Estimation of leaf wetness duration requirements of foliar fungal pathogens with uncertain data-an application to Mycosphaerella nawae

Wetness of the host surface is a critical environmental factor for the development of foliar fungal diseases, but it is difficult to estimate the wetness durations required by pathogens for infection when only few experimental data are available. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate wetness duration requirements of foliar fungal pathogens when precise experimental data are not available. The proposed method is based on approximate Bayesian computation. It only requires lower and upper bounds of wetness duration requirements for one or fewer temperatures. We describe the method, show how to apply it to an infection model, and then present a case study on Mycosphaerella nawae, the causal agent of circular leaf spot of persimmon. In this example, the parameters of a simple infection model were estimated using experimental data found in the literature for the pathogen, and the model was applied to assess the risk in a Spanish area recently affected by the disease. The results showed that the probability of successful infection was higher than 0.5 for 32% of the on-site wetness durations recorded in the affected area. Results obtained with simulated data showed that our method was able to improve the estimation of wetness duration requirement. Given the flexibility of the proposed method, we expect it to become adopted for assessing the risk of introduction of exotic fungal plant pathogens.     

温度和植株叶面湿润时数对大豆灰斑病菌(Cercospora sojina)侵染的影响

 在人工气候箱内,控制接种温度(T)及植株叶面湿润时数(WD),研究了T及WD对大豆灰斑病菌(C.sojina)侵染的综合作用。温度、叶面湿润时数及其互作是病菌侵染的主要因素,病菌侵染温度范围为15~32℃,最适25~28℃,在适宜温度范围内,接种后保湿2小时病菌即可侵入。报导了大豆灰斑病菌侵染概率(IP)与T及WD的关系,组建了侵染概率预测模型。     

Effects of Temperature and Wetness Duration on Infection of Peanut Cultivars by Cercospora arachidicola

ABSTRACT The effects of temperature and duration of wetness (relative humidity >/=95%) on infection of three peanut cultivars by Cercospora arachidicola were determined under controlled conditions. Plants of the Spanish cv. Spanco and the runner cvs. Florunner and Okrun were exposed to constant temperatures of 18 to 30 degrees C during 12-h periods of wetness each day that totaled 12 to 84 h following inoculation of leaves with conidia. Severity of disease, measured by either lesion density (number per leaf) or lesion size (diameter), was greatest for 'Spanco', intermediate for 'Florunner', and lowest for 'Okrun' in each of two experiments. Lesion density was evaluated further because it was an indicator of both the occurrence and degree of infection. Nonlinear regression analysis was employed to evaluate the combined effects of temperature (T) and wetness duration (W) on lesion density (Y). In the regression model, the Weibull function characterized the monotonic increase of Y with respect to W, while a hyperbolic function characterized the unimodal response of Y with respect to T. Parameters for the intrinsic rate of change with respect to W (b), the intrinsic rate of change with respect to T (f), the optimal value of T (g), and the upper limit (e) when T is optimum (T = g) were estimated for each cultivar and experiment. The effect of cultivar was characterized primarily by differences in the upper limit parameter e. In each experiment, e was greatest for 'Spanco', intermediate for 'Florunner', and least for 'Okrun'. The effect of cultivar on b followed a pattern similar to that for e in experiment 1, but not in experiment 2. Differences among cultivars for estimates of f and g were small and inconsistent. Estimates for g were precise for each cultivar and experiment and fell within the range of 22.3 to 23.2 degrees C. Cultivar responses to T and W were further evaluated using data pooled over the two experiments. Parameter e was estimated for each cultivar, but common values of b, f, and g were estimated. At e = 22.8 degrees C, lesion density approached an upper limit of 96, 17, and 6 lesions per leaf for the cvs. Spanco, Florunner, and Okrun, respectively. These fitted values approximated the observed values of 86, 25, and 9 lesions per leaf for the respective cultivars. Cultivars varied in their response to W at a given T. At 22.8 degrees C, one lesion per leaf was expected following 26, 30, and 36 h of wetness for 'Spanco', 'Florunner', and 'Okrun', respectively. If temperature was increased to 28 degrees C, one lesion per leaf was expected following 36, 44, and 54 h of wetness for the respective cultivars.     

