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1.
In the semi-arid Brazilian Northeast, the exploitation of alluvial aquifers for irrigation and domestic supply to rural communities over the last 10 years has upset the traditional mechanisms of water resources management. In the Forquilha watershed (221 km2; 5°17″S, 39°30″W), the two main water resources are reservoirs (with a capacity exceeding 0.9-6.7 × 106 m3), used for domestic water supply only, and an alluvial aquifer (2.3 × 106 m3), used for irrigation and domestic water supply. From 1998 to 2006, the irrigated area with alluvial groundwater increased from 0 to 75 ha, and the fraction of population supplied through domestic water networks, using reservoirs and the aquifer, increased from 1% to 70%. Based on physical and socioeconomic issues, three main water territories have been defined (“Aquifer”, “Reservoirs”, and “Disperse Habitat”). Considering the next 30 years with a realistic population growth, three hypotheses regarding irrigated area (i.e., 0, 75, or 150 ha), and several possible water-management scenarios, hydrological balance models were built and used to simulate the different impacts on water resource availability and salinity. Simulation results showed that, in all cases, releases from the upstream main reservoir are necessary to keep reservoir salinity below 0.7 g L−1 and for guaranteeing domestic needs in the whole watershed. As a consequence, a management approach that takes into account the interrelations among the three territories is necessary. Moreover, the simulations showed that the area of irrigated fields cannot exceed the current extent (75 ha), or serious restrictions on water availability and salinity will take place. Moreover, important socioeconomic problems are expected, including a high cost of palliative water supply with tank trucks from external sources.  相似文献   

2.
We used ISO-compliant life cycle assessment (LCA) to compare the cumulative energy use, ecological footprint, greenhouse gas emissions and eutrophying emissions associated with models of three beef production strategies as currently practiced in the Upper Midwestern United States. Specifically we examined systems where calves were either: weaned directly to feedlots; weaned to out-of-state wheat pastures (backgrounded) then finished in feedlots; or finished wholly on managed pasture and hay. Impacts per live-weight kg of beef produced were highest for pasture-finished beef for all impact categories and lowest for feedlot-finished beef, assuming equilibrium conditions in soil organic carbon fluxes across systems. A sensitivity analysis indicated the possibility of substantial reductions in net greenhouse gas emissions for pasture systems under conditions of positive soil organic carbon sequestration potential. Forage utilization rates were also found to have a modest influence on impact levels in pasture-based beef production. Three measures of resource use efficiency were applied and indicated that beef production, whether feedlot or pasture-based, generates lower edible resource returns on material/energy investment relative to other food production strategies.  相似文献   

3.
Natural capital (land, water, air) consists of many resources, each with its own quality, dynamics and renewability, but with strong interactions. The increasing competition for the natural resources, especially land and water, calls for a basic redirection in the analysis of land use.  相似文献   

4.
为了研究变化环境下内蒙古河套灌区沈乌灌域土地利用/覆盖时空变化,并对今后节水改造和节水规划提供指导依据,以沈乌灌域1995、2005年及2015年Landsat影像为数据源,采用基于CART算法的决策树分类对灌域20 a来5种土地利用/覆盖类型进行了分类,并计算了各土地利用/覆盖类型的单一动态度、双向动态度、变化趋势和状态指数,研究了引黄水量等环境变化因子作用下灌域土地利用/覆盖的时空变化。结果表明,(1)1995—2015年沈乌灌域内沙地和盐碱地分别减少了43.77%和62.54%,植被和荒地分别增加了75.10%和92.32%。(2)沙地、盐碱地和荒地向植被的转化是植被面积增加的主要原因;荒地频繁与沙地、盐碱地发生相互转化,相互转化的位置主要出现在沙地和渠道的周边。(3)引水量和地下水埋深是盐碱地、水体的变化主要因子,工程建设是沙地和植被覆盖区变化的主要因子。为缓解灌域的用水矛盾,今后在制定节水规划时应统筹考虑土地利用类型/覆盖与节水改造的关系。  相似文献   

