Roles of bootstrap resampling,measure of central tendency,and method for calculating thermal units when developing phenology models for pest management

The successful development of phenology models from field studies depends on many factors, some of which are entirely under the control of pest managers. For example, one such factor is the choice of method for calculating thermal units. In this study, we have demonstrated that four methods for calculating thermal units provided for acceptable predictions of one phenological event of one insect species, while another method for calculating thermal units did not. The measure of central tendency (mean or median) that is used to estimate lower developmental temperatures and required thermal summations is another factor that pest managers can control when developing phenology models from field studies. Here, we show that predictions that were made when using phenology models based on median lower developmental temperatures and median required thermal summations were superior to predictions that were made when using phenology models based on mean lower developmental temperatures and mean required thermal summations. The use of bootstrap vs. non-bootstrap estimates of lower developmental temperatures and required thermal summations is yet another factor that pest managers can control when developing phenology models from field studies. In this study, we found that calculating and using bootstrap estimates of lower developmental temperatures and required thermal summations in phenology models did not improve the predictions of one phenological event for one insect species. The implications of these and other findings are discussed.     

吉林省截形叶螨与二斑叶螨卵的发育起点温度和有效积温

在自动控制温度和光照长度的实验室内 ,采用直线回归法对截形叶螨与二斑叶螨卵的发育起点温度和有效积温进行了研究和分析 ,结果表明:在18～30℃范围内 ,截形叶螨与二斑叶螨的发育起点温度分别是14.86℃和10.78℃ ;有效积温分别是48.84、76.45日度。当温度在发育起点温度至22℃范围内二斑叶螨卵的发育速率大于截形叶螨 ,而当温度高于22℃时截形叶螨卵的发育速率大于二斑叶螨     

截形叶螨发育起点温度和有效积温

在5种温度下,对截形叶螨的发育起点温度和有效积温进行了研究。结果表明,截形叶螨不同发育阶段的发育起点温度和有效积温不同,且不同发育阶段对两者的要求也不一致。世代的发育起点温度和有效积温分别为13.88℃和137.41日度,控制发育进度的理论式为T=137.41/N+(13.88±2.00)。     

Susceptibility to insecticides in the Q biotype of Bemisia tabaci is correlated with bacterial symbiont densities

BACKGROUND: The presence of symbiotic microorganisms may influence an insect's ability to tolerate natural and artificial stress agents such as insecticides. The authors have previously shown that Rickettsia in the B biotype of the whitefly Bemisia tabaci (Gennadius) (Homoptera: Aleyrodidae) increases this insect's susceptibility to several insecticidal compounds. This communication reports a comparison of the susceptibilities of three isofemale strains of the Q biotype of B. tabaci harbouring different bacterial complements to major insecticides from different chemical groups: one strain harboured only Arsenophonus, one harboured Rickettsia and Arsenophonus and one harboured Arsenophonus and Wolbachia. RESULTS: The presence of different symbiont combinations in the three strains had a significant influence on their susceptibility to most of the insecticides tested. Thiamethoxam, imidacloprid, pyriproxyfen and spiromesifen had a significant influence on strains that had the double infections Rickettsia–Arsenophonus and Wolbachia–Arsenophonus, which also carried higher amounts of symbionts as assessed by quantitative real‐time PCR. No significant differences in mortality rates were observed when the tested strains were treated with diafenthiuron. CONCLUSION: The results suggest a correlation between the presence of high bacterial densities in B. tabaci and the insect's ability to detoxify toxic compounds such as insecticides. Copyright © 2009 Society of Chemical Industry     

中华稻蝗胚胎发育形态、卵发育起点温度及有效积温研究

根据形态特征，中华稻蝗胚胎发育过程分为１０个阶段，本文对各阶段做了描述，绘制了形态图。利用４个不同温度的恒温箱对陕西汉中及长安两地区中华稻蝗的发育起点温度和有效积温分别进行了测定。中华稻蝗卵的发育起点温度及有效积温在汉中稻田分别为１６．７℃和２３８日度；长安县稻田为１５．７℃和２３４日度；室内饲养所收集的卵囊（长安种群）为１６．１℃和２９６日度。     

温度对以二斑叶螨为食的尼氏真绥螨生长发育的影响

在19、22、25、28、31℃和RH为80%的组合下,以二斑叶螨为食料,测定尼氏真绥螨[Euseius nicholsi(Eha-ra et Lee)]各螨态的发育历期,分析发育速率与温度的关系。结果表明,全世代的发育历期在19℃条件下最长(8.96 d),在31℃条件下最短(3.99 d);在19～28℃范围内,各螨态的发育历期随温度的升高而缩短,而在28～31℃范围内,除卵期外,其他螨态的发育历期随着温度的升高而略有延长,但差异并不显著。全世代的发育起点温度和有效积温分别为8.59℃和83.33日.度。分别采用线性日度模型和Logistic模型拟合温度与发育速率的关系,其中Logistic模型能更好地反映出尼氏真绥螨在高温下发育受到抑制的现象。     

