An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Financial Development

This paper discusses the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Some essential Chinese macroeconomic datum during late twenty years which include Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the whole economy,state and private sectors,investment in fixed Assets,financial relative rate and real interest rate estimated in a multivariate vector auto regression (VAR) framework. The estimates suggest that financial development boosts GDP growth, and it does not exist in reverse.     

An Estimate on the Casual Relation between Financial Development and Economic Growth

This paper firstly discusses the relationship among money,real interest rate and economic growth of China. Then estimates the causality between financial development and economic growth by Bivariate Granger Casual Relation Test. The conclusion suggests that economic growth stimulate financial development more in China.     

Correlation between Financial Development and Industrial Growth in China

A brief introduction of literature on the nexus of financial development and growth in the economy is given first. In the light of traditional thinking over the nexus of financial development and growth, an empirical analysis,by the method of SURE in the framework of two sector model, of the causality of China financial development and industrial growth is carried out covering the relative data since the adoption of reform and open policy.The externalities of finance over industry and industry over tinance show that the supply leading version is prevalent in the chines economy. Finally the policy implication is suggested.     

The Analysis of Interrelations Between Regional Economic Growth and Savings

The interrelations between the regional economic growth and savings are analyzed by using Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test based on error correction model. The results show that the economic growing is one of the main factors that raise the amount of saving but don't increase the saving growth rate in all three regions. Also the increase of saving could result in the eastern and weatern region's economic growth to some extent, but it does't affect the central region's economic growth. Therefore, some actions which drive the economic growth have to be taken in order to raise the saving, and the increase of the saving scale have to be controled to improve the regional economic growth.     

An Empirical Analysis on the Connection between China''s Stock Market and Economic Growth

The connection between China's Stock Market and Economic Growth is always regarded by economic and finances studies. For the time limit of the developing of stock market and the difficulty of data's collection, it is still in studying that the connection between stock market and economic growth, especially the causation versus regression. By the method of Demirguc - Kunt and Levine,this paper empirically tests the connection between China's stock market and economic growth on the season serial data from 1995 to 2000.The test indicates that there are insignificant between them.     

An Empirical Analysis on the Correlation between China''s Stock Market and Economic Growth

The correlation between China stock market and economic growth is always regarded by economic and financial studies. For the time limit of the developing of stock market and the difficulty of data's collection, it is still in studying that the correlation between stock market and economic growth, especially the causation versus regression. By the method of Demirguc - Kunt and Levine,this paper empirically tests the correlation between China's stock market and economic growth on the seasons serial data from 1995 to 2000. The conclusion is that the relationship economic growth between stock market is unilateral.     

Short-and Long-Term Effects of the Construction Industry on the Economy Growth

The construction industry could be developed as a pillar industry of the national economy,since it has a strong pulling role in economic growth.However,little definite empirical evidence supports this argument.Using co-integration and Granger causality tests and error-correction model with taking Sichuan for an example,this article studies both short-term and long-term effects of the construction industry on the economy growth.Empirical tests show that in the long term the economy maintained equilibrium relations with the construction industry.A growth in the construction industry will lead to the economic growth;however the pulling role of the construction industry on the economy is limited.A growth in the construction industry will not predict economic growth in the short run.Thus,for Sichuan case the government is unable to stimulate the economy by focusing on development of the construction industry in the short run.Instead,in order to promote long-term development of the national economy it could implement stable and healthy development policies for the construction industry.     

西安市耕地面积变化与经济发展关系的实证研究

为了深入研究西安市耕地面积变化与经济发展之间的关系。选取GDP、全社会固定资产投资总额、城市化水平、二三产业比重与耕地面积作为主要分析指标,运用相关分析等方法对1990-2008年来西安市经济发展与耕地面积变化之间的关系及西安市单位经济增长的耕地资源代价变化进行了研究。结果表明：1990-2008年来,西安市的经济发展与耕地面积变化呈负相关关系,西安市经济发展与耕地变化之间的发展关系属于典型的经济增长超前,耕地减少滞后型;在经济发展诸因素中,城市化水平对耕地面积减少的影响最大;西安市经济发展趋向资金密集型和节地型方向发展,土地的集约化程度正在逐渐提高。     

