Integrated assessment of emission control scenarios,including the impact of tropospheric ozone

The RAINS (Regional Air Pollution INformation and Simulation) model was developed at IIASA as an integrated assessment tool to assist policy advisors in evaluating options for reducing acid rain. In recent years, the European implementation of this model has been used to support the negotiations on an updated, effect-based Sulphur Protocol under the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution. The development of future strategies for reducing the environmental damage caused by air pollutants requires a multi-pollutant, multi-effect approach. In this context, the RAINS model is being further developed to include ozone. This paper outlines the development of an integrated assessment model for tropospheric ozone, which combines information on the emissions of ozone precursors (NO_x and VOCs), the available control technologies and abatement costs, the formation and transport of ozone and its environmental effects in Europe.     

Cost effective management of wet sulfate deposition

The purpose of the paper is to present the results of a study that assesses the cost and environmental implications of management options for controlling acid rain. Specifically, the paper illustrates the application of a mathematical programming model which identifies sulphur dioxide emission reductions in eastern North America such that total abatement costs are minimized subject to achieving a prescribed acidic deposition objective. The approaches to reduce acidic deposition considered are emission rollback and least cost targetted. The analysis shows that control strategies developed from a least cost targetted perspective are far less costly and no less effective than emission rollback management approaches. A sensitivity analysis of key input parameters and the effect on management options will also be discussed.     

Trends in public opinion on acid rain: A comprehensive review of existing data

Questions concerning the value society places on the benefits and costs of control measures for acidic deposition cannot be fully achieved without considering the views held by the public-at-large. While numerous opinion polls have been conducted on acid rain, to date no systematic review of these data has been undertaken to identify underlying trends. This paper summarizes a comprehensive analysis of existing public opinion data in Canada and the U.S. from 1979 to the present, with particular attention given to identifying longitudinal trends, comparisons across jurisdictions, demographic group differences and comparisons with other issues. It is concluded that over the past five years, the North American public has become aware of acid rain as an environmental issue and, despite a limited understanding of the problem, believe it to be a serious one. Concern about acid rain has by now reached the level where most believe concrete actions must be taken, and a majority are willing to help pay for abatement programs. Canadians and residents of regions susceptible to acid rain damage have typically been more informed and concerned about acid rain, but such regional and national differences have diminished over time as the issue has become more widely recognized. These findings are discussed in terms of implications for policy and education strategies.     

Atmospheric SO2 Pollution and Acidity of Rain in Changchun China

It is mainly SO₂ that bring about acid rain in China. Changchun City, which is located in Northeast China, is a typical city that is polluted by SO₂ from coal combustion in winter. In winter, the daily mean concentration of atmospheric SO₂ is about 0.10mg/m³ and about 5 times as high as in summer, and the daily highest concentration usually appears in daybreak and nightfall. The monitored lowest pH value of rainwater was 4.8 in spring and the range of pH value of rain/snow was 5.2–6.0 in winter, 4.8–5.8 in spring, 5.4–6.4 in summer, 5.6–6.4 in autumn, and the annual mean pH value of rainfalls was 5.8 (1999–2000). Because the alkaline aerosol from soil, meteorological conditions etc., is unfavorable to acid rain formation, even though high SO₂ emission intensity existed in winter, the acid rain did not appear obviously. The aerosol character, climate conditions in Northeast China are important factors for the acid rain formation, although SO₂ emission is the original cause.     

Plotting of Acid Rain and Sulfur Dioxide Pollution Control Zones and Integrated Control Planning in China

The distribution and characteristics of acid rain and SO₂ pollution were presented, indicating that the areas with sulfur deposition over critical loads reached 21.9% of the territory in 1995. In order to control the acid rain and SO₂ pollution effectively, the Acid Rain Control Zone and SO₂ Pollution Control Zone (Two Control Zones for short) were designated based on the analysis of sulfur deposition. The corresponding integrated pollution control planning was formulated based on the life cycle approach of sulfur in coal and the technical options for SO₂ mitigation were also recommended for different sources such as coal industry, power industry, industrial boilers and kilns, and household stoves. Based on the countermeasures suggested, the SO₂ would be reduced by about 4.92Mt/yr during 2001–2005 and by 4.16Mt/yr during 2006–2010.     

