Mechanisms of soil N dynamics following long-term application of organic fertilizers to subtropical rain-fed purple soil in China

In this study, a ¹⁵N tracing incubation experiment and an in situ monitoring study were combined to investigate the effects of different N fertilizer regimes on the mechanisms of soil N dynamics from a long-term repeated N application experiment. The field study was initiated in 2003 under a wheat-maize rotation system in the subtropical rain-fed purple soil region of China. The experiment included six fertilization treatments applied on an equivalent N basis (280 kg N ha⁻¹), except for the residue only treatment which received 112 kg N ha⁻¹: (1) UC, unfertilized control; (2) NPK, mineral fertilizer NPK; (3) OM, pig manure; (4) OM-NPK, pig manure (40% of applied N) with mineral NPK (60% of applied N); (5) RSD, crop straw; (6) RSD-NPK, crop straw (40% of applied N) with mineral NPK (60% of applied N). The results showed that long-term repeated applications of mineral or organic N fertilizer significantly stimulated soil gross N mineralization rates, which was associated with enhanced soil C and N contents following the application of N fertilizer. The crop N offtake and yield were positively correlated with gross mineralization. Gross autotrophic nitrification rates were enhanced by approximately 2.5-fold in the NPK, OM, OM-NPK, and RSD-NPK treatments, and to a lesser extent by RSD application, compared to the UC. A significant positive relationship between gross nitrification rates and cumulative N loss via interflow and runoff indicated that the mechanisms responsible for increasing N loss following long-term applications of N fertilizer were governed by the nitrification dynamics. Organic fertilizers stimulated gross ammonium (NH₄⁺) immobilization rates and caused a strong competition with nitrifiers for NH₄⁺, thus preventing a build-up of nitrate (NO₃⁻). Overall, in this study, we found that partial or complete substitution of NPK fertilizers with organic fertilizers can reduce N losses and maintain high crop production, except for the treatment involving application of RSD alone. Therefore, based on the N transformation dynamics observed in this study, organic fertilizers in combination with mineral fertilizer applications (i.e. OM, OM-NPK, and RSD-NPK treatments) are recommended for crop production in the subtropical rain-fed purple soils in China.     

Mechanisms behind the stimulation of nitrification by N input in subtropical acid forest soil

Purpose

Input of N as NH₄ ⁺ is known to stimulate nitrification and to enhance the risk of N losses through NO₃ ^? leaching in humid subtropical soils. However, the mechanisms responsible for this stimulation effect have not been fully addressed.

Materials and methods

In this study, an acid subtropical forest soil amended with urea at rates of 0, 20, 50, 100 mg N kg^?1 was pre-incubated at 25 °C and 60 % water-holding capacity (WHC) for 60 days. Gross N transformation rates were then measured using a ¹⁵N tracing methodology.

Results and discussion

Gross rates of mineralization and nitrification of NH₄ ⁺-N increased (P?<?0.05), while gross rate of NO₃ ^? immobilization significantly decreased with increasing N input rates (P?<?0.001). A significant relationship was established between the gross nitrification rate of NH₄ ⁺ and the gross mineralization rate (R ²?=?0.991, P?<?0.01), so was between net nitrification rate of NH₄ ⁺ and the net mineralization rate (R ²?=?0.973, P?<?0.05).

Conclusions

Stimulation effect of N input on the gross rate of nitrification of NH₄ ⁺-N in the acid soil, partially, resulted from stimulation effect of N input on organic N mineralization, which provides pH-favorable microsites for the nitrification of NH₄ ⁺ in acid soils (De Boer et al., Soil Biol Biochem 20:845–850, 1988; Prosser, Advan Microb Physiol 30:125–181, 1989). The stimulated gross nitrification rate with the decreased gross NO₃ ^? immobilization rate under the elevated N inputs could lead to accumulation of NO₃ ^? and to enhance the risk of NO₃ ^? loss from humid forest soils.

