价格“失控”为我国大豆产业安全敲响警钟

随着人民生活水平的不断提高,近年来我国对豆油和豆粕的需求量持续增加,进而带动国内大豆压榨量逐年提高。在国内大豆市场一直呈现严重产不足需的情况下,大豆压榨行业对进口大豆的依赖性不断增强,导致我国大豆进口量持续增加。我国是全球最大的大豆消费国,也是最大进口国,我国在大豆的定价上已经丧失了话语权,而未来我国大豆消费市场的增长潜力仍然很大。发展大豆生产,提高大豆自给率,已经严重关系到我国的食用油供应安全问题。     

今年我国大豆价格仍将呈上升态势

<正> 今年国内大豆市场的供需状况不如去年那样紧张,价格有上升的可能,但不会像去年那样急速,幅度也会相应缩小。今年的我国大豆市场将会呈现以下特点:一是大豆压榨设计能力继续快速增长。近几年来,我国的大豆压榨能力逐步攀升,尤其是去年大豆、豆粕、豆油价格的回升,油脂压榨企业压榨利润的上涨,极大地刺激了压榨行业的扩张。据国家粮油信息中心的测算,当前我国大豆日初榨能力已达15万吨,全年设计加工能力达4500万吨,加上华南、华东、西南、华中及东北地区一批正在新建、改扩建及已经立项的大豆加工项目,今年年底的日初榨能力预计接近17万吨。如此大的压榨能力,必然会加剧压榨企业之间对原料的争夺。二是大豆进口预计将再创新高。不论我国未来豆粕、豆油的消费前景及豆粕出口市场前景如何,加工能力的快速扩张本身即意味着大豆加工量将出现快速增长。在国产大豆供应能     

2005年下半年中国豆粕市场分析与预测

近年来中国大豆市场一直跌宕起伏，大豆的进口量和国内大豆的需求也在连续增长，但国内压榨行业的盲目扩张及中国频频出现高价买入美国大豆的现象，导致国内压榨行业利润一路下滑。自去年年底以来，以国产大豆为原料和以进口大豆为原料的压榨企业利润的跌落至亏损线，延续到今年2月中旬。春节后，CBOT在基金多头带动下，大豆和豆粕价格连续拉升，使同内沿海地区压榨企业利润保持在20～60元／t，小型压榨企业仍然亏损。     

泰国肉鸡生产将减产

2003年国内大豆市场的供需状况不如2002年那样紧张,价格有上升的可能,但不会像2002年那样急速,幅度也会相应缩小。2003年的我国大豆市场将会呈现以下特点:一是大豆压榨设计能力继续快速增长。近几年来,我国的大豆压榨能力逐步攀升,尤其是去年大豆、豆粕、豆油价格的回升,油脂压榨企业压榨利润的上涨,极大地刺激了压榨行业的扩张。据国家粮油信息中心的测算,当前我国大豆日初榨能力已达15万吨,全年设计加工能力达4500万吨,加上华南、华东、西南、华中及东北地区一批正在新建、改扩建已经立项的大豆加工项目,2003年底的日初榨能力预计接近17万…     

国内大豆压榨现状调查

据国内相关粮油机构统计，截止2005年年末．我国采用浸出工艺压榨大豆的企业共596家．日压榨大豆能力为29．706万吨。另外，我国还有小型机榨油厂、油坊2000家以上．估计日压榨大豆能力在3000吨以上。由于条件所限．肯定会有一部分油厂在调查和统计中被遗漏。据上述情况预计．截止2005年年末，我国日压榨大豆能力已经达到30．026万吨。按工厂年生产300天（年车间开车率82％）计算．全国全年大豆压榨能力已经达到9008万吨．     

市场信息

贸易商亏本抛售大豆套现资金高息放贷中国对大豆的需求似乎没有看上去那么旺盛。一大型大豆压榨企业高层向本报透露,山东、江浙等地的部分大豆压榨企业以及大豆贸易商们     

中国饲料业缘何大面积亏损

一业内人士称,用“全线亏损”来形容目前的饲料业一点也不为过。据一资深农业研究专家说,2001-2002年,国内大豆压榨企业每吨大豆的正常利润在100元左右,到2003年10月已经达到500元以上。特别是在前期大量囤积进口大豆的压榨企业,每吨大豆的压榨利润更达到1000元以上。     

2008-2009年度我国大豆和豆耗供需状况分析

2008-2009年度,我国大豆产量出现恢复性增长,进口量继续呈现增加的态势,供需节余量将大幅增加。2008-2009年度我国大豆压榨量和豆粕供应量将继续增加,但由于饲料养殖业对豆粕需求持续强劲,供需将保持基本平衡的局面。     

2008—2009年度我国大豆和豆粕供需状况分析

2008—2009年度,我国大豆产量出现恢复性增长,进口量继续呈现增加的态势,供需节余量将大幅增加。2008—2009年度我国大豆压榨量和豆粕供应量将继续增加,但由于饲料养殖业对豆粕需求持续强劲,供需将保持基本平衡的局面。     

