Global warming, elevational ranges and the vulnerability of tropical biota

Tropical species with narrow elevational ranges may be thermally specialized and vulnerable to global warming. Local studies of distributions along elevational gradients reveal small-scale patterns but do not allow generalizations among geographic regions or taxa. We critically assessed data from 249 studies of species elevational distributions in the American, African, and Asia-Pacific tropics. Of these, 150 had sufficient data quality, sampling intensity, elevational range, and freedom from serious habitat disturbance to permit robust across-study comparisons. We found four main patterns: (1) species classified as elevational specialists (upper- or lower-zone specialists) are relatively more frequent in the American than Asia-Pacific tropics, with African tropics being intermediate; (2) elevational specialists are rare on islands, especially oceanic and smaller continental islands, largely due to a paucity of upper-zone specialists; (3) a relatively high proportion of plants and ectothermic vertebrates (amphibians and reptiles) are upper-zone specialists; and (4) relatively few endothermic vertebrates (birds and mammals) are upper-zone specialists. Understanding these broad-scale trends will help identify taxa and geographic regions vulnerable to global warming and highlight future research priorities.     

CO2浓度倍增及气候变暖对农业生产影响的诊断与评估

模拟实验研究了CO2 浓度倍增对我国主要粮食作物 (小麦、水稻、玉米、大豆 )和蔬菜 (大白菜、黄瓜 )生长发育与产量形成的影响以及气候变暖对农业实用技术和农业气候条件的影响 ,进行农业诊断和评估 ,并提出应对CO2 浓度倍增与气候变暖的农业适应策略     

The potential for soil carbon sequestration in three tropical dryland farming systems of Africa and Latin America: A modelling approach

Historically, agriculturally induced CO₂ release from soils has contributed to rising levels in the atmosphere. However, by using appropriate management, soils can be turned into carbon sinks. Many of the dryland regions of the world are characterised by degraded soils, a high incidence of poverty and a low capacity to invest in agriculture. Two well-proven soil organic matter models (CENTURY 4.0 and RothC-26 3) were used two explore the effects of modifying agricultural practices to increase soil carbon stocks. The changes to land management were chosen to avoid any significant increase in energy input whilst using technologies that would be available without radically altering the current agricultural methodology. Case studies were selected from dryland farming systems in Nigeria, Sudan and Argentina. Modelling showed that it would be possible to make alterations within the structure of the current farming systems to convert these soils from carbon sources to net sinks. Annual rates of carbon sequestration in the range 0.08–0.17 Mg ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ averaged over the next 50 years could be obtained. The most effective practices were those that maximised the input of organic matter, particularly farmyard manure (up to 0.09 Mg ha⁻¹ year⁻¹), maintaining trees (up to 0.15 Mg ha⁻¹ year⁻¹) and adopting zero tillage (up to 0.04 Mg ha⁻¹ year⁻¹). Verification of these predictions will require experimental data collected from field studies.     

东北农牧交错带旱涝特征对气候变化的响应

[目的]从旱涝灾害角度分析气候变化对东北农牧交错带的影响,对该区的气候变化和旱涝特征进行研究,为充分利用气候资源,合理调配水资源,提高灾害应变能力提供科学依据。[方法]统计1960—2011年东北农牧交错带21个气象台站的逐月气温、降水资料,应用Mann—Kendall气候突变检验法、标准化降水指数(SPI)、样条函数插值法对该带旱涝状况的时空分布进行了分析。[结果](1)东北农牧交错带气候呈现出明显的暖干化趋势,SPI3表明春、夏、秋三季干旱事件增多,21世纪以来,春旱事件较为频繁,冬季降水略微增加;(2)气温突变发生在1988年,突变后,干旱的比例增加了20.7%,涝的比例增加了9.3%,降水处于"正常"的年份则大幅度减少,对该区极为不利;(3)SPI12低值中心由科尔沁沙地向东北延伸到松嫩平原,干旱面积有大幅度增加的趋势,东北农牧交错带中南部旱化较为严重。[结论]东北农牧交错带暖干化的趋势给该区农牧业带来不利影响,受旱地区应及时启动干旱预警紧急方案,开展抗旱工作。     

Structural characteristics of a low Arctic tundra ecosystem and the retreat of the Arctic fox

