Estimating the Risk of a Crop Epidemic From Coincident Spatio-temporal Processes

Fusarium Head Blight (FHB), or “scab,” is a very destructive disease that affects wheat crops. Recent research has resulted in accurate weather-driven models that estimate the probability of an FHB epidemic based on experiments. However, these predictions ignore two crucial aspects of FHB epidemics: (1) An epidemic is very unlikely to occur unless the plants are flowering, and (2) FHB spreads by its spores, resulting in spatial and temporal dependence in risk. We develop a new approach that combines existing weather-based probabilities with information on flowering dates from survey data, while simultaneously accounting for spatial and temporal dependence. Our model combines two space-time processes, one associated with pure weather-based FHB risks and the other associated with flowering date probabilities. To allow for scalability, we model spatiotemporal dependence via a process convolutions approach. Our sample-based approach produces a realistic assessment of areas that are persistently at high risk (where the probability of an epidemic is elevated for extended time periods), along with associated estimates of uncertainty. We conclude with the application of our approach to a case study from North Dakota.     

Hydroxyl Radical Generation and Contaminant Removal from Water by the Collapse of Microbubbles Under Different Hydrochemical Conditions

The present study addresses the mechanism of hydroxyl radical (·OH) generation by the collapse of microbubbles in water solution. The influence of gas supply and flow rate, solution pH, and ionic strength on the aeration efficiency, free radical generation, and contaminant removal (take methylene blue as an example) are elucidated. The results showed that the degradation rate of methylene blue by ·OH increased with flow rate as well as in acidic or alkaline solutions compared to that in neutral conditions. ·OH was shown to be produced by the reaction between protons and oxygen radicals generated by the decomposition of O₂ rather than water molecules. A greater concentration of O₂ or H⁺ thus promoted the reaction, resulting in effective removal at a high flow rate or low pH. Nevertheless, there was considerable methylene blue removal at high pH, driven by the production of the dye cation through the dissociation of methylene blue and the high electronegativity of bubbles at high pH, thus enhancing interface adsorption and degradation, as well as by the high ionic strength of the solution helping to generate ultrafine bubbles and maintaining them through ionic shielding. The current work provides useful insights into the application of microbubble as a promising technique.     

Stability of soil organic carbon and potential carbon sequestration at eroding and deposition sites

Purpose

This study aims to explore the dynamics of the factors influencing soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration and stability at erosion and deposition sites.

Materials and methods

Thermal properties and dissolved aromatic carbon concentration along with Al, Fe concentration and soil specific surface area (SSA) were studied to 1 meter depth at two contrasting sites.

Results and discussion

Fe, Al concentrations and SSA size increased with depth and were negatively correlated with SOC concentration at the erosion site (P?<?0.05), while at the deposition site, these values decreased with increasing depth and were positively correlated with SOC concentration (P?<?0.05). TG mass loss showed that SOC components in the two contrasting sites were similar, but the soils in deposition site contained a larger proportion of labile organic carbon and smaller quantities of stable organic carbon compared to the erosion site. SOC stability increased with soil depth at the erosion site. However, it was slightly variable in the depositional zone. Changes in SUVA₂₅₄ spectroscopy values indicated that aromatic moieties of DOC at the erosion site were more concentrated in the superficial soil layer (0–20 cm), but at the deposition site they changed little with depth and the SUVA₂₅₄ values less than those at the erosion site.

Conclusions

Though large amounts of SOC accumulated in the deposition site, SOC may be vulnerable to severe losses if environmental conditions become more favorable for mineralization in the future due to accretion of more labile carbon. Deep soil layers at the erosion site (>30 cm deep) had a large carbon sink potential.

     

The influence of species traits and <Emphasis Type="Italic">q</Emphasis>-metrics on scale-specific β-diversity components of arthropod communities of temperate forests

Protection of biodiversity and ecosystem functions requires a better understanding of spatial diversity. Here we studied diversity patterns of true bugs and saproxylic beetles, sampled in 28 forest stands of southern Germany, using a hierarchical nested design of five increasingly broader spatial levels: trap location, stratum, forest stand, forest site, and ecoregion. We predicted that: (1) for large body-sized species (as a surrogate for highly mobile species) and host generalist species (low host specificity), the proportion of β-diversity decreases from small to large spatial scales; and (2) the differences between trait-based functional guilds in the proportion of β-diversity increase with increasing weighting of more-abundant species. Our results indicated that the ecoregion level is the most important diversity scale for both taxa and among functional guilds sampled, followed by the forest stand level. Specialized species were more strongly affected on the ecoregion level than generalist species. Differences in the proportion of β-diversity between functional guilds increased with increasing weighting of abundant species. The β-diversity patterns based on body size and host specificity were similar for true bugs, but partly contrasting for saproxylic beetles. Our results suggest that (1) future conservation schemes should focus on establishing new conservation sites in new ecoregions, rather than on enlarging existing protected areas; (2) host specificity might be a more meaningful trait than body size to be considered in biodiversity studies; and (3) common conservation approaches restricted to only large, conspicuous, but rare species might result in a mismatch of important biodiversity scales.     

Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon Oxidation from Concentrates Issued from an Attrition Process of Polluted Soil Using the Fenton Reagent and Permanganate

This study was conducted to determine the optimal conditions for PAH degradation from highly contaminated attrition sludge (PAC) using a Fenton process or successive permanganate (KMnO₄) oxidation and Fenton processes. The following parameters were studied to optimize the Fenton oxidation process: the amounts of reactants based on the stoichiometric oxidant demand (SOD), the reactant addition protocol and number of doses, and the solid/liquid ratio (S/L). The results showed that the following conditions were optimum: TS?=?30%, 7.5 times SOD, H₂O₂/Fe²⁺ ratio?=?10, and added five times during 60 min, which allowed the degradation of 43% of total 27 PAHs from the PAC. Successive Fenton and KMnO₄ oxidation processes were also tested. PAH degradation using a sequential Fenton process followed by KMnO₄ oxidation (or KMnO₄ followed by Fenton) was higher than for the use of Fenton or KMnO₄ treatment alone. Up to 71% of the total 27 PAHs were degraded when using a combination of both processes. It appeared that the sequential treatment is a viable method for the significant degradation of 27 PAHs from PAC (t value?>?2.77).     

水轮机应用蜂窝密封的吸水和减振模拟试验

为减少混流式水轮机止漏环中流体产生的自激振动,根据止漏环各种密封结构,简化并提出密封模型,并根据模型搭建了试验台.采取直接测量转轴振动的方法,对比了简化后的密封模型与蜂窝密封在调整转子偏心程度的情况下振动幅值、波形图和频谱图的差别,以及增加转子质量不平衡块后两种密封振动幅值的变化.结果表明,蜂窝密封比普通的迷宫密封更能够抑制由于偏心和不平衡引起的振动.在最小密封间隙的上下游安置吸水装置,对比其振动情况,上游吸水可有效地降低转子振动.     

Towards an objective evaluation of persistency of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Lolium perenne</Emphasis> swards using UAV imagery

Perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne) is a perennial crop used in temperate regions as forage. In L. perenne breeding programs, persistency is an important trait. Poor persistency results in sward degradation and associated yield and nutritive value losses. Breeders assess persistency of accessions using visual scoring in field plots during the 2nd or 3rd growing season. This evaluation system is easy and cheap but is not free from human bias. In this study, the correlation between the scoring done by different breeders was only 0.243. As an alternative we have developed a methodology to assess persistency of L. perenne breeding materials based on vegetation indices (VIs) derived from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) imagery. The VIs Excess green (ExG2), Green Leaf Index and Normalized green intensity (GCC) were found to provide consistent results for flights carried out under different light conditions and were validated by ground reference information. The correlation between the VIs and the percentage of ground cover extracted from on-ground imagery was 0.885. To test the implementation of the method we compared the ExG2 value based approach to selection with a visual score based selection methodology as applied by two breeders. The breeding decisions of Breeder A agreed well with decisions based on ExG2 values (74.6%), but those of Breeder B displayed a lower agreement (54.0%). In contrast, agreement between decisions based on different flights was very high (91.6%). The methodology was validated for general applicability. In summary, the results demonstrate that basing persistency selection in L. perenne breeding programs on ExG2 values from UAV imagery is likely to be more objective in comparison to the currently-used visual scoring method.     

Evaluation of a multi-parent advanced generation inter-cross (MAGIC) introgressed line population for Verticillium wilt resistance in Upland cotton

Verticillium wilt (VW, caused by Verticillium dahliae Kleb) is a destructive fungal soil-borne disease in Upland cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.). High levels of VW resistance can be transferred into Upland from Pima cotton (G. barbadense L.) through interspecific introgression breeding. In this greenhouse study, VW resistance was evaluated in a multi-parent advanced generation inter-cross (MAGIC) introgressed line (IL) population, derived from a random mated Barbadense Upland population with five generations of intermating (called RMBUP-C4) between three Upland cotton cultivars and 18 CS-B Upland lines each carrying a pair of G. barbadense chromosome or arm in the TM-1 background. The objectives of this study were to, (1) evaluate VW resistance of 530 MAGIC ILs in the greenhouse; and (2) to identify lines with VW resistance in the MAGIC population based on a total of three replicated greenhouse tests. Approximately 8 plants for each line in each replicate were grown and screened for VW resistance using three parameters i.e., disease leaf severity rating, percentage defoliated leaves, and percentage infected plants, with a total of ~?25,190 plants evaluated. A correlation analysis indicated that the three parameters were significantly and positively correlated with one another in each test. The disease leaf severity rating was the best parameter to assess VW resistance due to its relatively low coefficient of variation and its higher resolution to differentiate resistant genotypes from susceptible ones. Of the 530 genotypes, 5 showed resistance to VW, namely, NMIL348, NMIL518, NMIL405, NMIL290, NMIL307 and had higher levels of resistance to VW with mean disease leaf severity ratings, percentage of defoliated leaves, and percentage of infected plants across three tests ranging from 0.58–1.46, 9.46–26.74, and 25–95%, respectively. These lines can be used as parental lines to improve VW resistance in cotton breeding programs.     

Influence of neutral inorganic chlorides on primary and secondary char formation from cellulose

The influence of various alkali and alkaline earth metal chlorides (LiCl, NaCl, KCl, MgCl₂, and CaCl₂) on primary and secondary char formation from cellulose was studied at 400°C. Secondary char was formed through carbonization of the volatile products. All chlorides increased the primary char yield while decreasing the secondary char formation, and this situation was promoted in the order of alkaline earth Mg, Ca, alkali Li > alkali Na, K. Levoglucosan yield also decreased along with the secondary char yield. These results indicate that the reduced formation of volatile levoglucosan was related to the decreasing yield of secondary char. A model experiment at 250°C revealed that these chlorides, especially the two alkaline earth metals, had catalytic action on the polymerization of levoglucosan, which serves to reduce the formation of volatile levoglucosan.