基于互联网的江苏省蔬菜害虫管理决策支持系统的设计与实现

以强化蔬菜害虫相关信息交流、优化害虫治理、实现害虫动态预测与决策为目标,设计了基于互联网的江苏省蔬菜害虫管理决策支持系统。该系统整合了地理信息系统(G IS),以强化其动态显示和预测功能。文中就该系统构建的基本思路和总体框架,以及对系统中数据库、模型库、知识库和地理信息系统子系统等几个主要的功能模块的设计原理与实现方法进行了简要描述。     

淀山湖湖水氮与叶绿素的时间格局转变研究

采用STARS（sequential t-test analysis of regime shifts）,以淀山湖湖水中TN、NH3-N、Chl-a和SD为指标,研究了淀山湖湖水氮与叶绿素在1991-2006年间的格局转变规律,分析了转变前后氮与叶绿素的格局特点。结果得出：1991-2006年间,淀山湖湖水中NH3-N和TN含量均存在两种格局,一次转变,发生转变的时间均在2000年;格局转变前NH3-N平均含量为0.649 mg•L-1,转变后为2.014 mg•L-1,是转变前的3.1倍;湖水TN的平均含量格局转变前为2.550 mg•L-1,转变后3.726 mg•L-1,是转变前的1.5倍。淀山湖湖水中Chl-a含量和SD也均存在两种格局,转变均发生在2001年。格局转变前湖水中Chl-a平均含量9.341ug•L-1,转变后19.713ug•L-1,是转变前的2.1倍;湖水SD在转变前平均62 cm,转变后降低为43 cm。2000年的格局转变指数（RSI）2.185,其中NH3-N的RSI 1.038,TN的1.147;2001年的RSI为1.341,其中Chl-a的0.318,SD的为1.023。     

The pelagic habitat analysis module for ecosystem‐based fisheries science and management

We have developed a set of tools that operate within an aquatic geographic information system to improve the accessibility, and usability of remote‐sensed satellite and computer‐modeled oceanographic data for marine science and ecosystem‐based management. The tools form the Pelagic Habitat Analysis Module (PHAM), which can be applied as a modeling platform, an investigative aid in scientific research, or utilized as a decision support system for marine ecological management. Applications include fisheries, marine biology, physical and biological oceanography, and marine spatial management. The GIS provides a home for diverse data types and automated tools for downloading remote sensed and global circulation model data. Within the GIS environment, PHAM provides a framework for seamless interactive four‐dimensional visualization, for matching between disparate data types, for flexible statistic or mechanistic model development, and for dynamic application of user developed models for habitat, density, and probability predictions. Here we describe PHAM in the context of ecosystem‐based fisheries management, and present results from case study projects which guided development. In the first, an analysis of the purse seine fishery for tropical tuna in the eastern Pacific Ocean revealed oceanographic drivers of the catch distribution and the influence of climate‐driven circulation patterns on the location of fishing grounds. To support management of the Common Thresher Shark (Alopias vulpinus) in the California Current Ecosystem, a simple empirical habitat utilization model was developed and used to dynamically predict the seasonal range expansion of common thresher shark based on oceanographic conditions.     

社会转型期城市家庭购买决策的夫妻角色研究

作为购买决策主体，家庭是一种非常特殊的组织，在中国社会和经济的双重转型期，家庭内部的角色结构也在发生变迁。以三个中等城市家庭为对象，调查结果显示家庭消费决策的夫妻角色呈明显专门化，夫妻在决策不同阶段的感知影响力也不同。这一结果可能为企业的营销传播策略、市场细分策略设计提供理论依据。     

Research and Application of Decision - making System in Mine Fire

主要介绍了矿井火灾决策系统的组成及应用。矿井火灾决策系统能大大节省灾变时期的反应时间，为企业在第一时间采取果断措施尽可能消除或减少火灾损失争取宝贵的时间，对于矿井火灾的防治具有重要的意义。     

Evaluation of foliar resistance in potato to Phytophthora infestans based on an international field trial network

During the period 2000–03, local potato cultivars in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Denmark were tested for foliar resistance to Phytophthora infestans (late blight) in an international field trial network. Four standard cultivars were included in the trials: Sava, Oleva, Danva and Kuras. Primary disease-assessment data were entered into a common database, and parameters from the disease progress curves were calculated and made available on interactive web pages. A regression model, using relative area under disease progress curve (RAUDPC) values for cv. Oleva as a reference, was developed for the estimation of 1–9 scale values, where 1 = most susceptible. Standard deviations for the estimated 1–9 scale values and a nonparametric rank stability analysis of RAUDPC were used to evaluate the stability of resistance of the cultivars. Overall, the results showed stability of resistance for cvs Sava, Oleva and Danva, but not for Kuras. Use of the Internet-based Web-Blight service in this study facilitated comparison of results among countries for the level and stability of resistance. The estimated 1–9 scale values were similar to, or slightly lower than, those from official cultivar lists or from the European Cultivated Potato Database, especially for the more resistant cultivars. Possible reasons for discrepancies from different sources and locations are discussed. It is concluded that RAUPDC and the derived 1–9 scale values are useful for ranking cultivars for resistance to P. infestans , but this information is not detailed enough for use in a decision support system for late blight control.     

乌鲁木齐河流域土地灌溉系统的灰色决策模型研究

本文以乌鲁木齐河流域为试验区,介绍了干旱区流域土地灌溉系统的多目标灰色决策模型的构造原理和方法。利用灰色控制系统的理论和方法建立了灰色优势分析模型,并以该模型为基础建造了多目标灰色决策分析模型。对最优局势的效果测度与综合决策矩阵的构成原理进行了深入探讨,并由此构造了地下水位控制模型与土地灌溉系统的灰色决策模型,为流域地下水位的控制提供了一种新的研究方法。     

SFC图转换成梯形图的方法探讨

顺序功能图（Sequential Function Chart）是PLC程序设计语言之一，简称为SFC图。由于其具有结构清晰、直观简便、易于阅读和维护等特点，在工业顺序控制场合中被广泛应用。通过实例介绍了SFC图转换成梯形图的方法，首先分配存储器地址，然后确定转移条件，最后转换工作步和输出动作。     

金融系统ARCH模型及应用

针对金融数据具有丛集性与异方差性的特征，给出了最能反映这一特征的研究方法，在此基础上，比较系统地介绍了ＡＲＣＨ模型及其若干变形，参数估计与假设检验，讨论了金融系统ＡＲＣＨ模型的应用前景。     

基于DTA山体部位分类决策方案的改进与微观地形自动分类研究

在数字地形分析DTA的理论体系框架下,研究了微观地形分类的体系、方法,认为Dragut等在2004年提出的山体部位分类决策方案割裂了微观地形表达上的同一性,仅以曲率或坡度划分不同的山体部位容易形成重叠。以土壤侵蚀研究中的临界坡度值为参考改进了Dragut等提出的山体部位分类决策方案。提出了基于栅格DEM和DTA技术实现微观地貌形态分类的关键技术在于提取地形地貌因子和制定合理的分类决策方案。并以黄土高原的局部DEM为数据源,以改进的山体部位分类决策方案为应用参考,在DTA技术支撑下进行了微观地形自动分类的试验研究。结果表明,以栅格DEM为数据,基于DTA技术提取相关微观地形地貌因子,形成合理的分类决策方案就可以实现微观地形地貌的自动划分。