江苏省耕地变化与经济发展关系的实证研究

研究利用Eviews 8.0 软件,采用Chow检验、ADF检验、协整分析、AIC准则以及Granger 因果关系检验等计量经济方法,旨在分析1978—2009 年间江苏省耕地面积变化与经济增长之间的关系,并对江苏省耕地变化与经济发展关系的阶段性特征做出总结。结果表明：自1978 年以来,江苏省耕地面积与经济发展大致经历了2 个阶段：第一阶段(1978—1991)是互为因果关系,在该阶段内江苏省经济增长主要以耕地的牺牲为代价。第二阶段(1992—2009)是单向因果关系,在该阶段内耕地资源数量减少为经济发展提供了土地保障的作用,但经济增长并不是耕地资源数量变化的原因。从1978—2009 这一长期阶段来看,江苏省在这一时间段内经济增长与耕地变化存在单向因果关系,即耕地面积数量变化对经济的发展产生了积极的影响,但经济发展并不是耕地面积减少的原因。通过对江苏省1978—2009 年各阶段耕地变化与经济发展之间的关系进行探究,对如何处理耕地面积减少与经济发展之间的关系提出建议,这对今后经济发展与耕地变化相关问题的研究具有一定的借鉴意义。     

除草剂对苎麻生长及经济性状的影响

为筛选出合适的,苎麻封行后施用的除草剂及预防除草剂致使苎麻败蔸提供参考,研究了盆栽条件下,乙草胺、草甘膦、精喹禾灵、苄嘧黄隆、百草枯、2,4-D钠盐等6种除草剂三麻分行前期对‘多倍体1号’、‘中苎1号’和‘湘苎3号’生长及产量和纤维品质的影响。结果表明：在常用浓度下,不同的除草剂对苎麻的影响不同,而且同一种除草剂对不同品种苎麻的影响也不同,除草剂对苎麻农艺性状和品质性状的影响存在基因型差异。乙草胺和草甘膦对‘多倍体1号’、‘中苎1号’和‘湘苎3号’苎麻相对安全;精喹禾灵、苄嘧磺隆、百草枯、2,4-D钠盐都不同程度的抑制了3种苎麻的生长,降低了苎麻产量和品质。而且‘中苎1号’对苄嘧黄隆较敏感,‘湘苎3号’对百草枯非常敏感,‘多倍体1号’对6种除草剂都有较大抗性。在不喷施于苎麻植株体表面的前提下,6种除草剂对苎麻的叶绿素SPAD值影响不大,但都会使苎麻的叶面积减小。     

Analysis on Development Tendency of Financial Management

Financial mechanism should be put in force under certain circumstance. Based on the practice in China, this paper investigates the tendency of development of financial management, that is from normative approach to positive approach, qualitative analysis to quantitative analysis, tangible assets to intangible assets and basic financial instrument to derivative financial instrument. The objective of the research is to develop the financial management theory and make good use of the financial management skills.     

内蒙古环境污染水平与经济增长的库兹涅茨关系分析

为了给内蒙古环境政策提供依据,以进一步促进内蒙古环境与经济之间协调发展,笔者研究了内蒙古环境污染与经济增长之间的关系。基于环境库兹涅茨曲线模型,采用1986-2009年内蒙古环境经济数据,建立内蒙古工业污染物排放与人均国内生产总值(GDP)之间的评价模型。结果表明,在研究区间内,内蒙古固体废弃物与工业废气排放量产生量急速上升,与人均GDP之间的关系处于倒“U”型曲线的左半部分上升阶段：2009年的固体废弃物产生量比1986年增长了10508.32万t,平均年增长率为9.17%。2009年的工业废气排放量比1986年增长了22828.36万t,平均年增长率为11.54%;其中,SO2排放量与人均GDP之间已存在拐点,并呈现完全的倒“U”型关系,拐点发生在人均7793.76元时。工业废水排放量增长率变化较缓,平均年增长率为0.35%;烟尘和粉尘排放量在研究时段内逐年递减。通过工业污染物排放及其可能影响因子之间的灰色关联度分析,探究了1986年后内蒙古工业污染物排放的库兹涅茨曲线的成因。结果表明,内蒙古市环境污染的主要关联因子包括产业结构、GDP总量、单位GDP能耗、城镇人口比例。本研究结果将为内蒙古经济在不断增加的环境压力下保持可持续发展、协调经济增长与环境污染之间的关系提供参考。     

信息化建设与经济增长关系的实证研究

本文以顺义区为例,利用修正的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数和现代计量方法分析资金、劳动力和信息技术进步这三个生产要素对区域经济增长的贡献和影响,并对顺义区经济增长的稳定性进行了验证。结果表明信息化建设对地区经济增长具有显著的推动作用,能有效促进当地经济的增长。     