Studies on Atmospheric Pollution,Acid Rain and Emission Control for their Precursors in Chongqing,China

Chongqing City in China has suffered from serious air pollution and acid rain caused by low graded raw coal (sulfur=ca. 3≈5%, ash=ca. 30%) combustion. In this paper, the situation of atmospheric pollution and acid rain in Chongqing are discussed, the reduction efficiency for sulfur dioxide (SO₂) with the bio-briquetting of the raw coal that is one of countermeasures for emission control of air pollutants due to domestic consumes was determined. The research indicated that the frequency of acid rain was high, more than 50% at urban area, and its pH was low, about 4.5. Under our experimental conditions, the reducing efficiency of sulfur SO₂ emission from high sulfur coal-biomass briquette amounted to 87%. The field investigation indicated that SO₂ indoor concentrations in case of using bio-briquette dropped to 1/2≈1/3 of the raw coal.     

Stages in the History of China's Acid Rain Control Strategy in the Light of China-Japan Relations

We analyze the history of acid rain in China over the last three decades in the light of the relationship between China and Japan. China has been aware of the problem of acid rain and has been conducting scientific research since the late 1970s. However, little effort has been put into practical countermeasures. In the early 1990s, acid rain was re-evaluated as an international environmental problem. Meanwhile, Japan became concerned about trans-boundary air pollution from China. What is important is that Japan's concern strongly influences China's acid rain policy. In the context of growing international concern for environmental problems, China has taken remarkable steps to control acid rain. In this respect, dealing with acid rain is an issue of national pride for China.     

On the origin and the trend of acid precipitation in China

The acidity of the precipitation in China as well as the area affected by acidic raimfalls have increased in the years, along with the rapid economic growth in china. Field observations indicate that acid precipitation often occur are the southern par, of china, although the emissiors of the precursors are stronger in the North.In this paper,we explain the geographical distribution of acid precipitation in china, based on the content alkaline ions in soil, soil acidity, atmospheric particulate concentration, aerosol buffering capacity and atmospheric dispersion. It is further anticipated that continuous increasing of sulfur emissions in the North will eventually result in acid rain in the northern part of China. On the basis of the projection of SO₂ and No emissions,it is argued that the problem of acid precipitation may get worse towars the year 2020,if expenditure on emission control maintains at current level.     

Phenological Disorder Induced by Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition: Original Causes of Pine Forest Decline over Japan. Part I. Phenological Disorder,Cold Death of Apical Shoots of Red Pine Subjected to Combined Exposures of Simulated Acid Rain and Soil Acidification,and Implications for Forest Decline

Seeds of red pine (Pinus densiflora Sieb. and Zucc.) were sown in red-yellow soil artificially adjusted to pH (H₂O) 4.10, 4.60 or 5.90 by adding H₂SO₄ solution to the soil (pH 5.90), and the three-month seedlings were exposed to simulated acid rain at pH 2.0, 3.0 or 5.6 for 10 minutes once, 3 times a week, for 12 months from 4 August 1994 to 3 August 1995 alone or in combination. Significant interactive effects between acid rain and soil acidification on growth and whole-plant net photosynthetic rate, and cold death ratio of new apical shoots following a cold snap were observed in a quadratic response pattern. The simulated acid rain increased budburst, new needle spread and elongation, and new apical shoot death percentage following a cold snap, but did not induce visible injury. In the highest soil acidity treatment at a soil pH 4.1, whole-plant net photosynthetic rate and seedling height exhibited a quadratic responses with increasing rain acidities. On the other hand, soil acidification caused leaf yellowing. The death percentage of new apical shoot of seedlings exposed to rain pH 2.0 following a cold snap was linearly enlarged with increasing soil acidities. With increasing soil acidity, height and whole-plant net photosynthesis of the seedlings exposed to rain pH 3.0 exhibited a linear increase response, while height of seedlings exposed to control rain exhibited a quadratic response. It is suggested that the results provide experimental evidency for phenological disturbances and an enhancement of frost risk by direct acid rain and indirect longterm soil acidification which may be significant in forest decline.     

Effects of Simulated Acid Rain on Pinus densiflora: Inhibition of Net Photosynthesis by the Pheophytization of Chlorophyll

This research addressed the effects of simulated acid rain on the chlorophyll contents of leaves of Pinus densiflora, on the net photosynthetic rate on a unit chlorophyll basis, and on chlorophyll degradation. When NO₃- concentrations in rain water increased, the chlorophyll_a+b contents of the leaves increased in parallel, even though the pH of the simulated rain decreased. The nitrogen content of the rain was sufficient to stimulate the production of chlorophyll and was able to override any degradative effect expected due to the H⁺ input from acid rain. The absorption spectrum of chlorophyll extracted from the leaves exposed to acid rain showed peaks at 665, 606 and 535 nm, characteristic of pheophytin a, indicating degradation of chlorophyll to pheophytin. Net photosynthetic rate on the basis of chlorophyll content was reduced by acid rain, even though the total chlorophyll content of the leaves was increased. The acid rain does, therefore, simultaneously increase chlorophyll content and reduce the efficiency of the use of chlorophyll in photosynthesis. This reduced efficiency may be linked to the increase in the rate of degradation of chlorophyll to pheophytin.     

