Simple mathematical model for water advance determination

The explicit volume balance model was modified and combined with the motion equation of the zero inertia to predict water advance in border irrigation. A system of dimensionless notation was used to obtain implicit and explicit solutions of the model. This model is simpler than previously used models, yet maintains a high degree of accuracy. The proposed model requires no programming and can easily be performed using a hand calculator. The outcomes of the proposed model were comparable to those of the more sophisticated zero inertia model. Using well-documented field examples, the proposed model provided acceptable results, implying that it could be used in practice to determine the advance distance with insignificant errors. In addition, the model is applicable to conditions under which the traditional volume balance model fails.     

Combining deliberative and computer-based methods for multi-objective land-use planning

This paper reports the outcomes of a deliberative workshop comparing land-use plans proposed by land-manager or domain experts with those derived using a computer-based decision support system (DSS). The DSS integrates four main components, a geographic information system, land-use systems simulation models, impact assessments and land-use planning tools. The land-use planning tools draw on the other components to generate and evaluate alternative patterns of land use and management. Since the land-use planning tools are based on multi-objective genetic algorithms (mGAs) it is possible to generate a range of alternative plans that define the structure of the trade-off between the objectives. The workshop tasked the delegates with specifying land-use plans that achieved the best compromise between two objectives known to be non-commensurable and conflicting. The nature of the best compromise was dependent on their individual perspectives. The delegates proposed allocations both as individuals and in researcher-facilitated sub-groups. The mGA allocations were then compared with those derived by delegates and were found to be broadly similar in performance. Differences in the range of allocations considered feasible were explained by the hard and soft constraints on allocations agreed between the delegates and articulated within the workshop process. The hypothesis that part of the difference in performance between the mGA and delegate allocations was due to the delegates blocking together fields with the same land use for convenience of management was proved. The analysis of the group allocations revealed that the decision-making process had failed to improve on the individual allocations. From these results it was concluded that there was a potential role for mGA based land-use planning tools in researching into, and deliberating on, the possible impacts of policy or other factors affecting land-use systems. It was further concluded that the tools should not be used in isolation since there was the need for stake-holder inputs to adequately define the range of feasible and practical land-use plans.     

Assessing the options for upland livestock systems under CAP reform: Developing and applying a livestock systems model within whole-farm systems analysis

This paper presents a scenario-based analysis of the impacts of Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reform for upland agriculture using a Welsh case-study. Specifically the paper examines the impacts of the introduction of the single-farm payment (SFP), the modulation of direct payments under Pillar I of the CAP and the increase in agri-environment payments under Pillar II. Three enterprises are examined, upland sheep rearing with lamb finishing, spring- and autumn-calving suckler-cattle with calf rearing. These enterprises are modelled under conditions in 2002/3, 2004/5 and for the reformed CAP in 2005/6. To support this analysis a livestock system model (LSM) was implemented. The model assesses alternative management regimen using a flexible state-transition approach. This simplifies the realisation and parameterisation of potentially complex management regimen. The model tracks fodder requirements to achieve targets based on defined diets. The LSM underpins whole-farm analyses of stocking-rates, labour and other resource requirements and net-farm income. From the case study the paper concludes that the impacts of the introduction of the CAP reform on the financial performance of the systems are small but negative (a net reduction of around 5% in support). The larger reduction in direct payments (15–18%) is partially offset by agri-environment measures. The paper concludes that while SFP encourages a more market-oriented outlook, the adaptive capacity within systems as they stand is very limited. There are a range of possible adaptation strategies, but for the uplands the extensification of cattle systems by reducing stock numbers and cutting back on labour seems most probable.     

Field-scale assessment of deep drainage risk

Improving irrigation efficiency is of primary importance in arid and semi-arid regions of the world as a consequence of increasing incidences of soil and water salinisation. In the cotton-growing regions of Australia salinisation is generally a result of inefficient irrigation practices, which lead to excessive deep drainage (DD). There is therefore the need to apply a relatively inexpensive approach to assessing where inefficiencies occur and make prediction of suitability of existing and new water storage sites. However, physical methods of measuring DD, such as flux meters and lysimeters, are time-consuming and site-specific. In this paper we apply a rapid method for determining the spatial distribution of soil in an irrigated cotton field in the lower Gwydir valley. First, EC_a data (using EM38 and EM31) were used to determine a soil-sampling scheme for determining soil information such as clay content and exchangeable cations to a depth of 1.2 m. The soil data and water quality information were input into the SaLF (salt and leaching fraction) model to estimate DD rate (mm/year). In developing the relationship between EC_a and estimated DD, three exponential models (two-, three- and four-parameter) were compared and evaluated using the Aikakie information criteria (AIC). The three-parameter exponential model was found to be best and was used for further analysis. Using the geostatistical approach of multiple indicator kriging (MIK), maps of conditional probability of DD exceeding a critical cut-off value (i.e. 50, 75, 100 mm) were produced for various rates of irrigation (I=300, 600, 1,200 and 1,500 mm/year). The areas of highest risk were consistent with where water-use efficiency was problematic and thus leading to the creation of perched water tables. The advantage of this approach is that it is quick and is applicable to situations where efficient use of water is required. The results can be used for irrigation planning, particularly in the location of large irrigation infrastructure such as water reservoirs.     

