景谷县森林蓄积量遥感估测及其动态变化分析

以云南省景谷县为研究区,基于Landsat5和Landsat8遥感数据,利用2012年和2017年两期全国森林资源连续清查实地调查数据,建立多元逐步回归和随机森林模型对景谷县森林蓄积量进行遥感估测对比研究.结果显示:综合建模精度来看,随机森林法在相同样地数量条件下具有更好的估测效果;从估测结果与林地保护利用规划和林地变...     

基于光合有效辐射瞬时值估算日均值的方法

光合有效辐射是太阳辐射的一部分,是植被进行光合作用和陆地生态系统碳循环的核心因素,对估算植被生产力具有重要影响。本文基于SURFRAD多年观测数据,建立了一个线性回归模型,由上午、下午瞬时光合有效辐射值估算日均值。该模型模拟效果较好,单个观测站的均方误差低于9 W·m^-2,判定系数不低于0.96,并适用于不同经纬度、气候条件和海拔高度下的区域,总的均方误差为8.863 1 W·m^-2,判定系数R2为0.977,表明该模型和方法有较好的可行性和可靠性。     

湘春豆25号秋播高产栽培技术研究

为提高特早熟春大豆湘春豆25号的秋播增产潜力,采用三元二次回归正交旋转组合设计,研究了种植密度、苗前期施复合肥、苗后期施尿素等3个主要栽培因子对湘春豆25号秋播产量的影响.结果表明:种植密度(x1)、苗前期施复合肥(x2)两因子对产量有显著影响,苗后期施尿素(x3)主效不显著,与x1,x2互作显著;湘春豆25号翻秋种植适合高密度、高肥力水平下栽培;中等肥力土壤上栽培,产量2400kg/hm2以上的优化农艺模式有39个,其主要决策因素取值范围:种植密度57.58~61.51万株/hm2,苗前期施复合肥316.8~427.65kg/hm2,苗后期施尿素202.44~284.34kg/hm2.     

钢质海洋渔政船空船重量与重心估算方法研究

在实船资料统计分析和基于船舶基本原理基础上,提出了适合渔政船设计初期空船重量及重心的估算公式,以此分析、整理出的回归方程更具有针对性。将空船重量、重心高度、重心纵向位置的公式计算结果与实船倾斜试验所得值相比较后发现,相对误差符合工程要求,重心纵向位置值亦在允许范围内。本估算方法可以给设计者以前期估算参考。     

Predicting the age of fish using general and generalized linear models of biometric data: A case study of two estuarine finfish from New South Wales, Australia

Direct ageing of fish can be a laborious and expensive task when age estimates from a large population are required, and often involves a degree of subjectivity. This study examined the application of general and generalized linear models that predict the age of fish from a range of efficiently and objectively measured covariates. The data sampled were from yellowfin bream (Acanthopagrus australis (Sparidae) (Owen, 1853)) and sand whiting (Sillago ciliata (Sillaginidae) Cuvier, 1829) populations from New South Wales, Australia. The covariates evaluated in the models were fish length, otolith weight, sex and location (the estuary from which the fish were sampled). Akaike Information Criteria were used for model selection and residual plots of the final models revealed a satisfactory fit to the observations. The best fitting model for each species included all covariates. An additional investigation considered whether general and generalized linear models that predict age from two different categories of biometric information outperform age-length keys with respect to subsequent estimates of total mortality from catch-curve analysis. The two categories of biometric information differed in the ease and cost with which the information could be collected. The first category only included fish length and location as covariates, whilst the second category also included otolith weight and sex. It was found that traditional age-length keys outperformed the predictive models that estimated age from only fish length and location, because the results from the models were prone to significant bias. However, when otolith weight and sex were added as covariates to the predictive models, some of them, including a generalized linear model with a Poisson-distributed response variable, performed similarly to the age-length key. Given that otolith weight and the sex of fish are cheaper to quantify than age from a sectioned otolith in many situations, general or generalized linear models may represent a cheaper and faster method of estimating mortality compared to age-length keys. Such models can also easily incorporate the influence of spatial, temporal and demographic variation.     

