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1.
Paleosols buried under kurgans of the Early (2nd-1st centuries BC), Middle (1st-2nd centuries AD) and Late (2nd-IV centuries AD) Sarmatian epochs were studied in dry steppes and desert steppes of the Lower Volga region (the Privolzhskaya and Ergeni Uplands and the Caspian Lowland). It was found that temporal variations in the morphological, chemical, microbiological, and magnetic properties of the paleosols in the interval of 2200–1600 BP were characterized by the cyclic pattern related to secular dynamics of climatic humidity with changes in the mean annual precipitation of ±30–50 mm. These climate changes did not transform chestnut paleosols and paleosolonetzes at the type or subtype taxonomic levels. However, they led to certain changes in the humus, carbonate, and salt profiles of the soils; in the character of solonetzic horizon B1; and in the state of microbial communities. According to these data, the Sarmatian time was characterized by alternation of micropluvial and microarid stages lasting fro about 100–200 years. In particular, the stages of humidization were observed in the 1st century BC-1st century AD and in the 4th century AD; the most arid conditions were observed in the second half of the 2nd and the first half of the 3rd century AD.  相似文献   

2.
Paleosols buried under kurgans of the Bronze (end of the fourth and the third millennia BC), Early Iron (1st–3rd centuries AD), and Medieval (13th century AD) epochs have been studied on the Ilovlya River (a tributary of the Don River) terrace. The evolution of chestnut soils in the south of the Privolzhskaya Upland during the last 5000 years has been traced. It is shown that the mean weighted contents and distribution of soluble salts, gypsum, and carbonates in the soil profiles have been subjected to cyclic changes. The total microbial biomass and its trophic structure in the A1, B1, and B2k horizons of paleosols of different ages have been determined. A comparative analysis of the morphological, chemical, and microbiological data on the paleosols of different ages has been used to reconstruct the climatic dynamics for the last 50 centuries. The aridity of the climate in the studied region increased at the end of the third-the beginning of the second millennia BC and in the second and third centuries AD. The humidization of the climate took place in the 1st and in the 12th–13th centuries AD.  相似文献   

3.
The investigation of paleosols of different ages buried under archaeological monuments of the Bronze (16th?C15th centuries BC), Early Iron (2nd?C3rd centuries AD), and Medieval (14th century AD) ages demonstrated that the evolution of chestnut soils and solonetzes in the dry steppes of the southern part of the Privolzhskaya Upland during the past 3500 years manifested itself at the level of the genus and species characteristics of the soils, such as the degree of the solonetzicity, the humus content, and the content and composition of the soluble salts. The revealed regularities of the variations of the morphological, chemical, and microbiological soil properties in time allowed reconstructing the secular dynamics of the climatic humidity in the region. It was found that the humidization of the climate with a decrease in the degree of the climatic continentality took place in the middle of the second millennium BC. The Late Sarmatian Time (2nd?C3rd centuries AD) was characterized by arid climatic conditions, whereas the Golden Horde time (13th?C14th centuries AD) was marked by the general humidization of the climate. A gradual aridization of the climate began in the second half of the 14th century and continued in the 15th century AD.  相似文献   

4.
The cross-referencing of sedimentological, stratigraphic, geoarchaeological and radiocarbon data enables us to establish the geomorphologic evolution of the Late Holocene coastal flood plain of the Turia River. The Holocene marine transgression formed a coastal barrier lagoon environment in the coastal plain. During the Late Holocene, increased sediments supplied to the low reach of the river promoted: (a): the progradation of deltaic coastal sandy ridges on the coastline and (b): the aggradation of the floodplain on top of the sedimentary sequence. Four phases are clearly recognised in the geoarchaeological record of the flood plain. (1): High magnitude flooding events (2800 BP to 3rd century BC). (2): Slow riverbed aggradation and progressive levee formation (low energy flood regime) in Roman times (2nd century BC to 5th century AD). (3): Swampy environmental processes (6th to 9th centuries). (4): Second high-magnitude flooding phase (11th century). The navigable channel of the Roman and early Islamic periods became a wide and shallow braided channel in Medieval times. These phases are correlated with others detected by researchers in many areas of the Mediterranean region and with global Holocene climate events.  相似文献   

