An Empirical Analysis on the Connection between China''s Stock Market and Economic Growth

The connection between China's Stock Market and Economic Growth is always regarded by economic and finances studies. For the time limit of the developing of stock market and the difficulty of data's collection, it is still in studying that the connection between stock market and economic growth, especially the causation versus regression. By the method of Demirguc - Kunt and Levine,this paper empirically tests the connection between China's stock market and economic growth on the season serial data from 1995 to 2000.The test indicates that there are insignificant between them.     

An Empirical Analysis on the Correlation between China''s Stock Market and Economic Growth

The correlation between China stock market and economic growth is always regarded by economic and financial studies. For the time limit of the developing of stock market and the difficulty of data's collection, it is still in studying that the correlation between stock market and economic growth, especially the causation versus regression. By the method of Demirguc - Kunt and Levine,this paper empirically tests the correlation between China's stock market and economic growth on the seasons serial data from 1995 to 2000. The conclusion is that the relationship economic growth between stock market is unilateral.     

The Analysis of Interrelations Between Regional Economic Growth and Savings

The interrelations between the regional economic growth and savings are analyzed by using Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test based on error correction model. The results show that the economic growing is one of the main factors that raise the amount of saving but don't increase the saving growth rate in all three regions. Also the increase of saving could result in the eastern and weatern region's economic growth to some extent, but it does't affect the central region's economic growth. Therefore, some actions which drive the economic growth have to be taken in order to raise the saving, and the increase of the saving scale have to be controled to improve the regional economic growth.     

信息化建设与经济增长关系的实证研究

本文以顺义区为例,利用修正的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数和现代计量方法分析资金、劳动力和信息技术进步这三个生产要素对区域经济增长的贡献和影响,并对顺义区经济增长的稳定性进行了验证。结果表明信息化建设对地区经济增长具有显著的推动作用,能有效促进当地经济的增长。     

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Financial Development

This paper discusses the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Some essential Chinese macroeconomic datum during late twenty years which include Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the whole economy,state and private sectors,investment in fixed Assets,financial relative rate and real interest rate estimated in a multivariate vector auto regression (VAR) framework. The estimates suggest that financial development boosts GDP growth, and it does not exist in reverse.     

兰州-白银经济区高新技术产业集聚与区域经济增长关系的实证分析

以兰州-白银经济区的高新技术产业为研究对象,依据2000—2011年的时间序列数据,采用区位熵指数对高新技术产业的集聚水平进行测度,并在此基础上,对高新技术产业的集聚与经济增长的关系进行协整及格兰杰因果检验,进而构造VAR模型并得到脉冲响应函数。实证结果表明：兰白经济区的高新技术产业已经形成了集聚且集聚度呈稳定增长的趋势,同时,高新技术产业的集聚与经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系。最后分析得出兰白经济区的高新技术产业集聚是一种政府主导型的集聚模式,并提出了相应的政策建议。     

Empirical Analysis on Stock Market and Real Estate Market Wealth Effect in China

Based on the Modigliani's Life-Cycle Hypothesis of consumption,and relevant data,the paper empirically studies stock market and real estate market wealth effect in China by using the method of unit root test and cointegrating regression.The results show that,regardless of short-run effect and long-run effect,the stock market wealth has significantly negative effect on civil' consumption level,but real estate market wealth or housing market wealth has significantly positive effect on civil' consumption level.     

中部地区产业结构演变与经济增长关系研究

以1995-2009年统计数据为基础,利用偏离-份额分析法（SSM）重点探究了中部地区的产业结构演替与经济增长之间的关系,为各省调整产业结构、促进中部崛起提供理论指导。结果表明：1.中部地区产业结构变化总体与产业结构演进的一般规律相符。2.中部地区产业结构演替对经济发展的影响情况分为：江西和安徽产业结构偏离为负,竞争力偏离份额为负;山西和河南产业结构偏离为正,竞争力偏离份额为负;湖北和湖南产业结构偏离为负,竞争力偏离份额为正等3种类型。3.产业结构变迁对各省经济增长的影响差异较大。     

江苏省耕地变化与经济发展关系的实证研究

研究利用Eviews 8.0 软件,采用Chow检验、ADF检验、协整分析、AIC准则以及Granger 因果关系检验等计量经济方法,旨在分析1978—2009 年间江苏省耕地面积变化与经济增长之间的关系,并对江苏省耕地变化与经济发展关系的阶段性特征做出总结。结果表明：自1978 年以来,江苏省耕地面积与经济发展大致经历了2 个阶段：第一阶段(1978—1991)是互为因果关系,在该阶段内江苏省经济增长主要以耕地的牺牲为代价。第二阶段(1992—2009)是单向因果关系,在该阶段内耕地资源数量减少为经济发展提供了土地保障的作用,但经济增长并不是耕地资源数量变化的原因。从1978—2009 这一长期阶段来看,江苏省在这一时间段内经济增长与耕地变化存在单向因果关系,即耕地面积数量变化对经济的发展产生了积极的影响,但经济发展并不是耕地面积减少的原因。通过对江苏省1978—2009 年各阶段耕地变化与经济发展之间的关系进行探究,对如何处理耕地面积减少与经济发展之间的关系提出建议,这对今后经济发展与耕地变化相关问题的研究具有一定的借鉴意义。     

