西藏林芝地区气候变化趋势与森林资源消退关系研究

分析西藏林芝地区近40年以来气候变化趋势,结果表明,西藏林芝地区的气温呈逐渐变暖、降水量逐年增多的趋势.进一步分析了造成气候变化的主要因素为森林资源消退、旅游人数剧增、全球温室效应等,提出控制温室气体的排放,加大植树造林和封山育林力度等建议.     

工布自然保护区森林生态系统功能及保护对策

省级工布自然保护区位于西藏林芝地区，保护区总面积21558．16km^2，是我国面积最大，保存最完好的原始天然林生态系统。具有物种资源丰富，珍稀濒危种多，旅游资源丰富等特点。分析了保护区面临的问题。提出了今后保护对策。     

西藏东南部林火规律初探

西藏东南部林火规律初探刘德裕（西藏林芝地区防火办）地处雅鲁藏布江中下游区域的藏东南地区．气候温暖湿润．森林茂密。区域内的林芝、米林、朗县、工布江达、波密、察隅、墨脱等７县。行政区划隶属林芝地区。其实际控制线内森林面积为２１３万多ｈｉｎＺ，森林资源蓄积...     

西藏林芝地区森林灭火战法研究

从西藏林芝地区的自然情况入手,分析了西藏林芝地区森林火灾的特点,有针对性地提出了扑救的有效战法和注意事项,以期为林芝地区森林火灾的扑救工作提供参考。     

西藏林芝地区生物资源的特点及价值

通过1991年和2001年两次深入西藏林芝地区开展森林资源调查所掌握的资料，对当地的植物、动物、森林资源进行分析、评价，提出开发和保护建议。     

国际气候变化谈判制度及谈判进展分析

分析了全球气候变化的背景,指出了全球气候变化谈判的必要性,探讨了国际气候变化谈判制度,对气候变化谈判趋势进行了预测。     

气候变化与中国北方森林恢复和经营

全球气候变暖已经成为一个不争的事实。在全球气候变化背景下,我国的气温不断增高,降水和极端天气气候事件不断增多。根据气候变化现状和趋势,文章从陆地生态系统的可能响应、北方森林的分布变化、生产力、生物地球化学循环、火干扰等方面分析了气候变化对中国北方森林生态系统的可能影响,并提出了我国北方森林应对气候变化的适应性对策。     

近15年来气候变化对中国经济的直接影响

以国家权威部门发布的统计资料为基础数据,分析气候变化对中国经济的影响,结果表明:近15年来气候变化对中国经济的影响在加剧。1991~2005年期间与气候变化相关的自然灾害造成的直接经济损失在932亿~3 570亿元之间,呈明显上升趋势;所占GDP的比重为5.70%~1.31%,呈下降趋势。在此期间,干旱、农作物病虫害、草地病虫害、风暴潮、森林火灾的直接经济损失呈现上升趋势;洪涝灾害和台风上升趋势不明显;森林病虫害和草地火灾呈下降趋势。2000年以来自然灾害的直接经济损失一直稳定在相当于GDP 1.08%~2.05%的水平,气候变化对国民经济存在不可忽视的负面影响。     

西藏林芝地区森林防火阻隔带作用研究

介绍西藏林芝地区森林火灾情况,分析森林火灾多发原因．以1999～2006年在察隅、波密、林芝3县收集的8次森林火警与火灾阻隔带数据及灾后调查数据为依据,以防火阻隔带烧损程度划分地表火行为等级,共划分为4级．防火阻隔带对中等强度以下的森林地表火能起到有效的阻隔作用．提出建设防火阻隔带要根据森林分布特点科学区划,统筹安排．     

气候变化对森林生态系统的影响及应对气候变化的森林可持续发展

森林生态系统是人类社会赖以生存的重要生态系统类型。然而,人类活动所引起的温室效应及其造成的全球气候变化对森林生态系统的负面影响正越来越引起全世界的关注。文中系统地阐述了全球气候变化事件对森林生态系统的植被分布、迁移趋势、适应能力、火灾状况、虫害爆发、木材产量和生物多样性等诸方面所产生的重要影响。另外,森林生态系统在减缓全球气候变化的过程中发挥着极为重要的作用。文中从森林可持续发展的角度系统地分析了应对气候变化应采取的森林可持续发展的相关策略与措施,并建议通过实时监控、及时防治、科学指导、全球合作等手段进一步增强森林生态系统的适应性和减缓全球气候变化的能力。     

Effects of climate change on typical forests in northeastern China

By using the forest gap model-FAREAST, we simulated the effects of future climate change on forest composition and forest biomass of typical forests in northeastern China. We selected three different climate change scenarios, developed from GCMs results, of the ECHAM5-OM and HadCM3 models: the current climate, a warmer climate and a state of changing precipitation with higher temperatures. The results are as follows: if the climate does not change, the composition and forest biomass of the northeastern forests will retain their dynamic balance. A warmer climate is detrimental to the major forest types in the northeast. The percentage of major conifers is expected to decrease, along with a proportional increase of some broad-leafed species. The southern treeline of the mixed broad-leafed tree species/Korean pine forest in the temperate zone will tend to move northward. The warmer the climate, the more distinct the transition. If, furthermore, we were to take account of rainfall, the treeline in the northeast will tend to move northward. Rainfall seems to have little effect on the mixed broad-leafed tree species/Korean pine forests in the temperate zone.     

