农作物保险费率厘订问题的探讨

从保险经营的财务稳定性出发，对农作物保险费率的厘订从技术和理论上进行探讨，设计出农作物保险费率的计算公式，比较了计算纯费率的不同方法，讨论了损失率平均时段问题，指出农险费率的计算应根据农作物单产分布和灾害发生规律，选用不同的技术和方法，并且在实际应用中要不断调整     

Allometric model of the height–diameter curve for even-aged pure stands of Japanese cedar (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Cryptomeria japonica</Emphasis>)

We derived an allometric model of the height–diameter curve for even-aged pure stands, which was a modification of the earlier model proposed by Inoue (2000a). An individual-dependent allometric equation was used as the height–diameter curve. Using the discriminant analysis method, all trees composed of a stand were stratified into upper and lower trees. It was assumed that both relationships between mean tree height H _m and upper tree height H _u and between mean DBH D _m and mean DBH of upper trees D _u could be described by the time-dependent allometric power equations. The height–diameter curve showed an average relationship between tree height and DBH of a given stand at a given time, and hence it could be assumed that the height–diameter curve contained two points (D _m , H _m ) and (D _u , H _u ). With these assumptions, we derived an allometirc model of height–diameter curve, which allowed the coefficients of the curve to be estimated from mean tree height and mean DBH. The proposed model was fitted to Japanese cedar (Cryptomeria japonica D. Don) data. The error ratio of the allometric model ranged from 2.254% to 13.412% (mean = 6.785%), which was significantly smaller than that of the earlier model. When the error of mean tree height was ±1.0 m or less, the effect of the error of mean tree height on the error ratio was comparatively small. This suggested that the error of ±1.0 m in mean tree height could be accepted in the estimation of height–diameter curve using the allometric model. These features enable us to combine the allometric model with Hirata’s vertical angle-count sampling or growth models. In conclusion, the allometric model would be one of the most practical and convenient approaches for estimating the height–diameter relationship of even-aged pure stands.     

不同供水条件对冬小麦根系分布、产量及水分利用效率的影响

通过中科院栾城农业生态试验站3种不同降水年型的田间灌水试验,研究了不同供水条件对冬小麦根系分布、产量及水分利用效率的影响,旨在为华北地区冬小麦建立优化灌溉制度,提高水分利用效率,达到节水增产目的提供理论依据。试验结果表明,冬小麦根系主要集中分布在80 cm以上土层,随土层深度的增加,根长密度呈指数下降;综合分析根系对不同土层的水分吸收、作物耗水组成及产量、水分利用效率与总耗水的关系,提出华北地区冬小麦最佳灌水方式是：丰水年灌0水、平水年灌1水(拔节水)、枯水年灌2水(拔节水和抽穗水),次灌水量60～75 mm,具有明显的节水增产效益。     

On Measurement of Social Security Expenditure＇ s Moderate Level

对不同的国家和地区的社会保障水平适度性的衡量应从其实际经济发展水平和劳动要素分配比率出发,将社会保障水平的总量指标和结构指标结合使用,会更加合理的透视某经济体在社会保障支出和使用方面的问题。     

Logistic分布预测林分直径结构的研究

著名的Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ方程作为生物种群动态模型和生长曲线方程,在生态学和林学中得到了广泛应用;但它作为一种概率分布函数,却一直鲜为人知。林学上,对林分直径分布的研究,从６０年代以后,开始采用分布函数来描述林分的直径结构情况。如正态分布、对数正态分布、...     

潍坊市盆花消费现状调查

小盆径盆花因其价格低、体量小,越来越受到消费者的欢迎。通过对潍坊市居民消费小盆径盆花的情况进行调查,结果表明,小盆径盆花比大盆径盆花受欢迎,栽植盆器精美的小盆径盆花比用一般盆器栽植的盆花受欢迎。因此,发展小盆径盆花的生产与销售,是盆花生产的方向。     

Vertical distribution of larval Atlantic menhaden (Brevoortia tyrannus) and Atlantic croaker (Micropogonias undulatus): Implications for vertical migratory behaviour and transport

