柴油存储安全问题分析

根据近期发生的柴油着火爆炸事故,系统分析了柴油发生燃烧和爆炸的危险性,指出并分析了当前柴油存储方面存在的问题,提出了安全存储柴油的措施.     

因子分析与聚类分析在企业信用评级中的应用

运用多元统计中的因子分析和聚类分析方法,对在沪深交易所上市的33家农业机械和建筑机械行业的生产企业进行信用评级分析.先用因子分析方法从选取的变量中找出合适的因子,计算出各个企业的因子得分,然后将这些因子作为变量,进行聚类分析,并对照标准普尔(S&P)的评级体系确定各个企业的评级级别.     

金华江流域生态服务补偿的利益相关者分析

从影响程度、积极性、参与性、权力4个方面，对金华江流域生态服务补偿的利益相关者进行剖析。结果表明：核心利益相关者多属于弱势群体，他们的利益突出，却无决策和管理权，政府部门具有最大的决策权，在目前流域生态补偿过程中发挥重要作用；在此基础上，提出建立流域管理联席协会，促进利益激励机制的形成和多层反馈互动渠道的畅通，明晰上下游水权和生态补偿的责任义务关系，构建可操作的管理规则和立法、改革干部考核制度、扶植和培育流域的生态补偿市场等政策建议。     

Bulked Segregant Analysis to Detect QTL Related to Heat Tolerance in Rice （Oryza sativa L.） Using SSR Markers

The study was undertaken to assess the genetic effect of quantitative trait loci （QTLs） conferring heat tolerance at flowering stage in rice. A population consisting of 279 F2 individuals from the cross between 996, a heat tolerant cultivar and 4628, a heat-sensitive cultivar, was analyzed for their segregation pattern of the difference of seed set rate under optimal temperature condition and high temperature condition. The difference of seed set rate under optimal temperature condition and high temperature condition showed normal distribution, indicating the polygenic control over the trait. To identify main effect of QTL for heat tolerance, the parents were surveyed with 200 primer pairs of simple sequence repeats （SSR）. The parental survey revealed 30% polymorphism between parents. In order to detect the main QTL association with heat tolerance, a strategy of combining the DNA pooling from selected segregants and genotyping was adopted. The association of putative markers identified based on DNA pooling from selected segregants was established by single marker analysis （SMA）. The results of SMA revealed that SSR markers, RM3735 on chromosome 4 and RM3586 on chromosome 3 showed significant association with heat tolerance respectively, accounted for 17 and 3% of the total variation respectively. The heat tolerance during flowering stage in rice was controlled by multiple gene. The SSR markers, RM3735 on chromosome 4 and RM3586 on chromosome 3 showed significant association with heat tolerance respectively, accounted for 17 and 3% of the total variation respectively. The two genetic loci, especially for RM3735 on chromosome 4, can be used in marker-assistant-selected method in heat tolerance breeding in rice.     

我国牛群中牛病毒性腹泻病毒流行的Meta分析

为全面评估我国牛群中牛病毒性腹泻病毒（bovine viral diarrhea virus,BVDV）病原流行率对该病毒感染的防控，在中国知网（CNKI）、万方、维普、PubMed和ScienceDirect 5个数据库中，检索截止到2021年9月1日发表的关于中国牛群BVDV流行情况的文献，并进行系统评价和Meta分析。共筛选出93篇关于BVDV病原学检测的研究论文纳入Meta分析中。分析结果显示：我国牛群中BVDV病原（抗原和核酸）流行率为9.8%(95%CI:7.8,11.9)，其中BVDV抗原流行率为3.1%(95%CI:2.1,4.4),BVDV核酸流行率为19.5%(95%CI:16.0,23.3)。各省间比较发现，吉林流行率最高，为26.3%(95%CI:24.3,28.4)，其次是湖北和福建省。进一步开展亚组分析和Meta回归分析的结果显示，品种（牦牛vs奶牛：比值比（odds ratio,OR）=1.37,95%CI:1.05～1.79）、饲养模式（散养vs规模化：OR=1.41,95%CI:1.08～1.85）、诊断方法（RT-PCR vs ELISA:OR=1....     

黑龙江垦区奶牛生产的系统分析

本文利用系统方法对黑龙江垦区的奶牛生产进行了分析，探讨了垦区奶牛的发展历史及其特点，划分了奶牛生产区域，进行了牛奶总产量主因素分析，预测了今后垦区生产发展的规模，在此基础上，提出垦区发展奶牛的一些看法。     

一种改进的基于混沌吸引子的径流降尺度分析

基于混沌理论，研究水文科学的尺度问题，将混沌分析方法应用于径流的降尺度计算。通过分析大时间尺度的年径流量分解到小时间尺度的月径流量的分解系数的混沌特征量，论证了分解系数具有混沌特性。在此基础上，对分解系数的预测方法提出改进意见并给出具体算法。然后根据预测结果进行月径流量的降尺度计算。实例研究表明，改进的算法用于径流量的降尺度分析具有明显的优点。     

Spatial-temporal Patterns of Land-use Change in Typical Transect Area Along China National Highway 106 During 1996-2008

Based on land-use database updated with the survey of 1996, 2000, 2004 and 2008, this paper analyzed the land-use changes in the typical transect area along National Highway 106 with the aid of GIS technology and quantitative models. The results showed that arable land had been continuously decreased from 1996 to 2008, with a loss of 65.85× 10^3 hm2 and an average decrement of 5.49×10^3 hm^2 per year, and the loss in northern areas was larger; garden land and woodland were gradually centralized to the predominance area with an increment of 25.73×10^3 hm2 and 22.37×10^3 hm2, respectively; residential and industrial land increased year after year, and the transportation land showed the equalized developing spatial pattern; the increment of construction land and encroachment on arable land in the area were deeply influenced by the national macroscopic land-use policies, the rapid advance of urbanization and the development level of the regional economy. Through this case study, it is suggested that differential land- use policies should be adopted to create good environmental conditions to guarantee food security and to promote the economic development.     

我国碳排放研究现状的文献计量分析

运用文献计量学方法考察1989~2010年公开发表在CNKI、维普和万方三大数据库的我国碳排放研究文献,较为系统地分析我国碳排放研究发文年度分布、期刊分布、高产作者及引文分布等问题,同时通过关键词统计分析,初步揭示出碳排放研究的新方向。     

复盐胁迫对几种燕麦种子萌发指数的影响

采用加拿大7种燕麦(A.nuda)种子,在不同梯度的Na2SO4、NaCl等组分盐溶液中进行发芽试验.结果表明:复盐胁迫下,种子开始发芽的时间推迟,发芽过程延长,随着盐胁迫浓度的增加,7种燕麦种子的发芽率、发芽势和发芽指数、简易活力指数均有不同程度的降低,而盐害指数升高,且不同品种间存在显著或极显著差异；随复盐浓度的增...