| 渔船备件费用灰色马尔可夫预测模型与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 周家章,孙鹏,朱伟中.渔船备件费用灰色马尔可夫预测模型与应用[J].渔业经济研究,2009(5):39-41. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周家章 孙鹏 朱伟中 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 大连水产学院,辽宁,大连,116023
2. 大连渔轮公司,辽宁,大连,116001 |
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| 摘 要： | 在渔船备件费用灰色预测的基础上，结合马尔可夫链预测方法，建立渔船备件费用灰色马尔可夫预测模型，该模型兼有灰色预测和马尔可夫链预测的优点。实例计算证明，渔船备件费用灰色马尔可夫预测模型的预测精度高于灰色预测模型预测精度，模型可以用于渔船备件费用预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 渔船 备件费用 灰色 马尔可夫 预测 |
Grey-Markov Model for the Expense Forecast of Spare Parts of Fishing Boat |
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| ZHOU Jiazhang,SUN Peng,ZHU Weizhong.Grey-Markov Model for the Expense Forecast of Spare Parts of Fishing Boat[J].Fisheries Economy Research,2009(5):39-41. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Jiazhang SUN Peng ZHU Weizhong |
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| Institution: | 1. Dalian Fisheries University, Dalian 116023, Liaoning, China; 2. Dalian Fishing Company, Dalian 116001, Liaoning, China ) |
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| Abstract: | The grey-Markov model for the expense forecast of spare parts of fishing boats is built in this paper, based on grey method of forecast and combined with the Markov chains forecast. This model has merits of both grey forecast and Markov chains forecast. The example shows that the precision of grey-Markov model for the expense forecast of spare parts of fishing boats is better than that of grey model. This model can be used for the expense forecast of spare parts of fishing boats. |
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| Keywords: | fishing boat expense of spare parts grey markov forecast |
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