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41.
Poland has the largest agricultural area within the Baltic Sea drainage basin and reducing the risk of phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) leaching from Polish soils to water is therefore essential. Increased acidity is known to reduce soil fertility and may trigger P leaching from non-calcareous soils. As part of advisor training, 25 farms each in Pomerania and north-western Mazovia were visited and 1500?ha arable soil, including 180?ha grassland soil, were monitored in 2013–2014. The soil was mainly coarse textured, but 25% of the Pomeranian farms were dominated by silty or clayey soils. More or less regular drainage systems were found on 20% of the farms, while 50% had simpler, older (>30 years) systems with a few single pipes. The farmers often used only ammonium sulphate or other acidifying N mineral fertiliser. Median pH on the Pomeranian farms, analysed in potassium chloride solution [pH(KCl)], was 5.2 and liming was advised for fields on most (72%) of these farms. Soil P content, measured by double-lactate extraction (PDL), was positively and significantly correlated (Pearson coefficient 0.57; p?DL (P given in elemental form) tended to be lower on dairy farms and arable farms and was significantly lower (mean 51?mg?PDL?kg?1 soil) on mixed farms (with just a few cows and poultry) than on pig farms (mean 122?mg?PDL?kg?1 soil). Farm-gate balances indicated deficits of P and potassium (K) on many of the small mixed farms in Pomerania and the soil can be expected to be nutrient depleted. In contrast, the pig farms demonstrated surplus farm-gate P balances (mean 27?kg?ha?1). The P leaching risk is discussed relative to soil threshold values and to results from Swedish long-term field experiments.  相似文献   
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High concentrations of the mycotoxin deoxynivalenol (DON), produced by Fusarium graminearum have occurred frequently in Norwegian oats recently. Early prediction of DON levels is important for farmers, authorities and the Cereal Industry. In this study, the main weather factors influencing mycotoxin accumulation were identified and two models to predict the risk of DON in oat grains in Norway were developed: (1) as a warning system for farmers to decide if and when to treat with fungicide, and (2) for authorities and industry to use at harvest to identify potential food safety problems. Oat grain samples from farmers’ fields were collected together with weather data (2004–2013). A mathematical model was developed and used to estimate phenology windows of growth stages in oats (tillering, flowering etc.). Weather summarisations were then calculated within these windows, and the Spearman rank correlation factor calculated between DON-contamination in oats at harvest and the weather summarisations for each phenological window. DON contamination was most clearly associated with the weather conditions around flowering and close to harvest. Warm, rainy and humid weather during and around flowering increased the risk of DON accumulation in oats, as did dry periods during germination/seedling growth and tillering. Prior to harvest, warm and humid weather conditions followed by cool and dry conditions were associated with a decreased risk of DON accumulation. A prediction model, including only pre-flowering weather conditions, adequately forecasted risk of DON contamination in oat, and can aid in decisions about fungicide treatments.  相似文献   
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We test previous claims that the bacteria Vibrio alginolyticus produces tetrodotoxin (TTX) when living in symbiosis with the nemertean Lineus longissimus by a setup with bacteria cultivation for TTX production. Toxicity experiments on the shore crab, Carcinus maenas, demonstrated the presence of a paralytic toxin, but evidence from LC-MS and electrophysiological measurements of voltage-gated sodium channel–dependent nerve conductance in male Wistar rat tissue showed conclusively that this effect did not originate from TTX. However, a compound of similar molecular weight was found, albeit apparently non-toxic, and with different LC retention time and MS/MS fragmentation pattern than those of TTX. We conclude that C. maenas paralysis and death likely emanate from a compound <5 kDa, and via a different mechanism of action than that of TTX. The similarity in mass between TTX and the Vibrio-produced low-molecular-weight, non-toxic compound invokes that thorough analysis is required when assessing TTX production. Based on our findings, we suggest that re-examination of some published claims of TTX production may be warranted.  相似文献   