Effect of temperature and leaf wetness duration on infection of sweet oranges by Asiatic citrus canker

Asiatic citrus canker, caused by Xanthomonas smithii ssp. citri , formerly X. axonopodis pv. citri , is one of the most serious phytosanitary problems in Brazilian citrus crops. Experiments were conducted under controlled conditions to assess the influence of temperature and leaf wetness duration on infection and subsequent symptom development of citrus canker in sweet orange cvs Hamlin, Natal, Pera and Valencia. The quantified variables were incubation period, disease incidence, disease severity, mean lesion density and mean lesion size at temperatures of 12, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40 and 42°C, and leaf wetness durations of 0, 4, 8, 12, 16, 20 and 24 h. Symptoms did not develop at 42°C. A generalized beta function showed a good fit to the temperature data, severity being highest in the range 30–35°C. The relationship between citrus canker severity and leaf wetness duration was explained by a monomolecular model, with the greatest severity occurring at 24 h of leaf wetness, with 4 h of wetness being the minimum duration sufficient to cause 100% incidence at optimal temperatures of 25–35°C. Mean lesion density behaved similarly to disease severity in relation to temperature variation and leaf wetness duration. A combined monomolecular-beta generalized model fitted disease severity, mean lesion density or lesion size as a function of both temperature and duration of leaf wetness. The estimated minimum and maximum temperatures for the occurrence of disease were 12°C and 40°C, respectively.     

Requirements of leaf wetness and temperature for infection of groundnut by rust

Experiments are described to quantify the effects of temperature and duration of leaf wetness on infection of groundnut by Puccinia arachidis. After inoculation, a minimum period of leaf wetness, m. was necessary for infection. When leaf wetness duration was greater than m, lesion density increased with increasing wetness duration to an asymptote, D_max. The principal effects of temperature were on m and D_max- The value of m decreased linearly from 6 h, as temperature increased from 15 to 25 C and increased slightly at temperatures greater than 25 C D_max increased with temperature from zero at 8 C to a maximum at 22 C. and decreased to zero again at about 30 C. The experimental results were used to produce a set of curves relating an infection index to leaf wetness duration at different temperatures. The implications for infection of groundnut crops are discussed in relation to the climate at Patancheru in southern India.     

Pathogenicity of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Mycochaetophora gentianae</Emphasis>, causal fungus of gentian brown leaf spot,as affected by host species,inoculum density,temperature, leaf wetness duration,and leaf position

When the influence of host species, inoculum density, temperature, leaf wetness duration, and leaf position on the incidence of gentian brown leaf spot caused by Mycochaetophora gentianae, was examined, the fungus severely infected all seven Gentiana triflora cultivars, but failed to infect two cultivars of G. scabra and an interspecific hybrid cultivar. Inoculum density correlated closely with disease incidence, and a minimum of 10² conidia/mL was enough to cause infection. In an analysis of variance, temperature and leaf wetness duration had a significant effect upon disease incidence, which increased with higher temperature (15–25°C) and longer duration of leaf wetness (36–72 h). No disease developed at temperatures lower than 10°C or when leaf wetness lasted <24 h. At 48-h leaf wetness, disease incidence was 0, 28, 77, and 85% at 10, 15, 20, and 25°C, respectively. Middle and lower leaves on the plant were more susceptible than upper leaves. In microscopic observations of inoculated leaves, >50% of conidia germinated at temperatures >15°C after 24-h leaf wetness. More appressoria formed at higher temperatures (15–25°C) with extended duration of leaf wetness (24–72 h). At 48-h leaf wetness, appressorium formation was 0, 8, 26, and 73% at 10, 15, 20, and 25°C, respectively. These results suggest that temperature and leaf wetness duration were important factors for infection of gentian leaves.     

