谈抚育间伐间隔期内林分的动态分析

本文论述了抚育间伐间隔期的确定,并对林分在抚育间伐间隔期林木径阶、平均直径、平均高以及活地被物的动态变化进行了分析。     

考虑风险价值的不确定性水资源优化配置

保障区域农业用水的可持续发展,对水资源进行优化配置至关重要。由于粮食主产区水资源配置过程中存在许多不确定性因素,在追求最小用水成本时,也存在着较大的风险,因此该文以三江平原涵盖的七台河、佳木斯、双鸭山、鹤岗和鸡西5个重要粮食主产区为研究区域,以区间两阶段随机规划模型为基础,引入风险偏好,构建地表水和地下水优化配置模型。结果表明,双鸭山和鸡西的配水过程中地表水缺水量很大,主要开采利用地下水;佳木斯作为粮食生产面积较大的行政区,需要外来水进行补给;七台河和鹤岗的种植面积较小,综合考虑引水成本和粮食收益,引用较少的外来水来降低成本;最后得出不同来水水平下,各种风险偏好下水资源优化配置的最小成本的变化规律,即在低来水水平下,用水成本从344.2×108~355.4×108元增加到411.5×108~430.7×108元;在高来水水平下,总用水成本从422.5×108~435.3×108元降低到351.7×108~365.3×108元;在中来水水平时,总用水成本则呈现出先增加后减少的规律。该模型兼有区间两阶段和风险价值模型的特点,综合衡量成本和风险,可有效节约用水成本,并能增强水资源系统规避风险的能力,并以佳木斯2014年实际用水为例,计算得到相对误差在15%以内,较为真实地反映水资源优化配置过程中的不确定性和风险性,为提高水资源利用效率和区域水资源规划管理提供依据。     

草地划区轮牧饲养原则及设计

为了推进北方草地可持续集约放牧饲养管理,促进完善划区轮牧实验设计及目的,本文总结了放牧国际划区轮牧的10条原则:单位时间的产草量确定载畜率,拔节期指示春季放牧开始时间,开始恢复再生的时间决定放牧时间天数,放牧间隔日数决定放牧频次,计算确定区块数及区块面积,满足牲畜采食行为,充分利用饲草质量和营养,保证牲畜饮水充足,环境友好、易执行、可操作、有弹性。在此基础上,设计了1个划区轮牧实践参考方案,并论述了划区轮牧目标及管理评价标准,讨论了1条北方草地可持续集约养羊畜牧业的发展途径。     

Effects of vertical hedge interval of vetiver grass on erosion on steep agricultural lands

Vetiver grass is widely used to reduce soil erosion and has been applied in many areas of the world. However, studies of the effect of vertical hedge intervals on runoff, soil loss and outflow sediment size distribution under a steep slope area are rare. The vetiver grass system (VGS) with three vertical hedge intervals (0·75, 1·5 and 3 m) and no hedgerow were tested at three land slopes (30, 40 and 50 per cent) under three simulated rainfall intensities (60, 85 and 110 mm h⁻¹). It has been observed that vetiver grass (Vetiveria nemoralis) has great potential for reducing runoff and soil loss by about 38·7–68·6 and 56·2–87·9 per cent, respectively. The vetiver strips delayed incipient runoff and reduced peak runoff rate and steady erosion rate. The land slope affected soil loss but did not have a significant effect on runoff. A narrow vetiver hedge interval slightly reduced runoff and soil loss more than a wider one. The soil loss equation obtained in this study revealed that runoff has a higher effect on soil loss. The median sediment size that passed through the vetiver strip increased with rainfall intensity and was mostly dominated by very fine sand, silt and clay. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

黑龙江省农业企业内部绩效评价

随着农业产业化的推进,农业企业得到较快发展,为了实现农业企业的科学管理,要求对农业企业内部绩效进行评价。网络区间DEA方法是将农业企业分为若干个非完全独立的子系统,每个子系统中包括输入、输出和中间变量。笔者在大量理论研究的基础上,采用网络DEA方法和区间DEA方法相结合,建立农业企业绩效评价的模型,并利用DPS数据处理软件进行求解,然后对黑龙江省农业企业的内部绩效进行研究,进而找出农业企业内部绩效的影响因素,对其进行深入分析,最后提出农业企业内部绩效改进的方法策略。农业企业每个部门经营的绩效高,减少了农业企业各部门不必要资源的投入,提升了农业企业的内部绩效水平。     