5.
Paleosol studies of archaeological monuments of different ages have been conducted on the Transural Plateau. The morphological and physicochemical properties of paleosols under burial mounds (kurgans) of the Early Iron Age (the fifth and fourth centuries BC) were compared with the properties of background surface soils. A paleosol of the Savromat epoch (2500 BP) is characterized by high contents of gypsum and soluble salts. The presence of humus tongues in its profile attests to the aridity and continentality of the climatic conditions during that epoch. Paleosols buried under kurgans of the Late Sarmatian epoch and the Hun epoch (about 1600 BP) are characterized by a higher content of humus and greater depth of the carbonate horizon, which attests to the humidization of climatic conditions. The evolution of soils as related to climate dynamics in the first millennium BC and the first millennium AD is characterized.  相似文献   

6.
Buried soil chronosequences under a series of Early Alan kurgans (burial mounds) in the Vladikavkazkaya depression of the Northern Caucasus, Russia, were studied to derive a high-resolution paleoclimatic record from the variations of the selected paleosol properties. Haplic Chernozems occur under kurgans and on the actual land surface. Three kurgan cemeteries, Brut 1, Brut 2 and Beslan, dated from the end of the second to the beginning of the seventh centuries AD have been studied. The cemeteries are situated close to each other under similar lithological and geomorphological conditions but differed in the paleosols' preservation. The Brut 2 site has been recently altered due to annual ploughing and intensive irrigation for more than 30 years. The background soils and paleosols of the Brut 2 site have been compared with synchronous soils of non-irrigated Brut 1 and Beslan sites to detect pedogenic properties that are less changed by irrigation and thus comprise the “soil memory”. Stronger black color of humus horizon, increase of humus content and decrease of humus δ13C values; clear signs of biological activity, absence of morphological and analytical signs of solonetz properties; diffused carbonate white soft spots in the Bca horizon and decreasing carbonate content are thought to be related to the comparatively humid climatic conditions in the region. On the contrary, relatively low humus content, tongue-like lower boundary of humus horizon, increase of humus δ13C values, morphological signs of solonetz properties together with high content of exchangeable Na, relatively large and clearly shaped carbonate white soft spots in the paleosols of the Brut 2 site, as well as increase of density, thickness of the carbonate pseudomicellium and high carbonate content in the upper part of profiles in the paleosols of the non-irrigated Brut 1 site are assumed to be xeromorphic features, indicating comparatively drier climatic conditions. The paleosols of the earliest chronointerval of burial (the end of the second to the beginning of the third centuries AD) demonstrate clear xeromorphic properties which indicate a relatively dry climate with a mean annual precipitation 50–100 mm less than today. The estimated duration of the period with such climatic conditions is thought to be not less than 100 years. In addition, those paleosols have some weak signs of humid conditions indicating that between the end of the first and the middle of the second centuries AD the climate was getting more moist, mean annual precipitation became equal or slightly higher than today. The paleosols buried in the first half of the fifth century AD again demonstrate the gradual enhancement of xeromorphic properties reflecting the next stage of droughts. Thus, the period with favourable humid climate when the Early Alan culture flourished in the Northern Caucasus was relatively short (about 400 years). Studying the detailed chronosequence in the non-irrigated Brut 1 site the records of intercentennial time scale soil properties variability produced by comparatively “fast” pedogenic processes typical for the steppe zone i.e., humus formation and accumulation, bioturbation, carbonate accumulation and transformation and solonetzization, have been provided.  相似文献   

7.
Traditional chemical methods and 13C-NMR spectroscopy were used to study the humus in chestnut paleosols buried under kurgans of different ages (the 16th–15th centuries BC; the 1st, 2nd–3rd, and 13th–14th centuries AD) and under the Anna Ioanovna Rampart (1718–1720) and in their recent analogues on virgin plots. It was found that the decrease in the humus content of the paleosols as a result of the diagenetic processes is exponentially related to the age of the soil burial. The loss of humus from the upper 30 cm of the paleosol buried 3500 yrs ago amounted to 76 ± 14%, and this system did not reach a stationary state. The constants of the humus mineralization in the paleosols were determined. A tendency for an increase in the degree of the organic matter humification in the chestnut soils during the past 3500 yrs was found. With an increase in the age of the burial, the portion of aromatic structures in the structure of the humic acids increased and the portion of aliphatic fragments decreased. The cyclic changes in the composition of the humus related to the secular variations in the climatic humidity were identified.  相似文献   