The effect of environmental factors on infection of blueberry fruit by Colletotrichum acutatum

Anthracnose fruit rot of blueberries caused by Colletotrichum acutatum is a serious problem in humid blueberry‐growing regions of North America. In order to develop a disease prediction model, environmental factors that affect mycelial growth, conidial germination, appressorium formation and fruit infection by C. acutatum were investigated. Variables included temperature, wetness duration, wetness interruption and relative humidity. The optimal temperature for mycelial growth was 26°C, and little or no growth was observed at 5 and 35°C. The development of melanized appressoria was studied on Parafilm‐covered glass slides and infection was evaluated in immature and mature blueberry fruits. In all three assays, the optimal temperature for infection was identified as 25°C, and infections increased up to a wetness duration of 48 h. Three‐dimensional Gaussian equations were used to assess the effect of temperature and wetness duration on the development of melanized appressoria (R² = 0·89) on Parafilm‐covered glass slides and on infection incidence in immature (R² = 0·86) and mature (R² = 0·90) blueberry fruits. Interrupted wetness periods of different durations were investigated and models were fitted to the response of melanized appressoria (R² = 0·95) and infection incidence in immature (R² = 0·90) and mature (R² = 0·78) blueberry fruits. Additionally, the development of melanized appressoria and fruit infection incidence were modelled in relation to relative humidity (R² = 0·99 and 0·97, respectively). Three comprehensive equations were then developed that incorporate the aforementioned variables. The results lay the groundwork for a disease prediction model for anthracnose fruit rot in blueberries.     

Effects of temperature, relative humidity and duration of wetness period on germination and infection by conidia of the pear scab pathogen (Venturia nashicola)

Experiments were conducted to determine the effects of temperature, relative humidity (RH) and duration of wetness period on in vitro germination of conidia and infection of detached pear leaves by Venturia nashicola , the causal agent of pear scab. Conidia germinated only in near-saturation humidity (RH > 97%). The final percentage germination (24 h after inoculation) at 100% RH without free water was less than half that in free water. Conidia germinated over the range of temperatures tested (5–30°C); the optimum temperature for germination was ≈21°C. Changes in percentage germination of conidia over time were fitted by logistic models at each individual temperature. Polynomial models satisfactorily described the relationships between two (rate and time to 50% of maximum germination) of the three logistic model parameters and temperature. The minimum length of the wetness period for successful infection of detached pear leaves by conidia was observed at several temperatures. The shortest length of wetness period required for infection was 7 h at 22°C. Two polynomial models fitted well the relationship between the minimum wetness duration required for infection, and temperature.     

A temperature and leaf wetness duration-based model for prediction of gray leaf spot of perennial ryegrass turf

ABSTRACT Gray leaf spot is a serious disease of perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne), causing severe epidemics in golf course fairways. The effects of temperature and leaf wetness duration on the development of gray leaf spot of perennial ryegrass turf were evaluated in controlled environment chambers. Six-week-old Legacy II ryegrass plants were inoculated with an aqueous conidial suspension of Pyricularia grisea (approximately 8 x 10(4) conidia per ml of water) and subjected to four different temperatures (20, 24, 28, and 32 degrees C) and 12 leaf wetness durations (3 to 36 h at 3-h intervals). Three days after inoculation, gray leaf spot developed on plants at all temperatures and leaf wetness durations. Disease incidence (percent leaf blades symptomatic) and severity (index 0 to 10; 0 = leaf blades asymptomatic, 10 = >90% leaf area necrotic) were assessed 7 days after inoculation. There were significant effects ( alpha = 0.0001) of temperature and leaf wetness duration on disease incidence and severity, and there were significant interactions ( alpha = 0.0001) between them. Among the four temperatures tested, 28 degrees C was most favorable to gray leaf spot development. Disease incidence and severity increased with increased leaf wetness duration at all temperatures. A shorter leaf wetness duration was required for disease development under warmer temperatures. Analysis of variance with orthogonal polynomial contrasts and regression analyses were used to determine the functional relationships among temperature and leaf wetness duration and gray leaf spot incidence and severity. Significant effects were included in a regression model that described the relationship. The polynomial model included linear, quadratic, and cubic terms for temperature and leaf wetness duration effects. The adjusted coefficients of determination for the fitted model for disease incidence and severity were 0.84 and 0.87, respectively. The predictive model may be used as part of an integrated gray leaf spot forecasting system for perennial ryegrass turf.     