Thermal effects on the development of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Bactrocera dorsalis</Emphasis> (Hendel) (Diptera: Tephritidae) and model validation in Taiwan

The oriental fruit fly, Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel), is a major polyphagous insect pest with a worldwide distribution. The effects of temperature on stage-specific development in B. dorsalis were investigated at eight constant temperatures (13.0 °C, 14.4 °C, 16.2 °C, 19.5 °C, 23.8 °C, 27.7 °C, 31.8 °C and 34.8 °C). B. dorsalis developed successfully from the egg stage to the adult stage at all the tested temperatures, except at the lowest temperatures (13.0 °C and 14.4 °C). Stage-specific lower developmental thresholds and thermal constants were determined using linear regression. The lower and higher temperature threshold (TL and TH, respectively) were estimated using the Sharpe-Schoolfield-Ikemoto model. The lower developmental threshold and thermal constant from egg to adult emergence were 9.8 °C and 325.5 degree-days, respectively. The intrinsic optimum temperatures of the egg, larval, pupal and egg to pupal stage were 20.7 °C, 21.8 °C, 21.1 °C, and 22.4 °C, respectively. The temperature range of the B. dorsalis total immature stage from TL to TH was 20.4 °C (13.8 °C - 34.2 °C). The stage-specific developmental completion of B. dorsalis was determined using a two-parameter Weibull function. The daily adult emergence frequency of B. dorsalis was estimated in relation to adult age and temperature using non-linear developmental rate functions and the Weibull function. The date of cumulative 50% adult emergence estimated using non-linear functions was approximately one day earlier than the experimentally observed date. Thermal performance was compared among B. dorsalis populations from different locations.     

Effects of buprofezin and diflubenzuron on various developmental stages of Asian citrus psyllid, Diaphorina citri

BACKGROUND: Diaphorina citri populations in Florida are developing resistance to commonly used neurotoxic insecticides. Alternatives to neurotoxins, such as insect growth regulators, are needed to control this season-long subtropical pest to prevent or delay development of insecticide resistance. In the present investigation, two insect growth regulators (IGRs), buprofezin and diflubenzuron, were evaluated against various developmental stages of D. citri. RESULTS: The 0–1-day-old D. citri eggs were more susceptible to buprofezin and diflubenzuron than the 3–4-day-old eggs. Adult emergence was completely suppressed by treating first- or third-instar nymphs with buprofezin or diflubenzuron at 30–240 or 23–184 µg mL⁻¹ rates respectively. Treatment of fifth-instar nymphs with diflubenzuron at a rate of 184 µg mL⁻¹ and with buprofezin at 30–240 µg mL⁻¹ rates resulted in approximately 20 and 15–80% reductions in adult emergence respectively. The mean number of eggs per plant was reduced at 5 days after topical treatment with diflubenzuron. Mean egg hatch per plant was reduced at 5 and 6–15 days after topical treatments with buprofezin and diflubenzuron respectively. CONCLUSION: Buprofezin and diflubenzuron effectively suppressed D. citri adult emergence. D. citri were more susceptible as early (first–third-instar) than late (fifth-instar) nymphs. Both IGRs inhibited egg production and egg hatch. Reduction in the number of subsequent offspring suggests reduced vertical transmission of Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus, the pathogen thought to cause citrus greening disease. The present results indicate that both IGRs tested here should be effective tools for rotation in insecticide-based D. citri management programs. Copyright © 2012 Society of Chemical Industry     

斯氏线虫-致病杆菌共生体侵染昆虫的生物标志物

昆虫病原线虫是一类专性侵染和寄生昆虫的病原线虫,是非常重要的生防资源。斯氏线虫属Steinernema和致病杆菌属Xenorhabdus通过形成共生体在侵染昆虫过程中共同完成生活史,其中致病杆菌释放效应物质引发昆虫败血症是其重要机制。该文对斯氏线虫-致病杆菌共生体的侵染策略和在侵染过程中产生的免疫调节因子、释放的毒素蛋白和活性代谢物进行概述,其中,苯乙酰胺作为免疫抑制因子促进自身定殖,脂多糖作为内毒素引起寄主血细胞裂解,Tc毒素蛋白作为外毒素导致寄主中肠上皮细胞溶解,活性代谢产物如xenematides、fabclavine和PAX肽等具有抑菌、诱导细胞凋亡等活性。而斯氏线虫本身也能够产生表皮/分泌蛋白来抑制寄主免疫,与共生菌协同致死寄主。因此,通过对斯氏线虫-致病杆菌共生体产生的致病物质进行汇总分析,为研究昆虫病原线虫致病机制提供理论参考,同时也为新型绿色杀虫剂的开发和应用提供证据支持。     

