Comparison of biomass estimates from multiple stratification approaches in a swept area method for Pacific saury Cololabis saira in the western North Pacific

Fishery-independent surveys using sea surface trawl nets for Pacific saury Cololabis saira in the western North Pacific since 2003 have enabled the investigation of their annual distribution patterns and total biomass during June and July, prior to the main fishing season in Japan. We compared biomass estimates and their associated variances derived based on five different post-stratification approaches in a swept area method, and then observed that these approaches have little effect on biomass estimates and their precision, owing to well-organized survey designs and homogeneously allocated sampling stations. We were able to utilize decreasing biomass estimates for 15 years as an essential abundance index in the ongoing stock assessment. Notably, examination based on stratification along with longitudinal survey lines indicated that the estimated biomass had decreased in the western survey area, resulting in an eastward shift in the gravity center of Pacific saury distribution after 2010. We recommend biomass estimation in an east–west direction based on longitudinal stratification as an effective measure to develop population dynamics models which reflect westward migration into the fishing grounds around Japanese coastal waters, and to forecast the expected catch during the subsequent fishing period.

     

Comparisons of monthly and geographical variations in abundance and size composition of Pacific saury between the high-seas and coastal fishing grounds in the northwestern Pacific

The monthly and geographical abundances and size compositions of Pacific saury were compared between the high-seas and coastal fishing grounds in the northwestern Pacific during 2000–2005 based on Taiwanese fishery data. The large-sized saury was dominant (44.3–71.4% of the catch) in the beginning of the fishing season, while the medium-sized saury followed and dominated from September to the end of the fishing season (70.1–92.4% of the catch). In the high seas, the total catch per unit effort (CPUE) (about 71.2% of the mean coastal value) and both the large- (about 55.0%) and medium-sized saury CPUEs (about 81.8%) were significantly smaller than those in the coastal waters. The mean proportions of the large- and medium-sized saury in the high-seas catch were about 86.6 and 107.0% of the coastal values, respectively. CPUEs for the total catch and the catch of medium-sized saury varied in a highly consistent way. The total and medium-sized CPUEs were negatively correlated with the sea-water temperature. When the temperature was held the same statistically, the total and medium-sized CPUEs were larger in the shoreward, southward, and shallower waters of the fishing grounds, while the large-sized CPUE was larger in the shoreward waters.     

西北太平洋秋刀鱼舷提网捕捞技术

自2003年我国大陆成功开发了西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔场之后，秋刀鱼已逐步进入中国大陆市场。对于秋刀鱼捕捞技术，在历经刺网、围网等渔具后，现基本以舷提网捕捞作业为主。根据2004年6—10月大连“国际903”号生产调查船在西北太平洋海域进行探捕调查的生产情况，对秋刀鱼舷提网的捕捞技术，从渔捞设备至捕捞具体操作技术进行介绍。     

基于贝叶斯Schaefer模型的西北太平洋秋刀鱼资源评估和管理

秋刀鱼(Cololabis saira)是西北太平洋温带海域的主要捕捞对象之一,也是西北太平洋渔业重要的组成部分。本研究根据北太平洋渔业委员会(NPFC)统计的2003～2017年渔获量数据以及中国秋刀鱼组织提交的单位捕捞努力渔获量数据(Catch per unit effort, CPUE),基于贝叶斯Schaefer剩余产量模型,分基准方案和敏感性分析方案对西北太平洋秋刀鱼资源状况进行了评估,并对其管理策略做了风险分析。结果显示,基准方案和敏感性分析方案下模型参数预测值以及生物学参考点估计值比较相近。在基准方案下,估算的最大可持续产量(Maximumsustainableyield,MSY)为75.26×10~4t,最大可持续产量的资源量BMSY为240.14×10~4t,此时的捕捞死亡率为0.32。在敏感性分析方案下,估算的最大的可持续产量MSY为70.03×104t,最大可持续产量的资源量BMSY为232.53×104t,此时的捕捞死亡率为0.31。该海域秋刀鱼资源状况良好,未经受过度捕捞。风险评估分析表明,为使秋刀鱼资源可持续利用,需将捕获率设定在0.3左右。     