Potential Effects of Temperature on Early Reproductive Development and Progeny Performance in Picea abies (L.) Karst

In order to enhance cone production in Norway spruce [Picea abies (L.) Karst] seed orchards have been established in more southerly, warmer sites in Norway. This has led to concern and some evidence that seedlings obtained from parent trees grown at warmer sites may not be well adapted if planted in northern regions. Selective events during sexual reproduction in the warmer climate may select for traits not well adapted for cold climates. This study describes ovule and male gametophyte development, fertilization and proembryo and early embryo development under six different temperature regimens of warm or cold, warm-cold or cold-warm, and compares development in relation to temperature sums in degree days (dd) and calendar date. The outside treatment in a cold climate in Norway served as the control, and normal development and few ovule abortions and abnormalities were observed. In no treatments were abnormalities in male gametophyte development observed. In treatments in which trees were kept in the greenhouse throughout the study or moved during the study from the outside to inside the greenhouse, a higher incidence of megagametophyte, egg or embryo abortion was generally observed.     

温室效应、全球变暖与林业

本文综述了当前受到国内外普遍重视的全球变暖和气候变化以及与林业有关的问题。简要介绍了目前对森林在全球碳平衡中的作用, 气候变化可能对林业的影响, 以及林业对策的研究现状和展望。     

林火与气候变化研究进展

火是全球大多森林生态系统中的一个重要干扰因子, 它对大气中的温室气体和气溶胶的增加有显著影响。林火与气候变化是当前林火研究领域的热点问题。文中综述了气候变化对林火的影响和林火排放物对气候变化的影响。大量研究表明, 气候变化将导致森林火险期延长, 出现潜在极端火行为的天数增多, 森林火灾更加严重, 特别是北方森林火灾增加显著。未来的研究趋势是, 采用卫星遥感数据在大尺度上研究气候变化对林火的影响, 把林火模型与气候模式和全球植被动力学模型耦合, 构建更为复杂的林火排放模型, 以深入揭示林火与气候变化的关系。     

全球气候变化及森林生态系统的适应性管理

人类活动所引起的温室效应及由此造成的全球气候变化对全球生态环境的影响正越来越引起人们的关注。森林作为全球陆地生态系统的一个重要组分, 对全球气候变化的响应较为敏感。文中系统总结了全球气候变化对物种和森林类型分布、森林生态系统结构和物种组成、森林生产力、森林土壤碳氮循环和森林灾害等几个方面的影响, 以及森林生态系统管理面临的挑战, 在此基础上提出了适应未来气候变化的森林生态系统管理策略。     

Tree-rings reflect the impact of climate change on Quercus ilex L. along a temperature gradient in Spain over the last 100 years

We analyzed tree rings over the past 100 years to understand the response of Quercus ilex L. to climate change at four different sites along a temperature gradient in a highly anthropogenically transformed ecosystem. To test the hypothesis of a climate change related decrease in productivity at warmer sites, we discuss the effect of historical management on the growth of forest stands and the spatio-temporal variability of growth in response to climate, analyzing departures from linearity in that relationship. We reconstructed stand history and investigated past growth trends using tree-rings. Then we used a dendroecological approach to study the regional, local and age-dependent response to climate, analyzing the relationship between precipitation and tree growth using non-linear mixed models. Tree rings reflected the origin of the studied landscape, mainly a simplification of an original closed forest and progressive canopy opening for agrosilvopastoral purposes after the mid 1800s. As expected, trees were principally responding to water availability, and regional growth (as expressed by the first principal component from the matrix of chronologies) was highly responsive to hydrological year precipitation (r = 0.7). In this water limited ecosystem, the response of growth to precipitation was asymptotic and independent of age, but variable in time. Maximum growth was variable at the different sites and the non-linear function of growth saturated (i.e. reached an asymptote) at temperature dependent site specific precipitation levels within the range considered in the region to lead a shift towards deciduous species dominated woodlands (around 600 mm, variable with mean temperature). Only trees at warmer sites showed symptoms of growth decline, most likely explained by water stress increase in the last decades affecting the highly transformed open (i.e. low competition) tree structure. Stands at colder locations did not show any negative growth trend and may benefit from the current increase in winter temperatures. Coinciding with the decrease in productivity, trees at warmer sites responded more to moisture availability, exhibited a slower response to precipitation and reached maximum growth at higher precipitation levels than trees at colder sites. This suggests that warmer stands are threatened by climate change. The non-linear response of growth to precipitation described is meaningful for different ecological applications and provides new insights in the way trees respond to climate.     

