基于Matlab的时序数据两种建模和预测方法比较

利用Matlab工具箱,对时序数据进行了两种不同形式的建模和预测。一是利用系统辨识方法来建立AR模型,利用所建模型进行预测;二是利用单隐层BP神经网络,对数据进行非线性拟合和预测。通过可视化,比较了两种方法的优劣。     

基于数字高程模型和数学规划的土地平整工程设计优化

应用数字高程模型（DEM）与数学规划（MP）方法,研究土地平整工程设计中田块的划分、土方量计算和土方量调配的优化方法,为土地平整工程设计提供综合、系统和精确的方法,节约投资费用。该文以南京市江宁区湖熟镇土地平整项目工程为例,采用ArcGIS9.3软件建立大比例尺DEM,划分了土地平整区域和耕作田块,基于DEM计算了现状高程、土方量、土方运输重心,采用数学规划求解了设计高程和土方调配的最优方案。研究表明：该方法合理确定了田块的规模、定量计算了优化设计高程、总土方量比原设计方案减少了9.37%,且制作了最优土方调配路径图。     

无源电力滤波器电路参数非线性约束优化

对偏调谐类单调谐滤波器提出了非线性的束优化模型，运用大系统理论协调优化单调谐滤波器和高通滤波器，实例计算表明，该方法是对以往单调谐滤波器设计计算方法的一大改进。     

A Reactive Power OptimlZation Method by Linear Program ming with Secure Correction

This paper presents a reactive power optimization method which combines thelinear programming model with secure correction. In correction. this mOdel presents a new idea inwhich the feasible control region of con trol variables is resolved by over constrained state varlables. This method is quick and reliable and overcomes oscillation of a general linear programming model.     

模块化数控编程在复杂零件中的应用

编程人员在进行手工编程时,遇到复杂零件往往无从下手,用常规的编程方法进行编程,数值计算相当繁琐,工作量大,很容易出错,且程序很难校对.针对此类问题,本文提出了一种模块化数控编程,并以一薄壁零件为例对模块化数控编程在复杂零件中的应用进行了探讨和阐述.在进行模块化编程时,首先对复杂零件进行分析,确定加工工艺过程,之后对零件进行模块化分析,将零件分成若干个模块,分别对每个模块进行编程,通过分析可以发现模块化编程省时快速,不容易出错,且程序容易校对,极大地提高了编程效率.     

Optimizing competitive uses of water for irrigation and fisheries

Choosing the appropriate reservoir water management strategy can be difficult when the water has multiple uses. This study examines this problem for reservoir managers where water use involves irrigation and fisheries. A stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) model is developed to facilitate reservoir management, using a case study illustration for southern Vietnam. The model includes the response of rice and fish yields to key factors including reservoir water levels, the timing and quantity of water release, and climatic conditions. The model also accounts for variation in rainfall patterns, irrigation requirements, and the demand for low water levels during the fish harvest season. Three production scenarios are examined where the reservoir's water is used for: only producing rice (scenario 1), only producing fish (scenario 2), and producing rice and fish (scenario 3). Key findings are: (1) for scenario 1, adequate water should be released to meet rice growing water requirements and residual water should be stored as a source of water in case of low rainfall, (2) for scenario 2, sufficient water needs to be released prior to the fish harvest to maximize this harvest; and (3) for scenario 3, water should be released prior to fish harvest, but sufficient water should remain to satisfy the water requirements of rice. When the reservoir is managed for joint production of rice and fish, net benefits are 6% greater than when the reservoir is managed solely for rice production. The SDP model developed in this paper could be adapted and applied to other multiple-use resources such as forests, river basins, and land.     

组合预测方法及其在粮食产量预测中的应用

提出了一种组合预测方法，以“预测偏差绝对值的和最小”为标准，用线性规划确定组合权系数的最优加权算法，对青海省的粮食总产量进行了预测分析。结果表明，此模型具有较高的精度。     

冷却剂参数对铣槽喷管低周疲劳寿命的影响

采用有限体积流固耦合计算方法、非线性有限元热结构耦合分析方法和局部应变法研究大面积比铣槽喷管三维再生冷却槽道在循环工作条件下的热结构变形与低周疲劳寿命,并对比分析了冷却剂质量流量与入口温度对铣槽喷管疲劳使用寿命的影响。计算结果表明,铣槽喷管热结构响应呈现复杂的三维效应,应变较大位置主要分布在与肋连接的内衬区域,喷管中部的残余应变量最大;冷却槽道低周疲劳寿命分布和热结构响应基本一致,最小寿命位于喷管中部与肋相连的内衬区域燃气侧;随冷却剂质量流量增加,铣槽喷管低周疲劳寿命不断提高;随冷却剂入口温度增加喷管尾部低周疲劳寿命值不断降低,而喷管中前部的低周疲劳寿命值却不断提高,当冷却剂入口温度为280K左右时,本文的铣槽喷管总体使用寿命达到最大。      

车床传统加工工艺在数控车加工中的实现与改进

结合短轴类零件的连续加工、梯形螺纹等生产实例,介绍了数控编程中将数控技术与传统车床加工工艺相结合,并对传统车床加工工艺进行改进,以实现高质量、低成本的生产要求。     

基于LabVIEW的果园开沟深度监测系统的设计与试验

针对开沟作业过程中存在作业深度依靠人工监测准确性低、人工工作量大等问题,研制了一种基于LabVIEW的开沟深度监测系统,配套搭建了单片机下位机系统,实现了开沟深度等参数的实时监测、计算、显示与保存。为了降低作业环境、机具抖动对数据造成的影响,分别采用中值滤波、卡尔曼滤波、小波降噪-卡尔曼滤波3种滤波方法对数据进行滤波修正处理。试验验证表明:系统能够实时监测开沟作业过程中的开沟深度,并实时计算开沟深度平均值、开沟深度标准差、开沟深度稳定、作业时间等参数;对比3种滤波算法,小波降噪-卡尔曼滤波降噪效果最好,能够实现对数据的滤波修正处理,修正后系统准确性较好,能够满足系统设计需求。