首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
A herd is a population structured into groups not all equally in contact, which may influence within-herd spread of pathogens. Herd structure varies among cattle herds. However, published models of the spread of bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) assume no herd structure or a unique structure chosen as a representative. Our objective was to identify--for different index cases introduced into an initially BVDV--free dairy herd - risky (favourable) herd structures, which increased (decreased) BVDV spread and persistence compared to a reference structure. Classically, dairy herds are divided into calves, young heifers, bred heifers, lactating cows and dry cows. In the reference scenario, groups are all equally in contact. We evaluated the effect of isolating or merging groups. Three index cases were tested: an open persistently-infected (PI) heifer, an open transiently-infected heifer, an immune heifer carrying a PI foetus. Merging all groups and merging calves and lactating cows were risky scenarios. Isolating each group, isolating lactating cows from other groups, and merging calves and young heifers were favourable scenarios. In most structures, the most risky index cases were the following: first, the entry of a PI heifer; second, the birth of a PI calf; last, the entry of a transiently-infected heifer. Recommendations for dairy herds are to raise young animals together before breeding and to isolate lactating cows from others as much as possible. These recommendations will be less efficient if a PI adult enters into the herd.  相似文献   

2.
Models have been developed to represent the spread of bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) in cattle herds. Whereas the herd dynamics is well known, biological data are missing to estimate the parameters of the infection process. Our objective was to identify the parameters of the infection process that highly influence the spread of BVDV in a dairy herd. A stochastic compartmental model in discrete time represented BVDV infection in a typical Holstein dairy herd structured into five groups (calves, young versus older heifers, lactating versus dry cows). Model sensitivity was analysed for variations in the probability of birth of persistently infected (P) calves (b(P)), mortality of P animals (m(P)), within- and between-group transmission rates for P and transiently infected (T) animals (respectively, beta(w)(P),beta(b)(P),beta(w)(T),beta(b)(T)). Three to five values were tested per parameter. All possible combinations of parameter values were explored, representing 3840 scenarios with 200 runs for each. Outputs were: virus persistence 1 year after introduction, time needed to reach a probability of 80% for the herd to be virus-free, epidemic size, mean numbers of immune dams carrying a P foetus, of P and of T animals in infected herds. When considered together, m(P) and beta(b)(P) accounted for 40-80% of variance of all outputs; b(P) and beta(w)(T) accounted each for less than 20% of variance; beta(b)(T) and beta(w)(P) accounted for almost no percent of variance of the outputs. Parameters beta(w)(T) and b(P) needed to be more precisely estimated. The influence of m(P) indicated the effectiveness of culling P calves, the influence of beta(b)(P) indicated the role of the herd structure in BVDV spread, whereas the influence of b(P) indicated the possible role of vaccination programs in controlling within-herd BVDV spread.  相似文献   

3.
An account is given of an outbreak of malignant catarrhal fever which occurred in a 98-cow dairy herd. Ten animals died or were slaughtered and the disease was confirmed by clinical and histological examination. Serological tests for malignant catarrhal fever virus were positive in three of four animals. The diagnosis of malignant catarrhal fever was complicated by the presence of bovine virus diarrhoea virus infection in three of the early cases. The initial cases of malignant catarrhal fever occurred in a group of nine-month-old calves which were housed in an old milking parlour with 19 pedigree Suffolk ewes at lambing time. Later cases occurred in two adult cows and in two heifers. Investigations of the remainder of the herd for evidence of bovine virus diarrhoea virus did not reveal the presence of any persistently infected cattle. Serological examinations for antibody to malignant catarrhal fever and bovine virus diarrhoea virus were carried out on the 19 Suffolk ewes. Six of them had neutralising antibody titres to malignant catarrhal fever virus and three were positive in the indirect immunofluorescence test. The possible roles of bovine virus  相似文献   

4.
During late may 2004, Some dairy cows at Al-Kharj area of central Saudi Arabia, gave birth to severely malformed calves which died, few hours to few days following birth. Samples were collected from the affected calves and their dams of virological and serological investigations. Bovine viral diarrhoea virus was detected by capture enzyme linked immuno-sorbent assay (ELISA) in the brains of affected calves. Serum antibodies were detected in the dams. The present study indicated that in spite of vaccination against BVD in the country, still severe affections of the disease are encountered. Further insight epidemiological studies to elucidate the BVD situation in Saudi Arabia is urgently needed.  相似文献   

