Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting Based Trends Combination Model

In short term load forecasting based on ANN,weather is one of the important factors which impacts on load greatly. In order to capture the effect of weather on load, this paper presents a novel thought based on ANN and trends combination short term load forecasting. Decompose the underlying relationships between load and weather variables into three main trends of weekly, daily and hourly. Three separated ANNs capture each trend. Another ANN to arrive at the final forecast combines the forecasts yielded by individual ANNs. The performances of the proposed model and the traditional model are compared on the basis of one week ahead hourly forecasts. Results indicate that the proposed ANN based model can achieve greater forecasting accuracy than the traditional ANN based model.     

Processing Fault Data Method in Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Analysis

The reliability and reality of load historical data is the foundation of load forecasting.But,the impact load in running power system,and the disturb data in collecting load data through the SCADA may cause much fault data in load historical data. Focusing on solving this problem, a method through adjusting amplitade of its wavele modulus maxima and processing the wavelet decomposed detail signal by soft threshold based on wavelet analysis and singularity theory, then fault date can be eliminated,so that,the real historical imformation and regulation data can be gained by load forecasting.     

Applications of the Fuzzy Neural Networks to Short term Load Forecasting

This paper presents a fuzzy neural network approach to short term load forecasting.It can predict the hourly loads for next day or next week with the fuzzy information.The practical examples have proved the efficiencies of the proposed approach.     

A Fuzzy Regression Method for Long-Term and Medium-Term Load Forecasting

In view of the observation data fuzziness and load pattern fuzziness,a new fuzzy regression prediction method was presented for long-term and medium-term load forecasting. With the established fuzzy regression model, the future load value can be forecasted based on the fuzzy historical observation data. The validity of the proposed method was verified with the numerical example of a practical system.     

Methods of City Gas Load Forecasting and Their Analysis

Gas load forecast has great influence on the planning, operation and control of gas system and has obvious economic benefit. In this paper the methods of gas load forecasting and their characteristics are systematically introduced. Then, it is pointed out that gas load forecasting is an important manner in modem management of gas system.     

Water Quality Forecasting Method Based on Compensative Fuzzy Neural Network

The forecasting of water quality variation is very important in the process of sewage treatment, which helps the control system work reliably and steadily. In this paper, the compensative fuzzy neural network (CFNN) based on compensative fuzzy logic and neural network and its study arithmetic are introduced. Considering its features as fast speed, steady studying course, global dynamic optimization, CFNN is applied to establish water quality forecasting model. The practical example indicates that the model is not sensitive to initial parameters and has better forecasting precision and faster convergence.     

Research on Load Prediction Model of Air Condition System Based on Elman Neural Network

The load of air condition system is influenced by many factors, and they are variable and nonlinear, The relation between them is dynamic,It is impossible to forecaste the load of air condition syestem accurately by traditional method. But Recurrent Neural Network is able to reflect the dynamic lively and directly. Elman is one of the typical RNN. Based on the analysis as above, prediction model of air-condition system based on Elman neural network is established, and some prediction is done. The prediction accuracy of Elman neural network and BP neural network is compared, and the experiments show that the Elman neural network is efficiency and accuracy , so Elman neural network is a new and reliable method for predicting the load of air-condition system.     

基于LM-BP神经网络的耕地土壤养分等级划分模型──以皖南山区为例

研究旨在通过BP神经网络方法,构建起LM-BP网络结构(5-M-1)模型,达到对土壤养分等级划分的目的,为合理的土壤养分管理提供可靠依据。采用Levenberg-Marquardt (LM)训练算法,构建3层网络模型：一个输入层、一个隐含层、一个输出层,利用3层网络作为耕地土壤养分等级划分模型。利用土壤养分各级评价标准作为模型的训练样本和测试样本,以此来对BP神经网络进行训练和测试,并对歙县土壤养分进行综合评价。结果表明：LM-BP网络结构对测试样本输出的预测值和实际参考值是一致的。最终通过灰色关联模型和主成分分析方法对歙县土壤养分的综合评价结果与BP神经网络的模拟结果相对比,发现也是基本一致的。LM-BP网络结构应用于土壤养分等级划分中,得到了很好的预测效果,为智能算法应用于农业领域奠定了良好的基础。     

基于 SPA-RBF神经网络的小麦蛋白质含量无损检测

传统半微量凯氏法测量小麦蛋白质含量繁琐费时,应用近红外光谱分析技术结合SPA-RBF神经网络对小麦蛋白质含量进行快速、无损检测.采用SPXY算法划分校正集和预测集样本,运用连续投影算法(SPA)对一阶微分和SNV预处理后的光谱数据提取敏感波点作为RBF神经网络的输入,建立小麦蛋白质含量的SPA-RBF神经网络校正模型.模型的预测均方根误差和预测相关系数可达到0.26576和0.975,预测效果较好,基本上可以完成粮食储备和食品加工行业对小麦及其制品品质的划分以及育种上的前期世代筛选.研究表明:近红外光谱技术结合SPA-RBF神经网络可实现对小麦蛋白质含量的检测,满足现代农业发展对小麦无损、实时、大量检测的需要.     