A Study on Rain Acidification Processes in Ten Cities of China

A physico-chemical sub-cloud rain acidification model is used to simulate the acidification processes of rainwater in ten cities of China, based on the observation data of the chemical components of cloud- and rainwater and the concentrations of gaseous and aerosol species. The results show that there are in-cloud process and below-cloud process in the formation of acid rain, but the relative importance of these two processes is different in various cities. The acidification of rainwater under cloud is very important in Guiyang, Shanghai, Jilin, Beijing, Changsha and Chongqing, and the in-cloud and below-cloud process contribute equally to the acidification in Guilin, however, the acidification of rainwater in cloud is more important in Nanchang and Guangzhou. Overall, the aerosol has an alkalization effect on the rain, about 11%–25% of H⁺ concentration in the rainwater is neutralized over Southern China and 60%–70% is neutralied over Northern China by aerosol species. The effect of atmospheric SO₂ on acidification of rainwater is nonlinear and is different in various regions. The effects of the variation of atmospheric NH₃, H₂O₂ and aerosol species on pH of rainwater are also discussed in detail.     

A summary of the impact of acid rain on atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) in Canada

Within the present North American range of Atlantic salmon, severe acid rain effects are limited to the Southern Upland area of Nova Scotia. In the Southern Upland, long range transport of H₂SO₄ has caused many rivers to decline in pH to the point where their Atlantic salmon stocks have been destroyed or much diminished. Chemical records show a declining pH trend in N.S. rivers since the early 1950s. Eighty % of the annual variation in H⁺ concentration can be accounted for by a multiple linear regression model on excess sulphate, total Al and organic anions. It is technically feasible to restore the acidified salmon habitat by the addition of limestone; the total cost of mounting a liming program to restore the lost habitat has been estimated at $4.75 × 10⁶ yr^?1. The pre-acidification Atlantic salmon production capacity of the Southern Upland was estimated from physical habitat surveys and tag return data to be about 45 000 fish yr^?1. Acidification has caused a 50% decline to the current production level of about 23 000 fish yr^?1. The costs of the liming program, when compared to the economic benefits of the anticipated salmon enhancement, are economically unjustifiable. The eradication of salmon from such large regions will hinder future programs to reestablish the species in their former range when pollution of the atmosphere is eventually brought under control. Present plans are for a small liming program to establish a series of refuges for the preservation of nuclei of native salmon stocks.     

“New type” forest declines and restabilization/revitalization strategies a programmatic focus

Annual terrestrial inventories carried out in West Germany since 1984 indicate that for the last 4 yr approximately 50% of the forests were damaged. The damages were and are commonly attributed to the adverse effects of acid rain and other air pollutants. As most decline types are associated with nutritional disturbances, it was found that the application of lime and/or fertilizers could reduce or even remove the damages. Therefore, the West German government has established a nationwide program by which up to 80% of the costs of fertilization in forests revealing ”new type“ forest damages are subsidized. In practice, a clear distinction is made between compensative and ameliorative fertilization methods. Compensative fertilization means the application of Mg containing lime (generally 3,000 kg-ha^?1) to neutralize further acidic deposition in forest soils. The ameliorative fertilization is focused on the specific application of nutrients, particularly in stands with acute nutritional deficiencies. This is accomplished by means of readily soluble Mg and K fertilizers at application rates of 500 to 1,000 kg-ha^?1. In cases of insufficient P supply or for the activation of microbial decomposer chains in organic top soil horizons, P fertilizers are utilized. For ameliorative fertilization, foliar and soil analyses are recommended as a sound basis for fertilizer selection. In many cases, particularly in the States of Bavaria and Baden-Wuerttemberg, Mg containing lime in combination with fast soluble Mg and/or K (P) fertilizers are applied. Between 1984 and 1987, approximately 400,000 ha of “new type” forest damage areas have been limed and/or fertilized in West Germany. As positive as the application of lime and/or fertilizers appear to be, there exists some potential risks and limitations of these practices with regard to restabilization and revitalization of declining forest stands.     