We conducted a large-scale, campaign-based survey in Finnmark, northern Norway to evaluate the proposition that declining Arctic fox populations at the southern margin of the Arctic tundra biome result from fundamental changes in the state of the ecosystem due to climatic warming. We utilized the fact that the decline of the Arctic fox in Finnmark has been spatially heterogeneous by contrasting ecosystem state variables between regions and landscape areas (within regions) with and without recent Arctic fox breeding.Within the region of Varanger peninsula, which has the highest number of recorded dens and the most recent breeding records of Arctic fox, we found patterns largely consistent with a previously proposed climate-induced, bottom-up trophic cascade that may exclude the Arctic fox from tundra. Landscape areas surrounding dens without recent Arctic breeding were here more productive than areas with recent breeding in terms of biomass of palatable and climate sensitive plants, the number of insectivorous passerines and predatory skuas. Even the frequency of unspecified fox scats was the highest in landscape areas where arctic fox breeding has ceased, consistent with an invasion of the competitively dominant red fox. The comparisons made at the regional level were not consistent with the results within the Varanger region, possibly due to different causal factors or to deficiencies in Arctic fox monitoring at a large spatial scale. Thus long-term studies and adequate monitoring schemes with a large-scale design needs to be initiated to better elucidate the link between climate, food web dynamics and their relations to Arctic and red foxes.     

气候变暖对邢台市小麦病虫发生规律的影响及其对策

分析了邢台市近年来气温上升对小麦病虫害发生规律及危害的影响,并提出了应对气候变暖、预防和减轻小麦病虫危害的对策:建立和完善小麦病虫害监测预警机制;提高小麦病虫害综合防治的技术水平。     

氮肥施加条件下增温对硝化菌活性和丰度的影响

温度在多种生物地球化学过程中起到关键的调节作用,是影响土壤硝化作用和微生物分布的重要因素之一。硝化过程的第1个步骤由氨氧化细菌(AOB)和氨氧化古菌(AOA)催化,然而,不同施氮量下,增温对硝化菌活性和丰度的影响尚不清楚。本研究基于2008年10月起设立于太行山山前平原的长期增温试验平台(高于地表2m的红外加热器使土壤温度升高1.5℃),于2018年5月对不施氮(N0)和施氮[N1,240kg(N)·hm-2·a-1]下增温分别对0～10 cm和10～20 cm土壤硝化潜势(PNR)、AOA和AOB丰度的影响进行了研究。硝态氮(NO3--N和铵态氮(NH4+-N)含量用分光光度法测量,应用缓冲液培养法测定土壤PNR,提取土壤DNA后用实时荧光定量PCR技术测定功能基因AOA和AOB的丰度。结果表明:温度升高显著增加N1条件下PNR和NO3--N含量(P0.05),降低了N0条件下PNR和NO3--N含量,但差异不显著。N1条件下,增温土壤AOB丰度显著提高(P0.05); N0条件下,增温土壤AOA丰度显著降低(P0.05)。与N0相比, N1条件下的AOA/AOB比值明显降低,表明增温加氮肥处理对AOB的生长刺激更强烈。在增温加施氮条件下,细菌(AOB)表现显著的正反应,在增温不施氮条件下,古菌(AOA)和AOB表现显著的负反应。本研究结果可为全球增温背景下进一步了解硝化活性和氨氧化微生物对增温和氮有效性的响应提供科学依据。     

模拟增温与施肥对高寒草甸土壤酶活性的影响

摘要：采用开顶式生长室模拟增温的方法,研究了气温升高和施肥对高寒草甸土壤酶活性的影响。研究表明,单独增温导致高寒草甸土壤纤维素酶和磷酸酶活性分别提高了12.4%、29.1%,而脲酶活性降低了18.0%,过氧化物酶和多酚氧化酶活性无明显变化,说明增温促进高寒草甸土壤中碳磷循环。在不增温条件下,施肥抑制了土壤纤维素酶、多酚氧化酶和过氧化物酶活性,而施NPK则提高了脲酶和磷酸酶活性。增温条件下,施肥不会引起土壤纤维素酶、多酚氧化酶和过氧化物酶活性的显著变化,而施可溶性碳肥使脲酶活性显著升高（P<0.05）,施NPK使磷酸酶活性显著降低。增温和施肥的交互作用对土壤纤维素酶、过氧化物酶、磷酸酶和脲酶活性有显著影响,而对多酚氧化酶无明显影响。因此,预测在未来气候变暖背景下,高寒草甸土壤中的多种酶活性对施肥的响应可能不显著。     

马尾松毛虫越冬饲养初探

将室内自然温度饲养的第2代马尾松毛虫成虫所产的卵孵化后收集幼虫,分别以自然温度和加温饲养越冬。结果表明,通过加温的方法马尾松毛虫在室内可以继代饲养,室内自然温度越冬饲养1代过程中可以加温饲养3代,加温饲养的马尾松毛虫成虫的产卵量和孵化率与越冬代相比没有明显的差异。