8.
The studies of recent soils and paleosols buried under kurgans created in the periods of long-term aridization (3000–2000 BC) and climatic optimum (13th–14th centuries AD) were performed in steppes of the southeastern part of the East European Plain (Privolzhskaya Upland and Caspian Lowland) in order to determine the rate of carbon dioxide production by the soil samples at the natural moisture and after moistening up to 60% of the total moisture capacity. The CO2 emission from the samples of paleosols corresponding to the period of climatic aridization in the Lower Volga River at their natural moisture status was lower than that from the samples of background surface soils, whereas the CO2 emission from the samples of paleosols buried under optimum climatic conditions was higher than that from the samples of background surface soils. After moistening of the samples, the increase in the CO2 emission from the paleosol samples depended on the actual humidity of the climate in the corresponding period.  相似文献   

9.
Microbiological studies of paleosols buried under steppe kurgans of different ages of the Middle (I–II centuries AD) and Late Sarmatian (II–IV centuries AD) time in different regions of the Lower Volga steppes were carried out. The regularities of the soil microbial communities’ development were determined in the I–IV centuries AD by the climate dynamics and the replacement of the relatively humid conditions (the I century to the first half of the II century) by dry (the second half of the II century to the first half of the III century) and then again by humid (the end of the III century to the IV century) conditions. In the humid climatic periods, the active biomass of the microorganisms and its portion in the total microbial biomass and the Corg of the soil increased, the portion of microorganisms consuming plant residues increased in the ecological-trophic structure of the microbial community, and the index of oligotrophy decreased. These changes had an opposite direction in the arid climatic periods. The variations of the microbiological parameters relative to the century-long dynamics of the climate over the historical time were synchronous and unidirectional, though the studied soils were found in different soil-geographical zones (dry and desert steppe), natural regions (the Privolzhskaya and Ergeni uplands and the Caspian Lowland), and landforms (watersheds, river terraces, marine plains).  相似文献   

10.
Paleosols buried under steppe kurgans of the Golden Horde period (13th–14th centuries AD) in the Lower Volga basin are characterized by an increased humus content, lower salinity and gypsum content, and higher magnetic susceptibility of the soil material in comparison with the paleosols buried in the preceding period and the background surface soils. A comparative analysis of the morphological, chemical, and magnetic properties of the buried and surface soils allows us to conclude that an increase in climatic humidity within this dry region took place in the period of the high Middle Ages, with a peak in the 13th–14th centuries AD. The climatic change was manifested in the soil evolution at the taxonomic levels of soil genera and soil subtypes (in the ecotone zones). On the basis of measured magnetic susceptibility values, the mean annual precipitation levels in the Golden Horde period have been reconstructed. According to our estimates, the mean annual precipitation in the Lower Volga basin in that time was 30–80 mm higher than at present. The favorable paleoenvironmental and paleosol conditions of the Golden Horde period were important factors that affected the ethnic and political situation in the Lower Volga region.  相似文献   

11.
The regularities of the formation of the humus profiles in chernozems of the Azov province (“priazovskii chernozems”) were revealed from studying the paleosols of burial mounds (archeological monuments) of the Bronze Age, Early Iron Age, and Middle Ages. The principal differences in the geneses of different parts of the humus profiles were revealed. From 40 to 70% of the current humus reserves in the 1-m-thick layer were shown to be accumulated by the late 3rd and early 2nd millennia BC. In the following 4000 thousand years, the development of the upper soil layers was cyclic. In favorable climatic periods, the humus content increased and accumulation processes predominated. Under aridization, the humus mineralization was intensified, the humus content decreased to 3%, and its reserves did not exceed 18 kg/m2. The fluctuations in the humus reserves in the past were not higher than 30% as compared to the recent reference soils. They were most actively replenished from the 1st to the 8th centuries A.D., and the rate of this process reached 0.5 kg/m2 for 100 years. In the same period, the thickness of the layer with the humus content above 1% drastically increased. The illuviation of peptized organic matter and its further bioturbation upon the development of the solonetzic process had the greatest importance in the formation of the lower part of the humus profiles.  相似文献   

