日本金龟子在中国适生区的预测

日本金龟子PopilliajaponicaNewman是一种重要的害虫 ,主要危害草坪和观赏植物。日本金龟子原产日本 ,现在已经分布于许多国家 ,并且造成了严重的经济损失。目前中国尚未有该虫分布。本文通过以计算机为基础的生态气候模型—CLIMEX ,利用气候数据来预测日本金龟子适合的地理分布区 ,预测结果是日本金龟子可以在中国大约 31个市、县地区生存 ,主要是沿海地区和长江流域 ,尤其是中国的中东部地区     

移动信息服务在农村地区初始采纳的实证研究

建设社会主义新农村是我国政府的重要任务,而新农村建设的关键任务之一是推进具有信息化特征的现代农业。在农村地区信息化背景下,研究驱动农村用户采纳移动信息服务的主要因素。根据使用移动信息服务的内部动机和外部动机,主要研究娱乐、信息、社会互动、长期在线和方便性等5个因素并建立了模型。根据实证数据验证了模型,最后得到了一些重要结论,反映了农村地区在移动信息服务采纳中的现状,可为电信部门推广农村业务提供帮助。     

Two faces to the greenery on housing estates–mitigating climate but aggravating allergy. A Warsaw case study

Interest in the climate and an awareness of the beneficial cooling influence exerted on it by biologically-vital areas is growing, as climate change progresses, hot weather is more frequent as well as the urban heat island more intense. It is necessary to protect existing greenery in the cities and to introduce new planting. However plants in a warmer climate can produce larger amounts of pollen and are more readily able to initiate an allergic reaction among those prone to them. That means—not every greenery is advantageous for humans in the cities. In the research two housing estates built at different times and differ in type, density and age of buildings, as well as in the composition and the percentage of biologically vital area and the species planted were examined. Detailed inventory of tall greenery entailed the trees and shrubs and next their assumed allergenic potential was made. Cooling effect likely is derived from the difference in greenery, but the other factors such as differences in the density of buildings and spatial organization of the estate could also influence it. The older estate with the ratio of biologically vital areas of 54.3% is characterised by more favourable local climate than the newer estate, with the ratio of biologically vital areas equals 40.7% and young vegetation. On the newer one the perceptible thermal conditions did not differ significantly compared with the city centre. Unfortunately, on Koło Estate trees creating mild thermal conditions are also the trees promoting allergies most severely: birches, poplars and limes. And they are planted usually around playgrounds and kindergarten. The trees of high allergenicity should be partially removed, even risking small worsening thermal conditions.     

浙南山区杨梅大棚促早栽培技术研究

本研究选择‘东魁’杨梅为试验材料,以露地栽培为对照,研究大棚设施促早栽培对‘东魁’杨梅的物候期、产量、品质、效益的影响效应。经过3年的试验,通过对‘东魁’杨梅物候期的记载,产量、效益的统计,单果质量、可溶性固形物、总糖、总酸、钾含量、Vc含量等质量指标的检测,综合分析结果表明,东魁杨梅大棚栽培促早、提质、增效效果显著。本研究对优化和推广杨梅大棚促早栽培技术具有重要意义,对山区农民增收提供示范案例。     

非农就业质量如何影响山区农户土地转出稳定性——基于浙江省4县480户农户的观察

为厘清非农就业质量对山区农户土地转出稳定性的影响机制,基于2021年浙江省山区4县480户农户调查数据,采取OLS、Heckman两阶段以及2SLS等模型开展实证研究,同时采取Probit模型检验作用机制并结合案例加以佐证。结果表明：1）非农就业质量的改善激励山区农户提高土地转出的稳定性。2）非农就业质量显著影响老一代农户和“体制外”农户土地转出的稳定性,但是对新生代农户和“体制内”农户的影响不显著,同时,非农就业质量对土地转出稳定性的影响并不因为就业距离的远近而产生差异;3）非农就业质量影响土地转出稳定性的作用机制在于强化农户的城市融入意愿、弱化农户对地租的偏好以及弱化土地的社会保障功能。相关政策需要致力于提升山区农户的非农就业质量,提升和完善非农就业的稳定性、收入和保障制度。     

