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基于线性混合模型的蓝点马鲛叉长和体重关系的月间及性别差异
引用本文:瞿俊跃,方舟,陈新军.基于线性混合模型的蓝点马鲛叉长和体重关系的月间及性别差异[J].中国水产科学,2020,27(8):953-960.
作者姓名:瞿俊跃  方舟  陈新军
作者单位:1. 上海海洋大学海洋科学学院, 上海 201306;2. 大洋渔业资源可持续开发教育部重点实验室, 上海 201306;3. 国家远洋渔业工程技术研究中心, 上海 201306;4. 农业农村部大洋渔业开发重点实验室, 上海 201306;5. 农业农村部大洋渔业资源环境科学观测实验站, 上海 201306
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2019YFD0901404);国家自然科学基金面上项目(NSFC41876141);农业农村部外海渔业开发重点实验室开放课题(LOF 2018-02).
摘    要:为了研究蓝点马鲛()生活史特征的异质性,根据2018年10月至2019年3月在东海外海渔场的拖网调查采样数据,对其叉长和体重关系的月间及性别差异进行了研究。依据收集的367尾蓝点马鲛样本,求得其叉长和体重关系(b的估计均值为2.794。本研究构建了广义线性模型和9个线性混合模型,用于研究蓝点马鲛的叉长和体重关系()在时间及性别上的差异。贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)值和均方根误差值均表明,最复杂的线性混合模型(即月份和性别对两个参数P<0.01)。在最优模型中,a值则与此相反。本研究表明,月份和性别对蓝点马鲛叉长和体重关系具有显著的影响,线性混合模型能把月份和性别的异质性通过随机效应在单个模型中更准确、快速地体现,从而进一步证实了此模型在数据来源异质性研究中的优势。

关 键 词:蓝点马鲛  叉长–体重关系  线性混合模型  性别差异

Monthly and sexual differences in the growth of Japanese spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius) based on a linear mixed model
QU Junyue,FANG Zhou,CHEN Xinjun.Monthly and sexual differences in the growth of Japanese spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius) based on a linear mixed model[J].Journal of Fishery Sciences of China,2020,27(8):953-960.
Authors:QU Junyue  FANG Zhou  CHEN Xinjun
Institution:1. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China;2. The Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Ministry of Education, Shanghai 201306, China;3. National Engineering Research Center for Oceanic Fisheries, Shanghai 201306, China;4. Key Laboratory of Oceanic Fisheries Exploration, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai 201306, China;5. Scientific Observing and Experimental Station of Oceanic Fishery Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Shanghai 201306, China
Abstract:is an important economic fish species from coastal China. It is also one of the few large-scale catch species that maintain a high yield in China. Studies have shown that the relationship between fork length and body weight differs between seasons and areas. To better understand the seasonal and sexual variations in relationships between the fork length and weight (, we used the trawl survey data at the East China Sea fishing grounds from October 2018 to March 2019 and constructed a generalized linear model and nine linear mixed models. Based on the collected 367 samples, the relationship between fork length and body weight () is obtained, in which the estimated mean value of condition factor a is 3.022×10-5, and the estimated mean value of allometric growth parameter b is 2.794. Both the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) value and the root mean square error (RMSE) value indicated that the most complex linear mixed model (i.e. month and gender have random effects on both parameters ) had the best performance. According to the results of the difference analysis between the best model and the generalized linear model, the relationship between the fork length and weight of <0.01). In the best model, was higher in October and November (feeding period) and lower in December and January (overwintering period), while was higher in males and lower in females. It can be concluded that the relationship between the fork length and weight of was significantly affected by season and sex. The linear mixed model allows the easier combination of season and sex, which would be of great value in the heterogeneity studies of fish life history traits.
Keywords:, length-weight relationships, linear mixed model, sexual difference
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