Understanding the interactions among biological and physical processes is essential to determining how the environment affects transport and survival of fishes. We examined vertical distribution in larval Atlantic menhaden (Brevoortia tyrannus) and Atlantic croaker (Micropogonias undulatus) using 126 depth stratified tows in Delaware Bay, USA, during two cruises, in December 2007 and February 2008. Menhaden larvae were 16.8–24.6 and 20.5–26.2 mm standard length in December and February. Corresponding lengths for croaker were 9.3–17.9 and 8.6–19.6 mm. Using empirical observations, and statistically derived models, we explored larval concentration for both species as a function of location, depth, diel period, tidal period, size, and pairwise interactions. Menhaden concentration was best modeled as a function of station, cruise, and interactions between depth and size as well as between station and cruise. No significant differences in larval menhaden concentration were present among tidal and diel periods. Croaker concentration was best modeled as a function of size and interactions between station and diel period, depth and size, cruise and size. Despite tidal period not emerging as a significant model parameter, we observed larger croaker larvae during nighttime flood tides. Our statistical models are consistent with processes of up‐estuary transport for both species, suggesting larvae are increasingly affected by behavioral responses as larvae grow, exhibiting stronger patterns in vertical distribution. The results refine our understanding of the potential importance of size‐related differences in vertical distribution for larval transport in these species. Future research should examine the interactions among size‐specific vertical migratory capabilities, vertical distribution, transport, and retention.     

河北省表层土壤可侵蚀性K值评估与分析

利用河北土系调查成果中的土壤颗粒组成、土地利用及土壤化学性质等资料,利用EPIC模型中土壤可蚀性K值算法以及结合地统计学方法,研究了不同土壤类型、不同质地及不同土地利用类型的土壤可侵蚀性K值和土壤可侵蚀性K值的空间变异特征。结果表明:1河北土壤可侵蚀性K值平均为0.27,其变化范围为0.12~0.40,土壤可蚀性K值在0.30~0.35之间易蚀性土壤面积占总土地面积的63.71%,土壤可蚀性K值在0.25~0.3之间较易蚀性土壤面积占总土地面积的21.52%,这说明该省易蚀性土壤面积较大。2不同质地的K值之间显著性差异,粉砂黏壤质的可侵蚀性K值最大,为0.37;壤砂质的可侵蚀性K值最小,为0.13。而在不同的土地利用类型之间的K值差异性不显著,耕地的K值最大,为0.33;草地的K值最小,为0.22。3河北土壤可侵蚀性K值存在较强的变异性,其变异系数为29%。因此,在土壤侵蚀定量监测、评价水土流失时,应考虑土壤可蚀性K值的这种空间变异状况。块金值/基台值为37.3%,表明在变程内具有中等强度的空间相关性。步长为23 km,变程为440 km,变程远大于步长,表明在小流域尺度下有较好的空间相关性,进行Kriging插值能得到较准确的结果。4河北土壤可蚀性K值大体呈现南高北低的空间分布特征,南部主要是耕作栽培区,北部主要是自然植被区。该研究结果为宏观大尺度土壤资源可持续利用与制定水土保持规划提供科学依据。     

Experimental oral transmission of largemouth bass virus

Largemouth bass virus (LMBV) is a recently discovered iridovirus that causes a fatal disease of largemouth bass, Micropterus salmoides (Lacepède). Fish can become infected by waterborne LMBV, but oral transmission of this virus has not been demonstrated previously. Largemouth bass were gavaged with guppies, Poecilia reticulata Peters, which had been injected with LMBV, and then sampled periodically during a 7‐week observation period. The dose of LMBV averaged 10^5.6 tissue culture infectious doses – 50% cytopathic endpoint (TCID₅₀) per largemouth bass. Five of 24 largemouth bass exposed to LMBV became infected with the virus, but none of the fish had clinical signs typical of LMBV disease. Virus titres in largemouth bass were highest in swim bladder (10^5.5–9.5 TCID₅₀ g^?1) and were 10^5.2 TCID₅₀ g^?1 or lower in cutaneous mucus, head kidney, trunk kidney, spleen, gonad and intestine. These results indicate that LMBV can be transmitted orally to largemouth bass, but further study is needed to determine the factors affecting pathogenicity of the virus.     

禾本科植物内生真菌研究11:黄山景区禾本科植物内生真菌的检测与分布

2006至2008年的夏季,从黄山景区海拔500-1600m处,采集至少23个属的631株禾本科植物,通过镜检,其中的内生真菌检出率为39%.内生真菌的分布与宿主植物的种类、宿t植物的地理分布类型等有关,拂子茅植物的检出率高达67%.在所调查的6个地理分布类型中,内生真菌大量分布在北温带分布的植物类型中.从短柄草中发现了香柱菌(Epichloe sp.),其子座等形态学特征与欧洲菌株存在很大差异,这是我国新报道的第2例有性型内生真菌.