用,但是,在现阶段,海洋渔业劳动力要素的投入量对海洋渔业经济的增长作用越来越低。目前,海洋渔业劳动力要素投入过剩现象已经十分严重,通过增加海洋渔业劳动力生产要素投入提高海洋渔业经济增长的作用受到制约。对资本要素的研究表明,我国渔民的平均剩余资本低,渔民再投资能力弱,造成渔业人口剩余资本低下的主要原因与我国政府农业政策和渔民的消费习惯有一定的关系。渔业技术进步能提高生产效率。然而,研究表明,大量的研究成果还未能有效地转化到生产中去。我国海洋渔业生产仍然是劳动力和土地密集型,技术革新和组织制度资源相当短缺。尤其是组织和制度资源的短缺,将成为制约我国海洋渔业经济可持续发展的最大问题。我国海洋渔业生产的组织资源表现出明显的极性结构。一端是仍然带有计划经济色彩的集权渔业管理机构,一端是已经完全市场化的高度分散的生产个体。在...     

我国内陆水域增殖渔业发展存在的问题

我国内陆水域渔业是我国渔业发展的重要内容,内陆水域增殖渔业经过多年的发展,取得了很大的成绩,但是在发展过程中也表现出多种问题,如增殖品种不合理,不重视遗传多样性的保护。本文对这些问题作具体的分析,同时提出相应的对策。     

A fresh look at inland fisheries and their role in food security and livelihoods

The role of inland fisheries in livelihoods, food security and sustainable development is often overshadowed by the higher profile interest in ocean issues. Whilst inland fisheries' catch and contribution to global nutrition, food security and the economy, are less than that of marine fisheries, global‐level comparisons of fish production obscure considerable livelihood impacts in certain countries and sub‐national areas. To highlight these contributions, this paper synthesizes recent data and innovative approaches for assessing such livelihood contributions and their importance in countries with limited access to ocean resources and aquaculture. Inland fisheries are crucial for many socially, economically and nutritionally vulnerable groups of people around the world, but the challenges in monitoring inland fisheries preclude a complete understanding of the magnitude of their contributions. This situation is rapidly improving with increasing recognition of inland fisheries in development discourses, which has also encouraged research to enhance knowledge on the importance of inland fisheries. We review this work, including collated information published in a recent Food and Agriculture Organization report, to provide an up to date characterization of the state of knowledge on the role of inland fisheries.