Integrated Assessment Modeling of Air Pollution in Four European Countries

The integrated assessment modeling on acid rain has incorporated several related effects and pollutants into a multi-pollutant/multi-effect approach, resulting in complex integrated models and policy assessments. The development and implementation of effects-oriented cost-effective emission reduction strategies in Europe are based on integrated assessment models. The project on national integrated assessment modeling in Finland, Denmark, Spain and Sweden aimed to support the national evaluation of European emission reduction strategies. The tasks covered the comparison of inventories and projections for emissions of sulfur, nitrogen oxides, ammonia and volatile organic compounds, assessment of control techniques and related costs, concentration and deposition scenarios to estimate environmental effects of acidification, eutrophication and ground-level ozone and their temporal aspects, uncertainty analyses on both individual modules and whole integrated models, and dissemination of results to stakeholders. The integrated assessment modeling provided a consistent framework for the harmonization of input data and in-depth scientific research tasks on emissions, pollutant loading and impacts including comprehensive uncertainty analyses, and facilitated the dissemination of knowledge to policy-makers.     

Prolonged simulated acid rain treatment in the subarctic: Effect on the soil respiration rate and microbial biomass

Humus chemistry and respiration rate, ATP, ergosterol, and muramic acid concentration as measures of chemical properties, microbial activity, biomass, and indicators of fungal and bacterial biomass were studied in a long-term acid rain experiment in the far north of Finnish Lapland. The treatments used in this study were dry control, irrigated control (spring water, pH 6), and two levels of simulated acid rain (pH 4 and pH 3). Originally (1985–1988), simulated acid rain was prepared by adding both H₂SO₄ and HNO₃ (1.9:1 by weight). In 1989 the treatments were modified as follows. In subarea 1 the treatments continued unchanged (H₂SO₄+HNO₃ in rain to pH 4 and pH 3), but in subarea 2 only H₂SO₄ was applied. The plots were sampled in 1992. The acid application affected humus chemistry by lowering the pH, cation exchange capacity, and base saturation (due to a decrease in Ca and Mg) in the treatment with H₂SO₄+HNO₃ to pH 4 (total proton load over 8 years 2.92 kmol ha^-1), whereas the microbial variables were not affected at this proton load, and only the respiration rate decreased by 20% in the strongest simulated acid rain treatment (total proton load 14.9 kmol ha^-1). The different ratios of H₂SO₄+HNO₃ in subareas 1 and 2 did not affect the results.     

Aquatic Acidification Sensitivity for Regional Environment: a Multi-Indicator Evaluation Approach

With the aggravation of acid rain pollution and the enlarging of the acid rain regions in China, the sensitivity evaluation of natural waters to acidification on a regional scale become increasingly important. Acidification models based on a single indicator cannot give much information on aquatic acidification because of their simplicity; yet acidification models based on physical, chemical, hydrological and/or biological processes are not suitable for large scale regional research because of their exceptional complexity. In this paper, a multi-indicator comprehensive model for aquatic acidification sensitivity is proposed and applied. This model comprises some of the most important factors that are considered to influence water acidification, in particular: acid neutralization capacity, acidification capacity, acidification sensitive index, cation exchange capacity of soil, pH of soil, and weathering shuck types of soil-forming. It highlights the key stages of aquatic acidification by acid neutralization capacity, acidification capacity, and acidification sensitivity index. The model thereby estimates the acidification sensitivity of natural waters by using these indicators according to a weighting system. Equal-weight and non-equal-weight approaches are separately used to combine the six indicators into an overall sensitivity index of aquatic acidification. The result derived from an application to China on a national scale indicates the practicability of this approach. In China, the sensitive natural waters emerge in Southern China, which is already a heavy acid rain region, and in Northeastern China where the rainwater is beginning to become much acidic.     

Effects of sulfuric,nitric, and mixed acid rain on litter decomposition,soil microbial biomass,and enzyme activities in subtropical forests of China