5.
Wet BVDSim (a stochastic simulation model) was developed to study the dynamics of the spread of the bovine viral-diarrhoea virus (BVDV) within a dairy herd. This model took into account herd-management factors (common in several countries), which influence BVDV spread. BVDSim was designed as a discrete-entity and discrete-event simulation model. It relied on two processes defined at the individual-animal level, with interactions. The first process was a semi-Markov process and modelled the herd structure and dynamics (demography, herd management). The second process was a Markov process and modelled horizontal and vertical virus transmission. Because the horizontal transmission occurs by contacts (nose-to-nose) and indirectly, transmission varied with the separation of animals into subgroups. Vertical transmission resulted in birth of persistently infected (PI) calves. Other possible consequences of a BVDV infection during the pregnancy period were considered (pregnancy loss, immunity of calves). The outcomes of infection were modelled according to the stage of pregnancy at time of infection. BVDV pregnancy loss was followed either by culling or by a new artificial insemination depending on the modelled farmer’s decision. Consistency of the herd dynamics in the absence of any BVDV infection was verified. To explore the model behaviour, the virus spread was simulated over 10 years after the introduction of a near-calving PI heifer into a susceptible 38 cow herd. Different dynamics of the virus spread were simulated, from early clearance to persistence of the virus 10 years after its introduction. Sensitivity of the model to the uncertainty on transmission coefficient was analysed. Qualitative validation consisted in comparing the bulk-milk ELISA results over time in a sample of herds detected with a new infection with the ones derived from simulations.  相似文献   

6.
Fourichon C  Beaudeau F  Bareille N  Seegers H 《Preventive veterinary medicine》2005,72(1-2):177-81; discussion 215-9
Production losses and treatment expenditures consecutive to bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) infection in a dairy herd were calculated by partial budgeting based on published estimates of production effects. Overall costs (losses plus expenditures) resulted in a decreased gross margin of 10.7 euros and 19.0 per 1000 l of milk for an average and severe infection, respectively. With a milk quota system allowing no lease of quota, assuming adjustment of the herd size by the farmer to produce the quota, decrease in gross margin was limited to 7.9 euros and 13.9 per 1000 l of milk.  相似文献   

7.
A dynamic, stochastic model simulating the technical and economic consequences of bovine virus diarrhoea virus (BVDV) infections for a dairy cattle herd for use on a personal computer was developed. The production and state changes of the herd were simulated by state changes of the individual cows and heifers. All discrete events at the cow level were triggered stochastically. Each cow and heifer was characterized by state variables such as stage of lactation, parity, oestrous status, decision for culling, milk production potential, and immune status for BVDV. The model was controlled by 170 decision variables describing biologic and management variables including 21 decision variables describing the effect of BVDV infection on the production of the individual animal. Two markedly different scenarios were simulated to demonstrate the behaviour of the developed model and the potentials of the applied modelling principle. The validation problem in relation to the model was discussed. A comparison between real and simulated data using data from a published case report was shown to illustrate how user acceptance can be obtained.  相似文献   

8.
The spread of bovine virus diarrhoea virus (BVDV) in a closed dairy herd maintained under typical management conditions is studied using two approaches. In the first instance a stochastic computer model is used to simulate the month-to-month changes in the infection status of each animal. These results are contrasted with the results of a mass-action model which uses three differential equations. A comparison of the two approaches indicates that the results are in broad agreement. The stochastic approach has the benefit of providing an estimate of the probability of the infection becoming extinct and the herd becoming BVDV-free for different herd sizes.  相似文献   

9.
To support a voluntary disease control program, this study aimed to develop an integrated scoring system for the risk assessment of bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) infection in dairy herds in Northern Italy. Sixty-two dairy herds were classified according to their BVDV serological status. Farmers were interviewed using a questionnaire on potential BVDV risk factors. Scores were used to define risk levels for factors related to (1) BVDV introduction (through livestock trade, attendance of animals at shows/exhibitions and grazing common pasture), (2) within-herd spread of BVDV and (3) the results of initial serological testing. The calculated odds ratios were significant for all categories, except for livestock trade. The application of the screening test, the questionnaire and the related risk assessment showed this to be a practical approach to predicting BVDV herd status.  相似文献   

10.
A calf persistently infected and immunotolerant to Bovine Virus Diarrhoea virus (BVD virus) was, on purpose, introduced to a herd of heifer calves over 4 months of age that had been reared as recipients for embryo transplantation. All calves were brought in contact with the persistently infected animal. In total, 240 calves were involved in this experiment, 22 of which were serologically negative when introduced. These serologically negative animals developed antibodies against BVD virus within 5 months after introduction. At short distances from the persistently infected BVD virus shedder, negative calves seroconverted within 2 months, but at greater distances the moment of seroconversion was unpredictable. The calves that had undergone a natural infection with BVD virus received embryos after transportation to an allied farm. In total, 14 calves were born after embryo transplantation, all of which were free of BVD virus, in spite of the presence of BVD-virus on the latter farm.  相似文献   