The Viejo Retamo secondary canal

The intended operation of the Rio Tunuyan irrigation scheme in the province of Mendoza, Argentina, is to divide flow proportionately over the entire area in accordance with registered water-rights. The main division of flow is by regulators at the heads of the lateral canals, which serve areas of appr. 15,000 ha. Taking the sub-lateral or secondary canal Viejo Retamo as an example, this paper discusses the flow division downstream of these regulators. The operation of the canal is evaluated with two performance indicators:

-the ratio of volume of water intended to be supplied to the tertiary units over the volume of water actually supplied, and

-the misallocation of water in volume.

In the Rio Tunuyan scheme, there is also a relation between the evapotranspiration of crops and the groundwater level: if less than 60% of the supplied canal water evapotranspires, the groundwater level rises.     

Interfacial contribution to two-electrode soil moisture sensor readings

Summary Contribution of electrochemical polarization, occurring at the electrode-moist soil interface, to soil moisture sensor readings is discussed for two bare electrodes or for soil moisture blocks. A soil moisture sensor can be considered as an electrolytic cell, the electrical impedance of which is the resultant of several component subimpedances arising from a diversity of phenomena causing sensor electrical polarization. It is shown that within the range of commonly applied frequencies: readings of sensors' electrical capacitance are totally masked by interfacial pseudocapacitance while the readings of the sensor electrical resistance are influenced by interfacial phenomena unless the read-out device compensates for the capacitive component of the sensor impedance.     

Finding niches for whole-farm design models – contradictio in terminis?

Whole-farm design models quantitatively analyze the effects of a variety of potential changes at the farm system level. Science-driven technical information is confronted with value-driven objectives of farmers or other social groupings under explicit assumptions with respect to exogenous variables that are important drivers of agricultural systems (e.g., market conditions). Hence, farm design is an outcome of objective specification and the potential of a system. In recent publications, whole-farm design modelling has been proposed to enhance (farm) innovation processes. A number of operational modelling tools now offers the opportunity to assess the true potential of whole-farm design modelling to enhance innovation. In this paper, we demonstrate that it is not trivial to find niches for the application of goal-based farm models. Model outcomes appeared not to match questions of farm managers monitoring and learning from their own and other farmers’ practices. However, our research indicates that whole-farm design modelling possesses the capabilities to make a valuable contribution to reframing. Reframing is the phenomenon that people feel an urge to discuss and reconsider current objectives and perspectives on a problem. Reframing might take place in a situation (i) of mutually felt dependency between stakeholders, (ii) in which there is sufficient pressure and urgency for stakeholders to explore new problem definitions and make progress. Furthermore, our research suggests that the way the researcher enters a likely niche to introduce a model and/or his or her position in this niche may have significant implications for the potential of models to enhance an innovation process. Therefore, we hypothesize that the chances of capitalizing on modelling expertise are likely to be higher when researchers with such expertise are a logical and more or less permanent component of ongoing trajectories than when these researchers come from outside to purposefully search for a niche.     

An integrated modelling toolbox for water resources assessment and management in highland catchments: Model description

Water and land resource competition and environmental degradation pose difficult questions for resource managers. In particular, the ensuing trade-offs between economic, environmental, and social factors and their spatiotemporal variability must be considered when implementing management policies. This paper describes an integrated modelling toolbox that has been developed for highland catchments – specifically the Mae Chaem catchment in Northern Thailand. This toolbox contains models of crop growth, erosion and rainfall-runoff, as well as household decision and socioeconomic impact models. The approach described advances and complements previous approaches by: considering more complex interactions between land-use decisions and the hydrological cycle; modelling household decisions based on uncertain expectations; and assessing impacts of changes not only on flows and household income, but also on subsistence production and erosion. An example of the types of trade-offs and scenarios that can be assessed using the integrated modelling toolbox is also presented. This demonstrates that for the scenarios presented, the magnitude and direction of impacts simulated by the model is not dependent on climate. Further testing of the model is demonstrated in a companion paper. Overall, the plausibility of the model is shown.