     

退化红壤肥力障碍特征及重建措施Ⅲ. 典型地区红壤磷素积累及其环境意义

本文研究了红壤典型地区土壤磷素的不断积累情况 ,并初步提出了可能造成面源磷污染水体的土壤有效磷临界参考水平。这一水平在以泾流为主和以下渗水流为主的不同土壤上临界值不同 ,在旱地土壤和水稻土上数值也不同。作者认为红壤区目前的土壤有效磷水平大部分都处于上述临界值以下 ,但在冲积土区的水稻土上 ,特别是高产水稻土区 ,以及城郊蔬菜区都有数量不等的土壤已达到或超过这一临界值 ,面源磷的污染在这类土壤上已成为现实威胁。作者建议应开展我国不同地区面源磷对环境影响的研究。     

The effects of restoration on soil properties in degraded land in the semi-arid region of Turkey

This study investigated the effects of black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.), mixed species plantation (MSP) [black locust (R. pseudoacacia L) and stone pine (Pinus pinea L.)] on surface soil properties in eroded clay soils. Three land use types were selected; black locust plantation area (BLP), mixed species plantation (MSP), and adjacent bare fields (control site) (ABA), in a semi-arid region in Artvin, Turkey. The experimental design at each site was a randomized complete block with four replications in each study area. Five disturbed and five undisturbed soil samples were randomly taken at a soil depth of 0–10 and 10–20 cm in each plot. At 0 to 10 cm soil depth in the BLP and MSP sites, and compared to the control site, field capacity (FC), permanent wilting point (PWP), plant available water (PAW), saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat), soil organic matter (SOM), total nitrogen (TN), P₂O₅, Ca were significantly greater, while bulk density (Db) and C:N ratio were significantly lower. SOM, PAW, TN, Ec, Mg and Ksat decreased significantly in both sites (BLP and MSP), while clay increased significantly in MSP, and PWP and Db increased significantly with soil depth in BLP site. As a result: Althought these species didn't showed good growth in the study area black locust plantation (BLP) and mixed species plantation (MSP) had a positive impact on surface soil properties in clay soils in eroded sites. The planting of “black locust” and “black locust + stone pine” can be useful in soil reclamation projects in this type of eroded site in semi-arid regions.     

Dynamics of soil nitrogen availability following vegetation restoration along a climatic gradient of a subtropical karst region in China

Journal of Soils and Sediments - Soil nitrogen (N) availability plays an important role in determining ecosystem structure and function. However, the variation patterns of soil N availability under...     

科尔沁沙地东南部植被类型变化对土壤磷素状况的影响

In the past 50 years, large areas of the Horqin sandy land were afforested to prevent desertification. Although the afforestation policy appears successful, many people now doubt whether it is suitable to plant trees with high density on the poor soils in semiarid regions. Little is known about the impacts of afforestation on the sandy soil properties, although the evaluation of these impacts is fundamental to judge the rationality of afforestation policy. Soil phosphorus （P） fractions, acid phosphomonoesterase activities, and other soil chemical properties were compared among five adjoining typical ecosystems on poor sandy soils in southeastern Horqin sandy land. The ecosystems studied are natural elm savanna, degraded grassland, Mongolian pine （Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica） plantation, Chinese pine （Pinus tabulaeformis） plantation, and mixed plantation of Mongolian pine and poplar （Populus simonii）. The results showed that organic P dominated soil P （47%-65%） was the principal source of available P. The degradation of elm savanna to grassland significantly reduced soil pH and resulted in an overall reduction in soil fertility, although slightly increased labile inorganic P. Grassland afforestation had no significant influence on soil pH, organic carbon, and total N but significantly reduced total P. Impacts of grassland afforestation on soil P fractions depended on tree species. Natural elm savanna had higher soil P conserving ability than artificial plantations. Therefore, with the aim of developing a sustainable ecosystem, we suggested that vegetations with low nutrient demand （particularly P） and efficient nutrient cycling would be more suitable for ecosystem restoration in the semiarid region.     

退化红壤肥力障碍特征及重建措施Ⅱ.磷、氮、钾库重建措施

本文为本系列的第二部分。研究表明，在退化红壤磷库重建中，施用磷肥，可迅速重建磷库，显著降低土壤的磷素最大吸附量，可以增加红壤保水能力，表明施用磷肥有着多重作用。有机肥在退化红壤养分库重建中有着重要作用，它可更快地重建土壤磷库、钾库。对提高土壤全氮水平也比单用化肥为快。结果充分说明，在恢复重建退化红壤养分库时，本文的有关措施是有效的，而且磷、钾库的重建可以比较迅速地达到。     

退化红壤肥力障碍特征及重建措施Ⅰ.退化状况评价及酸害纠正措施

本文主要通过11年的长期定位试验,研究了退化红壤养分库(NPK)的重建措施及产量效果以及纠正酸害(铝害)的途径.本文为第一部分.研究表明,我国南方红壤及砖红壤养分水平较低,这是长期土壤退化的结果,根据对1021个标本的数据分析,磷素退化最严重,其次是氮,再次是钾.研究发现,纠正红壤酸度过低可以通过施用碱性磷肥(钙镁磷肥)来达到,这既补充了磷又纠正了酸害,一举两得.     

