输华去皮毛椰子传带有害生物的风险分析研究

按照FAO国际植物检疫措施标准的有害生物风险分析框架,对越南、印尼、菲律宾、马来西亚、印度和泰国输华去皮毛椰子可能携带的有害生物进行了分析。明确这6个国家椰子上的有害生物173种,其中昆虫138种,螨7种,软体动物1种,线虫9种,真菌15种,类病毒1种,原核生物2种。凡在中国没有分布或局部有分布且处于官方控制下的有害生物都作为潜在的检疫性有害生物,共筛选出52种,对这52种潜在的检疫性有害生物作进一步评估,确定中方关注的输华去皮毛椰子中度风险以上的有害生物6种,其中高度风险2种,中度风险4种。并提出了风险管理措施,建议将这6种的潜在的检疫性有害生物作为输入去皮毛椰子的检疫性有害生物写入相关议定书中,要求不得携带。     

基于CLIMEX模型的玉蜀黍霜指霉菌入侵风险分析

为明确我国禁止进境的植物检疫性有害生物——玉蜀黍霜指霉菌Peronosclerospora maydis在中国的适生性以及入侵风险,采用CLIMEX 2.0软件分析其适生性,用ArcGIS 10.2软件确定其适生范围和适生程度,并采用多指标综合评判法量化分析其入侵我国的风险等级。结果表明,玉蜀黍霜指霉菌在我国的适生范围主要分布在长江以南的西南山地丘陵玉米种植区和南方丘陵玉米种植区,高适生区主要分布在云南、贵州、四川、重庆、广东、广西、湖南、江西、福建、海南和台湾等省 （区、市）。玉蜀黍霜指霉菌作为专性寄生菌,可在玉米整个生长季侵染危害,经多指标综合评判法分析并计算得到其风险综合评价值R为2.12,表明该病菌入侵我国的风险等级属高度危险,一旦入侵,势必对粮食安全、农业安全和生态安全带来巨大威胁,建议加强检疫监测,严防该病菌入侵。     

兽药中非法添加物检测及风险防范技术研究

本文总结了近年来兽药中非法添加的规律,分析成因;全面梳理现有检测标准,对非法添加物检测方法的检测对象和目标药物进行统计分析,研究检测方法发展及内在联系。在非法添加物检测方法提升和风险防范方面进行思考,提出筛查与确证方法并重、进一步扩大检测方法适用性、加强高效、高通量检测技术研究、拓展非法添加物检测品种范围;加强检查与宣传、疏堵结合,全面减少非法添加风险。     

有风险投资与无风险投资组合的研究

本研究通过引入单位风险的概念，并结合有效边界上的单位风险极小点，给出了各种情况下有风险投资和无风险投资的最优组合方案。     

Contribution of contact toxicity and wheat condition to mortality of stored-product insects exposed to spinosad

Spinosad, a reduced-risk commercial insecticide derived from a bacterial fermentation product, possesses both contact and oral toxicities against insects. Contact toxicity of spinosad to adults of Rhyzopertha dominica (F), Sitophilus oryzae (L), and Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) was evaluated by exposure for 24 or 48 h to treated glass Petri dishes. Adults were exposed to different deposits (0.001-0.79 mg cm(-2)) of spinosad in 24-h tests and to deposits of 0, 0.0016 and 0.016mg cm(-2) in 48-h tests. Rhyzopertha dominica was most susceptible to spinosad in 24- and 48-h tests, followed by S. oryzae, and T. castaneum. The 24-h LD50 values were 0.0004, 0.077 and 0.189mg cm(-2) for R. dominica, S. oryzae, and T. castaneum, respectively. All R. dominica adults were dead following 48 h exposure to both spinosad deposits, whereas mortality of S. oryzae and T. castaneum ranged from 10 to 85% and 12 to 48%, respectively. Rhyzopertha dominica, T. castaneum, and O. surinamensis adults were exposed for 14 days to whole wheat, cracked wheat and wheat flour treated with 0, 0.1 and 1.0 mg kg(-1) of spinosad. Rhyzopertha dominica adults were highly susceptible to spinosad, followed by O. surinamensis and T. castaneum. Immatures (eggs and larvae) of T. castaneum and O. surinamensis exposed for 14 days were more susceptible on spinosad-treated whole wheat than on treated cracked wheat and wheat flour. This is the first report documenting contact activity of spinosad, and the effect of grain condition on spinosad toxicity, to stored-product insects.     

