A dynamic model for cost-benefit analyses of foot-and-mouth disease control strategies

An integrated model for the personal computer is presented, in which a variety of preventive and control strategies with respect to foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Dutch cattle and pig herds were examined economically. Special attention is given to the way in which losses due to export bans are determined. Export bans would occur as a result of an outbreak of FMD. Annual costs for the Netherlands would be reduced considerably if the yearly vaccinations were stopped. This conclusion holds even if more pessimistic values are used for some major uncertain input factors. The PC model is flexible with regard to input values, making it possible to fit different conditions.     

Spatial and stochastic simulation to compare two emergency-vaccination strategies with a marker vaccine in the 1997/1998 Dutch Classical Swine Fever epidemic

Two alternative emergency-vaccination strategies with a marker vaccine that could have been applied in the 1997/1998 Dutch Classical Swine Fever (CSF) epidemic were evaluated in a modified spatial, temporal and stochastic simulation model: InterCSF. In strategy 1, vaccination would be applied only to overcome a shortage in destruction capacities. Destruction of all pigs on vaccinated farms distinguishes this strategy from strategy 2, which assumes intra-Community trade of vaccinated pig meat. InterCSF simulates the spread of CSF between farms through local spread and three contact types. Disease spread is affected by control measures implemented through different mechanisms. Economic results were generated by a separate model that calculated the direct costs (including the vaccination costs) and consequential losses for farmers and related industries subjected to control measures. The comparison (using epidemiological and economic results) between the different emergency-vaccination strategies with an earlier simulated preventive-slaughter scenario led to some general conclusions on the Dutch CSF epidemic. Both emergency-vaccination strategies were hardly more efficient than the non-vaccination scenario. The intra-Community trade strategy (vaccination-strategy 2) was the least costly of all three scenarios.     

RFLP variation and genetic relationships in cultivated cucumber

Summary Two sets of cucumber (Cucumis sativus L.) germplasm were used to determine the potential use of restriction fragment length polymorphisms (RFLPs) for estimating genetic relationships. Sixteen accessions [15 domesticated variety sativus and one feral variety hardwickii (PI 183967)] of diverse origin were used to assess RFLP variation in cucumber, and to determine if genetic relationships based on RFLPs were similar to those obtained by isozyme analysis. Additionally, 35 commercial lines or cultivars were surveyed to determine genetic relationships among and within common cucumber types (narrow genetic base). The 16 accessions were surveyed with 440 low copy clones from two libraries (Pst I partial genomic and cDNA) using two restriction enzymes. Data from a subset of 104 random (mapped and unmapped) and a set of 30 mapped RFLPs were used to estimate genetic relationships among the 16 cultigens. Variability was low among RFLPs (33% of all probes) and putative alleles ( 2.2 polymorphic fragments/probe). RFLP variation between sativus lines and hardwickii (21±4%) was greater than among sativus lines (12±2%). RFLPs among the 16 accessions revealed genetic relationships which agree with those obtained using isozymes. Genetic relationships estimated using mapped and unmapped RFLPs were similar. The 35 elite lines were surveyed using a set of 40 RFLPs from 3 libraries (Pst I and EcoR I partial genomic and cDNA) to evaluate the discriminatory value of RFLPs among and between commercial cucumber types. The RFLP-derived genetic relationships among this germplasm were in agreement with predictions based on fruit type and pedigree information. Thus, RFLPs are a useful addition to the morphological characters and isozyme loci currently used for taxonomic classification and plant variety protection of cucumber.     

Behavioural signs of oestrus during pregnancy in lactating dairy cows

Abstract

Two herds of approximately 50 dairy cows were observed for oestrous behaviour for 6 weeks, 12 times a day for 30 minutes. It appeared that 3.08% of the pregnant cows showed oestrous behaviour during pregnancy (EBP) in such an intensity that they would have been considered in oestrus. With a less rigid oestrus detection threshold, 10.8% of the pregnant cows would have been considered to be in oestrus. Animals showed EBP during all months of pregnancy, but most of the behavior was observed in the middle of the gestation period.     