Selection Theory and Method of Stock Investment Strategy

The author analyzes and concludes the factors that affect the stock market, and gives out the theory basis of the model and its feasibility; Then, based on the related knowledge of statistics and unit exchange, the selection theory and its corresponding model of stock investment strategy are gotten to describe the risk situation of stock market. At last, the author concludes the selection method of stock investment strategy and does the empirical study to prove that the strategy is both right and efficient.     

Analysis on the Track of Chinese Financial Development and Economic Growth

This paper discussed the long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth of china is examined in a multivariate vector auto regression (VAR) framework. And validate whether the economics of china according with hypothesis brought forward by the economist of Yale University Hugh T. Patrick. And the hypothesis was from two theories; one is "demand-following"; the other is "supply-leading". The conclusion of this paper examines the economic growth of China is true of the hypothesis.     

高品质番茄产业链技术经济分析的方法与实证

开展农业技术经济效果评价研究,对于探寻适宜的农业生产策略具有指导意义。本研究运用农业技术经济分析的传统因素分析法,并进行了创新,对高品质番茄产业链技术经济效果进行了分析。结果表明：影响番茄生产成本产值率的一级指标是产量、价格、成本,以价格对成本产值率的影响指数最大;影响番茄生产成本产值率的二级指标是新销售方式、新技术、新品种,各二级指标对成本产值率的影响指数大小顺序是生产规模和地域因素、番茄采后保鲜袋包装技术、番茄流通销售保鲜技术;构建了番茄产业链的有效技术经济模式。     

Income Distribution and Growth--Survey of Theories and Empirical in Modern Western Economics

Economic growth and income distribution are two of the major subjects in international economic studies. Perforce theory believes that inequality improve growth. Endogenous economic growth theory shows that inequality is harmful for growth. After summarizing western theory on growth and income distribution, this paper gives the detail survey of relationship between income distribution and growth, and the mechanism of the effect is discussed.     

草场承包经营制度演进的经济绩效——基于内蒙古自治区的实证分析

为探讨草场承包经营制度的实施与演进对牧业经济绩效的影响机理,通过细化草场承包经营权,从草场使用权、转让权和收益权变化发展的角度进行理论分析。然后,基于生产函数模型,构建了反映草场承包经营制度演进对牧业产出变化影响的计量经济模型,并利用内蒙古自治区的相关数据进行了相应的实证检验。结果显示,在内蒙古地区实施草场承包经营制度的30余年来,草场使用权日趋稳定,草场转让权得以确认,草场经营收益权逐步完善,草场承包经营制度经历的这一系列演进发展对当地的畜牧业经济产出发挥了显著的正效应。     

番木瓜对不同施肥模式的响应及经济效益分析

为了探讨番木瓜高产高效栽培与合理施肥模式之间的平衡点,确保番木瓜高产优质,施肥模式经济高效。通过连续2年的田间小区定位试验,研究了5种不同施肥模式（专用肥,T1;专用肥+改良剂,T2;专用肥+精制有机肥,T3;精制有机肥,T4;生物有机肥,T5）对番木瓜营养生长、产量及品质的影响,开展了不同施肥模式的经济效益分析。结果表明：与T1处理对比,T2、T3处理均表现出促进番木瓜冠幅、株高生长增加的趋势。整个示范区番木瓜株产40.2~49.3 kg,平均单果重0.38~0.41 kg,单株收获商品果实105.8~120.4个。T3处理较T1处理增产18.6%,差异显著。糖度的方差分析结果显示,T1处理显著低于T4、T5处理,T4、T5处理均显著低于T2、T3处理。不同施肥模式鲜果肉维生素C含量与糖度的趋势一致。从经济效益来考察,T3处理获得的净产值最高（413819元/hm2）,产投比为T3≈T2>T5≈T1>T4处理。     

