气候变化对秃尾河流域径流量的影响

为探讨秃尾河流域径流量对气候变化的关系,利用秃尾河流域1970～2005年36 a来的气温、降水和天然径流量数据,对该流域气温、降水和径流量年际和季节性的变化特征及趋势进行了分析,研究了气候因子与径流量的相关性.研究结果表明:秃尾河流域年平均气温呈现明显升高趋势,以冬季升温为主；年降水表现为缓慢减少趋势,降水减少主要表...     

EXISTENCE OF A BASIC OPTIMAL SOLUTION FOR LINEAR VECTOR EXTREME VALUE PROBBEM

In this paper, the concept of basic for linear vector extreme value problem is introduced in the partially ordered vector space. Some properties and results of the linear programming are generalized. And the existaence therom of basic optimal solution is proved.     

气候变暖对临汾合欢物候期的影响

为揭示气候变暖对黄土高原城市典型木本植物物候的影响,以临汾合欢为研究对象,采用线性回归、小波分析、相关分析等方法,分析探讨气温、积温等气候因子对临汾合欢各物候期的影响。结果表明,由于气候变暖,临汾年平均气温呈上升趋势,1983—2021年上升了2.9℃;年降水量存在6年和15年2个周期。临汾合欢春季物候期提前,秋季物候期变化趋势不明显,生长季延长。气温和积温对合欢展叶始期和开花始期表现为极显著相关,对果实成熟期表现为显著相关。叶变色始期、落叶末期对气象条件反应不敏感,主要受果实成熟期的出现日期影响。     

Change features of time-series climate variables from 1962 to 2016 in Inner Mongolia,China

Detecting change features of climate variables in arid/semi-arid areas is essential for understanding related climate change patterns and the driving and evolution mechanism between climate and arid/semi-arid ecosystems.This paper takes Inner Mongolia of China,a unique arid/semi-arid ecosystem,as the study area.We first detected trend features of climate variables using the linear trend analysis method and then detected their trend-shift features using the breaks for additive seasonal and trend method based on the time-series of monthly precipitation and monthly mean temperature datasets from 1962 to 2016.We analyzed the different change features of precipitation and temperature on a regional scale and in different ecological zones to discover the spatial heterogeneity of change features.The results showed that Inner Mongolia has become warmer-wetter during the past 54 years.The regional annual mean temperature increased 0.4°C per decade with a change rate of 56.2%.The regional annual precipitation increased 0.07 mm per decade with a slightly change rate of about 1.7%,but the trend was not statistically significant.The warmer trend was contributed by the same positive trend in each season,while the wetter trend was contributed by the negative trend of the summer precipitation and the positive trend of the other three seasons.The regional monthly precipitation series had a trend-shift pattern with a structural breakpoint in the year 1999,while the regional monthly mean temperature series showed an increasing trend without a periodical trend-shift.After the year 2000,the warmer-wetter trend of the climate in Inner Mongolia was accelerated.The late 20th century was a key period,because the acceleration of the wetter trend in some local zones(I and II)and the alleviation of the warmer trend in some local zones(Ⅶ,Ⅷand IX)occurred simultaneously.Moreover,the change features had a strong spatial heterogeneity,the southeastern and southwestern of Inner Mongolia went through a warmer-drier trend compared with the other areas.The spatio-temporal heterogeneity of the climate change features is a necessary background for various types of research,such as regional climate change,the evolution of arid/semi-arid ecosystems,and the interaction mechanisms between climate and arid/semi-arid ecosystems based on earth-system models in Inner Mongolia.     