Quantifying height growth and monthly growing degree days relationship of plantation Taiwan spruce

The future of the endemic Taiwan spruce (Picea morrisonicola) under climate change is of great concern. It is the southernmost species of the genus and its current distribution is limited to high altitudes of Taiwan. As a first step toward assessing the impact of future temperature changes on the species, we quantified the effects of past monthly growing degree days (GDD) on the height growth of plantation Taiwan spruce based on nonlinear mixed-effects growth analysis. Our results showed that past GDD variations had both positive and negative effects on the height growth of the species. July of the preceding year had the greatest influence on current year height growth. An increase in the mean GDD level of the current May would also promote height growth. In contrast, a warmer previous November or current January had negative effects on height growth. If the established height growth–GDD relationship holds, the influences of climate change on Taiwan spruce height growth will depend on the timing of the temperature increases, as well as on the trees current growth stages. Our results suggested that a warmer climate would have a greater influence on trees that are still in the early stages along the height growth trajectory. The established height growth–GDD relationship will be a keystone for developing models assessing how Taiwan spruce responds to climate change.     

Climate impacts on lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) radial growth in a provenance experiment

A potentially confounding radial-growth interaction exists at the intersection of two well-known principles, one in the field of dendrochronology and the other in quantitative genetics. From a dendrochronology perspective, tree populations growing in climatically marginal environments are expected to be more sensitive to seasonal and annual climate than those growing in optimal climate zones. From a genetics perspective, marginal populations may be adapted to grow a small amount each year and then shut down to prevent climate-induced mortality, or they may be adapted to respond to favourable climate conditions when available. We examined the relative strength of these forces using data from 12 populations of 34-year-old lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) trees growing in 16 provenance-trial sites in western Canada. Growth generally correlated positively with annual temperature and negatively with summer aridity. The sensitivity of radial-growth to interannual climate fluctuations was both site and provenance-related, with the highest sensitivities occurring among populations from warm, central provenances growing at cold, marginal sites, and among populations from cold, marginal provenances growing at warm, central sites. The correlations between climate and growth varied regionally; notably, populations from warm provenances growing at warm sites responded more strongly to summer aridity, while populations from cold provenances growing at warm sites responded more to annual temperature. Our finding that sensitivity varied among populations growing under similar climate conditions indicates that sensitivity is influenced by genetics as well as by site climate, but the regional specificity of the growth responses did not support a single hypothesis for the influence of genetics on growth among populations from marginal vs. central locations. Implications of our study for forest productivity under climate change are more positive for trees growing in cool locations, where overall warmer temperatures will lead to increased growth, than in warm locations, where the negative effects of arid summers may counteract the positive effects of warmer annual temperatures.     

Forest responses to climate change in the northwestern United States: Ecophysiological foundations for adaptive management

Climate change resulting from increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide ([CO₂]) is expected to result in warmer temperatures and changed precipitation regimes during this century. In the northwestern U.S., these changes will likely decrease snowpack, cause earlier snowmelt, increase summer evapotranspiration, and increase the frequency and severity of droughts. Elevated [CO₂] and warmer temperatures may have positive effects on growth and productivity where there is adequate moisture or growth is currently limited by cold. However, the effects of climate change are generally expected to reduce growth and survival, predispose forests to disturbance by wildfire, insects, and disease; and ultimately change forest structure and composition at the landscape scale. Substantial warming will likely decrease winter chilling resulting in delayed bud burst, and adversely affect flowering and seed germination for some species. The extent of these effects will depend on the magnitude of climate change, the abilities of individual trees to acclimate, and for tree populations to adapt in situ, or to migrate to suitable habitats. These coping mechanisms may be insufficient to maintain optimal fitness of tree populations to rapidly changing climate. Physiological responses to climatic stresses are relatively well-understood at the organ or whole-plant scale but not at the stand or landscape scale. In particular, the interactive effects of multiple stressors is not well known. Genetic and silvicultural approaches to increase adaptive capacities and to decrease climate-related vulnerabilities of forests can be based on ecophysiological knowledge. Effective approaches to climate adaptation will likely include assisted migration of species and populations, and density management. Use of these approaches to increase forest resistance and resilience at the landscape scale requires a better understanding of species adaptations, within-species genetic variation, and the mitigating effects of silvicultural treatments.