退化喀斯特植被恢复过程中的土壤抗蚀性变化

运用时空互代法,以喀斯特山区不同植被恢复阶段为研究对象,坡耕地与人工林为对照,通过室内分析,采用主成分分析方法,探讨了其土壤抗蚀性。结果表明：土壤中有机质、>0.25 mm水稳性团聚体含量、<0.05 mm粉黏粒含量、<0.001 mm黏粒含量和结构性颗粒指数可以作为评价土壤抗蚀性的最佳指标。各样地土壤抗蚀性综合指数大小排序为灌草丛>乔灌过渡林>灌木林>乔木疏林>人工林>草坡>坡耕地。喀斯特山区,坡耕地土壤抗蚀性能最差;植被恢复过程中,土壤的抗蚀性能先逐渐变好,后逐渐变差,转折点在灌草阶段。以灌草搭配的植被恢复模式可能比较适合喀斯特地区。     

Denitrification characteristics of subtropical soils in China affected by soil parent material and land use

Forty‐five soil samples were collected from rice paddy land (R), tea garden land (T), forestland (F), brush land (B), and upland (U) in Jiangxi province, a subtropical region of China. These soils were derived from Quaternary red earth (Q), Tertiary red sandstone (S), and granite (G). Their denitrification capacities were determined after treatment with 200 mg NO₃⁻‐N kg⁻¹ soil by measuring changes in NO₃⁻‐N content during a 28‐day anaerobic incubation under N₂ gas in the headspace, at 30°C. The subtropical soils studied here were characterized by generally small denitrification capacities, ranging from no denitrification capacity to complete disappearance of added NO₃⁻‐N within 11 days of incubation. With few exceptions, NO₃⁻‐N reduction with incubation time followed a first‐order relationship with reaction constants of 0 – 0.271 day⁻¹, but the data could be simulated better by a logarithmic relationship. Thus, denitrification capacity was determined by the reaction constant of the first‐order reaction, the slope of the logarithmic relationship, and the averaged NO₃⁻‐N reduction rate in the first 7 days of anaerobic incubation (ranging from 0 to 28.5 mg kg⁻¹day⁻¹), and was significantly larger in the soils derived from G than from Q and S for all land uses except for rice paddy land. Soil organic carbon and nitrogen availability are the key factors that determine differences in denitrification capacity among the three soil parent materials. Rice cultivation significantly promoted denitrification capacity compared with the other four land uses and masked the effect of soil parent materials on denitrification capacity. This is most likely due to increases in organic carbon and total N content in the soil, which promoted the population and biological activities of microorganisms which are able to respire anaerobically when the rice soil is flooded. Neither the increased pH of upland soil caused by the addition of lime for upland crop production, nor the decreased pH of the tea garden soil by the acidification effect of tea plants altered soil denitrification capacity. Our results suggest that land use and management practices favour soil carbon and/or nitrogen accumulation and anaerobic microorganism activities enhance soil denitrification capacity.     