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SUMMARY: Monte Carlo simulation and analytical calculations were used to study the effect of selection on genetic correlation between two traits. The simulated breeding program was based on a closed adult multiple ovulation and embryo transfer nucleus breeding scheme. Selection was on an index calculated using multi-trait animal model (AM). Analytical formulae applicable to any evaluation method were derived to predict change in genetic (co)variance due to selection under multi-trait selection using different evaluation methods. Two formulae were investigated, one assuming phenotypic selection and the other based on a recursive two-generation AM selection index. The recursive AM method approximated information due to relatives by a relationship matrix of two generations. Genetic correlation after selection was compared under different levels of initial genetic and environmental correlations with two different selection criteria. Changes in genetic correlation were similar in simulation and analytical predictions. After one round of selection the recursive AM method and the simulation gave similar predictions while the phenotypic selection predicted usually more change in genetic correlation. After several rounds of selection both analytical formulae predicted more change in genetic correlation than the simulation. ZUSAMMENFASSUNG: ?nderung der genetischen Korrelation bei Selektion mit einem Tiermodell Der Selektionseffekt auf die genetische Korrelation zwischen zwei Merkmalen wurde mit Hilfe von Monte Carlo-Simulation und analytischen Berechnungen untersucht. Ein geschlossener Adulter - MOET (Multiple Ovulation and Embryo Transfer) Zuchtplan wurde simuliert. Die Selektion gründete sich auf einen Index, der die Zuchtwertsch?tzung des Mehrmerkmals-Tiermodells benutzte. Analytische Formeln für die Voraussage der ?nderung der genetischen (Ko)varianz unter multivariate Selektion für verschiedene Zuchtwertsch?tzungsmethode wurden deduziert. Zwei Formeln wurden studiert, die erste nahm ph?notypische Auswahl an und die andere gründete sich auf ein wiederholte Mehrmerkmals-Tiermodell von zwei Generationen. Das wiederholte Mehrmerkmals-Tiermodell approximierte die Information aus den Verwandten mit Hilfe einer Verwandtschaftsmatrix der zwei Generationen. Die genetische Korrelation nach der Selektion aus der Simulation und den analytischen Formeln wurde mit verschiedenen reellen genetischen und umweltbedingten Korrelationen mit zwei Selektionskriterien verglichen. Sie ?nderte sich ?hnlich bei Simulation und analytischen Formeln. Nach einem Selektionszyklus kamen das wiederholte Mehrmerkmals-Tiermodell und die Simulation zu gleichen Voraussagen, aber die ph?notypische Selektion sagte mehr ?nderung voraus. Nach mehreren selektierten Generationen sagten die beiden analytischen Formeln mehr ?nderung in der genetischen Korrelation voraus als die Simulation. RéSUMé: Changement de corrélation génétique du à la sélection en utilisant une évaluation de type modèle animal Une simulation Monte Carlo et des calculs analytiques ont été utilisés pour étudier l'effet de la sélection sur la corrélation génétique entre deux caractères. Le programme de sélection simulé a été basé sur le schéma d'un noyau de sélection adulte et fermé avec superovulation et transfert embryonnaire. La sélection portait sur un indice calculé à partir d'un modèle animal multicaractères (AM). Des formules analytiques applicables à n'importe quelle méthode d'évaluation ont été développées pour prédire le changement de (co)variance génétique du à la sélection multicaractères en utilisant différentes méthodes d'évaluation. Deux formules ont été étudiées, l'une supposant une sélection phénotypique et l'autre basée sur un index de sélection de type AM sur deux générations. La méthode AM récurrente prenait en compte l'information des apparentés de manière approximative à travers la matrice de parenté sur deux générations. La corrélation génétique après sélection a été comparée à différents niveaux de corrélations génétique et environnementale pour deux critères de sélection différents. Les changements de corrélation génétique étaient similaires dans les simulations et les prédictions analytiques. Après un cycle de sélection, la méthode récurrente AM et la simulation donnaient les prédictions similaires alors que la sélection phénotypique prédisait habituellement des changements de corrélations génétiques plus importants. Après plusieurs cycles de sélection, les deux formules analytiques prédisaient des changements de corrélation plus importants que la simulation. RéSUMé: Cambio en la correlación genética debido a selección usando evaluaciones con modelo animal Se estudió el efecto de la selección sobre la correlación genética entre dos caracteres utilizando simulación de Monte Carlo y cálculos analíticos. El esquema de selección simulado estuvo basado en un núcleo adulto y cerrado de ovulación multiple y transferencia de embriones. El criterio de selección fue un indice calculado a partir de un modelo animal multicarácter (AM). Se derivaron fórmulas analíticas aplicables a cualquier método de evaluación para predecir cambios debidos a selección en las (co)varianzas genéticas bajo selección multicarácter usando distintos métodos de valoración. Se investigaron dos fórmulas, una que asumía selección fenotípica y la otra basada en un índice de