| 青岛地区动物物候期对逐月气候变化的响应研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 綦东菊,郭飞燕,薛允传,耿敏. 青岛地区动物物候期对逐月气候变化的响应研究[J]. 中国农学通报, 2020, 36(14): 130-137. DOI: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb19020031 |
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| 作者姓名： | 綦东菊 郭飞燕 薛允传 耿敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 青岛市气象灾害防御工程技术研究中心,山东青岛 266003;2. 胶州市气象局,山东青岛 266300;3. 青岛市气象局,山东青岛 266003 |
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| 基金项目： | 淮河流域气象开放研究基金“东部型和中部型ENSO对淮河流域夏季降水年际变化的影响及关键区预测”(HRM201601);国家自然科学基金项目“基于深度学习的京津冀地区大气边界层辐合线自动识别方法”(41741013);青岛市气象局青年科研专项“胶州大白菜生育期分析及气象服务系统开发”(2016qdqxq16);山东省气象局青年科研基金项目“青岛地面人工增雨作业潜力区识别初探”(2016SDQN12) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了研究青岛地区动物物候期对逐月气候变化的响应关系,利用青岛地区1986—2018年动物物候期资料和逐月气象观测资料,通过趋势分析和超前相关分析法对物候期及其同期和前期气候因子的相关性和响应趋势进行了探讨。结果表明：（1）青岛地区1—12月的气温/风速均呈显著增加/减小趋势,除4月外其他各月日照时数显著减少。除7月降水显著减少外,其他月份青岛降水的气候趋势变化较小。（2）各月风速的显著减少趋势与候鸟（家燕）和两栖类动物（青蛙）的物候变化关系最为密切。对于始鸣期来说：家燕和青蛙始鸣期与各气候因子关系并不非常密切。对于绝鸣期来说：近几十年来风速的显著减小趋势极可能导致家燕和青蛙绝鸣期的推迟。（3）降水和日照时数的变化对昆虫（蚱蝉和蟋蟀）始鸣期的影响较为明显,而气温和风速对昆虫绝鸣期的影响更为突出。以上分析说明动物物候期对气候因子变化的响应比较敏感,可作为气候变化的指示器。
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| 关 键 词： | 逐月气候变化 动物物候期 家燕 青蛙 蚱蝉 蟋蟀 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-02-20 |
The Response of Animal Phenophase to Monthly Climate Variability in Qingdao |
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| Qi Dongju,Guo Feiyan,Xue Yunchuan,Geng Min. The Response of Animal Phenophase to Monthly Climate Variability in Qingdao[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2020, 36(14): 130-137. DOI: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb19020031 |
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| Authors: | Qi Dongju Guo Feiyan Xue Yunchuan Geng Min |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Qingdao Engineering Technology Research Center for Meteorological Disaster Prevention, Qingdao Shandong 266003;2. Jiaozhou Meteorology Bureau, Qingdao Shandong 266300;3. Qingdao Meteorology Bureau, Qingdao Shandong 266003 |
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| Abstract: | This study aims to investigate the response of animal phenophase to climate variability in Qingdao. Based on the animal phonological data and monthly meteorological observations in Qingdao during 1986-2018, the authors used trend analysis and advanced correlation analysis to analyze the leading and contemporaneous correlations between animal phenophase and climatic factors. The results showed that: (1) the monthly temperature/wind speed increased/decreased significantly, the sunshine durations reduced significantly except in April, but the precipitation changed little except in July; (2) the distinct monthly decreasing trend of wind speed had the strongest relationship with the animal phenophase for migrant bird (Hirundo rustica) and amphibian (Frog); for the first warble date: the first warble dates for Hirundo rustica and Frog were not closely related to the climatic factors; as for the last warble date: the significant decreasing trend of wind speed most likely induced the delaying of last warble dates for Hirundo rustica and Frog; (3) the variations of precipitation and sunshine durations could exert more influence on the first warble dates for insects (Cryptotympana atratas and Crickets), and the last warble dates for insects were remarkably influenced by temperature and wind speed. The above results indicate that the animal phenophase is sensitive to the climate change, and the animal phenology change is the best indicator of climate change. |
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| Keywords: | monthly climate change animal phenophase Hirundo rustica frog Cryptotympana atrata cricket |
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