Factors Affecting Latent Infection of Prune Fruit by Monilinia fructicola

ABSTRACT Experiments were conducted in three prune orchards in California. In each orchard, inoculations with Monilinia fructicola, the causal agent of brown rot of stone fruits, were performed on branches of trees at bloom and fruit developmental stages. Five inoculum concentrations were used in each inoculation. Six and four wetness durations were created for each inoculum concentration at bloom and fruit developmental stages, respectively. Fruit were harvested 3 weeks before commercial harvest. The overnight freezing incubation technique was used to promote sporulation and to determine incidence of latent infection (ILI) of fruit brown rot. No differences in ILI among locations were found. A seasonal pattern of bloom and fruit susceptibility to latent infection was determined. Susceptibility to latent infection at bloom stage was at a moderate level and increased to reach the highest level at pit hardening stage. Subsequently, fruit susceptibility to latent infection decreased, reaching the lowest level in early June at embryo growth stage. Thereafter, the susceptibility increased again with fruit development and maturity until harvest. Linear relationships between ILI and inoculum concentration were obtained for most combinations of growth stage and wetness duration. Incidence of latent infection increased linearly with increased wetness duration at bloom stage and increased exponentially with increased wetness duration at early and late fruit developmental stages. The optimum temperatures for latent infection at pit hardening stage ranged from 14 to 18 degrees C, but the effect of temperature on latent infection was reduced at resistant stages. The temperature range favorable to latent infection varied for different wetness durations.     

Modelling the effects of temperature and leaf wetness on monocyclic infection in a tropical fungal pathosystem

Modelling the epidemiology of water yam anthracnose (Dioscorea alata) caused by the fungus Colletotrichum gloeosporioides is an important research goal, as it will allow the investigation of a wide range of scenarios of new practices to reduce the disease impact before experimentation in the field. Developing such a model requires a prior knowledge of the fungus’s response to the environmental conditions, which will be affected by pest management. In this work, we first measured the response of the fungus to the main physical environmental factors controlling its development, namely temperature (ranging from 18 °C to 36 °C) and wetness duration (from 2 h to 72 h). As response variables, we measured the percentage of formed appressoria (relative to the total number of spores), the length of the latent period (time lag between inoculation and first symptoms observed), and the rate of necrotic lesion extension (percentage of diseased leaf surface at different time steps). These variables allow us to estimate the effects of temperature and wetness duration on the success of infection (appressoria formation) and the subsequent rate of disease development (latent period length and lesion extension rate). The data were fitted to non-linear models chosen for their ability to describe the observed patterns. From our data and model analyses, we were able to estimate parameters such as the optimal and maximal temperatures (25–28 °C and 36 °C, respectively), the required wetness duration to reach 20 % of infection success and the time to reach 5 % disease severity as a function of temperature.     