退化喀斯特植被恢复与土壤微生物特征的关系

The mechanism of vegetation restoration on degraded karst regions has been a research focus of soil science and ecology for the last decade.In an attempt to preferably interpret the soil microbiological characteristic variation associated with vegetation restoration and further to explore the role of soil microbiology in vegetation restoration mechanism of degraded karst regions,we measured microbial biomass C and basal respiration in soils during vegetation restoration in Zhenfeng County of southwestern Guizhou Province,China.The community level physiological profiles(CLPP) of the soil microbial community to were estimated determine if vegetation changes were accompanied by changes in functioning of soil microbial communities.The results showed that soil microbial biomass C and microbial quotient(microbial biomass C/organic C) tended to increase with vegetation restoration,being in the order arboreal community stage > shrubby community stage > herbaceous community stage > bare land stage.Similar trend was found in the change of basal respiration(BR).The metabolic quotient(the ratio of basal respiration to microbial biomass,qCO 2) decreased with vegetation restoration,and remained at a constantly low level in the arboreal community stage.Analyses of the CLPP data indicated that vegetation restoration tended to result in higher average well color development,substrate richness,and functional diversity.Average utilization of specific substrate guilds was highest in the arboreal community stage.Principle component analysis of the CLPP data further indicated that the arboreal community stage was distinctly different from the other three stages.In conclusion,vegetation restoration improved soil microbial biomass C,respiration,and utilization of carbon sources,and decreased qCO 2,thus creating better soil conditions,which in turn could promote the restoration of vegetation on degraded karst regions.     

Mechanisms of aggregate stabilization in Ultisols from subtropical China

The quantification and interpretation of aggregate stability depend on internal soil properties and external factors such as measurement method and aggregate size. The objectives of this study were to: (i) determine the aggregate stability in Ultisols from subtropical China applying the Le Bisssonais Method; (ii) determine the effect of initial aggregate size on its stability, and (iii) interpret mechanisms of aggregate stabilization in the soils. Three aggregate-size ranges (5–3, 3–2 and 2–1 mm) were obtained by dry sieving. After the wetting treatments, the dominant fraction of fragments for each soil was 2–1 mm or 0.63–0.2 mm. The mechanisms of aggregate breakdown was in the order, slaking>mechanical breakdown>micro-cracking. They differed with soil type and composition. The normalized mean weight diameter (NMWD) of the aggregates after fast wetting and wet stirring were more correlated with soil properties, such as degree of micro-aggregation (DOA), cation exchange capacity (CEC), K₂O, Fe₂O₃ or Al₂O₃ rather than clay and soil organic carbon (SOC) content. The binding force by soil organic matter was smaller than the force caused by entrapped air or the force of combination of mechanical stress by stirring and differential swelling of minerals.The smaller the aggregate, the larger was the aggregate stability according to NMWD. The rankings of the soils differed with the soil aggregate sizes and the wetting treatments. Sandy loams from sandstone (Sc and Sw) were the weakest soils while the purple mudstone (Pp) was the strongest. All the cultivated soils decreased in aggregate stability compared with the comparable uncultivated soils or parent materials irrespective of the cultivation time and the changes in SOC content after cultivation.     

Runoff generation in a degraded Andean ecosystem: Interaction of vegetation cover and land use

Tropical mountain regions are affected by rapid land use/-cover change, which may threaten their (eco-)hydrological functions. Although there is a growing interest in evaluating the effect of land use/-cover change on mountain hydrology, quantitative assessments of the impact of land use/-cover on hydrological processes are hampered by the lack of field measurements characterizing runoff generation processes. In this paper, we present results from field experiments of rainfall runoff mechanisms in the southern Ecuadorian Andes. A rainfall simulator was used to quantify the hydrological response of distinct land use/-cover types to intense rainfall (about 40 mm/h). The rainfall runoff experiments indicate that degraded and abandoned land generate surface runoff within a few minutes after the start of the rainfall event. These lands have a very rapid and sharp hillslope hydrological response, as Hortonian overland flow is the dominant runoff generation mechanism. In contrast, surface runoff on arable and rangelands is rare, as their soils are characterized by a high infiltration capacity (i.e. > 29 mm/h). Our experiments provide evidence that runoff generation in degraded Andean ecosystems is mainly controlled by the surface vegetation cover and land management. When reducing the surface vegetation cover, the soil is increasingly affected by rapid hillslope runoff as the presence of large amounts of smectites in the outcropping soft rocks makes the material very prone to sealing and crusting, thereby enhancing runoff generation.     

