蔬菜大棚墒情预报的衰减指数平滑模型

利用宿迁市船行灌区实测数据率定衰减指数平滑模型的参数,研究了衰减指数平滑模型在蔬菜大棚墒情预报中的适用性。结果表明,与霍尔特双参数模型相比,衰减指数平滑模型改善了预报效果,用于蔬菜大棚墒情预报具有较高的精度。     

泉州平原作物生长季和夏旱期降水量叠加预测模式及其应用

采用时间序列分析方法,对最能代表整个泉州平原降水情况的晋江气象站１９６０～１９９６ 年共３７ ａ 中３～１１ 月（作物生长季）和７～９ 月（夏旱期）２ 段时间的降水量资料进行统计,同时分析了该地区的降水量变化规律,获得了该地区上述２ 段时间的降水量模式,进而提出了防御干旱的措施,     

罗斯308祖代肉种鸡生长期性能监测和生长曲线拟合

选用从美国安伟捷公司引进的1日龄罗斯308祖代D系肉种鸡10 823只,监测其0~20周的生长性能和生活力性状,并采用Logistic、Gompertz和Von Bertalanffy 3种非线性数学模型对其生长曲线进行拟合。结果表明:罗斯308祖代D系肉种鸡在良好的饲养管理下生长发育正常、均匀度较高,死淘率低;3种数学模型均能很好地拟合罗斯祖代D系肉种鸡的生长曲线,拟合度均在0.98以上,比较拟合度、成熟体重、生长拐点、最大周增重等指标,以Von Bertalanffy方程的拟合效果为最佳。     

Flexible exchange of farming device data

A new trend in the farming business is to replace conventional farming devices with computerized farming devices. Accordingly, numerous computer-based farming devices for logging, processing and exchanging data have recently been installed on moving farm machinery such as tractors. The exchange of data generally takes place between the devices and farming systems, mostly installed at the premises of farmers, contractors, advisory services, etc. In most cases, data exchange is based on farming data exchange standards and is bi-directional. Bi-directional data exchange allows different devices and systems to exchange data based on a predefined set of rules. In consequence, many hand-coded data exchange solutions have been developed in the farming business. Although efforts regarding incorporating data exchange standards have been made, their actual usage so far has been limited, due to the fact that hand-coded bi-directional data exchange solutions have proven themselves too complex to maintain. Maintenance need to occur as requirements change frequently and the existing data exchange techniques lack flexibility with regards to efficient requirements change management. In addition, requirements change results in managing low-level code rather than a high-level specifications. This paper presents a bi-directional data exchange solution in the farming business that is based on high-level specifications without any need for hand-coding. The proposed solution supports ISOBUS based bi-directional data exchange as well as efficient requirements change management through a graphical user interface. The paper also demonstrates the use of the proposed solution based on a farming case study and open source technologies.     

马尾松毛虫有虫面积预测模型的研究

运用人工神经网络的原理和方法 ,根据相关系数法选取与台州市 7个县 (市、区 )马尾松毛虫有虫面积相关关系都比较密切的 14个气象因子 ,然后进行主成分分析 ,在此基础上 ,将前 6个主成分的主坐标值作为样本的输入特征 ,建立以 7个县 (市、区 )马尾松毛虫有虫面积为期望输出的BP网络预测模型 ,结果表明 :所建立的BP模型 ,具有令人满意的拟合精度和预测精度。当隐含层神经元个数为 4个时 ,7个县 (市、区 ) 3组预留有虫面积 3a预测结果的卡方检验为 :η=7.2 92 0 相似文献   

Modelling the escape of Chondrostereum purpureum spores from a larch forest with biological control of Prunus serotina

Chondrostereum purpureum is being developed as a microbial herbicide to controlPrunus serotina in coniferous forests. After biological control, the fungus produces basidiospores that may reach and infect non-target plants. As part of a risk analysis, spore escape from a forest was quantified. For this purpose, a stratified model was developed for a forest of 250 m with 250 m. A turbulent diffusion equation was used to describe spore fluxes for each layer.In a simple calculation procedure, the spore fluxes for the different layers were calculated simultaneously. The downwind escape fraction was found to vary from 0.19 to 0.45, and the upward escapte fraction from 0.07 to 0.23. These escape fractions increased with increasing wind speed.Number of spores released from basidiocarps, and escape fractions could be used as inputs for a Gaussian plume model to calculate spore immission into orchards.     

深松旋耕全层施肥联合整地机施肥量影响因素分析

针对深松旋耕全层施肥联合整地机在作业过程中存在施肥不均、精度较低等现象,对影响施肥量因素进行分析,确定排肥轴转速、排肥器开度以及肥箱料位高度为影响因素,设计三因素五水平正交试验,以施肥量变异系数为评价指标,进行极差分析和方差分析得出影响因素主次顺序:肥箱料位高度>排肥轴转速>排肥器开度,其中料位高度对施肥量变异系数的影响高度显著,为后续肥箱肥料监测系统提供理论基础。施肥量变异系数在0.19%~3.12%之间,满足试验要求。运用最小二乘法建立施肥量关于排肥轴转速、排肥器开度和肥箱料位高度之间的数学模型。经检验:数学模型值与实测值的相关系数达到0.889,可以作为施肥精量控制相关技术参数的选择依据。