selección AM recurrente con dos generaciones. El método AM recurrente aproximaba la información de parientes a través de una matriz de relaciones aditivas que contemplaba dos generaciones. La correlación genética tras la selección fue comparada bajo distintos niveles de correlación genética y ambiental iniciales con dos criterios de selección diferentes. Los cambios en correlatión genética fueron similares en las predicciones analíticas y con simulación. Tras un ciclo de selección, el método AM recurrente y la simulación produjeron predicciones similares mientras que la selección fenotípica predijo, generalmente, más cambio en la correlación genética. Después de varios ciclos de selección, las dos fórmulas analíticas predijeron más cambios en la correlación genética que la simulación.  相似文献   
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The frequency of eye infections in the Finnish blue fox population has increased during the past decade. Eye infection may incur economic losses to producers due to reduced selection intensity, but ethical aspects need to be considered as well because eye infection can be quite painful and reduce animal well‐being. The purpose of this study was to determine the potential for genetic selection against susceptibility to eye infection. The data were collected from 2076 blue foxes at the MTT fur animal research station. Genetic parameters were estimated using single‐ and multiple‐trait animal models. The heritability estimate for eye infection was analysed as a binary trait (EYE) and was moderate (0.24 ± 0.07). EYE had a moderate antagonistic genetic correlation (–0.49 ± 0.20) with grading density (thick underfur). The genetic correlation of EYE with grading size or body condition score was estimated without precision, but all size traits had a low antagonistic phenotypic correlation with EYE. Our results suggest that there is genetic variance in susceptibility to EYE, indicating that eye health can be improved through selection. The current recommendation is that the sick animals should be culled immediately. If more efficient selection is needed, the selection index and multiple‐trait animal models can be applied in breeding for better eye health.  相似文献   
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The profit and production of an average Finnish blue fox farm was simulated using a deterministic bio‐economic farm model. Risk was included using Arrow‐Prat absolute risk aversion coefficient and profit variance. Risk‐rated economic values were calculated for pregnancy rate, litter loss, litter size, pelt size, pelt quality, pelt colour clarity, feed efficiency and eye infection. With high absolute risk aversion, economic values were lower than with low absolute risk aversion. Economic values were highest for litter loss (18.16 and 26.42 EUR), litter size (13.27 and 19.40 EUR), pregnancy (11.99 and 18.39 EUR) and eye infection (12.39 and 13.81 EUR). Sensitivity analysis showed that selection pressure for improved eye health depended strongly on proportion of culled animals among infected animals and much less on the proportion of infected animals. The economic value of feed efficiency was lower than expected (6.06 and 8.03 EUR). However, it was almost the same magnitude as pelt quality (7.30 and 7.30 EUR) and higher than the economic value of pelt size (3.37 and 5.26 EUR). Risk factors should be considered in blue fox breeding scheme because they change the relative importance of traits.  相似文献   
50.
Run timing of escaped farmed Atlantic salmon Salmo salar vs. wild fish was compared by the use of video camera surveillance in 15 rivers over several years, covering 1600 km of the Norwegian coastline (from 58°N to 69°N). Annual runs of wild salmon varied among rivers from <200 fish to more than 10 000. During the surveillance period that for most rivers extended from late May to early October, larger‐sized salmon (fish ≥ 65 cm) generally entered the rivers earlier than small fish. The percentage of salmon identified as escaped farmed fish ranged from 0.1% to 17% across rivers with an average of 4.3%. Estimates of escapees are, however, assumed to represent minimum values because an unknown number of farmed fish passing the video cameras may have been misclassified as wild fish. By the use of a linear mixed model and generalised additive mixed models, it was found that the relationship between run timing and fish length differed significantly between farmed and wild salmon. While small‐sized farmed and wild fish (<65 cm) entered the river at about the same time, wild large salmon returned on average 1–2 weeks earlier than similarly sized escapees. The proportion of large‐sized farmed escapees also increased until late August and decreased thereafter. In contrast, there was a relatively constant and lower proportion of small‐sized escapees throughout the season. Within the surveillance period, there was no evidence of any exceptionally late runs of fish classified as escaped farmed salmon.  相似文献   
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