Changes of soil ecological stoichiometric ratios under different land uses in a small catchment of subtropical China

The role of soil elemental ecological stoichiometry in evaluation of nutrient cycling and limitation was not clear in local spatial scale. Thus, characteristic of soil C, N and P stoichiometric ratios and their relationships to land-use and soil properties were analyzed in a small catchment of subtropical China. Results showed that there were constrained soil C:N ratios in a small catchment. Soil C:P and N:P ratios were also constrained at the beginning; but they became variable after 10 years of different land uses. Soil C:N ratios in the small catchment were similar to those at national scale, but soil C:P and N:P ratios were remarkably lower at the local scale. Soil C:P ratios in paddy fields were 5.1–76.9% and 16.0–80.4% higher than those for other land uses in 2000 and 2010, respectively; the corresponding soil N:P ratios were also 3.8–66.7% and 19.1–75.0% higher. Over time, soil C:N ratios increased approximately 19.7–29.6% for all land uses after 10 years of utilization. Soil C:P and N:P ratios also increased for most land uses. Clay content was an important factor influencing soil C:P and N:P ratios. Except for paddy fields, N was still the limiting nutrient in most land uses, evaluating by elemental stoichiometry. Future work should focus on determining direct evidence of C and N limitations and their relationships to elemental stoichiometry in a small catchment.     

Soil N transformation mechanisms can effectively conserve N in soil under saturated conditions compared to unsaturated conditions in subtropical China

The connection between moisture and nitrogen (N) transformation in soils is key to understanding N losses, particularly nitrate (NO₃^?) losses, and also provides a theoretical framework for appropriate water management in agricultural systems. Thus, we designed this study to provide a process-based background for management decision. We collected soil samples from the long-term field experiment in subtropical China, which was designed to examine tobacco and rice rotations under a subtropical monsoon climate. The field experiment was established in 2008 with four treatments: (1) no fertilization as control; (2) N, phosphorus (P), and potassium (K) fertilizers applied at recommended rates; (3) N fertilizers applied at rates 50% higher than the recommended amounts and P and K fertilizers applied at recommended rates; and (4) N, P, and K fertilizers applied at recommended rates with straw incorporated (NPKS). Soil samples were collected during the unsaturated tobacco-cropping season and saturated rice-cropping season and were incubated at 60% water holding capacity and under saturated conditions, respectively. Two ¹⁵N tracing treatments (¹⁵NH₄NO₃ and NH₄¹⁵NO₃) and a numerical modeling method were used to quantify N transformations and gross N dynamics. Autotrophic nitrification was stimulated by N fertilizer both under unsaturated and saturated conditions. The rate of NO₃^? consumption (via immobilization and denitrification) increased under the NPKS treatment under saturated conditions. Secondly, the rates of processes associated with ammonium (NH₄⁺) cycling, including mineralization of organic N, NH₄⁺ immobilization, and dissimilatory NO₃^? reduction to NH₄⁺, were all increased under saturated conditions relative to unsaturated conditions, except for autotrophic nitrification. Consequently, NO₃^?-N and NH₄⁺-N concentrations were significantly lower under saturated conditions relative to unsaturated conditions, which resulted in reduced risks of N losses via runoff or leaching. Our results suggest that under saturated conditions, there is a soil N conservation mechanism which alleviates the potential risk of N losses by runoff or leaching.     

退化喀斯特植被恢复对土壤微生物数量及群落功能多样性的影响

采集不同恢复阶段的土壤样品,采用微生物培养法研究了退化喀斯特植被恢复对土壤微生物数量、群落功能多样性的影响。研究结果表明随着退化喀斯特植被的恢复,土壤微生物数量增加,表现为乔木群落阶段灌木群落阶段草本群落阶段裸地阶段。土壤微生物群落代谢功能分析表明:植被恢复往往导致较高的平均颜色变化率、物种丰富度和功能多样性。乔木群落阶段的平均诱导底物利用率最高,明显地与其他3个恢复阶段不同。总之,植被恢复使得土壤微生物数量增加,碳源平均利用率增强。因此,创造了更好的土壤条件更有利于退化喀斯特植被的恢复。     

N dynamics and sources of N2O production following pig slurry application to a loamy soil

