Water for irrigation or hydropower generation?—Complex questions regarding water allocation in Tanzania

The need for achieving efficient, equitable and sustainable use of water resources to meet water demands of different sectors is pressing, particularly in areas where water resources are dwindling. Along with this is the quest for having a good understanding of the value of water in its different uses. Using a simplified model derived from the residual imputation approach (the Change in Net Income Model) we assess the value of water in irrigated paddy and hydropower generation in the Great Ruaha River Catchment (GRRC) in Tanzania. The estimated productivity of water (PW) in irrigated paddy ranges from 0.059 to 0.250 kg/m³ (for withdrawn water) and 0.126 to 0.265 kg/m³ (for consumed water). The PW in hydropower generation is estimated to range from 0.45 to 1.68 kWh/m³. In monetary terms the value of water in irrigated paddy is estimated at 15.3 Tanzanian shilling (Tsh)/m³ (for water withdrawn) and 0.19 Tsh/m³ (for water consumed). The values of water for hydropower generation are relatively higher than for irrigated paddy, ranging from 59 to 226 Tsh/m³. Yet, irrigated paddy also supports livelihoods of about 30,000 agrarian families in the GRRC, with gross revenue of about Tsh 15.9 million per annum and GRCC paddy contributes about 14–24% of national rice production. We conclude that understanding the value of water in its alternative uses is key to fostering informed debate on water management and allocation, identifying the basis for making ‘agreeable’ trade-offs, the potential for improvement and creating linkages with water allocation options particularly in agricultural-based economies, where agriculture competes with other sectors and where water re-allocation decisions may involve large transfers of water from the sector generating the highest pro-poor returns (agriculture for this case) to the sectors generating the highest economic returns (hydropower generation and industrial uses).     

An entropy approach to spatial disaggregation of agricultural production

While agricultural production statistics are reported on a geopolitical – often national – basis we often need to know the status of production or productivity within specific sub-regions, watersheds, or agroecological zones. Such re-aggregations are typically made using expert judgments or simple area-weighting rules. We describe a new, entropy-based approach to making spatially disaggregated assessments of the distribution of crop production. Using this approach, tabular crop production statistics are blended judiciously with an array of other secondary data to assess the production of specific crops within individual ‘pixels’ – typically 25–100 square kilometers in size. The information utilized includes crop production statistics, farming system characteristics, satellite-derived land cover data, biophysical crop suitability assessments, and population density. An application is presented in which Brazilian state level production statistics are used to generate pixel level crop production data for eight crops. To validate the spatial allocation we aggregated the pixel estimates to obtain synthetic estimates of municipality level production in Brazil, and compared those estimates with actual municipality statistics. The approach produced extremely promising results. We then examined the robustness of these results compared to short-cut approaches to allocating crop production statistics and showed that, while computationally intensive, the cross-entropy method does provide more reliable estimates of crop production patterns.     

一种用于农业产业化经营决策的估计方法——农副产品需求的收入弹性估计方法

为了促进农业产业化经营决策的科学化,运用收入弹性理论,研究了我国农副产品需求的估计方法,探讨了农业产业化经营决策应遵循的思路。     

农业信息化背景下光伏发电扶贫模式及效益提升机制研究

精准扶贫已进入攻坚克难的决胜时期,光伏扶贫作为精准扶贫工程之一,在解决脱贫问题中发挥重要作用。农业信息化是促进贫困地区实现农业现代化的重要手段,该文以国家级贫困县W县为例,结合光伏扶贫信息化建设,系统梳理近年来4种典型的光伏扶贫模式,对比分析各种模式的适用范围及其特点,设计光伏扶贫综合效益计算方法。运用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法设计基于光伏扶贫指标评价的收益分配方法,根据典型案例分析,验证所提方法的有效性。综合从5个视角5个层面构建光伏扶贫效益提升机制总体架构,旨在为中国贫困地区光伏扶贫工程提供技术与决策支撑。     