A multiple criteria analysis of factors affecting markets of engineered wood products with respect to customer preferences: a case study of particleboard and MDF

Of considerable importance and a principal goal in business is the creation of customer satisfaction. Evalu- ation of end user preferences for producers of particleboard and medium density fiberboard (MDF) requires indices for the assessment of markets and modification of product quality. However, only sporadic research has been carried out in this field. Therefore, the goal of this survey was to identify indices with respect to the points of view of: 1) consumers in order to select particleboard and MDF, 2) suppliers in order to consider production strategies, improve product quality, improve competitive ability of domestic producers in the market and help industry to be more customer oriented. This survey consisted of two stages. In the first stage, factors affecting customer preferences in the selection of particleboard and MDF were determined using a Delphi method, with the help of experts and a group of principal users of these prod- ucts. Then these factors were categorized in three groups: qualitative, technical and technological and marketing factors. Furthermore, questionnaires were prepared and distributed among consumers and responses evaluated and weighted by using an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) using expert choice software. Our results show that at both stages, the consistency ratio was less than 0.1, indicating that all results and judgments were stable and acceptable. The results obtained from questionnaires about particleboard rank the priorities for factors in the selection by consumers as follows: nail and screw holding ability, homogeneity in structure, edge strength of panel, durability and bending strength. The most important factors for MDF were machinability of panels, homogeneity in structure, nail and screw holding ability, edge strength of panel, durability and bending strength.     

Whole-genome shotgun assembly and analysis of the genome of Fugu rubripes

The compact genome of Fugu rubripes has been sequenced to over 95% coverage, and more than 80% of the assembly is in multigene-sized scaffolds. In this 365-megabase vertebrate genome, repetitive DNA accounts for less than one-sixth of the sequence, and gene loci occupy about one-third of the genome. As with the human genome, gene loci are not evenly distributed, but are clustered into sparse and dense regions. Some "giant" genes were observed that had average coding sequence sizes but were spread over genomic lengths significantly larger than those of their human orthologs. Although three-quarters of predicted human proteins have a strong match to Fugu, approximately a quarter of the human proteins had highly diverged from or had no pufferfish homologs, highlighting the extent of protein evolution in the 450 million years since teleosts and mammals diverged. Conserved linkages between Fugu and human genes indicate the preservation of chromosomal segments from the common vertebrate ancestor, but with considerable scrambling of gene order.     

Economic aspects of common health and fertility problems for the individual pig producer: an overview

The income margin in modern pig farming is generally narrow. Controlling the cost of production, therefore, is of great importance. Improving health and fertility can play a major role in this context. In this paper three interrelated issues are discussed from a farm management point of view: (1) the financial losses of common health and fertility problems, (2) the costs and benefits of disease control, and (3) the decision to replace individual sows in case of poor health and/or reduced productive performance. Priorities for further research in the field of animal health economics are also discussed.     

A model to estimate the financial consequences of classical swine fever outbreaks: principles and outcomes

A model is presented aimed at a financial analysis of a Classical Swine Fever outbreak. Financial consequences are calculated for affected parties, including governments (EU and national), farms, and related industries in the production chain. The model can be used to calculate the losses of a real outbreak as well as of a simulated one. In this article, the model is applied to the 1997/1998 outbreak of Classical Swine Fever in the Netherlands. Results show that total financial consequences of the outbreak are US $2.3 billion. Consequential losses for farmers and related industries are US $423 million and US $596 million respectively. Budgetary consequences for governments include less than 50% of the total losses calculated by the model. The model can be adapted easily to suit other diseases and countries.     

Mobile DNA in Old World monkeys: a glimpse through the rhesus macaque genome

The completion of the draft sequence of the rhesus macaque genome allowed us to study the genomic composition and evolution of transposable elements in this representative of the Old World monkey lineage, a group of diverse primates closely related to humans. The L1 family of long interspersed elements appears to have evolved as a single lineage, and Alu elements have evolved into four currently active lineages. We also found evidence of elevated horizontal transmissions of retroviruses and the absence of DNA transposon activity in the Old World monkey lineage. In addition, approximately 100 precursors of composite SVA (short interspersed element, variable number of tandem repeat, and Alu) elements were identified, with the majority being shared by the common ancestor of humans and rhesus macaques. Mobile elements compose roughly 50% of primate genomes, and our findings illustrate their diversity and strong influence on genome evolution between closely related species.