江西省农业生态经济系统的能值指标分析

为了对江西省农业生态经济系统的演变趋势做出适当判断,对系统的可持续发展提出具体对策,笔者在研究江西省农业生态经济系统输入能值和产出能值的基础上,构建各种能值的结构指标,对江西省农业生态系统的结构、功能、效率和发展趋势进行分析。结果表明：购买能值投入率较高,有机能投入过多,工业辅助能值投入太少,系统处于自我维持的生产状态,具有较强的传统性和较高的保守性;净能值出产率较低,系统处于劳力密集型,集约化程度低,生产效率不高的粗放型阶段;环境负载率较大,且处于增长趋势,表明系统在能值利用技术上不断提高,同时面临的环境压力也越来越大;系统能值可持续发展指标为0.176~0.225,远小于1,系统是典型的消费型生态系统,产出的能值是消耗较多的资源获得。江西省农业系统应优化能值投入和产出结构,提高能源利用效率和生产效率,加大科技成份的投入,注重系统的协调性和整体性以及生态经营的合理性,把现代高新技术与传统农业技术的精华相结合,改变传统的粗放型经营方式,向现代科学技术型、高度集约型和高效益型转变。     

内蒙古环境污染水平与经济增长的库兹涅茨关系分析

为了给内蒙古环境政策提供依据,以进一步促进内蒙古环境与经济之间协调发展,笔者研究了内蒙古环境污染与经济增长之间的关系。基于环境库兹涅茨曲线模型,采用1986-2009年内蒙古环境经济数据,建立内蒙古工业污染物排放与人均国内生产总值(GDP)之间的评价模型。结果表明,在研究区间内,内蒙古固体废弃物与工业废气排放量产生量急速上升,与人均GDP之间的关系处于倒“U”型曲线的左半部分上升阶段：2009年的固体废弃物产生量比1986年增长了10508.32万t,平均年增长率为9.17%。2009年的工业废气排放量比1986年增长了22828.36万t,平均年增长率为11.54%;其中,SO2排放量与人均GDP之间已存在拐点,并呈现完全的倒“U”型关系,拐点发生在人均7793.76元时。工业废水排放量增长率变化较缓,平均年增长率为0.35%;烟尘和粉尘排放量在研究时段内逐年递减。通过工业污染物排放及其可能影响因子之间的灰色关联度分析,探究了1986年后内蒙古工业污染物排放的库兹涅茨曲线的成因。结果表明,内蒙古市环境污染的主要关联因子包括产业结构、GDP总量、单位GDP能耗、城镇人口比例。本研究结果将为内蒙古经济在不断增加的环境压力下保持可持续发展、协调经济增长与环境污染之间的关系提供参考。     

除草剂对苎麻生长及经济性状的影响

为筛选出合适的,苎麻封行后施用的除草剂及预防除草剂致使苎麻败蔸提供参考,研究了盆栽条件下,乙草胺、草甘膦、精喹禾灵、苄嘧黄隆、百草枯、2,4-D钠盐等6种除草剂三麻分行前期对‘多倍体1号’、‘中苎1号’和‘湘苎3号’生长及产量和纤维品质的影响。结果表明：在常用浓度下,不同的除草剂对苎麻的影响不同,而且同一种除草剂对不同品种苎麻的影响也不同,除草剂对苎麻农艺性状和品质性状的影响存在基因型差异。乙草胺和草甘膦对‘多倍体1号’、‘中苎1号’和‘湘苎3号’苎麻相对安全;精喹禾灵、苄嘧磺隆、百草枯、2,4-D钠盐都不同程度的抑制了3种苎麻的生长,降低了苎麻产量和品质。而且‘中苎1号’对苄嘧黄隆较敏感,‘湘苎3号’对百草枯非常敏感,‘多倍体1号’对6种除草剂都有较大抗性。在不喷施于苎麻植株体表面的前提下,6种除草剂对苎麻的叶绿素SPAD值影响不大,但都会使苎麻的叶面积减小。     

Empirical Analysis on Return Distribution and Price-volume of SZCI

This paper focuses on the day-of-the-week effect and contingency/persistency of the return rate series and the volatility in shenzhen stock index.It argues that there is not the day-of-the-week effect in return rate series but one to two weeks of contingency, while there is the day-of-the-week effect and persistency in volatility, and the trading volume is helpful to interpret the volatility.     

黑龙江省三种水稻热量指数预测方法的对比研究

旨在选出一套适合黑龙江不同区域水稻低温冷害预测方法,为相关部门制定粮食生产和调整农作物种植结构提供科学依据。选择黑龙江省11个水稻农气观测站为研究对象,利用1971—2016年的气温资料、74类大气环流资料、水稻发育期数据,将黑龙江省划分为东、西、南3个区域,分别建立逐步回归预测模型、GM(1,1)灰色预测模型和均生函数预测模型,预测黑龙江水稻生育期总热量指数并进行对比分析。结果表明:建立的3种预测模型通过了残差检验,1971—2010年拟合平均准确率均在95%以上,结果差异不大;2011—2016年的试报准确率为85%～99%,其中GM(1,1)灰色预测模型准确率(97%～99%)高于逐步回归预测模型(91%～97%)和均生函数预测模型(85%～95%)。通过3种预测方法对比结果显示,GM(1,1)灰色预测模型模拟效果最好。