11.
To determine the prevalence of single vs. dual infection with bovine immunodeficiency virus (BIV) and bovine leukemia virus (BLV), sera (n = 95) from a dairy cattle herd were analyzed for anti-BIV and anti-BLV antibodies by an enzyme linked immunosorbent assay. Twenty-one percent (20/95) of samples were BIV-seropositive, while 52% (49/95) of the same samples were BLV-seropositive. A significantly greater percentage of BIV-seronegative samples were BLV-seropositive, 57% (43/75), than were BIV-seropositive samples, 30% (6/20). There was no significant correlation between data ranked from least to greatest amount of anti-viral antibody. Five cattle had persistent lymphocytosis (PL); all five were BLV-seropositive and two were BIV-positive. The mean anti-BLV titer was significantly greater in PL cattle, as compared at non-PL cattle, whereas there was no significant difference between the mean anti-BIV titer in PL cattle, as compared with non-PL cattle. These results provide additional information on the seroprevalence of naturally occurring BIV infection, and indicate that BIV can exist independent of other common infectious agents, such as BLV. Further, the results suggest that infection with BIV is not associated with an increased rate of infection with other infectious agents such as BLV.  相似文献   

12.
A 16-month seroepizootiologic study of bovine respiratory syncytial virus (BRSV) infection was conducted in a dairy herd. Results indicated that antibodies to BRSV present in serum from newborn calves were derived through the ingestion of colostrum. This passive immunity in calves became undetectable in an average of 99 days (SD = 36.5; range = 30 to 208 days). Two epizootics of respiratory tract disease occurred during the study period, and an association with BRSV was demonstrated in both epizootics. In the 2 epizootics, clinical signs of respiratory tract disease were only mildly to moderately severe, with no mortality or evidence of chronic pneumonia occurring. Seemingly, the passive immunity failed to protect calves from infection and disease caused by BRSV. Additionally, it was observed that if active immunity was induced by infection with BRSV, this immunity protected from the development of clinical disease, but not from reinfection upon subsequent exposures to BRSV.  相似文献   

13.
Embryo transfer and transmission of bovine leukosis virus in a dairy herd   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Transmission of bovine leukosis virus (BLV) by embryo transfer was investigated in a large commercial Holstein herd. One hundred and sixteen calves, transplanted as embryos from BLV-positive cows into BLV-negative heifers, were serologically negative, as were recipients, whereas 5 of 29 (17%) calves transplanted as embryos into BLV-positive recipients were infected with BLV, as evidenced by antibodies in the agar gel immunodiffusion test.  相似文献   

14.
To control the spread of bovine viral-diarrhoea virus (BVDV), test-and-cull schemes have been used in Scandinavian countries, with success, when combined with strict control of new animal introductions into herds. In situations where BVDV reintroduction is likely to occur, it is necessary to assess precisely the expected efficiency of test-and-cull schemes. The objective of this study was to compare, by simulation, the persistence and consequences of BVDV infection in a fully susceptible dairy herd with either a test-and-cull scheme or no control action. We used a stochastic individual-based model representing the herd structure as groups of animals, herd dynamics, the contact structure within the herd and virus transmission. After an initial introduction of the virus into a fully susceptible herd, the frequency of purchases of animals that introduced the virus was simulated as high, intermediate or null. Virus persistence and epidemic size (total number of animals infected) were simulated over 10 years. The test-and-cull reduced the epidemic size and the number of days the virus was present except in herds with complete prevention of contact between groups of animals. Where no virus was reintroduced, virus persistence did not exceed 6 years with a test-and-cull scheme, whereas the virus was still present 10 years after the virus introduction in some replications with no control action (<2%). Where frequent purchases were made that led to virus introduction (6 within 10 years), with an intermediate virus transmission between groups, the probability of virus persistence 10 years after the first virus introduction fell from 31% to 8% with the test-and-cull scheme (compared to the do-nothing strategy). Within the newly infected herd, the test-and-cull scheme had no effect, on inspection, on the number of PI births, embryonic deaths or abortions over 10 years. Given this, the economic efficiency of the test-and-cull scheme should be further investigated.  相似文献   

15.
16.
17.
18.
During a two year period the spread of bovine syncytial virus was monitored in a closed herd of 50 to 100 milking cows. Out of a nucleus of 49 nonpregnant and pregnant heifers, six were found to be infected with bovine syncytial virus. Virus was detected only in the progeny of infected cows and not in the progeny of uninfected animals. Nineteen progeny of the bovine syncytial virus infected cows were studied in detail and virus was isolated from only four. Horizontal spread of the virus did not occur.  相似文献   

19.
Bovine leucosis infection rates were calculated for two years in a naturally infected dairy herd in which serologically positive animals were not preferentially culled. Transmission of infection was found to occur mainly during the winter housing period. No variation in susceptibility to infection with age was found and young animals did not show a prolonged time from infection to sero-conversion.  相似文献   

20.
Following the demonstration that bovine leukosis virus was transmitted in calves by gouge dehorning, electrical dehorning at a younger age was implemented in a commercial Holstein herd. Subsequently, annual testing of the herd revealed a decline in the prevalence of bovine leukosis virus antibodies as older cattle dehorned by the former method were replaced by younger cattle dehorned by the latter method.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号