2005年鱼粉市场回顾与2006年展望

鱼粉是饲料工业的重要原料,它的营养作用是其他原料所难以完全替代的。2005年,中国饲料工业总产量突破了1亿吨大关,鱼粉做为我国饲料工业的战略性资源,也在2005年市场上有不俗表现。1国内市场回顾1.1总体情况2005年,中国的鱼粉市场创下了多个历史纪录,但是经销商的利润却并未达到历史的高点,国内的价格总体呈现平稳下滑走势,而国际市场鱼粉价格却在不断攀高。中国尽管在进口数量上史无前例,但在采购上却无话语权,处于被动地位。外盘价格一路狂飙,中国无奈一路追捧。1.2 2005年国内鱼粉“五高”特点1.2.1进口数量创历史高点2005年1～12月份,…     

2005年鱼粉市场回顾与2006年展望

鱼粉是饲料工业的重要原料,它的营养作用是其它原料所难以完全替代的。2005年,中国饲料工业总产量突破了1亿吨大关,鱼粉做为我国饲料工业的战略性资源,也在2005年市场上有了不俗表现。回首2005年,中国鱼粉市场是与众不同的一年:一国内市场回顾1总体情况2005年,中国的鱼粉市场创     

2003年第三季度以来国内鱼粉市场回顾和展望

一、第三季度以来国内鱼粉市场形势 1.进口鱼粉数量减少 据海关统计,中国1-9月份共进口鱼粉65.85万t,同比下降了15.2％,其中从秘鲁进口鱼粉40.31万t,智利进口11.92万t,美国进口4.94万t,从俄罗斯进口万2.67万t。1-9月份鱼粉进口金额总计达42272.9万美元,同比减少17.15％。1-9月国内出口鱼粉3692t,同比增加16.7％。     

2003年第三季度以来国内鱼粉市场回颐和展望

一、第三季度以来国内鱼粉市场形势 1.进口鱼粉数量减少 据海关统计,中国1-9月份共进口鱼粉65.85万t,同比下降了15.2%,其中从秘鲁进口鱼粉40.31万t,智利进口11.92万t,美国进口4.94万t,从俄罗斯进口万2.67万t.     

国内鱼粉进入高价运行区间的市场特征及发展趋势

近年来,世界海洋受温室效应的影响,捕捞量总体呈现下降的趋势。对世界鱼粉的供应量起到了限制性的作用。2006年秘鲁追随世界加强保护渔业资源的趋势减少捕鱼配额,鱼粉市场的供求形势较往年发生了显著的变化。鱼粉除了拥有商品属性之外,随之被赋予了资源属性的光环,价格更是扶摇直上,创下历史的高点,对中国的鱼粉进口成本、进口数量和国内价格造成显著影响。国内饲料行业在面临鱼粉高价挑战下,一些厂家对鱼粉在饲料中的配方比例不得不进行重大调整和改变;同时,业内对后期鱼粉市场的发展趋势更为关注。那么,全球的鱼粉高价时代是否已经来临?企业该如何应对鱼粉供求格局的改变?本文主要围绕这2个问题进行讨论。     

2012年中国鱼粉市场回顾及2013年展望

2012年国内鱼粉价格低位开场,随后大幅震荡上扬,涨幅高达6 000元/t,领跑整个饲料原料市场。上半年,鱼粉市场在价格偏低、需求大幅增加的支撑下,大踏步上行;进入7月下旬,水产养殖遭受连续台风冲击,而港口到货不断增加,与此同时豆粕价格高企,饲料企业受困资金压力,多采用"随买随用"策略,利空因素交织,鱼粉价格开始从高点回调。然而好景不长,10月底秘鲁的超低配额让全球鱼粉市场"大跌眼镜",也让国内外鱼粉价格冲上年内高点。作为全球最大的鱼粉生产国,秘鲁鱼粉产量减少将使2013年上半年全球鱼粉供应趋紧,鱼粉价格高位不言而喻。     

2003年上半年国内鱼粉市场综述及后市展望

一、上半年国内鱼粉市场综述 据海关统计,今年1～6月份国内进口鱼粉数量总计为30.00万t,同比减少26.16％。其中,从秘鲁进口鱼粉量为17.09万t,从智利进口5.43万t,从美国进口2.73万t,从俄罗斯进口1.94万t。1～6月份鱼粉进口金额总计达19 329.72万美元,同比减少29.07％。1～6月份鱼粉出口数量为2935.5t,同比增加77.29％,出口金额总计达153.09万美元,同比增加77.41％。今年1～5月份,秘鲁鱼粉生产量为56.56万t,比去年同期的84.96万t下降33.4％,且今年上半年秘鲁鱼粉出口量也大大降低。     