西北太平洋秋刀鱼CPUE标准化研究

秋刀鱼(Cololabis saira)是西北太平洋海域重要的渔业种类之一,其资源评估工作已成为热点问题,单位捕捞努力量渔获量(CPUE)标准化可以为开展有效的资源评估研究提供科学依据。为此,本研究利用2003~2017年中国大陆西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔业生产统计资料,结合卫星遥感获得的海洋环境数据,如海表面温度、海表温度梯度、海表面高度等,基于广义线性模型(General linear model, GLM)和广义可加模型(Generalized additive model, GAM)对中国大陆西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔业进行CPUE标准化。结果显示,根据BIC准则,在GLM模型结果中,年份、月份、经度、纬度、海表面温度、海表面高度、海表温度梯度及年份与月份对CPUE具有显著影响,并组成了GLM模型的最佳模型,对CPUE偏差的解释率为52.47%;在GAM模型结果中,除上述8个影响变量外,交互项月份与经度和月份与纬度也对CPUE影响较大,GAM的最佳模型对CPUE偏差的解释率为61.9%。通过5-fold交叉验证分析发现,GAM模型标准化结果较优于GLM模型,更适合于西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔业CPUE标准化。     

基于GAM和权重分析的西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔情预报研究

为了提高秋刀鱼(Cololabis saira)渔情预报模型的时空分辨率,提升生产经济效益,本研究基于2013-2016年7-11月中国在西北太平洋公海的秋刀鱼生产数据及海洋环境数据,利用广义可加模型(generalized additive models,GAM)分别拟合单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per un...     

北太平洋秋刀鱼生活史和资源渔场研究进展

北太平洋秋刀鱼(Cololabis saira)是中国重要的远洋渔业鱼种,被北太平洋渔业委员会列为优先管理的种类之一。本文回顾和概述了秋刀鱼生活史、种群动力、资源渔场和栖息地适宜性等方面的研究进展,分析和展望了秋刀鱼生长生物学、繁殖生物学、洄游、资源波动和栖息地适宜性等研究现状和未来的发展趋势。主要建议包括:基于耳石微化学信息和最适环境参数的时空分布变动,探索秋刀鱼潜在的洄游路径和模式;建立繁殖栖息地适应性指数模型,分析海洋气候对秋刀鱼补充群体潜在栖息地的影响;建立秋刀鱼集群栖息地适宜性指数模型,开发秋刀鱼渔场渔情速报系统。本文的概述和分析旨在为秋刀鱼渔业资源等相关研究提供参考。     

Locations of early fishing grounds of saury in the northwestern Pacific

In the north-western Pacific, we found that locations of early fishing grounds of Pacific saury, Cololabis saira, are affected by two factors, the size composition and the meridional shift of the offshore Oyashio Front (OOF). Early fishing grounds are formed nearshore from the central Kuril Islands to Hokkaido in northward OOF years. In southward OOF years, they are far from the coasts. There also exists a tendency that early fishing grounds are formed south-westward (north-eastward) in years when a large (medium or small) size class of saury is dominant and when the OOF shifts north (south). These results support the hypothesis that saury migration is considerably influenced by oceanographic conditions, and that a large size class of saury leads to migration that can reach the vicinity of Japan early in the fishing season.     

福建海区单拖渔业现状浅析

本文根据1998-2003年福建海区拖网渔业资源监测以及1995-1997年间闽南台湾浅渔场单拖渔业资源调查、1998年和2000-2001年福建海区拖网定点调查的资料,论述和分析福建海区单拖渔业的现状。结果表明:目前整个单拖渔业虽然船数削减,实际却加大渔船功率,作业时间延长,促使年产量、单位产量不断提高,导致渔获组成发生很大变化,由低质小型鱼类、生命周期短的头足类、虾蟹类支撑,渔获鱼类质量较差,经济效益下降;另一方面头足类、虾蟹类资源量年间波动性较大,易受捕捞过渡影响,很难长时间承担目前捕捞压力。为此,文中提出加强严格实行"双控制度"及控制网目规格等管理建议和意见,为有关渔业管理和生产部门提供参考依据。     

