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欧债危机对中欧农产品贸易的影响分析
引用本文:曾寅初,刘君逸,梁筱筱.欧债危机对中欧农产品贸易的影响分析[J].渔业经济研究,2012(2):55-63.
作者姓名:曾寅初  刘君逸  梁筱筱
作者单位:中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京,100872
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目,农业部国际农业研究体系项目
摘    要:本文分析了欧债危机对中欧农产品贸易的可能影响途径和机制,并利用双边农产品贸易数据对欧债危机的影响进行了初步判断。结果表明,虽然年度长期趋势所反映的欧债危机影响不明显,但是月度短期趋势反映欧债危机已经致使中欧农产品贸易出现明显的增长放缓趋势,且影响在危机核心国和非核心国之间的差异不明显,具有整体性的特征。因此,不能因为年度农产品贸易额还在快速增长而盲目乐观,而必须加强监测和采取积极的应对措施。

关 键 词:欧债危机  农产品贸易  中国  欧盟

Impacts of European Sovereign Debt Crisis on Agricultural Trade Between EU and China
ZENG Yinchu,LIU Junyi,LIANG Xiaoxiao.Impacts of European Sovereign Debt Crisis on Agricultural Trade Between EU and China[J].Fisheries Economy Research,2012(2):55-63.
Authors:ZENG Yinchu  LIU Junyi  LIANG Xiaoxiao
Institution:(School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development Renmin University of China,Bejing 100872,China)
Abstract:The potential influencing mechanisms and the actual impacts of European sovereign debt crisis on agricultural trade between EU and China were analyzed using the economic theory and the trade data in this paper.The results that European sovereign debt crisis had caused the slow down of agricultural trade growth according the month data,and there was no remarkable deference of the impacts between "PIGS" and other EU countries.
Keywords:European sovereign debt crisis  agricultural trade  China  EU
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