Spatio-temporal modeling of fine particulate matter

Studies indicate that even short-term exposure to high concentrations of fine atmospheric particulate matter (PM_2.5) can lead to long-term health effects. In this article, we propose a random effects model for PM_2.5 concentrations. In particular, we anticipate urban/rural differences with regard to both mean levels and variability. Hence we introduce two random effects components, one for rural or background levels and the other as a supplement for urban areas. These are specified in the form of spatio-temporal processes. Weighting these processes through a population density surface results in nonstationarity in space. We analyze daily PM_2.5 concentrations in three midwestern U.S. states for the year 2001. A fully Bayesian model is implemented, using MCMC techniques, which enables full inference with regard to process unknowns as well as predictions in time and space.     

Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Development of Acification Policy in Europe

Countries that will ratify the new Protocol to abate acidification, eutrophication and ground-level ozone, also known as the Göteborg-protocol, are committed to meet national emission ceilings for SO₂, NOx, VOCs and NH₃ in 2010. AEA Technology calculated impacts and monetised benefits for four scenarios used during the preparation of the new Protocol, each scenario compared with the situation 1990. The calculated benefits were compared with the costs calculated by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) using the RAINS model. The overall conclusion is that the benefits are likely to exceed the costs of implementing the scenarios considered in the study, by a factor of between two and three. Based on the principal set of assumptions followed in the study, it appeared that impacts on haity and materials were negligible. Impacts on ecosystems remained unquantified.     

Assessment of the economic costs of damage caused by air-pollution

Cost-benefit analysis is one of the fundamental tools for the development of economic instruments for pollution control. The costs of various abatement measures are reasonably well characterised. However, assessment of the economic costs of pollutant impacts is less well developed. This paper reports on two studies carried out for DGXII of the European Commission, the ExternE-Project and the Green Accounting Research Project. Both studies have been performed by international, multi-disciplinary research teams.Analysis of the effects of emissions of PM₁₀, SO₂, NO_x and VOCs (as ozone precursors) has included assessment of human health, materials, crops and other terrestrial ecosystems, and freshwater fisheries. The analysis follows the impact pathway approach, linking dose-response functions, valuation data and other models. It differs significantly to earlier top-down approaches that made only very limited use of the wealth of scientific data available. Most success has been achieved in analysis of impacts on human health, building materials and crops. Significant uncertainties exist for these receptors, though these have been identified and are now being addressed. Assessment of impacts on other receptors, perhaps most notably forests, is more limited. The methodology is particularly applicable for analysis of impacts on receptors for which the critical loads approach is not appropriate.     

Liquid chromatographic determination of chlortetracycline hydrochloride in ruminant and poultry/swine feeds.

A liquid chromatographic (LC) method is described for the determination of chlortetracycline hydrochloride (CTC) in poultry/swine and ruminant feeds in the 10-100 ppm range and in premix. CTC is extracted from ground feed/premix with acidified acetone, and the extract is filtered through a Millex-HV filter or disposable C18 column. The filtrate is partitioned with methylene chloride when additional cleanup is necessary. A Nova-Pak C18 column is used for LC separation with determination at 370 nm. The average recovery of CTC from premix was 95% with a standard deviation (SD) of 1.70 and a coefficient of variation (CV) of 1.79%. The overall average recovery from feeds was 77% with an SD of 3.18 and a CV of 4.10%.     

Genotype environment interactions and sib content in F1 hybrid —brussels sprouts

Summary Sib content of F₁ hybrid seed lots obtained from crossing four highly self incompatible brussels sprout lines was examined at two locations for four years. Parental combinations accounted for by far the greatest proportion of the total variation observed. Significant second and third order interactions terms suggest complex interactions between parental genotype, years, and locations. Attempts to interpret these data in terms of the regression model of Finlay & Wilkenson (1963), were unsuccessful.     

Proteomic analysis of temperature-dependent changes in stored UHT milk

Molecular changes in milk proteins during storage of UHT-treated milk have been investigated using two-dimensional electrophoresis (2-DE) coupled to MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry. UHT-treated samples were stored at three different temperatures, 4 °C, 28 °C, and 40 °C, for two months. Three main changes could be observed on 2-DE gels following storage. They were (1) the appearance of diffuse staining regions above the position of the monomeric caseins caused by nondisulfide cross-linking of α and β-caseins; (2) the appearance of additional acidic forms of proteins, predominantly of α(S1)-casein, caused by deamidation; and (3) the appearance of "stacked spots" caused by lactosylation of whey proteins. The extent of the changes increased with increased storage temperature. Mass spectrometric analysis of in-gel tryptic digests showed that the cross-linked proteins were dominated by α(S1)-casein, but a heterogeneous population of cross-linked forms with α(S2)-casein and β-casein was also observed. Tandem MS analysis was used to confirm deamidation of N(129) in α(S1)-casein. MS analysis of the stacked spots revealed lactosylation of 9/15 lysines in β-lactoglobulin and 8/12 lysines in α-lactalbumin. More extensive analysis will be required to confirm the nature of the cross-links and additional deamidation sites in α(S1)-casein as the highly phosphorylated nature of the caseins makes them challenging prospects for MS analysis.     

A new modified live equine influenza virus vaccine: phenotypic stability, restricted spread and efficacy against heterologous virus challenge.

Flu Avert IN vaccine is a new, live attenuated virus vaccine for equine influenza. We tested this vaccine in vivo to ascertain 1) its safety and stability when subjected to serial horse to horse passage, 2) whether it spread spontaneously from horse to horse and 3) its ability to protect against heterologous equine influenza challenge viruses of epidemiological relevance. For the stability study, the vaccine was administered to 5 ponies. Nasal swabs were collected and pooled fluids administered directly to 4 successive groups of na?ve ponies by intranasal inoculation. Viruses isolated from the last group retained the vaccine's full attenuation phenotype, with no reversion to the wild-type virus phenotype or production of clinical influenza disease. The vaccine virus spread spontaneously to only 1 of 13 nonvaccinated horses/ponies when these were comingled with 39 vaccinates in the same field. For the heterologous protection study, a challenge model system was utilised in which vaccinated or na?ve control horses and ponies were exposed to the challenge virus by inhalation of virus-containing aerosols. Challenge viruses included influenza A/equine-2/Kentucky/98, a recent representative of the 'American' lineage of equine-2 influenza viruses; and A/equine-2/Saskatoon/90, representative of the 'Eurasian' lineage. Clinical signs among challenged animals were recorded daily using a standardised scoring protocol. With both challenge viruses, control animals reliably contracted clinical signs of influenza, whereas vaccinated animals were reliably protected from clinical disease. These results demonstrate that Flu Avert IN vaccine is safe and phenotypically stable, has low spontaneous transmissibility and is effective in protecting horses against challenge viruses representative of those in circulation worldwide.