遗传神经网络在温室黄瓜霜霉病预测中的应用

在神经网络结构的优化、连续权重的训练中采用遗传算法的方法对日光温室黄瓜霜霉病进行预测，并对其发生程度进行了拟合，计算值与实际值接近，表明该模型具有良好的预测效果。     

湖南地区常绿草坪混播组合筛选研究

根据立地条件和生物学特性,选择暖季型草坪草狗牙根和冷季型草坪草草地早熟禾的不同品种按照不同比例混播成24种草坪进行试验,并对不同混播组合进行了适应性和成坪品质的观察测定,成坪后用模糊数学综合评判法评定草坪质量。结果表明,24种不同混播草坪质量有所差异,初步确定在湖南地区用金字塔狗牙根3 g/m2+自由2号早熟禾10 g/m2的混播草坪全年综合质量表现最佳。     

永兴县冰糖橙果园土壤肥力特征及其综合评价

为探究永兴县冰糖橙果园土壤肥力特征及其综合性状,为果园土壤改良和合理施肥提供依据。在永兴县冰糖橙主产区采集了284处具有代表性果园表层土壤(0-40cm),测定了土壤有机质、pH值、全氮、碱解氮、有效磷、速效钾、缓效钾等养分指标,运用模糊综合评判法,对永兴县冰糖橙果园及其北、中和南3个区域土壤肥力质量进行了综合评价,并比较3个区域的土壤肥力差异特征。结果表明：永兴县冰糖橙果园土壤肥力为中等水平,土壤为酸性,平均仅5.47;有机质含量较丰富,为较高等水平,平均为25g/kg;土壤全氮含量为较高等水平,平均为1.86g/kg,碱解氮含量为中等水平,平均109mg/kg;有效磷平均含量25.2mg/kg,为中等水平;缓效钾含量偏低,为较低等水平,平均132mg/kg;速效钾含量处于较高等水平,平均153mg/kg。果园的3个区域土壤综合肥力属于中等偏下水平,受地形地貌、成土母质、果园管理及其他因素影响,中部区果园综合肥力高于北部和南部果园。     

不同地形对南丰蜜橘果实品质的影响

为探明不同地形对果实品质的影响,本研究以江西省南丰县和南城县平地与丘陵地南丰蜜橘为材料,对单果重、果形指数、色泽、化渣性、Vc及糖酸组分等风味品质进行分析,并利用模糊综合评判法对主要性状指标进行综合评判。结果表明,丘陵地果实单果重、横纵径、Vc、可溶性糖和糖组分等高于平地果实,而可滴定酸、果形指数和酸组分则相反。模糊综合评判分析表明①等权：南丰丘陵地>南丰平地;南城丘陵地>南城平地;②加权：南丰丘陵地>南丰平地;南城丘陵地>南城平地。因此,平地与丘陵地的南丰蜜橘果实品质存在差异,丘陵地明显优于平地。     

一种改进深度卷积神经网络的海岛识别方法

受不规律潮汐的影响,现有的海岛地物类别自动识别方法存在精度低和时效性差等问题,通过改进深度卷积神经网络提出了一种基于遥感影像的海岛快速识别方法:(1)在深度卷积神经网络的卷积层中增设1×1的卷积核作为瓶颈单元,对多波段的遥感影像进行降维;(2)在池化层引入了重采样方法,基于灰度值对海量的遥感影像进行特征压缩。以300景Landsat-8遥感影像为源数据,分别采用CNN、RCNN和本文改进的深度卷积神经网络对遥感影像中的海岛进行识别,实验结果表明:(1)改进的深度卷积神经网络降低了海岛识别的计算耗时,其计算耗时仅为CNN的4.56%和RCNN的5.60%;(2)改进的深度卷积神经网络较CNN和RCNN提高了海岛识别的精度,识别精度分别为96.0%、93.3%和95.0%。结果说明,改进的深度卷积神经网络适用于面向遥感影像的海岛自动识别。     

Deep neural network algorithm for estimating maize biomass based on simulated Sentinel 2A vegetation indices and leaf area index

Accurate estimation of biomass is necessary for evaluating crop growth and predicting crop yield.Biomass is also a key trait in increasing grain yield by crop breeding.The aims of this study were(i)to identify the best vegetation indices for estimating maize biomass,(ii)to investigate the relationship between biomass and leaf area index(LAI)at several growth stages,and(iii)to evaluate a biomass model using measured vegetation indices or simulated vegetation indices of Sentinel 2A and LAI using a deep neural network(DNN)algorithm.The results showed that biomass was associated with all vegetation indices.The three-band water index(TBWI)was the best vegetation index for estimating biomass and the corresponding R2,RMSE,and RRMSE were 0.76,2.84 t ha−1,and 38.22%respectively.LAI was highly correlated with biomass(R2=0.89,RMSE=2.27 t ha−1,and RRMSE=30.55%).Estimated biomass based on 15 hyperspectral vegetation indices was in a high agreement with measured biomass using the DNN algorithm(R2=0.83,RMSE=1.96 t ha−1,and RRMSE=26.43%).Biomass estimation accuracy was further increased when LAI was combined with the 15 vegetation indices(R2=0.91,RMSE=1.49 t ha−1,and RRMSE=20.05%).Relationships between the hyperspectral vegetation indices and biomass differed from relationships between simulated Sentinel 2A vegetation indices and biomass.Biomass estimation from the hyperspectral vegetation indices was more accurate than that from the simulated Sentinel 2A vegetation indices(R2=0.87,RMSE=1.84 t ha−1,and RRMSE=24.76%).The DNN algorithm was effective in improving the estimation accuracy of biomass.It provides a guideline for estimating biomass of maize using remote sensing technology and the DNN algorithm in this region.     