西北太平洋公海7~9月秋刀鱼渔场分布及其与水温的关系

根据2003~2005年7~9月西北太平洋公海秋刀鱼生产数据和水温遥感数据,对西北太平洋公海秋刀鱼作业渔场分布及其与表温和上层水温结构的关系进行了分析。结果认为,随着时间的推移,7~9月西北太平洋公海秋刀鱼渔场重心有从西南向东北变动的趋势;各月产量重心处水温结构有较大差异,9月混合层深度较7月和8月有所加深,渔场也较后者向北移动;各月高产渔区0~15m温度梯度都在0.25℃/m以下,0~40m温度梯度在0.1℃/m左右,40~60m温度梯度在0.25~0.42℃/m之间。灰色关联度分析表明,渔区月产量受到众多因素的影响,其中捕捞努力量、渔区平均日产量和表温是其主要影响因子,对渔区平均日产量影响较大的有表温、0~15m温度梯度、0~40m温度梯度和月份,其关联度都在0.80以上。     

Identifying historical baseline at the onset of exploitation to improve understanding of fishing impacts

1. Marine communities have long been impacted by human activities, but the quantification of human‐driven changes often relies on recent data. This is because historical data on fish populations are lacking and are challenging to include in contemporary stock and ecological assessments. As a result, the impacts of early fishing pressure on marine communities are generally poorly documented worldwide.
2. Marine communities of Southeast Australia have a relatively short history of exploitation compared with other temperate systems and were sampled before and after the onset of commercial fishing. As such, they provide a rare opportunity to identify historical baselines and to understand ecological changes after the onset of commercial exploitation.
3. This study compares survey data collected around Tasmania, Southeast Australia, in 1909–1910 with data from the 1980s. The period considered precedes the establishment of a trawl fishery in Southeast Australia in 1915, of other important commercial fisheries in Tasmania, and of a fisheries data collection programme in 1984. Nominal catch rates are used to examine changes across all families of demersal fish recorded in catches and generalized linear models are used to estimate and compare standardized indices of abundance between the 1909–1910 and 1980s data for key commercial families.
4. Results show significant, and thus far unreported, fishing‐induced changes in marine communities after the establishment of commercial fishing in the region. Changes mostly relate to shifts in catch composition and steep declines in the abundance of the main commercial families.
5. This study illustrates a method for analysing low‐quality historical catch data and provides estimates of pre‐commercial fishing abundance that can be included in stock and ecological assessments. More broadly, this study demonstrates the significant role of early fishing in shaping marine communities and increases our understanding about general patterns of exploitation that have been difficult to identify with longer but less detailed fishing histories.

     

Oceanographic factors affecting interannual recruitment variability of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the central and western North Pacific

Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) has a short life span of 2 years and tends to exhibit marked population fluctuations. To examine the importance of sea surface temperature (SST) and mixed layer depth (MLD) as oceanographic factors for interannual variability of saury recruitment in early life history, we analyzed the relationship between abundance index (survey CPUE (catch per unit of effort)) of age‐1 fish and the oceanographic factors in the spawning and nursery grounds of the previous year when they were born, for the period of 1979–2006, in the central and western North Pacific. Applying the mixture of two linear regression models, the variability in the survey CPUE was positively correlated with previous year's winter SST in the Kuroshio Recirculation region (KR) throughout the survey period except 1994–2002. In contrast, the survey CPUE was positively correlated with the previous year's spring MLD (a proxy of spring chlorophyll a (Chl‐a) concentration) in the Kuroshio‐Oyashio Transition and Kuroshio Extension (TKE) during 1994–2002. This period is characterized by unusually deep spring MLD during 1994–1997 and anomalous climate conditions during 1998–2002. We suggest that saury recruitment variability was generally driven by the winter SST in the KR (winter spawning/nursery ground), or by the spring Chl‐a concentration (a proxy of prey for saury larvae) in the TKE (spring spawning/nursery ground). These oceanographic factors could be potentially useful to predict abundance trends of age‐1 saury in the future if the conditions leading to the switch between SST and MLD as the key input variable are elucidated further.     