基于三端点区间数的变权模糊综合评判模型研究

为有效控制主观评价对评判结果的影响,基于三端点区间数,引入决策因子定义其期望值算子,从而提出一种三端点区问数的变权模糊综合评判模型。该模型通过综合不同偏好的决策者的评判信息给出准确、科学的评判结果。最后通过数值实例验证模型的有效性。     

Influence of 2nd-degree AV blocks,ECG recording length,and recording time on heart rate variability analyses in horses

Objectives

To assess the influence of 2nd-degree AV blocks (AVB) on RR interval-based heart rate variability (HRV) variables; to investigate the effect of using PP interval time series and of artifact filtering on HRV analyses; to investigate the influence of electrocardiogram (ECG) recording length and time of recording; and to calculate day-to-day variability and reference intervals of HRV variables.

Evaluation of reticulocyte hemoglobin content (RET‐He) in the diagnosis of iron‐deficient erythropoiesis in dogs

Background

Reticulocyte hemoglobin content provided by the Siemens ADVIA (CHr) is an established marker of iron deficiency. The IDEXX ProCyte Dx hematology analyzer now provides a similar variable, reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent (RET‐He).

Objectives

The objective was to evaluate RET‐He and its diagnostic utility in dogs, and to calculate a cutoff value for diagnosing iron‐deficient erythropoiesis (IDE). Furthermore, the prevalence of RET‐He values below this cutoff value was established.

Methods

One hundred and seventy‐one CBCs of healthy dogs were used to establish a RI. Stability of RET‐He was evaluated by repeated measurements over 48 hours (n = 10). The 25‐run coefficient of variation (CV) was calculated, and correlation and bias between measurements of RET‐He and CHr were assessed (n = 190). A cutoff value for diagnosing IDE was calculated. The utility of RET‐He in the detection of IDE was evaluated in 123 dogs. The prevalence of low RET‐He values was assessed retrospectively in a multicenter study (2012–2014) under participation of 7 veterinary clinics.

Results

Reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent with an RI of 22.2 to 28.6 pg was statistically stable over 48 hours (P = .10). The CV was 1.8%. A fair correlation (ρ = 0.74) between RET‐He and CHr with a small bias of ?0.6 pg was found. The cutoff value for diagnosing IDE was 20.9 pg (sensitivity: 85%; specificity: 99%). The prevalence of RET‐He values below 20.9 pg was 10.3% (1084/10,553 dogs).

Conclusions

RET‐He on the ProCyte Dx is a precise screening tool in dogs to detect iron‐deficient erythropoiesis.     

2007年辽宁省极端降雪事件平均再现间隔估算

利用沈阳市60年极端降雪资料和辽宁省57年最大平均降雪资料,采用耿贝尔和弗雷歇极值分布方法对2007年3月3～5日特大暴雪进行极值估算。结果表明,这场暴雪沈阳的平均再现间隔为200年左右,辽宁省的平均再现间隔为200年以上。     

Breed‐specific variation of hematologic and biochemical analytes in healthy adult Bernese Mountain dogs

Background: Hematology and serum biochemistry reference intervals in dogs may be affected by internal factors, such as breed and age, and external factors, such as the environment, diet, and lifestyle. In humans, it is well established that geographic origin and age may have an impact on reference intervals and, therefore, more specific reference intervals are sought for subpopulations. Objective: The objective of this study was to validate and transfer standard laboratory reference intervals for healthy Bernese Mountain dogs and to create new intervals for analytes where the established laboratory reference intervals were rejected. Methods: The procedure was performed using the human Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute‐approved model modified for veterinary use. Thirty‐two dogs were included in the study using a direct a priori method, as recommended. Results: While 23 of the standard laboratory reference intervals were readily validated, 7 of the analytes (eosinophils, MCHC, alkaline phosphatase [ALP], γ‐glutamyltransferase, total bilirubin, amylase, and cholesterol) required new reference intervals according to the standard. These were calculated using the robust method. In particular, the new reference range for ALP was wide compared with the established laboratory reference interval. No clinical causes were found for differences in the results of these analytes. Conclusion: We found significant differences in 7 hematologic and serum biochemical analytes for which a breed‐specific variation appears to be the most plausible explanation. Breed‐specific reference intervals for Bernese Mountain dogs will help avoid misinterpretation of laboratory results in the diagnostic process.