5.
GAMEDE is a stock-flow dynamic simulation model designed with farmers to represent dairy farm functioning and the consequences of the farmer’s daily management decisions for whole-farm sustainability. Sustainability is evaluated according to its three pillars: technico-economic viability, respect for environment, and social liveability. The model provides original information for a better understanding of the processes regulating nitrogen dynamics within the farm, and the factors determining farmers’ decisions and practices. Model implementation experiments have revealed that GAMEDE is also a useful tool to support discussions and to generate knowledge exchange among various stakeholders who play an important role in the development of farm sustainability: farmers, extension agents and researchers.While a majority of researchers and advisers are specialised and a majority of farmers fix their attention on specific and narrow themes of farm management, such a comprehensive model can help stakeholders complement their knowledge to gain a holistic view of the farming system. This holistic and integrated view is crucial: (i) for researchers who wish to explain diversity in farming systems and understand decisional and biophysical processes and their interrelated effects operating in such complex agro-ecosystems, (ii) for advisers whose aim is to define alternative management strategies applicable in practice, i.e. taking into account farm specificities, and (iii) for farmers who must choose practices compatible with their resources, assets, constraints and objectives.Holism can also improve versatility and thus the generic character of models. Issues are narrowly specified and greatly vary both among categories of stakeholders (e.g. scientists versus farmers) and within each category (e.g. among farmers). A comprehensive model that: (i) details all farm management operations, and (ii) represents their effects on different spatio-temporal levels and on the three sustainability dimensions, is more likely to respond to the various issues facing different stakeholders. We argue that capacity of models to respond to stakeholders’ questions has to be considered in future evaluations of decision support systems.  相似文献   

6.
In four communities in the Peruvian Andes, 56 farmers were interviewed every three months over a period of one year. Information linked to milk and cattle production such as activities, inputs (labour, means of production, capital) and outputs (milk, cheese, animals) were recorded using a closed-ended questionnaire. The communities were divided into two groups with low (LC) and high (HC) level of dependence on income from milk and animal sales. The survey results showed that cattle production on the LC farms was based on less land and a smaller herd (3.32 ha/farm, 1.06 lactating cows) than on HC farms (10.28 ha/farm, 4.19 lactating cows). The data from the survey and the results of the nutritional analyses of 74 feed samples were introduced into a model that applied linear programming techniques in order to estimate the farm household income under the current production systems and evaluate the economic impact of improved forage varieties for hay production. Furthermore, the economic viability of other changes in fodder and herd management was tested. Both groups were characterised by a dual-purpose system generating a gross income from the sale of both, milk and live animals in the amount of -21 (LC) and +1057 US$/farm and year (HC). Due to higher production costs for forages and better access to markets, LC communities were characterised by an integrated crop–livestock system whereas in the HC group income was mainly based on livestock. Introduction of improved and fertilized barley for hay production, was estimated to increase the annual farm income to 127 and 1257 US$ for LC and HC, respectively. This increase was accompanied by an increment of the animal number. Maintaining the animal number but increasing the milk production/cow by feeding additional forage was a less profitable option generating 50 and 1221 US$ of income per farm and year for LC and HC, respectively. The production of hay was limited by high costs (external labour) in LC communities and the restricted availability of family labour in the HC group. A scenario based on the use of improved cow genotypes led to the highest estimated annual farm income for HC communities (1280 US$) but was less favourable for LC. The modelling results showed that the best development strategy depends on various factors such as production costs, access to the markets and to irrigation and availability of different feed resources.  相似文献   

7.
The poorly integrated cane supply planning between mills and cane growers in the Northeast of Thailand generates an excess of cane supplies that exceeds the mills’ capacity during the peak of harvest season. Each grower individually determines his/her cultivation plan by selecting planting dates and cultivars based on one’s own preference without taking into account the individual mill’s capacity and other growers’ plans. This situation causes most sugarcane grown in this area to reach its mature stage at the same period. In this study, we propose a framework of cultivation planning to cope with the problem. The focus of the cultivation plan is a long-term plan to determine the cultivation time, the cultivar selection and the corresponding prospective harvesting time window for each field such that overall sugar production is optimized.The crop growth model and a mathematical model are employed for yield simulation and optimization task. The crop growth model enables decision-makers to visualize cane production of each individual field at different dates with different cultivars and allow decision-makers to apply the mathematical programming to cultivation planning. The suggested framework has the potential to increase sugar production by 23% when compared to the traditional method.  相似文献   