Paediatric HUS Cases Related to the Consumption of Raw Milk Sold by Vending Machines in Italy: Quantitative Risk Assessment Based on Escherichia coli O157 Official Controls over 7 years

A quantitative risk assessment (RA) was developed to estimate haemolytic‐uremic syndrome (HUS) cases in paediatric population associated with the consumption of raw milk sold in vending machines in Italy. The historical national evolution of raw milk consumption phenomenon since 2008, when consumer interest started to grow, and after 7 years of marketing adjustment, is outlined. Exposure assessment was based on the official Shiga toxin‐producing Escherichia coli O157:H7 (STEC) microbiological records of raw milk samples from vending machines monitored by the regional Veterinary Authorities from 2008 to 2014, microbial growth during storage, consumption frequency of raw milk, serving size, consumption preference and age of consumers. The differential risk considered milk handled under regulation conditions (4°C throughout all phases) and the worst time–temperature field handling conditions detected. In case of boiling milk before consumption, we assumed that the risk of HUS is fixed at zero. The model estimates clearly show that the public health significance of HUS cases due to raw milk STEC contamination depends on the current variability surrounding the risk profile of the food and the consumer behaviour has more impact than milk storage scenario. The estimated HUS cases predicted by our model are roughly in line with the effective STEC O157‐associated HUS cases notified in Italy only when the proportion of consumers not boiling milk before consumption is assumed to be 1%. Raw milk consumption remains a source of E. coli O157:H7 for humans, but its overall relevance is likely to have subsided and significant caution should be exerted for temporal, geographical and consumers behaviour analysis. Health education programmes and regulatory actions are required to educate people, primarily children, on other STEC sources.     

Development,implementation and impact of simple patient safety interventions in a university teaching hospital

ObjectiveTo determine the incidence of anesthesia patient safety incidents at a university teaching hospital, develop interventions to address the most common incidents, and determine the effectiveness of these interventions.Study designPre-post intervention observational.AnimalsFour thousand, one hundred forty dogs and cats anesthetized by the anesthesia service.MethodsThe study was divided into two 11.5 month periods. During each period, incidents were logged (e.g. closed adjustable pressure limiting (APL) valve, esophageal intubation, and medication error). At the end of the first period, four countermeasures were incorporated into the service’s protocols: 1) prior to any drug injection, the individual would read out aloud the drug name, patient name, and route of administration; 2) use of a uniquely colored occlusive wrap over arterial catheters; 3) a check box on the anesthesia record labeled “Technician Confirmed Intubation”; 4) a check box on the anesthesia record labeled “Technician Checked OR (operating room)”. The number of patient safety incidents during period 1 and period 2 were compared using Fisher’s Exact Test.ResultsDuring Period 1, there were 74 incidents documented in 2028 patients (3.6%) including 25 medication errors, 20 closed APL valves, and 16 of esophageal intubation. During Period 2, there were 30 incidents documented in 2112 patients (1.4%) including 14 medication errors, 5 closed APL valves, and 4 of esophageal intubation. The proportion of events during Period 2 was significantly smaller than during Period 1 (p < 0.0001).Conclusions and Clinical relevanceImplementation of four simple interventions was associated with a significant decrease in the number of incidents.     

我国羊隐孢子虫感染情况及危险因素

隐孢子虫是可以感染小反刍动物的肠道原生生物,具有潜在的公共卫生学问题.隐孢子虫可引起人和动物的腹泻和肠道疾病,严重情况下会出现死亡.被感染的动物可能是人畜共患型隐孢子虫的宿主,可引起公共卫生风险、农场利润减少和动物福利等问题.隐孢子虫病已被报道是新生牛、羊等反刍动物腹泻和死亡的一个重要原因,认为是新生羔羊腹泻的第二大诱...     

柴达木盆地盐湖资源开发的市场条件分析

本文结合柴达木盐湖资源开发 ,对国内盐湖化工产品 ,主要是钾盐、镁盐、钠盐、锂盐、溴、碘、硼的市场需求进行分析 ,供开发决策时参考     

Eco‐efficiency as a strategy for optimizing the sustainability of pest management

Agricultural industrialization and the subsequent reliance on pesticides has resulted in numerous unintended consequences, such as impacts upon the environment and by extension human health. Eco‐efficiency is a strategy for sustainably increasing production, while simultaneously decreasing these externalities on ecological systems. Eco‐efficiency is defined as the ratio of production to environmental impacts. It has been widely adopted to improve chemical production, but we investigate the challenges of applying eco‐efficiency to pesticide use. Eco‐efficiency strategies include technological innovation, investment in research and development, improvement of business processes, and accounting for market forces. These components are often part of integrated pest management (IPM) systems that include alternatives to pesticides, but its implementation is often thwarted by commercial realities and technical challenges. We propose the creation and adoption of an eco‐efficiency index for pesticide use so that the broad benefits of eco‐efficient strategies such as IPM can be more readily quantified. We propose an index based upon the ratio of crop yield to a risk quotient (RQ) calculated from pesticide toxicity. Eco‐efficiency is an operational basis for optimizing pest management for sustainability. It naturally favors adoption of IPM and should be considered by regulators, researchers, and practitioners involved in pest management. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry