基于最大熵模型预测小火蚁在我国的适生区

小火蚁是中国大陆新发现的重要外来入侵害虫, 目前对该虫的传入来源和在我国的适生区范围尚不明确?为明确我国小火蚁适生区范围, 有效防控该虫在我国的扩散和蔓延, 本研究通过该虫全球已有的分布数据, 采用最大熵模型对其适生区进行了预测?研究表明, 最大熵模型预测小火蚁适生区精度较高?预测结果显示, 我国小火蚁的潜在适生区主要分布于南方, 其中, 高适生区分布在台湾?海南?云南南部边境?广西西南局部?福建西南部?广东南部及其沿海地区?预测结果与该物种现有地理范围的生态条件一致?年降水量对小火蚁的适生性影响最大, 理论年降水量为2 040 mm时小火蚁分布的概率最高?随着全球气候变暖, 未来我国小火蚁的适生区有向北扩大的趋势, 但主要适生区还是以南方为主?     

农业灌溉用水价格改革探讨

目前我国农业用水存在诸多问题，水资源供需矛盾十分突出。为此，通过我国水价变革情况、水价实施种类的分析，提出了农业灌溉用水价格调整的原则，以促进水资源的可持续开发和利用。     

Human Simulated Intelligence Motion Control for Three-link Acrobot on Horizontal Bar

The design of multi-controller and multi-mode control law is presented for the three-link Acrobot on horizontal bar by employing Human simulated intelligent control method based on sensory-motor Schema.Imitated the characteristics of gymnast's swing-up and handstand movement,the control process of robot is divided by six sequence phase.Then the sensory cell and motor cell and the group of sensory-motor schema is designed based on the analysis of quality-quantity combination.The simulation results show that the controller ensures the gesture and the energy to the desired goal,farther more the motion control of giant swing backword is realized in the simulation.     

Dropwise Condensation Heat Transfer Coefficient on the Horizontal Circular Surface with Radial Gradient Surface Energy

A theoretical model is developed for the dropwise condensation heat transfer on the horizontal circular surface with radial gradient surface energy based on the heat transfer model of individual condensate drop and the size distribution model of condensate drop on homogeneous condensation surface.The effect of variation of contact angle on the gradient surface on condensation heat transfer and condensate drop size distribution is taken account of in this model.The theoretical calculation method was obtained to predict the dropwise condensation heat transfer coefficient on the horizontal circular surface with radial gradient surface energy under various wall subcooled temperature,contact angle profile on wall surface,and working fluid.The effects of surface energy gradient,wall subcooled temperature,and thermophysical properties of condensate on the condensation heat transfer are discussed respectively.The calculation results show that the condensation heat transfer coefficient increases slightly with the increase of wall subcooled temperature.As latent heat and surface tension increasing,the condensation heat transfer coefficient increases.A larger surface energy gradient induces a larger condensation heat transfer coefficient.     

Conditional Value-at-Risk and Its Use in Credit Risk Measurement of Banks

Credit risk, the major risk of bank, is more and more intense during the period of economic restructuring in China. In view of the flaw of present risk measurement system, Conditional Value-at-Risk is used for the credit risk measurement which is better than Value-at-Risk. This paper creates the model ,while gives the method and procedure for solving it. So CVaRof credit combination is produced, which is just the early warning value of credit risk. At last, it is concluded that the CVaRrisk measurement is too difficult to use widely at present in china, then some advice is provided.     

Discussion about the Agent- Construction System of Governmental Project in China

The agent - construction system, as a new public project management mode, has been practiced in some cities and attracted attention from the society. This paper firstly studies the features and operation modes of agent - construction system, and discusses the agent - construction system from the viewpoints of promoting competition, nourishing agent -construction enterprises, setting up a supervisory and encouraging mechanism, and its connection with the governmental project procurement system etc.     

施肥对早稻品质的影响

为研究施肥对早稻品质的影响,2000~2001年在芦溪县分别进行了N、K不同施肥量和不同施肥方式对早稻赣早籼48与早稻香两优68品质影响的研究。结果表明:出糙率、精米率和蛋白质含量都随着施N量增加而增加,直链淀粉含量随N肥用量增加而略有减少趋势;精米率、整精米率、直链淀粉含量和蛋白质含量随着K肥用量增加而增加;中N(150kg/hm2)、高K(135kg/hm2)处理互作效应最大,比较适合当地优质早稻赣早籼48施用。施肥方式以生物有机肥配合化肥全层施肥,中后期补施穗肥的出糙率、精米率、整精米率和稻米的蛋白质含量都能提高,直链淀粉含量降低。     

减振器多片叠加节流阀片特性分析与试验研究

通过减振器节流阀片的力学模型,建立了节流阀片弯曲变形的微分方程,得到了阀片弯曲变形系数和在任意位置的弯曲变形计算公式。对多片节流阀片叠加进行了深入的研究,得到了叠加阀片当量厚度计算公式。对叠加阀片上所受最大应力进行了探讨,对叠加阀片与当量厚度阀片所受最大应力之间的关系进行了研究,得到了叠加阀片应力系数与厚度系数。通过实例,对叠加阀片的最大应力进行了分析计算和仿真,对不同当量厚度和相同当量厚度的叠加阀片对减振器阻尼特性的影响进行室内对比性试验。仿真和试验表明,叠加阀片的弯曲变形、当量厚度和最大应力的分析计算方法是正确的,对减振器的特性分析和优化设计具有理论和实际参考价值。     

科学规划 规范管理 分步实施 整体推进——松滋农业综合开发管理出效益

湖北省松滋市地处武陵山区与江汉平原的过渡地带,是个典型的农业县市。该市始终把加强农业基础设施和生态环境建设,提高农业综合生产能力及推进农业和农村经济结构战略性调整作为农业综合开发工作的重点,积极适应新的发展形势,更新开发理念,创新开发思路,强化开发管理,为松滋农业和农村经济发展及社会稳定起到了积极的促进作用。