| 全球高致病性禽流感风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕常荣,温家洪,尹占娥,司瑞洁.全球高致病性禽流感风险评估[J].水禽世界,2007,12(2):7-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕常荣 温家洪 尹占娥 司瑞洁 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海师范大学地理系,200234 |
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| 摘 要： | H5N1高致病性禽流感暴发的风险管理需要对不同的风险因素进行综合评估,这些因素影响不同地理区域传染病的传播和持续时间。禽流感灾害风险评估的关键是制定风险路径,然后用它来发展一种定性或定量的风险评估模型。本文建立在风险分析模型框架基础之上,利用FAO、WHO以及OIE等国际组织和有关国家政府可公开获得的数据和信息,利用ArcGIS对H5N1高致病性禽流感进行风险评估,并对野生鸟类和家禽贸易在H5N1高致病性禽流感传播中的重要性进行分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 风险评估 野生鸟类 家禽贸易 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-1085（2007）02-0007-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-12-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-29 |
Risk Assessment of H5N1 HPAI |
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| Lv Chang-rong,Wen Jia-hong,Yin Zhan-e,Si Rui-jie.Risk Assessment of H5N1 HPAI[J].Poultry Science,2007,12(2):7-11. |
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| Authors: | Lv Chang-rong Wen Jia-hong Yin Zhan-e Si Rui-jie |
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| Institution: | Department of Geography, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai 200234 |
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| Abstract: | Risk Management of H5N1 HPAI outbreak needs to be based on a balanced assessment of the different factors, which influence introduction and maintenance of infection in geographically defined populations. A key part of such a risk assessment is the development of risk pathways diagrams, which are then used to develop a qualitative or quantitative risk assessment model. This document uses official information received from FAO, WHO and OIE to present an example of a qualitative risk assessment .We also analyze the significance to spread H5N1 HPAI of wild birds. |
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| Keywords: | H5N1 HPAI |
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