2009年我国鱼粉市场形势回顾及2010年展望

2009年国内鱼粉市场可以总结为:鱼粉价格暴涨、鱼粉贸易利润激增,鱼粉贸易格局改变。经过年内鱼粉价格的"三级跳",四季度之后国内市场再度刷新历史新高,推动了国内鱼粉价格上升到了新的价格平台。从2009年我国鱼粉的供应情况来看,前11个月国内鱼粉进口量同比变化幅度不大,三季度后期开始国内南美主产地鱼粉相对紧张,四季度我国鱼粉进口在高价吸引下逐渐体现"虹吸效应","多国联军"到货量有所上升。同时我国沿海渔况不理想制约了国产鱼粉的产量。从2009年我国鱼粉的消费市场来看,鱼粉消费量较2008年出现明显增长,在9月份之前国内鱼粉价格运行在合理区间以内,鱼粉消费量同比大幅上升。随着三季度后期国内鱼粉价格进入高价区间,大部饲料企业开始逐步调整配方用量,市场需求开始萎缩,鱼粉消费逐渐从"广谱消费"走向依赖乳猪料和水产料等刚性需求。在2009年的"无限风光"之后,摆在鱼粉市场面前有几大难题:(1)鱼粉成本大幅提升,贸易商运营风险不断积聚;(2)国际鱼粉供应形势扑朔迷离,"厄尔尼诺"现象影响尚未明朗;(3)鱼粉价格上升之后对2010年整体消费必然存在负面影响,鱼粉和豆粕等替代品价格差距的拉大可能会挑战鱼粉"卖方市场"地位。     

2012年鱼粉市场回顾及2013年市场展望

1国内2012年鱼粉市场回顾2012年,鱼粉价格之所以从年初的萎靡不振到年末的疯狂上涨,国内刚性需求和国际鱼粉供应下降推动是主因。年初鱼粉价格始终低位徘徊在7500～7600元/t,3月份鱼粉外盘开始上涨,国内鱼粉价格升至9000元/t,随后几个月国内鱼粉市场一直围绕秘鲁配额、捕鱼进展起伏跌宕;6月底,受国内养殖需求上涨刺激,价格涨至     

2004年我国进口鱼粉市场盘点与2005年展望

2004年的我国进口鱼粉市场耐人寻味，在全球捕捞业喜获丰收，国内进口鱼粉大幅增长．大豆、豆粕价格大幅下跌，禽流感、运费增加成本等利空背景下．因国内饲料工业发展，需求增长．国内鱼粉市场价格大部分时间反而在高位运行.由于船期延误、罢工潮和美元汇率下跌等因素的支持下,     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1984

In late December 1984, 1853 institutional veterinarians and small and mixed animal clinics across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in Canada in 1984 and 35% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 97,794 dogs were blood-tested to check for microfilariae and 1417 dogs (1.45% of those tested) were found with heartworm. Another 34 dogs were amicrofilaremic, but were diagnosed as having heartworm disease, to give the total number diagnosed in 1984 as 1451 (1.48%). Heartworm was reported from all provinces except Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland but most (1310) of the cases were in Ontario. In Quebec, 126 cases were reported mostly from west of Montreal.

Heartworm was found most frequently in companion dogs over three years of age maintained mainly outdoors in rural areas. About 27% of the cases were observed with clinical signs of heartworm disease and 72% had a history of not having left Canada. Southwestern Ontario continued to be the primary focus of the infection.

     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1983

In late December 1983, 2 800 veterinarians across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of heartworm disease in Canada in 1983 and 26% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 59 504 dogs were blood-tested to check for microfilariae and 771 dogs (1.30% of those tested) were found with Dirofilaria immitis. Heartworm disease was diagnosed in all provinces except New Brunswick and Newfoundland but most (733) of the cases were in Ontario.

Heartworm disease was found most frequently in companion dogs over three years of age maintained mainly outdoors in rural areas. About 31% of the cases were observed with clinical signs of heartworm disease and 64% had a history of not having left Canada. Southwestern Ontario continues to be the focus of the infection and most of the dogs there had not left the province previously.

