| 新疆产业结构变动对经济增长效应的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘月兰,李豫新.新疆产业结构变动对经济增长效应的实证分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘月兰 李豫新 |
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| 作者单位： | 石河子大学师范学院地理系;石河子大学经济贸易学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金重大项目(07&ZD028);;国家社会科学基金项目(08BRK006)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用协整和格兰杰因果检验等经济计量分析方法,对新疆1978～2006年的产业结构变动与经济增长的关系进行了分析,并利用回归分析模型和宏观经济模型分别测算了各产业以及产业变动对新疆经济增长的贡献。实证分析结果表明:新疆产业结构变动促进了经济增长,而经济增长对产业结构变动没有显著影响。第二产业对经济增长的贡献较大,但产业结构变动对经济增长的贡献水平还较低。需要制定有效的产业政策优化调整产业结构,以促进新疆经济的快速发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 产业结构 经济增长 实证分析 |
An empirical analysis of the effect between the adjustment of industrial structure and economic growth in Xinjiang |
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| LIU Yuelan,LI Yuxin.An empirical analysis of the effect between the adjustment of industrial structure and economic growth in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2010(6). |
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| Authors: | LIU Yuelan LI Yuxin |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Geography;Normal Collage;Shihezi University;Shihezi;830023;2. Collage of Economics & Trade;P. R. China |
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| Abstract: | Using the Granger causality test and linear economic models,we analyzed the relationship between the adjustment of xinjiang's industrial structure and economic growth in the past 29 years. The Granger causality test showed that the adjustment of industrial structure was the important reason of real economic growth,but the economic growth had no obvious effect on the adjustment of industrial structure. The secondary industry have a greater contribution to economic growth,but the adjustment of industrial stru... |
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| Keywords: | industrial structure economic growth empirical analysis |
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