森林资源清查中植被调查与统计技术研究

文章提出了利用森林资源连续清查固定样地进行植被种类和生物量调查的技术方法。此方法通过选择适当时间，提高调查者相关知识，确定样地数量等措施，可满足植物区系调查的要求，对于植被类型确定，植物蕴藏量统计，经济植物开发利用保护的决策，植被演替规律的观测具有实用价值。     

《草业学报》引文统计与分析

对《草业学报》从创刊到１９９６年发表论文的引文数量、引文语种、引文类型、自引率、衰减系数等进行了统计和分析，结果表明，《草业学报》的引文率为８．４６条／篇，引文语种：中文占５８．２０％，英文占４０．９１％，此两项测度值均较高；自引率为２．７６％，衰减系数为３３．９６％，均较低；引文类型主要为期刊，占６７．８６％，其次为图书占２８．４９％。上述统计与分析，可供作者、读者和编者全面了解、评价和改进《草业学报》质量作为参考。     

森林病虫害监测预报软件的开发及应用

森林病虫害监测预报软件是一套用于对测报数据进行统计分析的工具，它包含了农林病虫害监测预报工作中常用的40多种分析方法，本文详细介绍了森林病虫害监测预报软件的开发过程及应用技术。     

森林资源连续清查进界木与漏测木确定标准的研究

对森林资源连续清查中进界木和漏测木传统确定方法进行分析，指出其存在的随意性和缺乏科学性、明确性；提出应用数理统计方法，通过对已往取得数据的分析，制定出科学、合理、明确的标准。并以云南省2002年森林资源连续清查中楚雄州云南松检尺数据对这一方法进行了具体分析。     

我国相思类树种研究文献计量学分析

以中国知网统计的源期刊为依据,通过对1965年3月-2014年10月间有关相思研究论文的发表数量、发表时间、研究内容、发文单位、期刊分布等进行统计分析,了解我国相思研究进展,指出相思树研究的不足之处以及今后研究发展方向。     

A family of segmented polynomial functions for modelling the border effect on the diameter growth of Ayous (Triplochiton scleroxylon K. Schum)

This paper introduces a family of four segmented (or grafted) polynomial functions for modelling the decrease in the diameter of Ayous (Triplochiton scleroxylon K. Schum) with distance from the border of the plantation. The functions, each comprising two segments of second degree or less, were fitted to data collected in the Cameroon rain forest. A comparative assessment of the fit was carried out using criteria such as mean deviation, root mean squared deviation, and fit index.

The border effect extended to 10 m inside the plantation where a 50% decrease in diameter occurred. Beyond that distance, the diameter appeared to be stable except for random variation. The estimated functions performed equally well as they all provided a good fit to the data, with a small bias. Most importantly, they proved to be flexible and thus adaptable to a wide variety of situations.

Recommendations are made concerning setting up a guard area and ways of improving the silviculture of Ayous. Also, the possibilities for an agrisilvipastoral system are explored.     

HJ-1CCD与Landsat-8OLI在呼伦贝尔草原区FPAR反演中的比较分析

光合有效辐射吸收比率(Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation,FPAR)是主要的植物生理参数之一。本研究根据地面实测数据和由HJ-1CCD(Charge-coupled Device,CCD)及Landsat-8OLI(Operational Land Imager,OLI)影像提取的NDVI,分别建立研究区FPAR估算模型,对比分析和评价了CCD和OLI数据在反演研究区FPAR的精度。结果表明,基于CCD和OLI数据计算的NDVI与实测FPAR之间均呈现良好的正相关关系;针对每个基本采样单元(Elementary Sampling Units,ESU),两种数据反演的FPAR具有显著的一致性,且反演值相差甚少;剔除影像中受到云和云影影响的区域,整个研究区利用CCD与OLI数据反演的FPAR相关性好、分布趋势一致,且反演值均值差很小。本研究结果对该区域FPAR的进一步研究具有借鉴和指导意义,在以后的研究中可以尝试使用HJ-1CCD数据。     

