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秦巴山区商洛市核桃产业发展的规模特征及经济效应
引用本文:郭萌,王怡.秦巴山区商洛市核桃产业发展的规模特征及经济效应[J].农业工程,2020,10(6):124-128.
作者姓名:郭萌  王怡
作者单位:商洛学院经济管理学院, 陕西 商洛 726000;商洛学院经济管理学院, 陕西 商洛 726000;陕西师范大学国际商学院, 陕西 西安 710119
基金项目:陕西省社会科学基金研究项目(项目编号:2019S040);陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题重大研究项目(项目编号:2019XY014);陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(项目编号:2020KRM196);国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(项目编号:201911396018X)
摘    要:选取秦巴山区商洛市2013—2018年核桃产业发展的经验数据,通过构建评价模型,从产业投入集中度和产出集中度2个维度评价商洛市核桃产业的规模特征,从产业收入依存度和贡献率2个维度评价其对经济增长的贡献,采用OLS回归模型分析核桃产业对GDP的带动效应。结果表明:秦巴山区商洛市核桃产业的规模特征和经济效应显著,呈现出逐年增长的发展趋势。结合商洛市核桃产业的发展现状,从紧抓政策机遇、加快内涵发展和扩大品牌优势3个方面提出政策建议。 

关 键 词:核桃产业  规模特征  经济效应

Scale Characteristics and Economic Effect of Walnut Industry Development in Shangluo City of Qinba Mountain Area
GUO Meng,WANG Yi.Scale Characteristics and Economic Effect of Walnut Industry Development in Shangluo City of Qinba Mountain Area[J].Agricultural Engineering,2020,10(6):124-128.
Authors:GUO Meng  WANG Yi
Abstract:Based on experience data of walnut industry development in Shangluo from 2013 to 2018 in Qinba mountain area,scale characteristics of walnut industry in Shangluo from two dimensions of industrial input concentration and output concentration were evaluated,its contribution to economic growth from two dimensions of industrial income dependence and contribution rate was also evaluated,and OLS regression model was used to analyze driving effect of walnut industry on GDP.Results showed that scale characteristics and economic effects of walnut industry in Shangluo were significant,showing a trend of increasing year by year.Combined with current situation of walnut industry in Shangluo city,policy suggestions were put forwand from three aspects:grasping policy opportunities,accelerating connotation development and expanding brand advantages. 
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