基于阵列芯片现场高灵敏同步快速检测粮油中氨基甲酸酯类农药残留混合污染

The quality and safety of agricultural products is the technique focus of the strategy of rural vitaliza⁃tion. Carbamate pesticide residues are seriously threatening the safety of agricultural product and human life and health. Nowadays, the common detection methods are instrument-based for carbamate pesticide residue, which dis⁃ satisfy the request of an on-site rapid, sensitive and simultaneous detection for multiple carbamate pesticide resi⁃ dues. Based on the home-made monoclonal antibodies against carbofuran and carbaryl respectivity, a microarray for rapid and simultaneous detection of multiple carbamate pesticide residues was developed within 30 min. Under the optimized conditions, the limits of detection（LODs）were found to be 0.11 and 0.09 ng/g, while the linear ranges were 0.33-3000 and 0.18-1500 ng/g for carbofuran and carbaryl respectively. By using spiked peanut samples, it recorded recoveries of 88.4%-98.3%, 90.1%-118.8% for carbofuran and carbaryl respectively. The RSD of intraarray were found at 9.0%, 3.5%, while the RSD of inter-array were recorded at 12.3%, 16.3% respectively. The de⁃ tection results of the microarray were highly consistent with that of HPLC-MS/MS. This proposed microarray provid⁃ ed an on-site high-sensitivity, simultaneous and rapid detection of carbofuran and carbaryl, and could be widely used in the fields of agricultural product quality safety, food safety and environmental monitoring.     

基于粗糙集理论的岩质边坡稳定性评价

针对岩质边坡的稳定性评价问题,应用粗糙集理论对既有岩质边坡的失稳实例进行分析,采用遗传算法进行约简,抽取评价知识,建立了规则库。采用不精确推理和默认推理方法开发了岩质边坡稳定性评价专家系统,提出了待评对象与规则不完全匹配情况下的近似推理方法,结合工程实例对该系统进行了测试和验证,并与模糊回归方法进行的比较。     

饲料用秸秆丝化多频快速压缩成型工艺参数优化

为了进一步探明丝化后干玉米秸秆压缩成型的最佳工艺参数,利用WDW-200微机控制电子式万能试验机,以秸秆含水率、最大压缩力(能够压缩成型的最小压缩力)、压缩次数和压缩速度为影响因子,对饲料用玉米秸秆丝化后压缩成型块的松弛比进行了二次回归旋转组合试验研究。建立并分析了4个影响因子对玉米秸秆丝化压缩成型松弛比的回归模型,并进行了验证试验。结果表明:丝化后玉米秸秆压缩成型最佳工艺条件为:含水率为7.8%~18.3%,能够成型的最小压缩力为6.22 MPa,压缩次数为2~6次,压缩速度为128~337 mm/min。在此工艺条件下,干玉米秸秆丝化压缩成型的松弛比在1.2和1.5之间,均能满足实际生产中较低能耗与生产质量的要求。该试验对压缩工艺的优化、压缩设备的研制和了解压缩成型后产品的特性具有参考意义。     

甜瓜贴接嫁接机切削装置工作参数优化与试验

为提高嫁接成活率并解决用工短缺的问题,全自动嫁接机的研发已成为当前热点。该文设计了甜瓜贴接嫁接机的关键部件嫁接苗切削装置,并采用试验方法对该装置的最佳工作参数进行了优化试验。论文在研制出切削装置样机的基础上,以典型的甜瓜嫁接苗为研究对象,选取切削角度、切削半径和切削高度作为试验因素,以砧穗嫁接贴合百分比为试验指标,进行嫁接苗切削装置作业性能的单因素和二次回归正交试验,确定了该装置的最优工作参数,并进行了试验验证。试验结果表明,嫁接苗切削装置的工作参数为切削角度-9°、切削半径39 mm、切削高度30 mm时切削装置切削效果最好,砧穗嫁接贴合百分比为98.2%,可以保证较高的嫁接成活率。切削装置可以成功地完成甜瓜嫁接苗的切削,满足设计要求。该研究为蔬菜全自动嫁接机的研制与开发提供了参考。     

基于MODIS和NOAA数据尺度转换的若尔盖植被变化研究

为获得若尔盖地区较长时间序列的遥感植被指数,采用重采样技术和一元线性回归方法实现了GIMMS NDVI和MODIS NDVI的空间尺度转换和时间尺度外推。结果表明:（1）不同重采样方法对MODIS NDVI数据的影响与空间尺度有关,对GIMMS NDVI数据的影响则与空间尺度关系不大;（2）空间分辨率2.5 km,对不同植被类型可建立GIMMS NDVI和MODIS NDVI数据的一元线性转换关系,利用GIMMS NDVI拟合的结果与MODIS数据的差值统计符合正态分布;（3）1982—2013年,以1998年为节点若尔盖地区的植被先退化后逐渐恢复,尽管近几年植被指数平均水平高于研究初期,但局部地区的植被退化形势仍然比较严峻。