国际有机农业运动的发展历程对中国有机产业的启示

为深入探讨国际有机农业和中国有机产业的发展历程,以其整体发展情况为研究对象,利用对比研究法和经验总结法,对国际有机农业和中国有机产业的发展历程进行了回溯和对比。结果表明：1）20世纪初,科学和技术的发展推动了现代农业的发展进展。在整体论和还原论这2种不同观点指导下,现代农业分化成有机农业和常规农业2大体系,两者既矛盾又统一;2）国际有机农业理念多样,经历了起源、发展壮大和迈向主流化等3个发展阶段,分别称为有机1.0、2.0和3.0阶段。3）20世纪90年代,有机农业主要以农产品认证的形式正式被引入国内,国内对其理念、政策、人才和技术尚未成体系。因此,中国有机产业虽然市场发展快速,但是面临生产端需要更高质量发展的境况;4）基于还原论的常规农业是机械唯物主义在农业领域的表现,与以辩证唯物主义与历史唯物主义为指导的中国特色的社会主义农业农村现代化终将存在分歧。中国农业现代化不能只是侧重常规农业,更必须发展以整体论为指导的有机农业。总之,有机产业在中国取得了优异的成果,同时也正面临巨大挑战。在新常态下,中国有机产业应着力建立起全面的科学哲学、科学与技术以及产业与实践体系,以满足消费者对有机理念到产品与服务的多维度需求。     

Impacts of lost fishing gear on coral reef sessile invertebrates in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

The Florida Keys coral reef ecosystem supports multimillion-dollar commercial and recreational fisheries. The ecological effects caused by fishing gear that is lost when cut or broken after snagging on the bottom is a growing concern to managers and scientists. Few data exist, however, to assess the impacts of lost fishing gear to benthic organisms and habitat structure. In this study, 63 offshore coral reef and hard-bottom sites were surveyed during 2001 to quantify the impacts of lost fishing gear to coral reef sessile invertebrates. Lost hook-and-line fishing gear accounted for 87% of all debris (N=298 incidences) encountered and was responsible for 84% of the 321 documented impacts to sponges and benthic cnidarians, predominantly consisting of tissue abrasion causing partial individual or colony mortality. Branching gorgonians (Octocorallia) were the most frequently affected (56%), followed by milleporid hydrocorals (19%) and sponges (13%). Factors affecting the impacts of lost fishing gear include sessile invertebrate density, the density of lost fishing gear, and gear length. While lost hook-and-line fishing gear is ubiquitous in the Florida Keys, less than 0.2% of the available milleporid hydrocorals, stony corals, and gorgonians in the habitats studied are adversely affected in terms of colony abrasions and partial mortality.     

农村科技需求的情报调研分析

本文针对农村科技需求进行了问卷调查。结果表明，农民对新技术需求最为强烈是良种、新的种植、养殖技术和防病防疫技术。最信赖的农技服务组织是政府的农技推广站。     

少数民族连片特困地区农户多维贫困测度及影响因素分析

构建了包含思想观念、普通话水平等内容的农户多维贫困指标体系,基于2017年微观调查数据,利用A-F方法测度了南疆三地州连片特困地区农户多维贫困状况,并进一步从家庭特征、村庄特征和县域特征方面系统地探究农户多维贫困的影响因素。结果表明:该地区农户贫困多元化特征显著,多维贫困发生率较高,从维度分解看,思想观念、普通话水平和收入对多维贫困的贡献最大。对农户家庭劳动力开展职业技能培训、改善农户生产生活自然条件、村文化基础设施建设、提高教育基础设施可达性、通村公路建设和增加县公共财政投入可以显著降低农户陷入多维贫困的可能性。     

新疆农牧区贫困户参与旅游精准扶贫行为

以新疆农牧区贫困户为研究对象,采用计划行为理论模型以及双槛模型的方法,研究了影响贫困户的参与行为,以期提出减贫路径。结果表明:农牧民是否参与旅游精准扶贫的行为前提为是否有一定的参与意愿。贫困户的个人特征中,家庭创业、人均纯收入、通用电对参与旅游精准扶贫产生了正向的促进作用,与村主干路距离、外出务工人员、思想动力不足导致的贫困对参与旅游精准扶贫产生了负面影响;在行为规范中,指令性规范、示范性规范、合作态度对旅游精准扶贫中的前景看好、知觉行为控制力对农牧民参与旅游精准扶贫产生了正面影响。