Acid rain pollution is changing gradually from sulfuric acid rain (SAR) to mixed acid rain (MAR) and then to nitric acid rain (NAR) with the rapidly growing number of motor vehicles. The influences of changed acid rain types on ecosystem functions, particularly on litter decomposition, remain unclear. Two dominant litter types from a coniferous forest and a broad-leaved forest were incubated in microcosms with original forest soils and treated by five types of acid rain with different SO₄²⁻ to NO₃⁻ ratios (1:0, 5:1, 1:1, 1:5, and 0:1). During a six-month incubation period, litter mass losses, soil microbial biomass, and enzyme activities were investigated. Results showed that various acid treatments inhibited litter decomposition, soil microbial biomass, and most enzyme activities, and the inhibitory effects of NAR were more significant than those of SAR and MAR. The resistance to external acid of microbial communities in broad-leaved forest was higher than that in coniferous forest. NAR and MAR treatments slowed down soil carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) mineralization by attenuating the correlations between litter mass losses and the enzymes involved in C, N, and P cycling. Results reveal that the ratio of SO₄²⁻ to NO₃⁻ in acid rain is an important factor which profoundly influences litter decomposition process. In the future, a decreasing ratio of SO₄²⁻ to NO₃⁻ in acid rain will be observed in subtropical forests. Thus, soil C would accumulate as a consequence of future acid precipitation, and this may seriously affect the balance of ecosystem C, N flux.     

Emission Inventories,Emission Control Options and Control Strategies: An Overview of Recent Developments

Accurate emission inventories are crucial for informed decisions about emission control strategies. Emission inventory activities are now well established throughout the world and a large body of resources is available to assist in estimating emissions at the global, regional and local scale. Work is ongoing to refine methodologies and to address additional sources and pollutants such as fine particulate matter. During the last decade innovative concepts for emission control legislation were developed. Market based instruments can achieve envisaged emission reductions at lower costs than conventional approaches. Air quality management is now understood as a multi-pollutant, multi-effect task, which offers a significant cost saving potential if synergistic effects are fully utilized. Integrated assessment models proved useful in managing the vast volume of relevant information needed for the design of cost-effective emission control strategies. Europe and North America have embarked on ambitious control strategies that will lead to significant reductions in the emissions of some of the conventional pollutants (e.g., SO₂, NO_x, VOC). There are also first indications of a structural break that could reverse the long-term growth trend of SO₂ emissions also in the fast developing nations of Asia.     

Effect of simulated sulfuric acid rain on the chemistry of a sulfate-adsorbing forest soil

Simulated H₂SO₄ rain (pH 3.0, 3.5, 4.0) or control rain (pH 5.6) was applied for 3.5 yr to large lysimeter boxes containing a sulfate-adsorbing forest soil and either red alder (Alnus rubra Bong) or sugar maple (Acer saccharum Marsh.) seedlings. After removal of the plants and the litter layer, soil samples were obtained at 15-cm intervals to a total depth of 90 cm. Elevated SO₄ concentrations caused by the simulated H₂SO₄ rain were most pronounced for the top 15 cm, but extended down to 45 cm (maple) or 75 cm (alder). There were no effects on SO₄ concentrations at a depth of 75 to 90 em. This confirmed the existence of a sulfate front between 20 cm and 100 cm, as postulated earlier on the basis of extracted soil solutions. Decreases in Mg and Ca concentrations, base saturation, and soil pH were limited to the uppermost 15 cm and, in most cases, to the pH 3.0 treatment. Concentrations of Mg and Ca for the pH 3.0 treatments were greater than control at a depth of 15 to 30 cm, indicating transport of these cations from the soil surface. Concentrations of Na and K, and cation exchange capacity, were not affected by simulated H₂SO₄ rain. Elevated concentrations of NO₃ and extractable Zn throughout the alder systems indicated (1) either increased rates of symbiotic N-fixation or decreased rates of N immobilization; and (2) mobilization of Zn by all acid rain treatments.     

The potential contribution of ecotourism to African wild dog Lycaon pictus conservation in South Africa

African wild dogs are endangered, and in South Africa as elsewhere, they inhabit a fraction of their former range. In this study, we assessed the potential for economic benefits derived from ecotourism to offset the costs of three wild dog conservation options using a contingent valuation study of the willingness of visitors to four protected areas to pay to see wild dogs at the den - within a viable population in a large protected area (Kruger National Park), through reintroduction into nature reserves, and through the conservation of wild dogs occurring on ranchland in situ. Results indicated that tourism revenue from wild dogs in large protected areas is more than sufficient to offset the costs and could potentially be used to subsidise wild dog reintroductions or the conservation of wild dogs in situ on ranchland. On ranchland and for reintroductions, tourism revenue was generally predicted to offset most of the costs of conserving wild dogs where predation costs are low, and to exceed the costs where willingness to pay is high, and/or where the costs of predation by wild dogs are zero. Conservation efforts should facilitate the derivation of eco-tourism-related benefits from wild dogs on ranchland and in private reserves to create incentives for wild dog conservation. Ecotourism should be part of a multifaceted approach to wild dog conservation which also includes education and awareness campaigns, and efforts to encourage landowners to cooperate to form conservancies.