Modelling the impacts of environmental variation on habitat suitability for Pacific saury in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean

We developed habitat suitability index (HSI) models for two size classes of Pacific saury Cololabis saira in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. Environmental data, including sea surface temperature, sea surface height, salinity, and net primary production, and catch and effort data from Taiwanese distant‐water stick‐held dip net fisheries during the main fishing season (August–October) during 2002–2015 were used. Habitat preferences and suitable habitat area differed between size classes. The suitable habitat was located between 40–47.5°N and 145–165°E for large‐sized Pacific saury but encompassed a greater area (35–47°N and 140–165°E) for medium‐sized Pacific saury. Both size classes were affected by substantial interannual variation in the environmental variables, which in turn can be important in determining the potential fishing grounds. We found a significant negative relationship between the suitable habitat area and the Niño3.4 indices with a time‐lag of 6 months for the large‐sized (r = ?0.68) and medium‐sized (r = ?0.42) Pacific saury, respectively, as well as the total landings of Pacific saury by all fishing fleets (r = ?0.46). As remotely‐sensed environmental data become increasingly available, HSI models may prove useful for evaluation of possible changes in habitat suitability resulting from climate change or other environmental phenomena and in formulating scientific advice for management.     

Interannual variation in pelagic juvenile rockfish (Sebastes spp.) abundance – going with the flow

We report results from 28 yr of a midwater trawl survey of pelagic juvenile rockfish (Sebastes spp.) conducted off the central California coast. The fishery‐independent survey is designed to provide pre‐recruit indices of abundance for use in groundfish stock assessments. Standardized catch rate time series for 10 species were developed from delta‐generalized linear models that include main effects for year, station, and calendar date. Results show that interannual fluctuations of all 10 species are strongly coherent but highly variable, demonstrating both high‐ and low‐frequency components. A similarly coherent result is observed in the size composition of fish, with large fish associated with elevated catch rates. In contrast, spatial and seasonal patterns of abundance show greater species‐specific differences. A comparison of the shared common trend in pelagic juvenile rockfish abundance, derived from principal components analysis, with recruitments from five rockfish stock assessments shows that the time series are significantly correlated. An examination of oceanographic factors associated with year‐to‐year variability indicates that a signature of upwelled water at the time of the survey is only weakly related to abundance. Likewise, basin‐scale indices (the Multivariate El Niño‐Southern Oscillation Index, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation, and the Northern Oscillation Index) are poorly correlated with abundance. In contrast, sea level anomalies in the months preceding the survey are well correlated with reproductive success. In particular, equatorward anomalies in the alongshore flow field following the spawning season are associated with elevated survival and poleward anomalies with poor survival.     

Spatial and temporal migration modeling for stock of Pacific saury Cololabis saira (Brevoort), incorporating effect of sea surface temperature

ABSTRACT:   A model is proposed that expresses the spatial and temporal migration pattern for stock of Pacific saury Cololabis saira (Brevoort), in order to investigate the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) on migration rates. Two factors are considered: (i) Saury emigrate to waters of an optimal SST zone; and (ii) saury immigrate from water zone that is extremely cold for saury. Parameters of migration and initial levels of stock are estimated with a maximum likelihood method based on catch per unit effort (CPUE) data for 1995–2001. The best model was selected using Akaike's information criteria. The results suggested that the emigration rate to southern adjacent regions is dependent on the coverage proportion of their waters under some threshold temperatures; 20°C to Doutou and Sanriku, 23°C to Joban and Izu.     

Recruitment abundance index of Pacific bluefin tuna using fisheries data on juveniles

ABSTRACT:   The recruitment abundance index of Pacific bluefin tuna Thunnus orientalis was estimated from 1980 to 2003 fishing year by using the troll fishery data in Nagasaki Prefecture, western Japan. It has been shown that the troll fishery in Nagasaki Prefecture operates with good time–area coverage of the species habitat, and that the fishing power slightly changed during the period analyzed, based on fisheries statistics, published information, and interviews with the fishers. Average catch per unit effort (CPUEs) were standardized by a generalized linear model (GLM) considering the effects of fishing year, season and landing area. Standardized CPUE of age-0 bluefin tuna showed larger fluctuations year by year than the nominal CPUE combined for all ages. High CPUEs in fishing years of 1981, 1994, 1996 and 1999 were observed. Data from these years agreed with the higher recruitments estimated by virtual population analysis (VPA) or higher catch of age-0 fish reported for the Pacific side. The age-specific standardized CPUE of age-0 bluefin tuna in this study was judged to be a useful indicator of recruitment.     

