A stochastic surplus production model in continuous time

Surplus production modelling has a long history as a method for managing data‐limited fish stocks. Recent advancements have cast surplus production models as state‐space models that separate random variability of stock dynamics from error in observed indices of biomass. We present a stochastic surplus production model in continuous time (SPiCT), which in addition to stock dynamics also models the dynamics of the fisheries. This enables error in the catch process to be reflected in the uncertainty of estimated model parameters and management quantities. Benefits of the continuous‐time state‐space model formulation include the ability to provide estimates of exploitable biomass and fishing mortality at any point in time from data sampled at arbitrary and possibly irregular intervals. We show in a simulation that the ability to analyse subannual data can increase the effective sample size and improve estimation of reference points relative to discrete‐time analysis of aggregated annual data. Finally, subannual data from five North Sea stocks are analysed with particular focus on using residual analysis to diagnose model insufficiencies and identify necessary model extensions such as robust estimation and incorporation of seasonality. We argue that including all known sources of uncertainty, propagation of that uncertainty to reference points and checking of model assumptions using residuals are critical prerequisites to rigorous fish stock management based on surplus production models.     

“学为中心”视域下动物解剖学教学方法的反思

由于信息技术的快速发展和动物医学专业需求的变化,动物解剖学教学在内容和方法方面发生了重大变化。动物医学专业教育已从被动和以教师为中心向积极、以临床为基础和以学生为中心转变。本文在“学为中心”背景下分析各种教学模式在动物解剖学教学中的作用和有效性。     

党参小包装饮片养护方法研究

[目的]通过对比不同包装、贮藏条件对党参小包装饮片内外质量的影响,建立适合党参小包装饮片的养护贮藏方法.[方法]党参饮片分别采用聚乙烯塑料、铝箔、牛皮凝膜纸袋3种包装材料包装,做真空/非真空处理后,藏于不同温湿度的环境中,定期考察外观性状、水分、浸出物、多糖及其总黄酮等指标的变化.[结果]前6个月内,各组的检测指标均无明显变化;12个月时,非真空包装样品中的多糖、总黄酮含量均呈显著变化,且室温下贮存的纸袋包装样品出现了虫蛀,色泽变暗、变深的现象;18个月时,除真空包装冷藏处理的各样品以及阴凉条件下的铝箔真空包装样品各检测指标与0个月差异不大外,其余均有明显的性状或含测指标变化.[结论]结合养护成本综合考虑,党参小包装饮片可采用真空塑料或铝箔包装,存放于阴凉干燥处.     

Black carbon estimation in French calcareous soils using chemo‐thermal oxidation method

We studied the black carbon (BC) content of ca. 405 samples from French topsoil and artificial soil and carbonate mixtures. Our protocol involved three main steps: (i) decarbonation by HCl, (ii) elimination of non‐pyrogenic organic carbon in a furnace at 375 °C, and (iii) quantification of residual carbon by CHN analysis. BC content increased for calcareous soils according to their carbonates content. Subsequent analyses confirmed the existence of a methodological artefact for BC determination only in calcareous soils. Decarbonation changes the thermal properties of organic matter, creating more recalcitrant carbon than in the initial sample. Higher CaCO₃ and organic carbon content results in a more pronounced artefact. The reversal of the first two steps of the chemo‐thermal oxidation method (i.e. thermal oxidation before soil decarbonation) eliminates this artefact. Overall, our results suggest that BC content may have been overestimated in a large number of studies on calcareous soils.     

旱地生态学问题弱解对初值的连续依赖性

随着工业化的发展,人们越来越注重生态环境保护问题.利用能量方法,采用Sobolev不等式研究了旱地生态学问题,得到了旱地生态学问题非负弱解对初值的连续依赖性.     

基于GIS的不同种植模式下凉州区日光温室土壤养分分析

采用GPS定位取样测试、ACIGIS软件数据分析和地统计分析方法,对凉州区日光温室土壤养分状况进行了分析评价。结果表明,在0~20 cm表层土壤中,不同种植模式的氮、磷、钾养分分布趋势基本一致。种植番茄—架豆、番茄—辣椒电导率最大,为1.97 ms/cm;种植番茄—架豆盐分最高,为11.9 g/kg;种植人参果CEC最大,为16.87%。在20~40 cm土壤中,种植番茄—辣椒电导率最高,为2.59 ms/cm;种植小乳瓜盐分最大,其值为17.9 g/kg;种植人参果CEC最大,为19.94%。     

非会计专业《会计学》课程教学方法刍议

目前,许多高校非会计专业都将《会计学》课程作为一门专业必修的基础课程。结合多年的非会计专业会计教学经验,笔者认为根据专业特点,采用灵活多样的教学方法是实现非会计专业《会计学》课程教学目标,提高《会计学》教学效果的重要手段。     

Advances on Detection Methods for Residues of Nitrofurans in Food

Nitrofurans are broad-spectrum antibiotics which have been widely used in food animals to the prevention and treatment of gastrointestinal infections.Due to abuse of drugs by criminals,animals could produce drug-resistant strains,which reduces the role of antibiotics.Meanwhile,excessive drugs residues in food has carcinogenic,teratogenic and mutagenic effects to the human body.In this paper,the damage and the detection methods of the residues of the nitrofurans in food are surveyed.The main detection methods include high performance liquid chromatography,liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry,liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry,enzyme-linked immunoassay,colloidal gold immunoassay and fluorescence immunity analysis method.The research status of various detection methods are summarized and the suggestions for further research are put forward.It is expected to provide reference for future research.     

增强学生对“作物栽培学实验”学习兴趣的探讨

该文根据在作物栽培学及其实验的教学过程中的心得体会,从实验教学内容和模式、教学手段、教学方法及考核办法等几个方面展开论述,总结了如何增强学生对该实验课程的学习兴趣,以便更好地改善教学质量。     

基于响应面法和NSGA-II算法的麦弗逊悬架优化

应用响应面法和经过改进的非支配排序遗传算法(NSGA-II)进行悬架结构参数优化.在ADAMS/Insight软件中进行设计参数的灵敏度分析，针对灵敏度较大的设计参数，建立车轮定位参数在车轮跳动过程中最大变化量的2阶响应面近似数学模型对该模型进行稳定性分析，并且应用加入精英保持策略和去除重复个体算法的NSGA-II优化算法对多目标响应面模型进行优化求解.优化结果表明该方法具有较高的精确性与有效性.