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天山北坡呼图壁河流域近313年降水的重建与分析
引用本文:陈峰,袁玉江,魏文寿,喻树龙,丁雷.天山北坡呼图壁河流域近313年降水的重建与分析[J].干旱区研究,2009,26(1).
作者姓名:陈峰  袁玉江  魏文寿  喻树龙  丁雷
作者单位:1. 中国气象局,乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830002;中国气象局,树木年轮理化研究重点实验室,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830002
2. 新疆林业厅昭苏林场,新疆,昭苏,835600
基金项目:中国沙漠气象基金,中国气象局重点实验室开放研究项目,国家自然科学基金,中国气象局项目 
摘    要:分析发现,天山北坡呼图壁河流域树轮年表与呼图壁气象站上年8月至当年7月的平均降水相关性较好,最高单相关系数为o.484(a=0.001),且具有明显的树木生理学意义.利用赛热克巴依萨、希热克久热特、喀音萨依的标准化年表能够较好地重建呼图壁河流域近313年的上年8月至当年7月平均降水序列,方差解释量达41%,并通过交叉检验表明重建结果稳定可靠.

关 键 词:呼图壁河流域  树轮年表  降水序列  重建分析  天山北坡  雪岭云杉(Picea  schrenkiana)

Reconstruction and Analysis of Precipitation in the Hutubi River Basin on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains during the Last 313 Years
CHEN Feng,YUAN Yu-jiang,WEI Wen-shou,YU Shu-long,DING Lei.Reconstruction and Analysis of Precipitation in the Hutubi River Basin on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains during the Last 313 Years[J].Arid Zone Research,2009,26(1).
Authors:CHEN Feng  YUAN Yu-jiang  WEI Wen-shou  YU Shu-long  DING Lei
Institution:1.Institute of Desert Meteorology;China Meteorological Administration;Urumqi 830002;China;2.Key Laboratory of Tree-ring Physical and Chemical Research;3.Forestry Center of Zhaosu Xinjiang Forestry Administration;Zhaosu 835600;Xinjiang;China
Abstract:In this study,several tree-ring chronologies were established based on tree-ring samples collected from the Hutubi River Basin,Xinjiang.A single correlation calculation revealed that the tree-ring chronologies were significantly correlated with the precipitation from August to the following July,and that the maximum correlation coefficient observed was 0.484.Based on the SRKt(STD),XRKt(STD) and KYSt(STD) tree-ring chronology series,the precipitation series from August to the following July during the last 3...
Keywords:Hutubi River Basin  tree-ring chronology  precipitation reconstruction  analysis    
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