12.
Enzyme activities along a climatic transect in the Judean Desert   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
Xiangzhen Li  Pariente Sarah   《CATENA》2003,53(4):349-363
Soil enzymes have an important influence on nutrient cycling. We examined spatial and temporal patterns in dehydrogenase, arylsulfatase, alkaline and acid phosphatase activities, and their relationships with organic carbon and microbial biomass nitrogen at three sites in Israel representing different climatic regions: Mediterranean (humid), mildly arid and arid. The sites were selected along a climatic transect from the Judean Mountains in the west to the Dead Sea in the east of Israel. With increasing aridity, soil organic carbon, soil microbial biomass nitrogen, dehydrogenase, phosphatase and different pools of arylsulfatase activities decreased significantly. A sharp change in enzyme activities existed between 260- and 120-mm mean annual rainfall. The arylsulfatase activity of the microbial biomass in the 0–2- and 5–10-cm soil layers usually accounted for more than 50% of the total activity, and the fraction of total activity in the 0–2-cm soil layer of the arid sites was significantly greater than that of the humid site. Dehydrogenase and total and microbial biomass arylsulfatase activities were sensitive indicators of the climatic change along the transect. At the humid and mildly arid sites, the activities of dehydrogenase were less in the winter than in the summer and spring, whereas total and microbial biomass arylsulfatase activities were less in both summer and winter. At the arid site, lower values were observed in the summer at 0–2-cm soil depth. At all sites, lower alkaline phosphatase activities at 0–2 cm were observed in the summer, but there were no significant seasonal differences in acid phosphatase activities. These different seasonal patterns of enzyme activities are attributed to the enzyme source, and specific seasonal soil moisture and temperature conditions at the studied sites. The low dehydrogenase and microbial biomass arylsulfatase activities in the winter at the humid and mildly arid sites are explained by the cold and wet soil conditions, and the low enzyme activity in the summer at the arid site is attributed to the dry and hot soil conditions.  相似文献   

13.
This article pertains to the fluvial dynamics of rivers in southern Québec, in particular to the aggradation and pedogenetic processes observed in floodplains affected by periodic floods. The frequency of flood events, notably along the Saint-François River and its main tributaries, leads to fine materials being frequently deposited on floodplains and affected development of alluvial soils. Particle size and physical and chemical analyses have led to a better understanding of the dynamics involved in the formation of floodplains and the development of soils related to this fluvial environment. Also, sedimentological analyses (layer texture and thickness, microstructure) combined with radiocarbon dating (14C) and isotopic methods (210Pb, 226Rd) enabled the determination of sedimentation rates along the floodplains. The radiocarbon dating results obtained from the organic layers buried in alluvial soils show relatively variable ages, i.e. between 2210 ± 60 and 30 ± 70 years BP. The data gathered reveal an active overbank deposition, which shows evidence of the high flood recurrence in many rivers of the basin. It is estimated that the annual floodplain aggradation ranges from 1.0 to 7.6 mm yr− 1 on average, which causes increases in floodplain elevations (vertical accretion). The sedimentation rates obtained using the constant rate supply dating model (210Pb) show average values that range from 2.1 to 10.7 mm yr− 1. Also, the presence of contaminated layers at the lower level (> 100 cm) of the floodplains suggested an active sedimentation rates along the rivers affected by floods.  相似文献   

14.
The sensitivity of upland fluvial systems depends on the magnitude and frequency of sediment and flood producing events, modified by the internal coupling characteristics of the system. This paper assesses the role of hillslope/channel coupling for the sensitivity of upland geomorphic systems, using evidence from a 30-year monitoring programme of geomorphic change in the Carlingill valley, Howgill Fells, northwest England. In the hillslope zone, there is little sediment supply to the stream system. Locally, slope failures occur in response to extreme events (six such events in 30 years within the ca. 6 km2 Carlingill valley). In the footslope coupling zone, basally induced gullies are major sediment sources to the stream. Sediment-production events occur ca. 30 times per year, feeding sediment to basal debris cones. Stream floods which can entrain these sediments occur once every ca. 2–5 years. Stream channel morphology is adjusted to this regime. Downstream of gullies, channels are wide and braided; elsewhere they are narrow and single-thread. As the gullies develop, however, this coupling weakens and the eroding slopes eventually stabilise by revegetation. Over the 30-year monitoring period, there has been a progressive trend towards gully stabilisation, and an associated reduction in channel instability. Massive destabilisation may occur in response to rare extreme flood events. Such an event (return period >100 years) occurred in neighbouring Langdale and Bowderdale valleys in June 1982. That event destabilised the system, causing slope failures, fan deposition, and in some places, a switch in channel style to wide braided channels. Since 1982 there has been a progressive recovery by slope stabilisation and single-thread sinuous channels have become reestablished. A different style of extreme event occurred in Carlingill in October 1998, in response to the wettest week in the 30-year period. A slope failure fed debris flows 400 m downslope, almost coupling with the channel system. Future climatic change could render the system prone to destabilisation, through either extreme flood events or through major slope failures.  相似文献   