近三十年来厦门市气候的变化

依据厦门市1971—2004年34年的基本气象资料,研究分析了该市年均气温和年降水量的年际变化特征,并确定了各自的气候突变点,据此分析了该市的气候类型。结果表明：（1）从20世纪80年代以来,该市年均气温以每年0．0631℃的速度在升高,年均气温出现2个气候突变点,分别为1981和1998年;（2）年降水量多年变化趋势不明显,呈随机变化,年降水量出现2个气候突变点,分别为1977和1990年;（3）34年的气候类型分为暖湿、暖干、冷湿和冷干4种类型。     

沙柳和柠条灌丛分枝生长对模拟降雨改变的响应

利用模拟降雨操纵试验(对照、降雨增加45％和减少50％),研究第2年沙柳和柠条灌丛不同径级分枝生长对模拟降雨改变的响应.结果表明:1)沙柳10～15 mm径级的分枝基径、枝长和生物量对降雨改变有一定响应,15 ～ 20 mm径级分枝枝长和生物量对降雨改变有响应;干旱显著降低了10 ～ 15 mm径级枝长和生物量的增加量,而增水增加了15～20 mm径级枝长和生物量的增加量,其他径级对降雨改变无显著响应.2)柠条＜20 mm径级的基径生长对降雨改变均有显著的响应,但只有＜ 10 mm径级枝长对降雨改变有显著响应,小径级分枝对降雨改变的响应更敏感.增水增加了＜ 10 mm径级生物量,而干旱并未导致该径级生物量显著降低;增水对10～20 mm径级生长季生物量并未产生影响,但干旱导致该径级生物量显著降低.3)增水导致沙柳和柠条每丛生物量增加量分别为11.3％和35.5％,而干旱导致每丛生物量增加量分别下降14.2％和36.8％,降水改变对柠条生长的影响要大于沙柳.该研究可为未来降雨格局改变下,2种灌木的生长动态和生产力预测提供理论依据.     

气候变化对我国油菜生产的影响

近年来,我国气候发生了显著变化：一是年平均气温显著升高;二是年降水总量有增加趋势,但区域性和季节性明显;三是极端气候事件频率和强度显著增加;四是CO2浓度持续升高;五是日照时数缩短明显。受其影响,我国油菜种植面积近年来显著增加,特别是冬油菜,有明显的“北移、西扩”趋势,这与气温升高引起作物种植北界北移有关。尽管我国油菜的单产也呈现增加趋势,但其与气象因子变化之间的关系目前还不明确。由极端气候引起的农业灾害显著增加,油菜生产的不稳定性增大。因此,提高综合抗逆能力、促进稳产是油菜生产急需解决的问题。     

华西雨屏区5种坡地利用方式产流产沙与养分流失特征

选择5种坡地利用方式,分别是裸地、农耕地(玉米)、荒草地、巨桉林地Ⅰ与巨桉林地Ⅱ,建立人工径流小区,对2006年6～11月各小区产流产沙及养分流失进行对比研究.结果表明:(1)5种坡地利用方式产流产沙差异显著(P＜0.05),径流深依次是裸地(250.9 mm)＞农耕地(232.9 mm)＞荒草地(175.4 mm)＞巨桉林地Ⅰ(170.5 mm)＞巨桉林地Ⅱ(141.3 mm);产沙量大小依次为:农耕地(313.63 t/km2)＞裸地(176.80 t/km2)＞荒草地(94.45 t/km2)＞巨桉林地Ⅰ(90.58 t/km2)＞巨桉林地Ⅱ(36.37 t/km2).(2)5种坡地利用方式养分流失差异显著(P＜0.05),其流失量大小顺序均为钾素＞磷素＞氮素.其中,氮素与磷素流失以水溶态为主,平均为96.16%与69.45%;钾素以颗粒态(与泥沙结合态)为主,平均为74.93%.(3)不同坡地产流产沙主要影响因素不同,裸地与农耕地受降雨影响较大,而荒草地与巨桉林地受人为干扰因素较大.(4)调整农事活动、改善经营措施与减少人为干扰对防止坡地产流产沙以及养分流失具有重要作用.     

贵州省清镇市近50年来气候系统的多时间尺度分析

利用小波分析对贵州省清镇市1958～2003年的逐月平均气温和1979～2003年的逐月降水量进行多时间分辨率分析。结果表明,小波系数图和小波方差图可以清楚的显示气候变化在不同时间尺度上的演变特征,并能够对未来气候演变的趋势做出定性的判断。