     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1991

In late November 1991, 1883 clinics in Canada were sent a questionnaire to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in dogs in 1991 and there was a 60.0% response. There were 344,031 dogs tested for heart-worm (HW), 627 were found infected and the prevalence of HW infection was 0.18%. There were 417 dogs with HW in Ontario, 116 in Manitoba, 38 in Quebec, 53 in British Columbia, three in Alberta, and one in Nova Scotia. In British Columbia, all of the infected dogs but one were from the Okanagan valley which, as from 1991, is a new focus of infection in Canada. Most dogs with HW had not been on preventive medication in 1990, and the prevalence among dogs tested and unprotected was 0.59%. That prevalence was considerably higher in endemic areas. Companion dogs, over three years of age and maintained primarily outdoors in rural areas, were most frequently infected. One cat was diagnosed with D. immitis and 33 dogs had Dipetalonema reconditium.     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1985

In late December 1985, 1485 institutional veterinarians and small and mixed animal clinics across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in Canada in 1985 and 44% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 137,300 dogs were blood-tested to check for microfilariae and 1210 dogs were found with heartworm. Another 36 dogs were amicrofilaremic but diagnosed with heartworm disease to give the total number diagnosed in 1985 as 1247 (0.91%).

Heartworm was reported from all provinces except Prince Edward Island, Newfoundland and Saskatchewan but most (1126) of the cases were in Ontario. Southwestern Ontario continued to be the primary focus of the infection in Canada. From Quebec, 91 cases were reported mostly from and around Montreal. From Manitoba, 19 cases were reported from Winnipeg and surrounding areas. Heartworm was found most frequently in companion dogs over three years of age maintained mainly outdoors in rural areas. About 28% of the cases were observed with clinical signs of heartworm disease and 78% had a history of not having left Canada.

     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1988

In late November 1988, 1581 small and mixed animal clinics and institutional veterinarians across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in Canada in 1988, and 46% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 181,577 dogs were blood-tested for heartworm disease and 367 dogs were found with D. immitis microfilariae. Another 60 dogs were amicrofilaremic but diagnosed with heartworm disease to give the total number of cases diagnosed in 1988 as 441 (0.24%).     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1989

In late November 1989, 1732 clinics and institutional veterinarians were sent a questionnaire to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis, and 51.7% responded. Of 247,716 dogs tested, 394 had D. immitis microfilariae and 51 were amicrofilaremic for a total of 445 cases and heartworm prevalence of 0.17%. Most (408) of these dogs had no preventive medication and the prevalence among dogs tested and unprotected was 1.01%. That prevalence was considerably higher in endemic areas. Thirty-seven dogs with heartworm had preventive medication. Heartworm was most frequent in companion dogs over three years of age maintained outdoors in rural areas. About 75% of the cases had never left Canada, 26% had clinical signs and 125 were not treated.

Heartworm was reported from British Columbia, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland, but 383 cases were in Ontario. South-western Ontario was the primary focus of infection. There were 33 cases in Quebec and 24 in Manitoba, mainly found in and around Metropolitan Montreal and Winnipeg respectively.

     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1987

In late November 1987, 1246 institutional veterinarians and small and mixed animal clinics across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in Canada in 1987, and 50% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 165,428 dogs were blood tested for heartworm disease and 511 dogs were found with D. immitis microfilariae. Another 78 dogs were amicrofilaremic but diagnosed with heartworm disease to give the total number of cases diagnosed in 1987 as 589 (0.35%).     

Heartworm in dogs in Canada in 1986

In late December 1986, 1224 institutional veterinarians and small and mixed animal clinics across Canada were sent a questionnaire in order to assess the status of Dirofilaria immitis in Canada in 1986; 46% of them responded. Veterinarians reported that 150,989 dogs were blood-tested for microfilariae and 869 dogs were found with heartworm. Another 65 dogs were amicrofilaremic but diagnosed with heartworm disease and one was found with heartworm at necropsy to give the total number diagnosed in 1986 as 935 (0.62%).

Heartworm was reported from Manitoba, New Brunswick, Ontario and Quebec, but most (810) of the cases were from Ontario. South-western Ontario continued to be the primary focus of the infection in Canada. There were 103 cases reported from Quebec, mostly from and around Montreal, and 21 cases from Manitoba, from Winnipeg and surrounding areas. Heartworm was found most frequently in companion dogs over three years of age maintained mainly outdoors in rural areas. About 33% of the cases were observed with clinical signs of heartworm disease and 81% had a history of not having left Canada.