中部地区产业结构演变与经济增长关系研究

以1995-2009年统计数据为基础,利用偏离-份额分析法（SSM）重点探究了中部地区的产业结构演替与经济增长之间的关系,为各省调整产业结构、促进中部崛起提供理论指导。结果表明：1.中部地区产业结构变化总体与产业结构演进的一般规律相符。2.中部地区产业结构演替对经济发展的影响情况分为：江西和安徽产业结构偏离为负,竞争力偏离份额为负;山西和河南产业结构偏离为正,竞争力偏离份额为负;湖北和湖南产业结构偏离为负,竞争力偏离份额为正等3种类型。3.产业结构变迁对各省经济增长的影响差异较大。     

山东省农产品加工业发展对经济增长贡献率分析

农产品加工业是经济发展的主要工业活动,是对生产、贸易和就业作出重大贡献的行业。山东省已经初步建立起一个门类齐全,具有一定规模的农产品加工业体系,成为我国农产品加工业大省,农产品加工业的快速发展对国民经济的发展产生了巨大的拉动力,对工业经济增长具有举足轻重的作用,成为全省农产品加工业生产和效益增长的主要支撑力量,成为解决“三农”问题的根本途径。     

兰州-白银经济区高新技术产业集聚与区域经济增长关系的实证分析

以兰州-白银经济区的高新技术产业为研究对象,依据2000—2011年的时间序列数据,采用区位熵指数对高新技术产业的集聚水平进行测度,并在此基础上,对高新技术产业的集聚与经济增长的关系进行协整及格兰杰因果检验,进而构造VAR模型并得到脉冲响应函数。实证结果表明：兰白经济区的高新技术产业已经形成了集聚且集聚度呈稳定增长的趋势,同时,高新技术产业的集聚与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系。最后分析得出兰白经济区的高新技术产业集聚是一种政府主导型的集聚模式,并提出了相应的政策建议。     

福建省城镇化发展、农业现代化与农民收入增长关系的动态计量经济分析

为了解福建省城镇化发展、农业现代化与农民收入增长之间的关系,利用福建省1978-2009年的经济数据,在建立VAR模型的基础上,进行格兰杰因果检验,脉冲响应分析和方差分解分析,对其关系进行了实证研究。结果表明,城镇化发展是农业现代化的格兰杰原因,对农业现代化在短期有正向影响,长期影响迅速变大,而城镇化发展不是农民收入增长的格兰杰的原因,但城镇化发展对农民收入增长在短期有正向影响,长期影响更大;农业现代化是农民收入增长的格兰杰原因,而不是城镇化发展的格兰杰原因,但农业现代化对城镇化发展作用逐期增大;农民收入增长既不是城镇化发展的格兰杰原因,也不是农业现代化的格兰杰原因,农民收入增长对农业现代化的作用相对较小,但逐期增大,农民收入增长对城镇化发展作用也逐期增大。     

人口结构与区域经济社会发展的耦合分析——以黑龙江省为例

为了更好的协调人口结构变动与区域经济社会的发展,运用灰色关联分析和层次分析相结合的方法对黑龙江省人口结构和区域经济社会发展的耦合性进行了定量分析,最终得出区域经济社会发展体系内的不同指标与人口结构间的加权关联度。结果表明:黑龙江省社会发展指标与人口结构的关联度普遍较高,经济发展指标与人口结构的关联度相对较低,黑龙江省经济发展模式亟待转型升级。     

现代化温室番茄采收期生长发育变化规律分析

为探索现代化温室中番茄采收期生长发育变化规律,以北京小汤山现代化日光温室为试验点,番茄品种‘普罗旺斯’为供试材料,对温室环境条件数据进行采集,并结合采收期的番茄植株和果实性状进行测定分析。结果表明：温室日平均温度较室外变化小,3—5月在20℃左右,6月为25℃左右,日平均相对湿度在70%左右,而辐射量变化较大,多数在150~270 μmol/(m²·s)。番茄株高每周平均增长量从采收中期到拉秧逐渐减少,坐花坐果节位数每周平均的增长量也有所下降,果实坐果后经过8周能成熟采收,果实横纵径增长量下降明显,每周采收的果实单果重先增加再有所降低,最大平均单果重是 125.2 g,而每周产量逐渐增加达到峰值每周0.74 kg/m²后大幅度下降。南向株高增量和坐花坐果节位增长量均略大于北向。