Predicting effective doses for the joint action of two fungicide applications

A function was derived to predict fungicide efficacy when more than one application of a single active ingredient is made to a crop, given parameters describing the dose–response curves of the component single-spray applications. In the function, a second application is considered to act on that proportion of the total pathogen population which was uncontrollable at the time of the first application (represented by the lower asymptote of the dose–response curve for the first treatment), plus any additional part of the population which survived the first application as a result of a finite dose being applied. Data to estimate the single-spray dose–response curve parameters and validate predictions of two-spray programme efficacy were obtained from separate subsets of treatments in four field experiments. A systemic fungicide spray was applied to wheat at a range of doses, at one or both of two times (t₁ and t₂), in all dose combinations. Observed values of the area under the disease progress curve (AUDPC) for septoria leaf blotch (Mycosphaerella graminicola) were used to construct response surfaces of dose at t₁ by dose at t₂ for each culm leaf layer. Parameters were estimated from single-spray and zero-dose treatment data only. The model predicted a high proportion (R² = 71–95%) of the variation in efficacy of the two-spray programmes. AUDPC isobols showed that the dose required at t₂ was inversely related to the dose at t₁, but the slope of the relationship varied with the relative timings of t₁ and t₂ in relation to culm leaf emergence. Isobols were curved, so the effective dose – the total dose required to achieve a given level of disease suppression – was lower when administered as two applications.     

Predicting yield loss in maize fields and developing decision support for post-emergence herbicide applications

This work was initiated to integrate an image analysis system and a prediction equation to support decisions for post‐emergence herbicide applications under field conditions. Data were collected from 1999 to 2001 in 32 commercial fields to obtain weed cover data at the three to four leaf stage of maize (Zea mays L.), and crop yield at maturity. Relative crop yield was predicted using a non‐linear sigmoidal equation with relative weed cover as the predictor variable (P < 0.0001; R² = 0.39). The decision procedure consists of using the equation within the limits of a yield loss threshold that represents the loss one is willing to tolerate. The tolerance threshold (TT) allows determination of a weed threshold (WT). The procedure considers the variability around the prediction equation by setting the WT at the intersection between the lower 95% confidence interval of the prediction line and the TT. It also considers the variability around the weed cover estimate. For a given field, the decision is made by comparing the average weed cover corrected for sampling error, to the WT. We tested the performance of the decision procedure and found it could lead to a saving of 25% of herbicide use. We also computed a probability table showing the chances of getting relative yield above or below the TT. We suggest using the probability table in combination with the decision procedure to manage risks. The proposed approach does not offer a set ‘yes’ or ‘no’ answer but rather provides a framework to support decisions by producers who ultimately must manage the risks.     

Modelling Chloris virgata germination and emergence under different temperature and light quality conditions

Chloris virgata is a problematic weed around the world. Prediction of weed germination rates could be a useful strategy to optimise timing of weed control actions. We studied the germination and emergence of C. virgata collected seeds under different after-ripening treatments and different exhumation dates after seed dispersal, to estimate seed dormancy level and predict weed emergence dynamics under field conditions. Three experiments were conducted under controlled conditions to determine base, optimum and maximum germination temperatures (T_b, T_o and T_m respectively) and comprised: (a) exposure of seeds to gradually increasing and decreasing temperatures between 5 and 35°C; (b) exposure of seeds to different constant temperatures; and (c) exposure of seeds to different light quality conditions (red – far red ratio) and temperature regimes (constant and alternating temperatures). To explore genuine environmental conditions, a field experiment was performed to determine weed emergence under different shading levels. Finally, with the data obtained, a thermal time model for dormancy release was used to predict C. virgata seedling emergence in the Argentine Pampas region. Seeds after-ripened in cold and wet conditions and constant 25°C showed the highest germination percentages. The values of T_b (7°C), T_o (28°C) and T_m (40°C) remained constant at all exhumation dates. Neither light quality nor thermal regime modified the final germination percentages. However, shading delayed seedling emergence under field conditions, even when it was adjusted by thermal time. These results may allow predicting C. virgata emergence in temperate regions and help to improve weed control in integrated weed management strategies.     

The thermal constant for timing the emergence of the Red Palm Weevil, Rhynchophorus ferrugineus (Oliv.) (Coleoptera, Curculionidae)

The pupal duration of the red palm weevil, Rhynchophorus ferrugineus (Oliv.) at two different temperatures revealed that the thermal threshold is –2.3°C, while the thermal constant is 423 degree days. Around 20.7 cycles of weevil emergence per year have been predicted in Egypt. A temperature between 44–45°C was found to be the higher threshold at which the pupae are killed. The heat units required for the pupal development were utilized to predict the dates of adult emergence throughout the year.     

