实时混合对抗蠕虫的建模和分析

传统的防病毒技术难以抵御蠕虫的传播，为此本文提出实时混合对抗技术，该技术在被对抗蠕虫感染的主机与易感染主机数量相等时转换对抗策略，并建立实时混合对抗蠕虫的传播模型.最后，通过仿真实验从对抗有效性、资源消耗和应对突发事件能力三个方面验证实时混合对抗技术的性能.理论分析和实验结果表明，实时混合对抗技术能更好地满足对抗有效性和低资源消耗要求，并能应对突发事件.     

中小旅行社入境旅游与出境旅游网络营销对比分析

通过对中小旅行社入境旅游与出境旅游网络营销的相同处和不同处进行对比分析，把他们常用的营销方法通过举例表现出来，叙述了网络营销对出境旅游和入境旅游的意义，对旅游营销有积极作用。     

基于Lasso和BP神经网络的组合预测及其应用——以居民消费支出预测为例

在变量选择的基础上，构建基于Lasso方法和BP神经网络的预测模型，并对我国城乡居民的消费支出进行预测，结果显示：基于Lasso方法和BP神经网络的组合预测精度要明显高于BP神经网络、Lasso方法的预测精度；在2014~2020年，我国农村居民消费增长率有所提升，城镇居民消费增长率减缓，城乡居民消费增长率之间的差距呈下降趋势，但短期内城乡居民消费差距依然难以缓和。     

网络嵌入性、商业模式创新与企业竞争优势关系研究

基于商业模式创新中介效应，依据全国314家企业问卷调查的样本数据，运用多元线性回归方法，考量网络嵌入性、商业模式创新和企业竞争优势之间关系，结果发现：关系嵌入性、结构嵌入性与竞争优势均有显著的正向关系；商业模式创新在关系嵌入性、结构嵌入性与企业竞争优势的关系中起着中介作用。鉴此，企业应注重构建不同形式的网络嵌入，推动商业模式的调整与变革，以提高企业竞争优势。     

Random point sampling to detect gain and loss in tree canopy cover in response to urban densification

Urban tree canopy cover (UTC) is a simple, and common, measure of urban forest resource. Urban infill development is likely to lead to losses in UTC under private tenure, at a time when local governments are setting ambitious targets to increase UTC overall. Simple, statistically rigorous methods are required to benchmark and track change in UTC, whilst identifying which land-use types or tenures experience change.We estimated UTC in six Melbourne suburbs in 2010 and 2015 by randomly sampling 2000 points across public land, public streetscapes and private land. We were able to detect a net change in UTC of <2% over five years to a 95% level of confidence. A significant net decrease in UTC (−2.4%) was only detected in one of the six suburbs. Two suburbs had a net increase in UTC by +2.7% over five years. On private land, there was often areas of UTC loss, but this was generally offset by canopy gain in other areas of the private realm as well as in streetscapes and public land. Losses in UTC on private land were mainly due to tree removal, with or without subsequent construction works.This study describes a simple, but statistically rigorous, method to quantify UTC change and the drivers of change in different land-use types and tenure. Despite studying two suburbs will high rates of infill development, only one suburb showed evidence of net UTC decrease. The ‘dynamic equilibrium’ in UTC, whereby canopy losses area approximately offset by concurrent canopy gain, means that ambitious targets being set by local governments to increase UTC may be difficult to achieve without changes in tree protection and infill development policy and planning.     

基于PSO-BP神经网络的外贸发展状况的评价

以我国对外贸易的实际情况为基础，建立了评价外贸发展状况的一套指标体系.使用主成分分析方法对所有评价指标进行预处理之后，借助粒子群优化算法改进了BP神经网络算法，构建了外贸发展状况的评价模型.评价模型在具体应用中，评价结果较为准确，具有一定的科学性和合理性.     

Aggregate-related changes in network patterns of nematodes and ammonia oxidizers in an acidic soil

Nitrification plays a central role in global nitrogen cycle, which is affected by biological interaction between soil microfauna and microorganisms. However, the complexity of soil biotic communities made it difficult to reveal organizational principles of the community and the interactions among species. Here, we used the network analysis to decipher the interactions between nematodes and ammonia oxidizers within aggregate fractions under 10-year manure application, and examine their associations with soil variables and potential nitrification activity (PNA). Three aggregate fractions included large macroaggregates (>2000 μm, LA), small macroaggregates (250–2000 μm, SA), and inter-aggregate soil and space (<250 μm, IA). Aggregate factions showed a remarkable effect on association networks of nematodes and ammonia oxidizers. The average connectivity (avgK) and the number of edges in overall networks increased with increasing aggregate sizes, while the average geodesic distance (GD) followed the opposite trend. The LA network could be viewed as a better organized or a better operational soil food web with more functional interrelated members than the SA and IA networks. The modules related to PNA were significantly correlated and clustered together as meta-modules in networks of aggregate fractions. The role-shifts prevailed among the network members such as significant module memberships (MMs) and generalist/specialist operational taxonomic units (OTUs). A half of shared nodes were further identified as shared MMs, dominated by ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (AOB) especially for Nitrosospira cluster 3a and 10. Soil pH could explain partly the shift of module hubs in different networks, while grazing by bacterivores might account for three exclusively connecters related to Nitrososphaera clusters 1.1. The strongly coupled modules correlated positively to pH and total carbon (TC), regardless of aggregate fractions. The network analysis approach provided new insights into potential importance of network interactions between nematodes and ammonia oxidizers in soil nitrogen cycling.     

基于LM算法的BP神经网络的电力负荷短期预测

清代书院课艺总集多为连续出版物，或具有连续出版物的刊行初衷。刊期短则一季，多则一年或数年。经费充足与否，会影响刊期。发表周期多为一年至五年，也有十余年的。用稿率以10%~20%居多，偶见“关系稿”。时文的用稿标准是“清真雅正”。题目多为官师所拟。一般全文刊登，也偶有“论点摘编”。多经润色，并附录评点。有的以袖珍本刊行，有的宣称“翻刻必究”，标出定价，附载广告。稿费已在膏火费中预支，优秀作品可被转载。从本质属性和诸多要素来看，书院课艺总集实开今日“大学学报”、“学术集刊”之先河。     

农村信息化网络建设方式对比

在市场经济条件下，建立和完善农村信息公共服务网络，促进农业信息工作、新农村建设，已经成为统筹城乡经济社会发展、全面建设小康社会的战略选择。文章首先分析了我国农村信息化网络建设的现状，然后探讨了农村信息化建设面临的主要障碍，最后提出了农村信息化网络建设的实施意见。     

网络时代高校思想政治教育的实效性探析

网络时代是一个信息资源丰富的新时期,它开阔了我们的眼界,拓展了我们的知识面,网络信息的发展促进了当今思想文化的新变化.而青年大学生作为利用网络的主群体,它必然会给大学生的思想道德、价值观念带来一定的影响,因此,网络时代的到来给高校思想政治教育带来了机遇和挑战.本文从网络时代的特点出发,探索性地分析了提高高校思想政治教育实效性的新途径.