Effects of interrupted wet periods and different temperatures on the development of ascochyta blight caused by Mycosphaerella pinodes on pea (Pisum sativum) seedlings

The effect of interrupted wet periods on pycnidiospores of Mycosphaerella pinodes was studied by assessing spore viability, infection and disease development on pea seedlings. Pycnidiospores survived dry periods of up to 21 days after inoculation. Rewetting restored the infection capacity of the pycnidiospore, resulting in high levels of disease. The effects of wet–dry–wet cycles depended on when the dry period occurred during the infection process. No disease symptoms appeared when dry periods occurred during germination. A low level of disease occurred after rewetting in high relative humidity if the interruption of the wet period was long. However, a wet period resulting in leaf wetness after a dry period gave similar levels of infection to those achieved with a continuous wet period. Pycnidiospores formed appressoria but hyphae did not penetrate if a 6–12 h wet period preceded the dry period, and only a few flecks appeared during the dry period. Coalescent necrosis occurred when the dry period followed penetration. The disease was severe in each case when plants were returned to wet conditions after a period of dryness. Lesion development depended on the duration of the initial wet period, and the characteristics (temperature and duration) of both the dry period and the final wet period.     

Influence of Environmental Conditions on Infection of Peach Shoots by Taphrina deformans

ABSTRACT The effect of weather conditions on the infection of peach shoots by Taphrina deformans was investigated both under orchard conditions and in controlled-environment experiments. Leaf curl incidence and severity were related to rainfall, length of wet periods, and temperature during wetness and during the incubation period, as well as to the development stage of shoots. Surface wetness was more important than rainfall for infection to occur. Minimum rainfall for infection was 3 mm, with a wet period of at least 12.5 h; higher amounts of rainfall did not cause infection when the wet period they triggered was shorter. Wet periods initiated by dew or fog were too short for infection to occur. Infection occurred only when air temperature was <16 degrees C during the wet period and <19 degrees C during incubation. Logistic equations relating relative disease incidence and either duration of wetness or temperature were developed under controlled-environment conditions, with asymptotes at >/=48 h of wetness and 相似文献   

Modelling the effects of wetness duration and fruit maturity on infection of apple fruits of Cox's Orange Pippin and two clones of Gala by Venturia inaequalis

The effects were investigated of fruit maturity and duration of wetness on infection of apple fruits by Venturia inaequalis , and subsequent scab development. Incubation rate (inverse of median incubation period) increased linearly with increasing temperature (5–20°C) on detached 5-week-old fruits of cv. Royal Gala. Fruits were highly susceptible in the early stages of development, but became increasingly resistant as they matured. Inoculation of attached 12-week-old and detached near-mature fruits did not result in any lesions, while inoculation of attached 4-, 5-, 7- and 9-week-old fruits resulted in various levels of infection. Fruits of cv. Mondial Gala were more susceptible than those of cv. Cox's Orange Pippin. On cv. Mondial Gala, a wet period of 9 h resulted in ≈ 90% infection of 4-week-old fruits, but only 9% infection of 9-week-old fruits. Numbers of scab lesions on an apple generally followed a Neyman type A rather than a Poisson distribution, indicating a certain degree of aggregation of lesions on a fruit. A two-parameter generalization of the Poisson model described the observed incidence–density relationship well. A longer duration of wetness was required to result in a similar level of scab infection on old fruits to that on young fruits. On cv. Mondial Gala, wet periods of 9 and 32 h were required for ≈ 90% incidence of fruit scab on 4- and 7-week-old fruits, respectively. A mathematical model was developed to relate the incidence of fruit scab to duration of wetness and fruit maturity. The potential use of these results in practical disease management is discussed.     

Effects of temperature and continuous and interrupted wetness on the infection of pear leaves by conidia of Venturia nashicola

Experiments were conducted to determine: (i) the effects of temperature and duration of continuous wet periods on the infection of pear seedlings by conidia of Venturia nashicola , the causal agent of pear scab; and (ii) the effects of the length and temperature of dry interrupting periods on the mortality of infecting conidia. Average number of scab lesions per leaf increased with increasing duration of wetness. Logistic models adequately described the change in the average number of scab lesions per leaf at 5, 10, 15, 20 and 25°C over the wetness duration. At 30°C, only a few lesions developed. Simple polynomial models satisfactorily described the relationship of the three logistic model parameters (maximum number of lesions, rate of appearance and the time to 50% of the maximum number of lesions) with temperature. The optimum temperature for infection was found to be approximately 20°C. The relationship between mortality and the length of a dry period interrupting an infection process can be satisfactorily described by an exponential model. The rate of mortality at 10, 16 and 22°C did not differ significantly, but was significantly less than that at 28°C.     