8.
We present an integrated spatially explicit land use modeling framework, which integrates two key components of agricultural systems, the bio-physical production system and the management system, by coupling the bio-economic farm optimization model FAMOS[space], the crop rotation model CropRota, and the bio-physical process model EPIC (Environmental Policy Integrated Climate). The integrated modeling framework has been developed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of selected agri-environmental program (AEP) measures. We also focus on the landscape development and therefore include a detailed representation of landscape elements such as fields or orchard meadows in our analysis. An indicator set represents all main environmental AEP objectives, i.e. preservation of water and soil resources, mitigation of climate change, protection of biodiversity, maintenance of cultural landscapes as well as farm income support. The integrated modeling framework is applied to 20 farms in the Austrian ‘Mostviertel’ region, which are selected from the Integrated Administration and Control System (IACS) of the European Union. The cost-effectiveness of AEP measures is assessed under different premium levels. The implementation of the AEP clearly affects environmental quality in a positive way. Nitrogen rates are reduced, landscape elements can be sustained, and the landscape becomes more diverse. The program also increases farm gross margins on average. However, the cost-effectiveness ratios (CER) are declining with increasing premium levels. The results indicate that the cost-effectiveness of AEP measures can be improved by spatial targeting.  相似文献   

9.
During 2 years, a melon crop (Cucumis melo L. cv. Sancho) was grown under field conditions to investigate the effects of different nitrogen (N) and irrigation (I) levels on fruit yield, fruit quality, irrigation water use efficiency (IWUE) and nitrogen applied efficiency (NAE). The statistical design was a split-plot with four replications, where irrigation was the main factor of variation and N was the secondary factor. In 2005, irrigation treatments consisted of applying daily a moderate water stress equivalent to 75% of ETc (crop evapotranspiration), a 100% ETc control and an excess irrigation of 125% ETc (designated as I75, I100 and I125), while the N treatments were 30, 85, 112 and 139 kg N ha−1 (designated as N30, N85, N112 and N139). In 2006, both the irrigation and N treatments applied were: 60, 100 and 140% ETc (I60, I100 and I140) and 93, 243 and 393 kg N ha−1 (N93, N243 and N393). Moderate water stress did not reduce melon yield and high IWUE was obtained. Under severe deficit irrigation, the yield was reduced by 22% mainly due to decrease fruit weight. The relative yield (yield/maximum yield) was higher than 95% when the irrigation depth applied was in the range of 87-136% ETc. In 2006, the interaction between irrigation and N was significant for yield, fruit weight and IWUE. The best yield, 41.3 Mg ha−1, was obtained with 100% ETc at N93. The flesh firmness and the placenta and seeds weight increased when the irrigation level was reduced by 60% ETc. The highest NAE was obtained with quantities of water close to 100% ETc and increased as the N level was reduced. The highest IWUE was obtained with applications close to 90 kg N ha−1. The I243 and I393 treatments produced inferior fruits due to higher skin ratios and lower flesh ratios. These results suggest that it is possible to apply moderate deficit irrigation, around 90% ETc, and reduce nitrogen input to 90 kg ha−1 without lessening quality and yields.  相似文献   

10.
In the valley land of North-East Hill (NEH) ecosystems of India, about 70% area under rice (Oryza sativa L.) is transplanted. Physiological attributes and yield performance of aerobic rice over conventional flood-irrigated rice need to be assessed while promoting water saving technology. A field experiment was conducted at the experimental farm, ICAR Research Complex for NEH Region, Umiam (950 m msl), Meghalaya during rainy seasons of 2006 and 2007 under aerobic and flooded conditions with aerobic rice variety collected from IRRI, Philippines. Some important high-yielding varieties (HYVs) recommended for the region were also included in the study. The objectives of this study were (i) to evaluate the influence of frequent mid-season drainage as a measure of water saving technique besides inducing the pre-conditioning effect on genotypes to withstand water stress during the subsequent growth period of crop ontogeny, (ii) to compare crop performance between aerobic and flooded rice management practices, and (iii) to identify attributes responsible for the yield gap between aerobic and flooded rice. The results revealed that the yield difference between aerobic (average yield, 1.67 t/ha) and flooded rice (average yield, 2.31 t/ha) ranged from 18.4 to 37.8% (P < 0.05) depending on varieties, highest difference being observed with rice hybrid DRRH 1. Cultivation of rice under aerobic condition resulted in 27.5% yield reduction over flooded rice. Among the yield components assessed, sink size (spikelets per panicle) contributed more to the yield and is considered to be most important factor responsible for yield gap between aerobic and flooded rice. The study suggests that, variety Sahsarang 1 with its moderate values of photosynthesis rate, transpiration rate and water use efficiency (WUE) along with higher grain yield seems to be better choice for both stress (aerobic) as well as normal (flooded) condition. Aerobic rice varieties with minimum yield gap compared to flooded rice is the key for success of aerobic rice cultivation.  相似文献   

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