Carbon (C) and Nitrogen dynamics and sources of nitrous oxide (N₂O) production were investigated in a loamy soil amended with pig slurry. Pig slurry (40000kgha^–1) or distilled H₂O was applied to intact soil cores of the upper 5cm of a loamy soil which were incubated under aerobic conditions for 28 days at 25°C. Treatments were with or without acetylene (C₂H₂), which is assumed to inhibit the reduction of N₂O to dinitrogen (N₂), and with or without dicyandiamide (DCD), which is thought to inhibit nitrification. Volatilization of ammonia (NH₃), pH, carbon dioxide (CO₂) and N₂O production, and ammonium (NH₄ ⁺) and nitrate NO₃ ^–) concentrations were monitored. The pH of the pig slurry amended soil increased from an initial value of 7.1 to pH 8.3 within 3 days; it then decreased slowly but was still at a value of 7.4 after 28 days. Twenty percent of the NH₄ ⁺ applied volatilized within 28 days. Sixty percent of the C applied in the pig slurry evolved as CO₂, if no priming effect was assumed, but only 38% evolved when the soil was amended with DCD. Pig slurry significantly increased denitrification and the ratio between its gaseous products, N₂O and N₂, was 0.21. No significant increases in NO₃ ^– concentration occurred, and N₂O produced through nitrification was 0.07mg N₂O-N kg^–1 day^–1 or 33% of the total N₂O produced. C₂H₂ was used as a C substrate by microorganisms and increased the production of N₂O. Received: 12 May 1997     

Temporal change in soil macropores measured using tension infiltrometer under different land uses and slope positions in subtropical China

Purpose

Soil macropores play a principal role in water infiltration but they are highly variable. The objectives of this study were (1) to investigate the temporal change in macropores of an Ultisol as affected by land use and slope position and (2) to analyze contribution of macropores to water infiltration.

Materials and methods

Water infiltration was measured at upper and lower slopes in citrus orchard and watermelon field once every 2 months for 1 year using tension infiltrometers at a successive pressure head from ?12, ?6, ?3, to 0 hPa.

Results and discussion

Hydraulic conductivity (K) was significantly affected by land use and slope position except at 0 hPa pressure head, showing a significant temporal variation. Effective macroporosity, derived from the increment of hydraulic conductivity between ?3 and 0 hPa, showed a significant temporal variation. Such temporal variation was land use (P?<?0.05) and slope position (P?<?0.001) dependent. Despite of low proportion in total soil volume (averaged 3.5 cm³ m^?3), the macropores contributed 47 % of water flux on average. The macroporosity was more stable and higher in the citrus orchard (2.43 cm³ m^?3, coefficient of variance (CV)?=?75 %) than in the watermelon field (1.72 cm³ m^?3, CV?=?117 %) and contributed more to infiltration in the citrus orchard (60 %, CV?=?16 %) than in the watermelon field (33 %, CV?=?43 %) as well, because tillage was operated only in the watermelon field.

Conclusions

No-tillage increased water conducting macropores but did not increase hydraulic conductivity irrespective of slope position.

     

我国中亚热带丘陵地区红壤的肥力恢复

There are about 1.27 million ha of upland red soils derived from Quaternary red clay facing the degradation in the low-hilly region of the middle subtropical China. From the aspects of chemistry, physics and microbiology, the processes of soil fertility restoration in the surface layer (0~20 cm) under three types of land use patterns (i.e. citrus orchard, tea garden and upland) in two provinces were studied in this work. Results showed that the reclamation of eroded waste land improved most of soil properties. Soil organic matter, total N and P, available P and K, and exchangeable Ca and Mg increased, but soil total K and exchangeable Al decreased. Soil pH decreased by 0.5 unit in the pure tea plantation for 20 years. Soil reclamation increased the percentage of soil microaggregates (<0.25 mm), especially those with a diameter of 0.02~0.002 mm. Soil total porosity increased in the cultivated lands with the increase of soil aeration and capillary porosity. The number of soil microorganisms increased with reclamation caused mainly by the huge increase of the total amount of bacteria. With the cultivation, the activity of soil urease and acid phosphatase increased, but that of invertase dropped.     

应用概率细胞自动机-马尔科夫模型模拟评价中国区域土地利用/土地覆盖的时空动态

Using the fuzzy rule-based classification method, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) images acquired from 1982 to 1998 were classified into seventeen phases. Based on these classification images, a probabilistic cellular automata-Markov Chain model was developed and used to simulate a land cover scenario of China for the year 2014. Spatiotemporal dynamics of land use/cover in China from 1982 to 2014 were then analyzed and evaluated. The results showed that the change trends of land cover type from 1998 to 2014 would be contrary to those from 1982 to 1998. In particular, forestland and grassland areas decreased by 1.56% and 1.46%, respectively, from 1982 to 1998, and should increase by 1.5% and 2.3% from 1998 to 2014, respectively.