基于CLUE-S模型县域土地利用情景模拟与碳排放效应分析

土地利用与变化产生的碳排放是国家温室气体排放清单核算中的重要组成部分。该研究以辽宁省沈阳市法库县为研究区域,基于2013年土地利用现状数据,运用CLUE-S模型对法库县2019年土地利用变化格局进行模拟与验证。在此基础上,通过设置基线情景、农业发展、建设发展、生态保护、土地利用结构优化5种模拟情景预测2030年法库县土地利用分布空间格局及各情景下土地利用碳收支状况。结果表明：1）CLUE-S模型对法库县土地利用格局变化具有良好的模拟能力,Kappa系数为0.989 6,模拟总体精度达到99.14%;2）在5种模拟情景中,土地利用结构优化情景下2030年法库县土地资源利用效果最优,是法库县中长期发展阶段较为适宜的土地利用模式;3）法库县2013-2019年碳排放量增长5.53%。5种模拟情景同2019年相比,除生态保护和农业发展情景外,其余模拟情景下法库县碳排放量均呈现增长趋势,其中土地利用结构优化情景增幅最小,为2.29%。研究结果可为法库县土地利用优化布局、国土空间规划编制及碳减排相关政策制订提供参考依据和决策支持,研究方法也可为其他区域土地利用格局预测及碳收支变化提供借鉴。     

改进YOLOv5测量田间小麦单位面积穗数

单位面积穗数是决定小麦产量的主要因素之一。针对人工清点小麦穗数的方法容易受主观因素影响、效率低和图像处理方法鲜有进行系统部署等问题,提出一种注意力模块（Convolutional Block Attention Module,CBAM）与YOLOv5相结合的CBAM-YOLOv5网络结构,通过对特征图进行自适应特征细化,实现更准确的单位面积穗数测量。该研究以本地采集小麦图像数据和网络公开小麦图像数据为数据集,设置输入图像分辨率为1 280,得到CBAM-YOLOv5模型,可以达到0.904的F1分数和0.902的平均精度,测试集计数的平均相对误差为2.56%,平均每幅图像耗时0.045 s,综合对比,CBAM-YOLOv5模型具有显著优势。模型放置于服务器,结合手机端软件和辅助装置,形成单位面积穗数测量系统,实现育种小区麦穗图像实时采集、处理和计数,计数的平均相对误差为2.80%,抗环境干扰性强。该研究方法与装置可以实现田间小麦单位面积穗数的实时在线检测,降低主观误差,具有较高的准确率及较强的鲁棒性,为小麦单位面积穗数快速、准确估测提供一种新的技术和装备支撑。     

Rainfall erosivity and erosivity density through rainfall synthetic series for São Paulo State,Brazil: Assessment,regionalization and modeling

Rainfall is the main cause of erosion of Brazilian soils, which makes assessing the rainfall erosivity factor (RE) and the erosivity density (ED) fundamental for soil and water conservation. Therefore, the objectives of this study were: i) to estimate the RE and ED for São Paulo State, Brazil, using synthetic series of pluviographic data; ii) to define homogeneous regions regarding rainfall erosivity; and iii) to generate regression models for rainfall erosivity estimates in each of the homogeneous regions. Synthetic series of pluviographic data were initially obtained on a sub-daily scale from the daily rainfall records of 696 rainfall gauges. The RE values were then estimated from the synthetic rainfall data, and ED was calculated from the relationship between erosivity and rainfall amounts. Monthly and annual maps for RE and ED were obtained. Hierarchical clustering analysis was used to define homogeneous regions in terms of rainfall erosivity, and regionalized regression models for estimating RE were generated. The results demonstrate high spatial variability of RE in São Paulo, where the highest annual values were observed in the coastal region. December to March concentrate approximately 60% of the intra-annual erosivity. The highest values of annual ED were observed in regions with intense agricultural activity. The definition of five homogeneous regions concerning the rainfall erosive potential evidenced distinct seasonal patterns of the spatial distribution of erosivity. Finally, the high predictive accuracy of the regionalized models obtained characterizes them as essential tools for reliable estimates of rainfall erosivity, and contribute to better soil conservation planning.     

中卫市蛋鸡产业可持续发展对策

通过调查,分析了近年来中卫市蛋鸡产业发展存在的问题,提出了科学规划、生态养殖、循序改造养殖老区等蛋鸡产业发展的对策。     

建水县林业生态建设现状及发展对策初探

通过分析建水县林业生态建设现状及存在的问题,结合我县当前的生态环境形势,提出林业生态建设的奋斗目标及发展对策,以期为更好推动建水县林业生态建设的可持续发展提供一定的指导依据。     

