Retrospective analysis of the influence of environmental drivers on commercial stocks and fishing opportunities in the Irish Sea

Irish Sea fisheries have undergone considerable change in recent years following the decline of commercially important finfish stocks and their slow response to management's recovery plans. In 2015, the fishing industry called for a holistic exploration into the impact of environmental change and food web effects to identify the drivers underpinning stock dynamics. In this study, we identify correlations between large‐scale climatic indicators, temperature, primary and secondary productivity, and fish recruitment in the Irish Sea and incorporate them into an Ecopath with Ecosim food web model co‐created by scientists and fishers. Negative correlations were found between the North Atlantic Oscillation winter index (NAOw) and large zooplankton abundance and between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the recruitment of cod (Gadus morhua) and whiting (Merlangius merlangus). Using correlation analyses to direct the addition of environmental drivers to the Irish Sea ecosystem model improved the models fit against observed biomass and catch data and revealed the indirect impacts of environmental change as mitigated through trophic interactions. Model simulations suggest that historic environmental change suppressed the overall production of commercial finfish, limiting opportunities for the fishing industry, whilst also dampening the rate of stock recovery despite marked reductions in fishing effort. These results suggest that failure to account for ecosystem information may lead to misconceived expectations and flawed fisheries management; therefore, there is a need to operationalize ecosystem information through management procedures to support fisheries advice.     

基于Ecopath模型的巢湖生态系统结构与功能初步分析

为分析和掌握巢湖生态系统结构与功能的特征参数,结合2007—2010年巢湖渔业资源调查数据,应用Ecopath with Ecosim 6.1软件构建了巢湖生态系统的食物网模型。模型由16个功能组组成,包括初级生产者、主要鱼类、无脊椎动物和有机碎屑等。结果显示,巢湖生态系统食物网主要由4个整合营养级构成,系统规模总流量、总生产量和总消耗量都较大,分别为41 003.08、17 937.42和4 486.67 t/(km2·a);能量流动主要发生在Ⅱ、Ⅲ营养级间;参照Odum的生态系统成熟程度判定指标发现,巢湖生态系统高的生产量和呼吸比值(TPP/TR)和净初级生产量(NPP),以及较低的系统连接指数(CI)、系统杂食指数(SOI)、Finn's循环指数(FCI)和Finn's平均路径长度(FMPL)都表明:巢湖生态系统结构与功能的特征参数远没有达到成熟生态系统的标准,且劣于富营养化的太湖生态系统。从生态系统结构分析发现,导致巢湖生态系统退化的关键原因是浮游植物生物量、生产量过高,被生态系统利用的效率极低,从而导致生物多样性下降、食物网趋于简单、能量流动不畅。     

Patterns and impacts of fish bycatch in a scallop dredge fishery

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