15.
West  S.  Charman  D.J.  Grattan  J.P.  Cherburkin  A.K. 《Water, air, and soil pollution》1997,100(3-4):343-353
South west England has a long history of mining and smelting activity, primarily focused upon the exploitation of tin (Sn), copper (Cu) and arsenic (As) in the mineralised zones of the upland areas. Fragmentary archaeological evidence exists for the exploitation of these mineral resources from the mid-Bronze Age onwards (ca. 1000 BC). This paper explores the usefulness of two peatland systems in revealing the history of trace metal pollution associated with this activity in the south west peninsula and further afield. Using quantitative XRF analyses it was possible to reconstruct the pollution histories for the two sites investigated by analysis of Cu, Zn, As and Pb. Results are presented both as element concentration profiles and as enrichment factors using ash content to normalise the data. Tor Royal, a large raised mire on Dartmoor, contained a regional signal suggesting that concentrations of trace metals began to rise following mid-Neolithic (ca. 2500 BC) disturbance activity on the moor. Sustained increases are noted from this period with a definite peak detected in peats dating from the period of Roman occupation (ca. AD 0-400). The Pb profile displays the characteristic industrial revolution increase and recent decline, the result of the decline in British Pb mining, and the use of lead based petrol additives. Crift Down, a small soligenous mire, displays a more local signal of which the most significant features include the high concentrations of lithogenic elements: rubidium (Rb), yttrium (Y) and uranium (U), and metals (Cu and Zn). Qualitative analyses of the sediments using EDMA provides qualified evidence of local Sn extraction and processing operations, known from archaeological excavations, to date from the Medieval period (10th to 14th centuries AD). Regional variations in atmospheric pollution are also recorded, particularly for Pb. The detection of early mineral exploitation in sediments of this kind is an important step in understanding the extent and nature of mining and smelting in the past history of south west England.  相似文献   

16.
Almog Ram  Yair Aaron   《CATENA》2007,70(3):437-442
Drylands are regarded as highly sensitive to climatic changes. A positive relationship between rainfall and environmental factors (water availability for plants, productivity, species diversity, etc.) is often assumed for areas with an annual rainfall of 100–300 mm. This assumption disregards the fact that a climatic change in arid and semi-arid areas is not limited to climatic factors. This change is often accompanied by a parallel change in surface properties. The alteration of surface properties may have opposite effects on the water regime and ecosystem characteristics. Data on rainfall, runoff, soil moisture regime, and vegetation cover were collected at five monitoring sites in a sandy area along the Israeli–Egyptian border, where average annual rainfall varies from 86 to 160 mm. Data obtained show a decrease in water availability for perennial plants with increasing annual rainfall, clearly expressed by a lower survival of perennial plants in the wetter area. Results obtained cast doubt of the prevailing idea regarding the positive relationship between average annual rainfall and ecosystem characteristics. The findings are attributed to the decisive role played by the non-uniform properties of the topsoil biological crusts along the rainfall gradient considered. Under wetter conditions a thick topsoil biological crust develops. This crust is able to absorb large rain amounts, limiting thus the depth of rainwater infiltration and water availability for the perennial vegetation. A better water regime was found in the drier area, where a thin crust allows deeper water infiltration and water concentration by surface runoff. The process described may be regarded as a desertification process with increasing annual rainfall.  相似文献   

17.
安康地区历史时期水旱灾害与城市迁移重建研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
通过对历史文献记载的安康地区水旱灾害系统的搜集、整理和分析,对灾害的时间和等级进行了研究,并将水旱灾害与安康城市迁移重建进行相关性分析,探讨了影响安康城市迁移重建的各种自然与人文因素。结果表明,安康地区自500BC-2000AD的2 500a中,共发生旱灾79次,平均31.65a发生一次;洪灾140次,平均每17.86a发生一次。500BC-1000AD间水旱灾害较少,此后增加,至1400AD后,水旱灾害发生频繁。特大洪灾是影响安康城市迁移重建的主要因素;多次迁回旧城,则是受到水运、农业、文化等多种因素的影响。  相似文献   