Effects of wetness period and temperature on development of dark pod spot (Alternaria brassicae) on oilseed rape (Brassica napus)

In controlled environment experiments, when oilseed rape pods or leaves were inoculated with spore suspensions of Alternaria brassicae, the maximum disease incidence (proportion of pods or leaves diseased) increased as wetness period after inoculation increased from 4 to 24 h and as temperature increased to 20°C. There was a clear relationship between disease incidence on pods and incidence on leaves with the same wetness/temperature conditions. Logistic equations described the effects of wetness period after inoculation on disease incidence (number of pods or leaves infected) or disease severity (number of lesions on pods or leaves) using temperature-dependent and tissue-dependent parameters. The time from inoculation to the appearance of the first lesions was shorter on pods than on leaves at temperatures ≤15°C and wetness periods ≤12 h. Two-dimensional response surface equations or simple interpolations from one-dimensional equations were used to develop contour maps of expected disease incidence and severity, respectively, on leaves or pods to estimate the effects of different combinations of wetness period during infection and temperature on disease development.     

Comparison of inoculation methods with Mycosphaerella brassicicola on Brassica oleracea var. capitata: ascospores versus mycelial fragments

Ascospores can be collected from dried leaves of white cabbage from the previous season, carrying lesions of the fungus. Discharge of ascospores is stimulated by light and takes place within a broad temperature range (5–20 °C) under humid conditions. A method is described to isolate single ascospores, or to collect sufficient ascospores for small inoculation experiments. In order to screen large numbers of plants under controlled conditions, mycelial fragments can be used as inoculum. Using mycelial fragments requires a long (4–5 days) duration of leaf wetness necessary for infection. Ascospores infected the host plant with a much shorter duration of leaf wetness (<2 days). The results of this study show that the use of mycelial fragments as the inoculum type in infection studies may lead to erroneous conclusions and false recommendations. Results of inoculation with ascospores indicate that the minimum humidity requirement for infection in the field is lower (<2 days) than generally assumed, and that the temperature range for infection by ascospores is at least 10–20 °C.     

Effect of temperature, wetness duration, and planting density on olive anthracnose caused by Colletotrichum spp

The influence of temperature, wetness duration, and planting density on infection of olive fruit by Colletotrichum acutatum and C. simmondsii was examined in laboratory and field experiments. Detached olive fruit of 'Arbequina', 'Hojiblanca', and 'Picual' were inoculated with conidia of several isolates of the pathogen and kept at constant temperatures of 5 to 35°C in humid chambers. Similarly, potted plants and stem cuttings with fruit were inoculated and subjected to wetness periods of 0 to 48 h. Infection occurred at 10 to 25°C, and disease severity was greater and the mean latent period was shorter at 17 to 20°C. Overall, C. acutatum was more virulent than C. simmondsii at temperatures <25°C. When temperature was not a limiting factor, disease severity increased with the wetness period from 0 to 48 h. Disease severity was modeled as a function of temperature and wetness duration; two critical fruit incidence thresholds were defined as 5 and 20%, with wetness durations of 1.0 and 12.2 h at the optimum temperature. In the field, anthracnose epidemics progressed faster in a super-high-density planting (1,904 olive trees/ha) than in the high-density plantings (204 to 816 olive trees/ha) and caused severe epidemics in the super-high-density planting even with the moderately resistant Arbequina. Data in this study will be useful for the development of a forecasting system for olive anthracnose epidemics.