基于粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量短期预测模型

为提高土壤含水量预测精度,基于物联网监测数据,提出了粒子群算法(PSO)优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量预测方法。首先应用主成分分析法筛选出影响土壤含水量的关键影响因子,然后构建8-5-1的BP神经网络拓扑结构,应用粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的初始权值和阈值。结果表明:与传统BP神经网络相比,新模型优化了网络结构,避免了陷入局部最优解,具有良好的预测效果;模型的评价指标平均绝对误差、平均绝对百分误差、误差均方根分别为0.259 2、0.010 5和0.135 6,与单一BP神经网络相比,预测精度更高,可满足实际的土壤含水量预测的需要。     

Performance and uncertainty analysis of a short-term climate reconstruction based on multi-source data in the Tianshan Mountains region,China

Short-term climate reconstruction, i.e., the reproduction of short-term(several decades) historical climatic time series based on the relationship between observed data and available longer-term reference data in a certain area, can extend the length of climatic time series and offset the shortage of observations. This can be used to assess regional climate change over a much longer time scale. Based on monthly grid climate data from a Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5(CMIP5) dataset for the period of 1850–2000, the Climatic Research Unit(CRU) dataset for the period of 1901–2000 and the observed data from 53 meteorological stations located in the Tianshan Mountains region(TMR) of China during the period of 1961–2011, we calibrated and validated monthly average temperature(MAT) and monthly accumulated precipitation(MAP) in the TMR using the delta, physical scaling(SP) and artificial neural network(ANN) methods. Performance and uncertainty during the calibration(1971–1999) and verification(1961–1970) periods were assessed and compared using traditional performance indices and a revised set pair analysis(RSPA) method. The calibration and verification processes were subjected to various sources of uncertainty due to the influence of different reconstructed variables, different data sources, and/or different methods used. According to traditional performance indices, both the CRU and CMIP5 datasets resulted in satisfactory calibrated and verified MAT time series at 53 meteorological stations and MAP time series at 20 meteorological stations using the delta and SP methods for the period of 1961–1999. However, the results differed from those obtained by the RSPA method. This showed that the CRU dataset produced a low degree of uncertainty(positive connection degree) during the calibration and verification of MAT using the delta and SP methods compared to the CMIP5 dataset. Overall, the calibrated and verified MAP had a high degree of uncertainty(negative connection degree) regardless of the dataset or reconstruction method used. Therefore, the reconstructed time series of MAT for the period of 1850(or 1901)–1960 based on the CRU and CMIP5 datasets using the delta and SP methods could be used for further study. The results of this study will be useful for short-term(several decades) regional climate reconstruction and longer-term(100 a or more) assessments of regional climate change.     

一种改进的双能量源电动汽车功率分配策略

以并联式双能量源(锂电池组&超级电容)纯电动汽车为研究对象,提出一种改进的功率分配策略。这种功率分配策略在模糊控制的基础上增加深度神经网络训练过程,以获得更精确的功率分配因子。通过整车模型构建、功率分配模型构建、功率分配策略制定、仿真验证结果分析后得出结论:与电量消耗功率分配策略相比,这种改进的功率分配策略能优化锂电池组和超级电容二者之间的功率分流,限制锂电池组充放电的峰值电流,延长复合储能系统的工作寿命,提升动力系统的工作效率。     

基于BP神经网络模型的桂西资源富集区土地生态安全评价

【目的】科学客观地进行土地生态安全评价,提出可行有效的土地生态系统优化对策,为桂西资源富集区土地生态安全的维护及未来发展提供参考。【方法】基于BP神经网络方法构建土地生态安全评价模型,通过分析影响土地生态系统的自然、经济、社会3个主导因素,建立桂西资源富集区土地生态安全评价指标系统,对2008—2017年桂西资源富集区土地生态安全程度进行评价。【结果】桂西资源富集区2008—2017年土地生态安全程度均属于一般安全状态,且由一般安全状态逐步接近较安全状态;其中百色市、河池市、崇左市分别在不同因素下的土地生态安全程度存在较大差异,且差异在逐年增大。【结论】为了避免桂西资源富集区土地生态安全系统存在发展失衡的倾向,建议桂西资源富集区政府优化营商环境,坚持"绿水青山就是金山银山";制定合理的耕地保护政策,缓解人地矛盾关系。