18.
Boreal forest soils have the potential to sequester large amounts of carbon by accumulating charcoal from fire. Some suggest that sequestration rates could be large enough to account for some of the missing sink in the global CO2 budget, but further data on soil charcoal pools are necessary to adequately develop boreal carbon budgets under a changing climate and fire regime. The primary objective of this study was to determine the amount of charred wood in surface mineral soil horizons (Ah) of the Boreal Transition of Saskatchewan, a fire-prone grassland forest ecotone region of western Canada. A second objective was to use the charcoal data to infer vegetation dynamics and the development of these Ah horizons as a function of parent material type, i.e. glacio-fluvial, glacio-lacustrine and glacial till. The latter objective served to provide information in regards to future vegetation shifts and ecosystem C budgets of Boreal Plain ecosystems under climatic warming. The carbon fraction measured as charcoal is an important component of organic matter in Ah horizons of Chernozemic soils in Saskatchewan and differs from the classical model of humus fractions in Chernozems which suggests that it is a system created from microbial degradation of root litter only. The carbon sequestered as charcoal within the whole ecoregion was estimated at 36.1 Tg, which is the lower limit of the global annual rate of charcoal accumulation in terrestrial environments estimated from experimental fires. Charcoal pools were consistently lower in the fluvial soils relative to the lacustrine and till soils. We suggest a model where dry conditions and low water availability prevailing under the coarser fluvial soils during the Holocene favoured the dominance of low productivity herbaceous vegetation that led to a high ash to charcoal production ratio from fire and to the development of relatively thick Ah horizons through below ground additions of organic matter from root decay. We propose that the more available water in lacustrine and till soils favoured the growth of trembling aspen which, through less frequent/intense fires relative to grasslands and incomplete burning of the woody material, led to high charcoal accumulation rates in soil. The development of thick Ah horizons in lacustrine soils likely occurred during a warm and dry period of the early Holocene (i.e. the hypsithermal) when herbaceous vegetation invaded forested land or during dry spells in the mid to late Holocene (e.g. the Medieval Warm Period) when opening of forest canopies occurred, thus augmenting light transmission to the forest floor and favouring the growth of herbaceous vegetation in the understory. Such events did not create deep Ah horizons in the tills soils as a consistent rock impediment near the surface limited the penetration of understory roots at greater depth. These results suggest that fluvial sites my be the first shifting to herbaceous vegetation in the future due to climatic warming, followed by till sites and then lacustrine sites.  相似文献   

19.
Many previous studies have attributed the degradation in the Mu Us Desert in China to many centuries of human activity. The present study includes analysis of proxies of human activity such as arable land area, population and livestock number, and variations of precipitation, evaporation, temperature, sand‐driving wind and dust events, covering the period since 1950. It is demonstrated that desertification and vegetation rehabilitation during this period were principally related to the climatic variation, especially correlated to sand‐driving winds. It also suggests that the desert evolution in the past 2000 years was controlled by climate change rather than human activity. Although human activity was significant in the desert evolution processes over the past 50 years, the impacts seems to be overestimated in previous studies. Desertification and desert evolution in the Mu Us Desert are mainly in response to climatic trends and fluctuations. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

20.
Climate change is causing many organisms to migrate to track climatically-suitable habitat. In many cases, this will happen naturally, but in others, human intervention may be necessary in the form of ‘assisted colonisation’. Species re-establishments in suitable parts of their historic ranges provide an opportunity to conserve some species and to test ideas about assisted colonisation. Here, bioclimatic models of the distributions of two extinct British butterflies, Aporia crataegi and Polyommatus semiargus, were used to investigate the potential for re-establishment in Britain. Generalised additive models and generalised linear models were created to describe the species’ European distributions for the period 1961–1990. All models projected the British climate during this period to be suitable for both species. Thirty-year climate projections for the periods 1991–2020 and 2021–2050, and for three climate change scenarios, were then put into the models to generate projections of climatic suitability throughout the 21st century. British climate was projected to remain highly suitable for A. crataegi, but to decline somewhat for P. semiargus. Southern and eastern Britain were found to be the areas most likely to support suitable climate. This difference between the species appeared to be due in part to decreasing summer rainfall in climate change projections, as this should only benefit A. crataegi. It is concluded that, with further study of habitat requirements, both species could be reintroduced to Britain as part of a long-term European conservation strategy.  相似文献   

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