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81.
82.
Assessing the potential impacts of alternative landscape designs on amphibian population dynamics 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
An individual-based, spatially explicit population model was used to predict the consequences of future land-use alternatives for populations of four amphibian species in two central Iowa (midwest USA) agricultural watersheds. The model included both breeding and upland habitat and incorporated effects of climatic variation and demographic stochasticity. Data requirements of the model include life history characteristics, dispersal behavior, habitat affinities, as well as land use and landcover in geographic information systems databases. Future scenarios were ranked according to change in breeder abundance, saturation, and distribution, compared to baseline conditions. Sensitivity of simulation results to changes in model parameters was also examined. Simulated results suggest that while all four species modeled are likely to persist under present and future scenario conditions, two may be more at risk from future landscape change. Although the study species are all widespread generalists regarded as having a low conservation priority, they depend on wetlands and ponds, increasingly endangered habitats in agricultural landscapes. Broader conservation strategies in the region would ensure that these currently common organisms do not become the endangered species of the future.This revised version was published online in May 2005 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
83.
阿维菌素对十字花科蔬菜主要害虫的生物活性及防治小菜蛾、菜青虫的田间应用研究 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
室内毒力测定表明,阿维菌素对菜青虫、小菜蛾、菜蚜有很高的毒力,LC50分别为0.022、0.12和0.28 mg/L;对甜菜夜蛾和斜纹夜蛾的毒力较差,LC50分别为67.56和165.73 mg/L。阿维菌素不影响小菜蛾卵的孵化率。小菜蛾幼虫随虫龄增大,对阿维菌素的敏感性下降。田间试验表明,阿维菌素4 mg/L和8 mg/L对菜青虫和小菜蛾的防效在95%以上,持效期10~15 d。阿维菌素与高效氯氰菊酯(1∶6)、与杀虫单(1∶299)复配对小菜蛾防治有显著的增效作用和良好的田间效果。 相似文献
84.
咯菌腈对草莓灰霉病Botrytis cinerea的毒力及防效研究初报 总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6
用生长速率法测定了咯菌腈、多菌灵、硫菌·霉威、苯醚甲环唑4种药剂对草莓灰霉病Botrytis cinerea的毒力。结果表明,4种药剂对草莓灰霉菌菌丝的生长都有不同程度的抑制作用,随药剂浓度增加抑制作用增强,其EC50值分别为0.0472、95.7193、0.4854、1.3611 mg/L,其中咯菌腈的毒力最强。田间防治试验结果表明:2.5%咯菌腈FC每667 m2施药量120 mL时防效为83.7%,80 mL时防效为67.7%;65%硫菌·霉威WP每667m2施药量100 g时防效为65.3%。 相似文献
85.
对山西菜田捕食性食蚜蝇优势种及对菜蚜的控制效果进行了研究,菜田常见捕食性食蚜蝇有黑带食蚜蝇,大灰食蚜蝇,斜斑鼓额食蚜蝇,野食蚜蝇,四条小食蚜蝇,短翅细腹食蚜蝇6种,以黑带食蚜蝇种群数量最大,平均占全年发生总量的36.3%,通过对食蚜蝇产卵量,卵化率,幼虫期捕食量和羽化率测试,筛选出的黑带食蚜蝇,大灰食蚜蝇,斜斑鼓额食蚜蝇幼虫对菜蚜均有较强的捕食能力,其中黑带食蚜蝇为山西菜田菜蚜捕食性食蚜蝇优势种,用黑带食蚜蝇三龄幼虫对菜蚜进行防治试验,结果以1:180防效最佳,72h后控制效果达93.5%。 相似文献
86.
87.
88.
Simulating evolution of glyphosate resistance in Lolium rigidum II: past, present and future glyphosate use in Australian cropping 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Glyphosate is a key component of weed control strategies in Australia and worldwide. Despite widespread and frequent use, evolved resistance to glyphosate is rare. A herbicide resistance model, parameterized for Lolium rigidum has been used to perform a number of simulations to compare predicted rates of evolution of glyphosate resistance under past, present and projected future use strategies. In a 30‐year wheat, lupin, wheat, oilseed rape crop rotation with minimum tillage (100% shallow depth soil disturbance at sowing) and annual use of glyphosate pre‐sowing, L. rigidum control was sustainable with no predicted glyphosate resistance. When the crop establishment system was changed to annual no‐tillage (15% soil disturbance at sowing), glyphosate resistance was predicted in 90% of populations, with resistance becoming apparent after between 10 and 18 years when sowing was delayed. Resistance was predicted in 20% of populations after 25–30 years with early sowing. Risks of glyphosate resistance could be reduced by rotating between no‐tillage and minimum‐tillage establishment systems, or by rotating between glyphosate and paraquat for pre‐sowing weed control. The double knockdown strategy (sequential full rate applications of glyphosate and paraquat) reduced risks of glyphosate and paraquat resistance to <2%. Introduction of glyphosate‐resistant oilseed rape significantly increased predicted risks of glyphosate resistance in no‐tillage systems even when the double knockdown was practised. These increased risks could be offset by high crop sowing rates and weed seed collection at harvest. When no selective herbicides were available in wheat crops, the introduction of glyphosate‐resistant oilseed rape necessitated a return to a minimum‐tillage crop establishment system. 相似文献
89.
N. D. Paveley † J. M. Thomas T. B. Vaughan N. D. Havis D. R. Jones 《Plant pathology》2003,52(5):638-647
A function was derived to predict fungicide efficacy when more than one application of a single active ingredient is made to a crop, given parameters describing the dose–response curves of the component single-spray applications. In the function, a second application is considered to act on that proportion of the total pathogen population which was uncontrollable at the time of the first application (represented by the lower asymptote of the dose–response curve for the first treatment), plus any additional part of the population which survived the first application as a result of a finite dose being applied. Data to estimate the single-spray dose–response curve parameters and validate predictions of two-spray programme efficacy were obtained from separate subsets of treatments in four field experiments. A systemic fungicide spray was applied to wheat at a range of doses, at one or both of two times (t1 and t2), in all dose combinations. Observed values of the area under the disease progress curve (AUDPC) for septoria leaf blotch (Mycosphaerella graminicola) were used to construct response surfaces of dose at t1 by dose at t2 for each culm leaf layer. Parameters were estimated from single-spray and zero-dose treatment data only. The model predicted a high proportion (R2 = 71–95%) of the variation in efficacy of the two-spray programmes. AUDPC isobols showed that the dose required at t2 was inversely related to the dose at t1, but the slope of the relationship varied with the relative timings of t1 and t2 in relation to culm leaf emergence. Isobols were curved, so the effective dose – the total dose required to achieve a given level of disease suppression – was lower when administered as two applications. 相似文献
90.
A. van Maanen X.-M. Xu 《European journal of plant pathology / European Foundation for Plant Pathology》2003,109(7):669-682
An epidemic is the progress of disease in time and space. Each epidemic has a structure whose temporal dynamics and spatial patterns are jointly determined by the pathosystem characteristics and environmental conditions. One of the important objectives in epidemiology is to understand such spatio-temporal dynamics via mathematical and statistical modelling. In this paper, we outline common methodologies that are used to quantify and model spatio-temporal dynamics of plant diseases, with emphasis on developing temporal forecast models and on quantifying spatial patterns. Several examples of epidemiological models in cereal crops are described, including one for Fusarium head blight. 相似文献