我国海洋休闲渔业发展模式初探 --以舟山蚂蚁岛省级休闲渔业示范基地为例的实证分析

休闲渔业已经成为我国海洋旅游的新亮点和海岛经济发展的新兴产业。本文通过分析舟山蚂蚁岛成功打造省级休闲渔业示范基地的模式，提出海洋休闲渔业的发展应注重挖掘海洋文化和地方特色，与旅游等三产发展相结合，与落实“五个统筹”、建设社会主义现代化新型渔农村以及构建和谐社会相结合，并探讨了我国海洋休闲渔业的发展模式。提出了规划要科学化、统筹化，经营要产业化、集约化，管理要规范化、法制化，发展要可持续化等对策建议。     

Risk factor analysis for sea lice, Caligus rogercresseyi, levels in farmed salmonids in southern Chile

Sea lice, Caligus rogercresseyi, are ectoparasitic copepods, which severely affect the salmon farming industry in southern Chile, reducing the health status of fish and producing both direct and indirect economic losses. Local farmers have reported increasing infestation levels since 2004, reaching a peak in 2007. In response to this situation, the Chilean Fisheries Service (Sernapesca) developed a surveillance programme; the first step of which consisted of a general survey of salmon farms. This survey included documenting counts of parasite burdens on fish and measurements of several husbandry and environmental factors providing an evaluation of risk factors for the observed infestation levels. The information collected was analysed using a linear mixed model technique, which takes into account the clustered structure of data, decomposing the unexplained variation and assigning it to different aggregation levels of the productive system. Geographical zones, fish species, treatment against sea lice performed 1 month before sampling, stocking density, fish weight and water salinity were the variables significantly associated with sea lice burdens. In contrast, treatments performed 2-3 months before sampling, use of photoperiod in sea cages and water temperature, were not significant. There was significant unexplained variation at all aggregation levels, i.e. sub-zone, fish farm and cage level, with the fish farm level showing the greatest variation.     

调亏灌溉条件下冬小麦籽粒灌浆特征及其模拟模型

在移动式防雨棚下,采用盆栽土培方法,以冬小麦（Triticum aestivum L.）为试验材料进行了调亏灌溉（regulated deficit irrigation,RDI）试验研究,目的在于了解RDI对冬小麦籽粒灌浆特性的影响,并对其进行模拟,为建立冬小麦RDI指标与模式提供理论依据与技术参数。试验采用二因素（水分调亏阶段和调节亏水度）随机区组设计。结果表明,RDI条件下冬小麦籽粒灌浆过程符合“缓-快-慢”的“S”型生长曲线,并可用Richards方程进行较好的模拟;不同水分调亏处理间最大灌浆速率及其出现时间、平均灌浆速率、灌浆持续期、活跃生长期和3个灌浆阶段灌浆持续期,以及最终千粒质量等特征参数差异达显著水平;其中,越冬期轻度调亏具有最高的平均灌浆速率（每百粒0.234 g/d）、最大灌浆速率（每百粒0.369 g/d）、最高的第3阶段灌浆速率（每百粒0.099 g/d）和最高的千粒质量（58.46 g）。经相关和逐步回归分析灌浆参数与千粒质量的关系,结果表明,多数参数间存在着显著或极显著的相关性,其中,与千粒质量有显著或极显著相关关系的参数有最大灌浆速率、平均灌浆速率、活跃生长期和第3阶段灌浆速率等。     

“玉米带”改种多年生草类后对农田排水的水文效应模拟

该文针对美国密西西比河上游明尼苏达州农田排水氮素流失严重,近年来又大力发展生物燃料产业的现状,采用田间水文模型——DRAINMOD模拟分析了玉米-大豆轮作区改种多年生草类后对农田排水的水文效应。结果表明改种多年生草后,植物耗水量的增加使得农田排水量明显减少;较深的草根系,尤其是在干旱年份消耗了大量的深层土壤水,降低了地下水位。种草后的生物排水量远远大于其他工程措施（如增加排水间距或潜埋排水管等）,可显著减少农田排水氮素流失对水环境的影响。     

基于SWAP和MODFLOW模型的引黄灌区用水管理策略

大部分引黄灌区并没有实现地表水和地下水的合理利用,存在着水源浪费和地下水过度开采等问题。为了合理调配水资源,该文以河南柳园口灌区为背景,运用SWAP和Visual-MODFLOW分别建立了土壤水分运动模型和地下水三维非稳定流模型,用实测资料进行了率定和验证。利用SWAP模型模拟了2006年至2007年不同灌溉标准条件下的灌溉制度,提出了适宜的灌水控制标准,并且根据提出的灌水控制标准对多年的灌溉制度及不同地下水埋深下的灌水量及产量状况进行了模拟,得到了地下水埋深适宜范围。由SWAP模拟的灌溉制度确定地下水开采并且根据不同的种植结构和井渠灌溉比拟定了7个方案,利用MODFLOW模型对灌区地下水系统对各方案的响应进行模拟。结果表明,北部引黄量的30%采用抽取地下水并把节省的引黄量输送到南部,可以使地下水埋深基本控制在适宜的范围之内,并能有效地减少潜水蒸发。