民族大豆产业亟待破局

大豆及其制成品作为粮油市场的主要组织部分,关联度高、带动性强,其市场的波动对粮油整体市场、饲料市场乃至于物价波动都会产生直接或间接的影响。近3年来．国内大豆种植面积连续下降,同时进口大豆却连年增加;国内大豆压榨产能大量过剩,同时压榨产能却大幅扩张。国内大豆生产和加工领域所面临的这些现象实际上反映了国内相关产业存在着一系列深层次的困境与缺陷,如何摆脱困境,振兴中国大豆产业,这不仅关系到大豆产业自身的健康发展,也关系到我国农业及经济的又好又快发展。     

Disease and destiny-mystery and mastery

When early people made their appearance, zoonotic infectious diseases were already waiting, but epidemic diseases did not appear in human history until people began to live in large numbers under conditions of close contact, mainly during the last 10,000 years. Disease has decimated urban populations, conquered armies, and disrupted society. The focus here is on (1) the plague of Athens and the Black Death; (2) smallpox, influenza, and rabies; (3) avian influenza prion diseases, and foot & mouth disease; and (4) emerging and re-emerging diseases. All have veterinary public health associations. In Athens, Greece, in 430 BC, when the Spartans ravaged the countryside, hordes crowded into Athens so that orderly movements, space in which to live, and adequate supplies of food became impossible. Crowding of any population fosters disease transmission; chaos and disorder enhance it all the more. Out of northern Egypt came a terrible plague from across the Mediterranean Sea. The identity of the plague of Athens remains unsure, but the well-considered conclusion is Rift Valley Fever, a mosquito borne, viral zoonosis. The Black Death, also called the Plague, raged in Asia for centuries. In 1347, the Black Death was brought by a ship out of Asia to Sicily. The scenes of devastation were repeated throughout Europe, with 90% or more of the people dying in city after city. Influenza, too, has been a cause of periodic human epidemics, but the great pandemic of influenza occurred in the last months of World War I. In the years of highest occurrence, more than half the world's population became clinically infected. If veterinary public health had been born earlier, it could have led to elucidating the epidemiology of influenza and the plagues of Athens, Europe, and Asia. In turn, smallpox had also caused continual tragedy. In 1796, Edward Jenner began to harvest pustules of cowpox from children or infected cows and inject them into susceptible children. In 1980, the World Health Organization declared that smallpox had been eliminated from the world. Rabies, though, still strikes terror. A number of animal diseases, broadly termed emerging and re-emerging diseases, need surveillance because they have the potential to impact human health. From late in 2003 to 2007, the highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza virus in poultry infected at least 121 people and caused 62 deaths in four countries. The prion diseases, too, all have very high numbers in concentrated contacts. To control these diseases, veterinary public health is essential, with diagnosis, epidemiological surveillance, clinical manifestations, and prevention as primary measures.     

Foot and mouth disease and bluetongue: differences and similarities

On 26th of july 2007 a new case of bluetongue was notified in the Netherlands and on 2nd of august 2007 foot-and-mouth disease was diagnosed in Surrey, England, which raised the threat of having both infections simultaniously in one area. Bluetongue and foot-and-mouth disease have a different pathogenesis, but symptoms may resemble each other at a later stage of infection. The pathogenesis and possible clinical symptoms of both infections are discussed and illustrated with pictures.     

德国荷兰畜禽产品质量安全交流与启示

2018年岁末,笔者有幸赴德国和荷兰,就畜产品质量安全控制及检测技术等进行了短期交流,收获颇丰,现具体介绍如下。一、交流情况德国面积35.73万平方千米,人口约8175.2万,是欧盟人口最多的国家,农业发达,机械化程度很高。德国的畜牧业以猪、牛、羊和禽类为主,畜牧业产值占农业生产总值的61%。德国虽然农业比重很小,但却是有机农业运动最早的发起国,也是目前世界上有机农产品生产与消费大国。     

奶牛肢蹄病及其防治

简介常见奶牛肢蹄病种类及其症状,从日粮营养、运动场地面结构、环境卫生、饲养管理、遗传育种、疾病管理等方面简析奶牛肢蹄病的病因,并提出相应的预防措施。     

畜禽物种多样性及其保护和利用

文章就我国畜禽物种多样性资源的现状、保护和利用等方面进行阐述,为生态脆弱的喀斯特地区畜牧业可持续发展提供参考。     

马的咽气癖及其防制措施研究进展

在动物的异常行为中以刻板行为最为常见,而咽气癖又是马最常见的口部刻板行为之一。作者就咽气癖在生理方面和心智方面对马体产生的影响、行为基础、诱因的研究进展及常见的防治措施进行综述。     

国内外蛋氨酸与赖氨酸市场分析与展望

近几年,世界饲用添加剂市场增长较快,预计今后将进一步增长,据世界粮农组织(FAO)首领会议的倡议,到2015年,将使世界营养不良的人口削减一半,其间,肉制品将会以每年2％的速度增长,特别是加快猪肉和禽肉增长。这将促进世界添加剂,尤其是蛋氨酸和赖氨酸需求量的增加。     

牛羊焦虫病诊断与防治技术

近几年来,辽宁省牛羊饲养业迅速发展,焦虫病的危害越来越明显,已成为危害牛羊的主要疾病之一。为了提高牛羊焦虫病的防治水平,保证我省牛羊饲养业的健康发展,笔者在参阅文献和同行们诊疗经验的基础上,结合自己的治疗实践,详细阐述了我省牛羊焦虫病近几年的流行特点和诊断防治方法。