不同间作模式下木薯花生光合效率比较

田间设置木薯和花生的不同间作措施处理,利用LI-6400光合仪测定不同处理的光合日变化。结果表明:①木薯、花生的生长环境因子的日变化均为"单峰"型曲线,其中光合有效辐射（PAR）、田间CO₂浓度（Ca）呈开口向下曲线,大气相对湿度（RH）、大气温度（Ta）的日变化曲线则开口向上。②不同间作措施中,间作窄行并无绝对优势;间作宽行可保证作物产量,但其瞬时水分利用效率（WUE）和气孔限制值（Ls）均最低,不利于在缺水环境下推广;间作双行的WUE和CO₂利用效率最高,这在严重水分胁迫条件无疑是最优选择。③由统计分析可知,对花生和木薯净光合速率（Pn）影响显著的因子均为作物蒸腾速率（Tr）、胞间CO₂浓度（Ci）、气孔导度（Cond）和气孔限制值（Ls）,其中Pn与Tr、Cond、Ls呈正相关,与Ci呈负相关。术薯、花生的"午休"现象主要由非气孔因素决定,其气孔机制是作物蒸腾速率（Tr）和胞间CO₂浓度（Ci）双重起作用的结果,首先起作用的是Tr诱发的光抑制,之后气孔开关则是由Ci调控。     

吉林省特用玉米现状、趋势及生产基地布局研究

简析了吉林省特用玉米生产现状及发展趋势,并根据依靠市场、因地制宜、行政区完整、可持续发展的布局原则,将吉林省特用玉米种植基地分为5个大区,提出建设特用玉米生产基地的保障措施。     

我国收入分配不合理现状的成因分析与对策思考

在今年“两会”上通过的“十一五”规划纲要中明确提出:“加快推进收入分配制度改革”和“更加注重社会公平”。表述中增加了“加快”和“更加”加以强调,于是,改革收入分配制度的紧迫性和重要性凸显出来。本论文就目前我国收入分配的基本现状以及产生收入分配不合理的成因展开论述,并就如何改善我国收入分配不合理的现状提出相应对策。     

Yield and Quality of Mixed Seed Crops of Timothy ( Phleum pratense ) and Clovers ( Trifolium spp.) in an Organic Cropping System

Seed production of timothy ( Phleum pratense L.) in mixed crops with alsike ( Trifolium hybridum L.), white ( T. repens L.) or red ( T. pratense L.) clover was evaluated in an organic cash crop system. No fertilizer was applied except for household compost in the sowing year. While the first year crops of the alsike clover/timothy and red clover/timothy leys were harvested for clover seed, the first year crop of the white clover/timothy ley and all second year crops were harvested for timothy seed. The botanical composition of the alsike clover/timothy crop averaged 89/11 in the first ley year, and 8/92 in the second year. The corresponding yields averaged 443 kg ha -1 clover seed and 849 kg ha -1 timothy seed, respectively. Second year seed yields of timothy from mixtures with red and white clover were, in turn, 7% higher and 44% lower than from the corresponding mixture with alsike clover. First year seed yields of alsike clover from the alsike clover/timothy combination, and first year yields of timothy from the timothy/white clover combination were mostly rejected because of insufficient purity. In contrast, first year seed yields of red clover from the red clover/ timothy combination, and second year yields of timothy from all combinations, never failed to met the international requirement of maximum 1% contamination of one particular species in certified seed.     

一种新的厌氧污泥比活性试验测定法

本文介绍了一种以医用血清瓶作发酵瓶、用医用注射器来量测所产沼气的厌氧污泥比活性试验测定法。实践表明此法简单实用、快速准确。     

传统稻鱼系统生产力提升对稻田水体环境的影响

如何在提升传统农业系统生产力的同时又不破坏其内涵、还对环境不产生负面影响,是一个受到研究者持续性关注的挑战性课题。本研究以具有1 200年历史的全球重要农业文化遗产稻鱼系统为例,研究稻鱼系统鱼的放养密度对生产力和环境的影响,探讨能够显著提升稻鱼系统生产力且又不破坏其传统性(产品优质、环境友好)的途径。研究表明,传统稻鱼系统(RF)(田鱼目标产量375 kg.hm 2)与水稻单作系统(RM)水体的化学需氧量(COD)、总氮(TN)、总磷(TP)及铵态氮(NH4+-N)含量均没有显著性差异。随着田鱼养殖密度提高(鱼产量由750 kg.hm 2提高到3 000 kg.hm 2)和饲料投入的相应增加,稻鱼系统的生产力和经济产出大幅度提高(稻鱼系统的净经济收入增加25.2%~101.4%),但稻鱼系统(RF)水体的COD值及TN、TP和NH4+-N含量均呈现增加的趋势,尤其是当鱼目标产量增至3 000 kg.hm 2时,水体TP含量和COD值显著提高,面源污染风险增加。分析还表明,鱼放养目标产量为2 250 kg.hm 2时,稻鱼系统经济效益最佳,此时净经济收入比传统稻鱼系统增加55.9%,并且不会对水体环境质量产生负面影响。