Improved Learning Effect Synthetic Evaluation Method Based on Backpropagation Neural Network

Aim at the practicability issue,study effect-evaluating model based on B-P NN was improved on evaluation standards,evaluation model and training swatch.Evaluation standard effectivity was added to set the conversion function of network crytic-layer nodes as'tansig' and that of output-layer nodes as'logsig'.The taining swatch was improved.The simulation results validated the evaluation veracity of the model.     

Design and Application of Compensatory Fuzzy Neural Network Based on Adaptive Learning Rate Method

To overcome the disadvantages of general networks such as slow convergence speed and being unable to combine with the expert knowledge etc,the authors introduces compensatory fuzzy neural cells,integrate the powerful knowledge expressiveness of fuzzy system and the excellent self-learning of neural network,and present a novel Compensatory Fuzzy Neural Network(CFNN) based on Adaptive Learning Rate Method which changes the learning rate using Adaptive Learning Rate Method in dynamic way.Finally this method is applied to the actual case.The result proves that it not(only) can adjust parameters properly on line,but also can optimize relevant fuzzy reasoning in dynamic way,fasten training rate.     

Load Forecasting Based on BP ANN for Economical Operation of Electric Boiler with Heat Reservoir Under Time-sharing price

Along with the generalization of DSM and time-sharing price system, the use of electric boiler with heat reservoir becomes more and more extensive. Load forecasting of heat supply system is an important base in the study of economical operation of electric boiler with heat reservoir under time-sharing price. The BP ANN modeling of the load forecasting for a 1200 kW electric boiler is discussed. The result of hourly heat load forecasting accords well with the real heat load.     

Evaluation Method Based on Artificial Neural Network in Contractor Prequalification of Tenderers

Both tenderees and tenderers attach much importance to contractor prequalification before bidding because it plays important roles for both and so far the Score Method has been widely used in our country. But the weights in the method are man-made, which may be affected by personality inevitably. In order to avoid this influence, this thesis will introduce another method based on artificial neural network. This thesis expatiates the principle of artificial neural network, and analyzes the characters of prequalification. Then, the author sets up the mathematics model. In the end, the author analyzes this method by an example.     

基于主成分-BP神经网络的建设用地规模预测

建设用地是城市发展的重要因素,对建设用地规模的预测可以为土地利用总体规划提供参考数据和技术支持。笔者以连云港市为例,收集了2004—2013年有关建设用地规模的社会经济统计数据,采用主成分-BP神经网络模型对连云港市2014—2020年建设用地规模进行预测,得出7年连云港市建设用地规模的预测结果。本研究得出主要结论：（1）主成分分析结果显示社会经济的发展、人口和基础设施的变化以及环境的改善从不同方面影响着建设用地的规模;（2）笔者构建的BP神经网络模型误差率较低、拟合效果较好且对于训练集以外的新样本数据具有较好的泛化能力,说明所建模型具有可靠性,可以进行预测;（3）连云港市2014—2020年的建设用地规模呈现逐年扩张的趋势,年均增长率为0.97%,连云港市应采取有效措施控制建设用地规模并且合理保护耕地,使得建设用地面积的增长控制在合理的范围之内。主成分-BP神经网络模型不仅能够对影响建设用地规模的因素进行全面分析,同时可以得到精度较高的建设用地规模预测数据,因此能够较好地应用于建设用地规模预测。     

Intelligent Extracting Method for Feature Mode of Electric Days Load

Generally there have a number of bad data in the electric load data and it affects the precision of load forecasting,so it is necessary for extracting the feature mode of days load data,then cleaning the load data before it is used to forecasting electric load or performing power system analysis.Inspired by soft clustering thought,a intelligent feature mode of days load data extracting method is proposed based on the mutual offset of fuzzy c-means clustering arithmetic and Kohonen self organization feature map neural network.With the merits of not only high extracting precision and convergent speed but also dynamic calculation capability,the method proposed can supply load forecasting or system analysis procedure with due data.Test results using actual data of Chengqu power supply bureau in Chongqing demonstrate the effectivity and feasibility of the method.     

Speed Estimation Methods Based on Neural Network

In order to solve the speed estimation problems of speed sensorless vector-controlled induction motor drives, the paper presents two speed estimation schemes based on neural network mode identification theory. The advantages of each scheme are discussed and the simulation results show that the estimated speed can trace the actual speed better (even under the circumstances of load variation or speed step variation). Also, these schemes are not sensitive to the variations of motor parameters and the effect of iron loss. Therefore, the proposed neural network based on speed sensorless vector-controlled induction motor drives have good performance in stady-state and transient-state operation.     

The Method of Diagnosing Brain-dysfunction Based on Membership Function and BP Neural Network

Membership functions.formed with the characteristic values obtained by applying the continuous reaction time (CRT) theory from controls and heptic encephalopthy and proposedin this paper.whith these membership functions,the CRT data to be diagnosed are calculated in advance,and then discriminated by BP meural network to differentiate patients with or without braindysfunction.The troubles of low accuracy and efficiency,encountered in training BP network withfuzzy samples.scattered data and extended samples,are solved.     

Load Prediction with Neural Network Method and Operation Optimization of Ice Storage Air Conditioning System

This paper presents some common control strategy of ice storage air conditioning system. It is suggested that the optimization on ice storage air conditioning system should be based on accurate load prediction and the artificial neural network (ANN) modeling for load prediction was presented.