Geographic Information System‐Based Analysis of the Spatial and Spatio‐Temporal Distribution of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis in Golestan Province,North‐East of Iran

Zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL), a vector‐borne disease, poses serious psychological as well as social and economic burden to many rural areas of Iran. The main objectives of this study were to analyse yearly spatial distribution and the possible spatial and spatio‐temporal clusters of the disease to better understand spatio‐temporal epidemiological aspects of ZCL in rural areas of an endemic province, located in north‐east of Iran. Cross‐sectional survey was performed on 2983 recorded cases during the period of 2010–2012 at village level throughout the study area. Global clustering methods including the average nearest‐neighbour distance, Moran's I, general G indices and Ripley's K‐function were applied to investigate the annual spatial distribution of the existing point patterns. Presence of spatial and spatio‐temporal clusters was investigated using the spatial and space–time scan statistics. For each year, semivariogram analysis and all global clustering methods indicated meaningful persistent spatial autocorrelation and highly clustered distribution of ZCL, respectively. Eight significant spatial clusters, mainly located in north and northeast of the province, and one space–time cluster, observed in northern part of the province and during the period of September 2010–November 2010, were detected. Comparison of the location of ZCL clusters with environmental conditions of the study area showed that 97.8% of cases in clusters were located at low altitudes below 725 m above sea level with predominantly arid and semi‐arid climates and poor socio‐economic conditions. The identified clusters highlight high‐risk areas requiring special plans and resources for more close monitoring and control of the disease.     

Constraints and possibilities for developing aquaculture

World aquaculture production in 1990 reached some 15 million tonnes, and predictions indicate that future production will reach 19.6 million tonnes by 2000, 37.5 million tonnes by 2010, and 62.4 million tonnes by 2025. Meanwhile, world fisheries production from capture will remain stable at about 100 million tonnes. Thus, all future increase in seafood supplies will have to come from aquaculture.Possibilities for development of aquaculture exist in a number of areas around the world. Technology and natural conditions determine the choice of sites and species to be produced, but current research indicates that a number of new species will be added to the present aquaculture production in the coming years. However, well-known species such as carp, tilapia, trout, salmon, turbot, halibut, cod, and sturgeon will be the most important in the immediate future. Among the crustaceans, shrimp will continue to be an important item, as will various kinds of gastropods and bivalves.Regions with a particular suitability for development of aquaculture include Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Freshwater aquaculture may also be developed on a larger scale in the former Eastern European countries, including the former Soviet Union, but here (and in Africa), political and economic constraints will slow down development for the next decade. A major constraint for development of aquaculture in Africa is the lack of infrastructure, as well as political problems, slow or deficient bureaucracies, and to some extent pollution. In Eastern Europe, development will be hindered by the lack of capital, and uncertainty about the political and economic development. Eastern Europe also has a major environmental problem, which may limit growth within this field. In Asia, space and availability of suitable sites are becoming a problem, as are pollution, diseases, and in some cases overproduction.A general constraint to global development of aquaculture may be price fluctuations, which affect the investment willingness of interested investors. This question must be seen in connection with the economics of operation. As new species are being launched, there is usually a short period of high profits, followed by a period of price reductions, and the collapse of several operators. After such turbulence, serious operators with proper management survive, and go on to operate a reasonably profitable business. The mechanism seems to be true for all new business areas, and does create a problem for sustained investor interest in aquaculture development.     

基于DHI数据的非参数统计方法分析产犊季节对奶牛产奶性状的影响

产犊季节对奶牛产奶有着重要的影响.随着奶牛生产性能测定(DHI)技术的逐渐普及,DHI已经成为提高奶牛场饲养管理水平和牛奶品质的有效工具.通过整理奶牛场多年的DHI检测数据,使用非参数统计方法,分析产犊季节对奶牛产奶性状的影响.结果表明,春秋季节产犊的奶牛产奶性能更高.该研究结果可为奶牛场科学制定奶牛配种和产犊计划、充分挖掘和利用DHI数据提供重要参考.