Migration route of Pacific saury Cololabis saira inferred from the otolith hyaline zone

In order to establish the migration route of Pacific saury Cololabis saira, we measured the radius of otolith annual rings (ROA) in fish collected from areas off the Japanese coast up to 165°W in June and July (pre-fishing season) and from fishing grounds in August?CNovember (fishing season). The average ROA for six sea areas that each spanned 10° of longitude sampled during the pre-fishing season were compared with data obtained during each month of the fishing season. The average ROA decreased from west to east and also decreased monthly from August to November. The average ROA of fish caught after October at the peak of the fishing season was equivalent to that of the fish caught in the areas east of 160°E or 170°E. We conclude that Pacific saury caught by Japanese fishing vessels during the peak of the fishing season migrate from an area east of 160°E.     

两类强度厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜事件对中国近海鲐鱼栖息地的影响

中西太平洋热带海域是世界上最大的鲣 (Katsuwonus pelamis) 渔场。为合理开发和利用中西太平洋围网鲣自由鱼群的渔业资源,根据1995—2019年中西太平洋渔业委员会的围网鲣数据计算资源丰度指数,得出渔场重心,并结合海表温度 (Sea surface temperature, SST)、海洋尼诺指数 (Oceanic Niño Index, ONI) 进行皮尔森相关性分析。结果显示,单位捕捞努力量渔获量 (Catch per unit effort, CPUE) 可用于表征自由鱼群渔场重心的资源丰度,且与暖池重心经度以及右边缘经度有显著相关性;渔场重心与暖池指标 (暖池重心经度与右边缘经度) 的相对位置以及变动趋势在不同气候模式下存在差异,而在同一气候模式中相同。结果表明,渔场重心可通过暖池重心的变化进行预测,而通过构建暖池场与自由鱼群资源丰度的时空分布关系发现,暖池右边缘能够与自由鱼群的空间分布产生联系,为商业性捕捞围网鲣自由鱼群提供渔场边界的指示,为其资源开发与养护提供科学依据。     

以遥感夜间灯光数据为基础的西北太平洋秋刀鱼渔船识别

研究和开发利用大洋性生物资源是实现我国海洋渔业可持续发展的重大战略需求,西北太平洋秋刀鱼是近年来我国重点开发的大洋性渔业资源之一,因此利用卫星来监测渔船时空分布动态成为了解秋刀鱼渔业资源变动的重要数据源。本研究采用峰值检测和阈值分割等方法对西北太平洋夜间灯光数据进行识别,利用地理信息系统技术对渔船位置信息和数量进行提取分析。通过西北太平洋秋刀鱼资源调查的渔捞日志和经过筛选的北太平洋渔业委员会(NPFC)渔船列表数据对识别结果进行验证。结果显示,本研究所用的夜间灯光渔船识别方法可以精确识别西北太平洋密集作业及外围分散作业的秋刀鱼渔船。以此为基础可以有效地分析秋刀鱼渔场的时空变动。结合美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)提供的海表温度(SST)数据绘制等温线,进一步分析作业渔场的时空变化,发现夜间灯光渔船作业的温度范围随着秋刀鱼洄游而变化。2016年7—9月渔场的SST波动较大是因为这一时期秋刀鱼在黑潮—亲潮广泛的交汇区域洄游,分布更为广泛,9月之后作业渔场SST变动趋于稳定。该研究结果将来会对远洋渔场环境实时变化、鱼群分布预测、渔船动态及法律支撑等提供有效信息。     

Fishing agreements in the lower Amazon: for gain and restraint

Abstract  Co-management agreements, whereby community rules for the management of local floodplain lake fisheries are legalised and enforced by the government, have become common in the lower Amazon. Agreements are intended to limit exploitation, in particular by commercial boats, to raise stock abundance and fisheries productivity for the benefit of local subsistence-oriented fishers and for conservation. A spatially replicated observational study was carried out to evaluate the performance of fishing agreements in terms of perceived rule compliance and actual impacts on fishing activities, catch and catch per unit of effort (CPUE, a measure of fisheries productivity and proxy for stock abundance). Perceived rule compliance was high, and this was corroborated by observed changes in fishing practices. Catch per unit of effort was significantly higher (by 48% on average) in areas subject to fishing agreements than in control areas without. Most likely this effect was attributable to the effective exclusion of mobile commercial fishing boats. Household fishing effort and catch in local communities were not significantly affected by the agreements, although a tendency towards slightly higher catches at lower effort was noticeable. In conclusion, the co-management agreements have led to greater local control over resources and brought significant productivity and conservation benefits.