Prediction of Heteranthera reniformis competition with flooded rice using day–degrees

In field studies carried out in 1992 and 1993, several durations of growth of Heteranthera reniformis Ruitz et Pavon were established in flooded rice (Oryza sativa L.) to evaluate weed influence on crop yield using day-degree predictive models for weed growth. H. reniformis was allowed to emerge at 7-day intervals from rice emergence until 49 days later. Weeds that emerged with the rice accumulated 403 day-degrees during the first 49 days. Weeds allowed to utilize 308 day-degrees had a dry weight reduction of 20% compared with plants that emerged with the rice. With the loss of all 403 day-degrees dry weight was reduced by about 95%. Maximum leaf area index (LAI) was 2.8, reached at 308 day-degrees. Weed density ranged from 48 to 5 plants m^-2 when all 403 day-degrees were accumulated or lost by the plant respectively. When the weed lost only 95 day-degrees out of the possible 403 (1 week's delay in emergence) rice yield was 34% and 39% lower in 1992 and 1993 respectively. When the weed was allowed to accumulate ail 403 day-degrees yield reduction reached 62% in 1992 and 68% in 1993, very similar to the control plot, which were maintained weedy throughout (64% and 70.5%). After an accumulation of 403 day-degrees the weed reduced the number of rice panicles by 45% in 1992 and 38% in 1993.     

关键环境因子对桃小食心虫出土羽化动态的影响

为明确有效积温、土壤含水量对桃小食心虫Carposina sasakii Matsumura出土羽化的影响,在室内控制土壤温、湿度的条件下测定了越冬代和第1代各生命阶段的有效积温,于2010—2015年在山西省临县枣园对越冬幼虫和成虫动态进行调查,并对田间土壤温度和含水量进行系统监测。结果表明:桃小食心虫室内越冬幼虫出土积温为258.2日度;而受5月份首次有效降雨日的影响,田间出土积温存在384.2~764.6日度的年度变化。土壤含水量对越冬幼虫出土模式及出土率有显著影响。持续干旱或土壤高湿均可导致双峰现象,土壤高湿的频繁出现还可显著降低幼虫出土率。通过6年田间监测数据的分析表明,越冬幼虫首现日与有效降雨日无显著相关性,而首现日有效积温(y)与降雨日有效积温(x)呈极显著正相关,回归方程为y=0.7758x+188.16(r=0.997,P0.001)。     

Population dynamics and economic threshold of the nematodes Radopholus similis and Pratylenchus goodeyi on banana in Australia

To help banana growers to decide when to apply nematicide, economic thresholds were determined for tropical north Queensland, subtropical south-east Queensland and northern New South Wales, Australia. This was done by monitoring nematode populations, root damage and growth parameters of bunching pseudostems in several commercial crops for several years. There was no significant consistent change in the disease index in consecutive years in any of the regions, although there was great variation between crops. However, on two crops in the tropics, the disease index of roots increased. To reduce the risk of not applying nematicide when required, the economic threshold was adjusted down to allow for this increase on some crops. In the tropics with a crop value of $25 000 ha^?1 year^?1, the economic threshold occurred at a root disease index = 9.2-15.6. In the subtropics with a crop value of $10 000-15 000, the economic threshold occurred at a root disease index = 20.5-35.5. In the subtropics, Radopholus similis (burrowing nematode) was as pathogenic as Pratylenchus goodeyi (lesion nematode) as measured by root necrosis. However, both nematodes were less pathogenic in the subtropics than was R. similis in the tropics. In the subtropics, R. similis tended to be more numerous in warmer months and P. goodeyi in cooler months.     

Factors affecting seed germination and emergence of Gomphrena perennis

Controlled growth chamber experiments were conducted to determine factors affecting seed germination and emergence of the troublesome weed Gomphrena perennis. The objective of this research was to examine the effects of temperature, light, moist chilling, osmotic potential, dry storage and depth of seed burial on G. perennis germination and emergence. The optimum temperature for germination was around 15–20°C. Seeds showed germination rates above 90% under 20/10 and 25/15°C temperature regimes. The minimum exposure to light needed to stimulate germination was 1 min. However, the light requirement was reduced after a long storage period. Furthermore, germination was high (>90%) in all moist‐chilling treatments tested. Germination was highly sensitive to increasing osmotic stress. The highest germination percentage (94%) was achieved at 0 MPa, and decreasing osmotic potential from 0 to ?0.3 MPa reduced germination to 11%. The highest seedling emergence occurred for seeds placed from 0 to 1 cm deep, and no seedlings emerged from a 5‐cm burial depth. Gomphrena perennis has a suitable environment in a no‐till soybean field, where seeds remaining on the surface have the required temperature, light and depth needed for germination.